Jakob Wright
P
Great Lakes Loons
Age 23
LHP
5'11" / 170 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 50 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105114vR 123
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
K%21.8%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%10.8%
ROS IP50
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 9 | 9 | 20 | 90 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 2.2 | 19.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 0.0% | 3.20 | 2.76 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 9 | 9 | 20 | 90 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 2.2 | 26.7% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 0.0% | 3.20 | 1.88 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 14 | 11 | 50 | 233 | 63 | 40 | 3 | 79% | 3.6 | 20.8% | 19.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 5.40 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 50 | 211 | 46 | 23 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.60 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.56 | 4.56 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 100 | 444 | 109 | 63 | 9 | — | — | 24.5% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 2.0% | 5.00 | 4.66 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.56 | 4.18 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 51 | 216 | 49 | 23 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 4.51 | 4.46 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 52 | 219 | 50 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 52 | 219 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 50 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 23.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 4 | 4 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 33 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 7 | 7 | 41 | 173 | 40 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 2.8% | 4.35 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 42 | 18 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.35 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 24 | 24 | 141 | 596 | 137 | 61 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 3.97 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 86 | 24 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 3.97 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 23 | 20 | 70 | 323 | 66 | 55 | 4 | 87% | 3.0 | 20.5% | 17.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 4.78 | 4.18 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 57 | 200 | 927 | 190 | 159 | 11 | 87% | 3.0 | 20.5% | 17.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 4.78 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jakob Wright (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 21.8% | 11.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.40 | 22.9% | 12.6% | 155 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 85 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2027 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 83 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.80 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .360 | 5.95 | 16.3% | -2.8% | 144 | +1.15 | 4.80 | 223 | 83 |
| Josh Trentadue L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.63 | 23.1% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .249 | 4.99 | 21.5% | 9.2% | 48 | +1.36 | 3.10 | 196 | 82 |
| Sebastian Gongora L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.80 | 21.8% | 14.0% | 1.4% | .335 | 3.81 | 18.5% | 11.0% | 84 | +0.01 | 3.80 | 152 | 82 |
| Hayden Mullins L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.33 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 3.0% | .288 | 4.01 | 25.1% | 10.7% | 150 | -0.32 | 3.72 | 239 | 81 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 81 |
| Hunter Barco L 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.51 | 23.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.79 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 150 | +0.28 | 3.51 | 212 | 81 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 80 |
| Evan Lee L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.00 | 24.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .333 | 4.48 | 21.0% | 2.7% | 52 | +0.48 | 3.84 | 129 | 80 |
| Kash Mayfield L 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.36 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 109 | 80 |
| Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.67 | 19.6% | 14.6% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.89 | 20.3% | 3.7% | 33 | -0.78 | 2.81 | 146 | 79 |
| Hogan Harris L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.73 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .235 | 3.64 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 74 | -0.09 | 3.14 | 473 | 79 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.8% | 213 | +0.07 | 3.67 | 288 | 78 |
| Cole Ragans L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.15 | 20.2% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.38 | 26.8% | 17.4% | 445 | -1.77 | 2.46 | 623 | 78 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 3.5% | .349 | 4.18 | 22.0% | 8.2% | 175 | -0.31 | 3.65 | 308 | 78 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.3% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .313 | 4.65 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 139 | +0.16 | 4.12 | 234 | 78 |
| Hunter Owen L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.06 | 21.0% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .297 | 6.60 | 15.1% | 4.8% | 51 | +2.54 | 4.06 | 248 | 77 |
| Brent Headrick L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.52 | 22.9% | 14.0% | 2.9% | .383 | 4.63 | 24.2% | 16.7% | 227 | +0.11 | 2.40 | 382 | 76 |
| Caden Grice L 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.23 | 23.1% | 15.7% | 2.0% | .282 | 5.28 | 17.3% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.05 | 4.23 | 105 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 51 | 22.7% | 10.4% | 1.10 | 4.46 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |