Bishop Letson
P
Biloxi Shuckers
Age 21
RHP
6'4" / 170 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION64 act + 37 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117107vR 98
ERA4.29
FIP4.29
K%22.3%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 102 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 16 | 14 | 63 | 257 | 57 | 27 | 6 | 88% | 4.0 | 16.4% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.13 | 4.67 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 16 | 14 | 63 | 257 | 57 | 27 | 6 | 88% | 4.0 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 2.3% | 3.13 | 3.81 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 9 | 41 | 159 | 49 | 12 | 2 | 82% | 3.8 | 23.3% | 7.3% | 16.0% | 0.6% | 2.40 | 2.38 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 9 | 41 | 159 | 49 | 12 | 2 | 82% | 3.8 | 30.8% | 7.5% | 23.3% | 1.3% | 2.40 | 2.23 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 15 | 15 | 64 | 289 | 64 | 35 | 5 | 100% | 4.3 | 17.9% | 13.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 4.62 | 4.41 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIL | 8 | 8 | 37 | 158 | 35 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 4.7 | 22.3% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 2.7% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIL | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 2.7% | 4.26 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 102 | 447 | 99 | 50 | 9 | — | — | 22.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 2.1% | 4.50 | 4.37 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 21 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.3% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 2.7% | 4.26 | 3.88 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIL | 8 | 8 | 39 | 166 | 39 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.5% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 2.7% | 4.18 | 4.10 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | MIL | 8 | 8 | 41 | 172 | 42 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.1 | 24.2% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 2.7% | 4.08 | 3.99 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 7 | 7 | 42 | 176 | 44 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.8% | 8.4% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 3.99 | 3.92 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 7 | 7 | 42 | 179 | 45 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.1% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 2.7% | 3.92 | 3.87 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 7 | 7 | 42 | 179 | 45 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 17.0% | 2.7% | 3.88 | 3.85 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 7 | 7 | 42 | 176 | 45 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 16.9% | 2.7% | 3.88 | 3.89 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 7 | 7 | 40 | 171 | 43 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.2% | 8.5% | 16.7% | 2.8% | 3.93 | 3.97 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIL | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.5% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 2.6% | 4.15 | 4.07 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 30 | 127 | 31 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.0 | 24.2% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 2.6% | 4.05 | 3.96 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 37 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.8% | 8.4% | 16.3% | 2.6% | 3.96 | 3.89 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 39 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 25.1% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 2.6% | 3.89 | 3.84 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 39 | 165 | 42 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 17.0% | 2.6% | 3.85 | 3.82 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 39 | 165 | 42 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 16.9% | 2.6% | 3.85 | 3.86 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 38 | 160 | 40 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 6.3 | 25.2% | 8.5% | 16.7% | 2.7% | 3.90 | 3.94 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 41 | 41 | 238 | 1004 | 250 | 85 | 26 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.9% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 2.6% | 3.93 | 3.52 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 210 | 72 | 22 | 100% | 5.7 | 24.9% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 2.6% | 3.93 | 3.52 | +4.4 | ||
| Career | — | 42 | 38 | 169 | 705 | 131 | 82 | 13 | 90% | 4.0 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 3.51 | 4.05 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 45 | 200 | 834 | 155 | 97 | 16 | 90% | 4.0 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 3.51 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bishop Letson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 22.3% | 9.5% | 2.7% | — | 4.00 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 122 | -0.29 | — | — | — |
| Chad Patrick R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 86 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.06 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .268 | 5.93 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 47 | +1.87 | 4.06 | 101 | 86 |
| José López R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.32 | 3.08 | 543 | 86 |
| Tanner Burns R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .292 | 5.42 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.35 | 4.07 | 378 | 86 |
| Mike Vasil R 2027 · 3.71 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.71 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .264 | 4.60 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 359 | +0.89 | 3.71 | 429 | 85 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 85 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2027 · 3.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.67 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .341 | 3.99 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.32 | 3.44 | 259 | 85 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 85 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2028 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .241 | 5.26 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 176 | +1.61 | 3.65 | 211 | 84 |
| Chih-Jung Liu R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .331 | 6.04 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 233 | +1.32 | 4.72 | 283 | 84 |
| Drew Anderson R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.54 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .295 | 4.74 | 16.3% | 7.6% | 273 | +1.20 | 3.11 | 506 | 83 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 83 |
| Mariano Salomon R 2026 · 3.11 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.11 | 21.0% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .282 | 4.98 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 67 | +1.87 | 2.47 | 158 | 83 |
| Curtis Taylor R 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.10 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.42 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 96 | -0.68 | 2.58 | 408 | 83 |
| JR Ritchie R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.94 | 22.8% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .260 | 4.47 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 234 | +0.53 | 1.00 | 280 | 83 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 236 | -0.19 | 3.12 | 482 | 82 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2029 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 82 |
| Logan Gragg R 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.02 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .343 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 202 | +1.02 | 4.02 | 412 | 82 |
| Jared Karros R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .290 | 5.32 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.60 | 3.31 | 191 | 82 |
| Cody Stashak R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.07 | 19.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 3.55 | 17.1% | 9.8% | 261 | -0.52 | 1.99 | 467 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 41 | 24.5% | 8.6% | 1.04 | 4.01 |
| Daniel Hudson ('24) | 9 | 52 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 1.13 | 3.75 |
| Ryan Tepera ('22) | 7 | 48 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 1.12 | 3.53 |
| Trevor May ('23) | 8 | 51 | 27.6% | 8.3% | 1.18 | 3.83 |
| Joakim Soria ('21) | 7 | 54 | 26.1% | 7.8% | 0.92 | 3.65 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| JT Chargois ('24) | 7 | 33 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 0.97 | 3.35 |