Jake Knapp
P
Knoxville Smokies
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 270 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119109vR 100
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%23.2%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 8 | 8 | 26 | 114 | 28 | 16 | 3 | 100% | 3.3 | 19.9% | 15.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.44 | 5.11 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CHC | 3 | 3 | 18 | 78 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.38 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 45 | 192 | 46 | 23 | 5 | — | — | 24.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.00 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 3.97 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 88 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 3.97 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 8 | 8 | 26 | 114 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 3.3 | 19.9% | 15.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.44 | 5.11 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 61 | 200 | 866 | 172 | 134 | 27 | 100% | 3.3 | 19.9% | 15.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.44 | 5.11 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Knapp (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.35 | 23.4% | 14.0% | 20 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Brendan Beck R 2025 · 3.18 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.18 | 22.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | .289 | 3.78 | 20.9% | 13.1% | 225 | +0.60 | 3.18 | 256 | 85 |
| Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.39 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.65 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 382 | +0.26 | 3.67 | 509 | 77 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 209 | 75 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 1.6% | .286 | 5.51 | 25.3% | 9.1% | 58 | +1.96 | 3.29 | 142 | 71 |
| Brooks Auger R 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.81 | 26.3% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 138 | 71 |
| River Ryan R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.34 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 1.7% | .280 | 2.13 | 23.9% | 18.6% | 36 | -1.21 | 2.13 | 218 | 70 |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 70 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.64 | 20.4% | 12.2% | 3.1% | .283 | 4.15 | 18.9% | 11.0% | 79 | -0.49 | 3.87 | 247 | 70 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 69 |
| Connor McCullough R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.20 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | .217 | 3.62 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 64 | -1.58 | 3.62 | 222 | 69 |
| Burch Smith R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 69 |
| Zak Kent R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.86 | 21.4% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .239 | 4.01 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 121 | +0.15 | 3.23 | 354 | 68 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 68 |
| Jackson Finley R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.85 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 132 | 68 |
| Luke Gabrysh R 2024 · 5.55 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.55 | 21.8% | 13.7% | 4.7% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 138 | 68 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 68 |
| Griffin Canning R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.37 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | .295 | 4.67 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 299 | -0.70 | 3.70 | 776 | 67 |
| Aidan Foeller R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.45 | 23.4% | 10.6% | 3.6% | .218 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.45 | 149 | 67 |
| Tristan Beck R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.19 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .375 | 4.22 | 20.3% | 13.1% | 252 | -0.97 | 3.52 | 473 | 67 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 67 |