Hogan Harris — OGILVIE

Hogan Harris P Athletics

Age 29 LHP 6'3" / 230 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION65 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8795vR 104

ERA3.83

FIP3.92

K%25.5%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%13.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†5060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6095.2

Whiff%

p5125.5%

p8528.7%

xwOBA vs

p640.298

FB+4.1 (61%)

CH (4%)

CT (1%)

CU (27%)

SL (7%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	7	7	29	109	29	10	2	100%	4.1	20.5%	10.6%	9.9%	2.1%	2.51	3.84	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Stockton Ports	7	7	29	109	29	10	2	100%	4.1	26.6%	9.2%	17.4%	1.8%	2.51	3.03	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	22	74	318	105	43	6	96%	3.2	27.4%	14.7%	12.7%	1.9%	3.42	3.71	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	22	74	318	105	43	6	96%	3.2	33.0%	13.5%	19.5%	1.9%	3.42	3.06	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	20	120	551	111	66	22	69%	4.1	18.4%	11.3%	7.2%	4.4%	6.83	5.39	-0.7
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	20	120	551	111	66	22	69%	4.1	18.4%	11.3%	7.2%	4.4%	6.83	5.39	-0.7
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	20	120	551	111	66	22	69%	4.1	20.1%	12.0%	8.2%	4.0%	6.83	5.28	-0.5
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	22	129	575	126	72	15	65%	3.8	20.0%	11.8%	8.1%	2.9%	4.40	4.49	+0.6
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	22	129	575	126	72	15	65%	3.8	20.0%	11.8%	8.1%	2.9%	4.40	4.49	+0.6
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	22	129	575	126	72	15	65%	3.8	21.9%	12.5%	9.4%	2.6%	4.40	4.33	+0.9
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	79	343	90	36	5	0%	1.4	25.0%	10.3%	14.7%	1.5%	3.40	3.11	+1.4
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	79	343	90	36	5	0%	1.4	25.0%	10.3%	14.7%	1.5%	3.40	3.11	+1.4
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	79	343	90	36	5	0%	1.4	26.2%	10.5%	15.7%	1.5%	3.40	3.01	+1.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			151	15	265	1155	265	128	29	10%	1.8	22.9%	11.1%	11.9%	2.5%	4.08	3.97	+1.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Athletics	68	0	65	289	83	38	7	0%	1.0	28.7%	13.1%	15.6%	2.5%	3.34	3.70	+0.6
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Athletics	68	0	65	289	83	38	7	0%	1.0	28.7%	13.1%	15.6%	2.5%	3.34	3.70	+0.6
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	MLB RAW	OAK	68	0	65	289	83	38	7	0%	1.0	28.7%	13.1%	15.6%	2.4%	3.34	3.67	+0.7
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	OAK	68	0	65	289	83	38	7	0%	1.0	28.7%	13.1%	15.6%	2.4%	3.34	3.67	+0.7
ROS	29	MLB MLE	OAK	5	0	6	23	6	3	1	0%	1.1	25.5%	12.2%	13.3%	2.6%	3.83	3.92	+0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	OAK	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	25.5%	12.2%	13.3%	2.6%	3.83	3.92	+0.0
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	OAK	—	—	70	312	89	41	8	—	—	28.5%	13.1%	15.4%	2.4%	3.38	3.72	+0.8
FULL	29	MLB A+C	OAK	—	—	70	296	89	41	8	—	—	30.0%	13.8%	16.2%	2.6%	3.38	3.72	+0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	OAK	59	0	62	260	63	33	7	0%	1.0	24.2%	12.5%	11.7%	2.7%	4.41	4.53	+0.0
2028	31	MLB MLE	OAK	55	0	57	242	57	31	7	0%	1.0	23.4%	12.8%	10.6%	3.0%	4.62	4.76	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	OAK	56	0	59	249	60	31	7	0%	1.1	24.2%	12.5%	11.7%	2.7%	4.41	4.53	+0.0
2028	31	MLB CTX	OAK	52	0	55	232	54	30	7	0%	1.1	23.4%	12.8%	10.6%	3.0%	4.62	4.76	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		264	15	383	1656	385	191	43	6%	1.5	23.2%	11.6%	11.7%	2.6%	4.20	4.04	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		138	8	200	864	201	100	22	6%	1.5	23.2%	11.6%	11.7%	2.6%	4.20	4.04	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		219	71	495	2185	495	262	61	32%	2.3	22.6%	12.0%	10.7%	2.8%	4.43	4.25	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	29	200	882	200	106	25	32%	2.3	22.6%	12.0%	10.7%	2.8%	4.43	4.25	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hogan Harris (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	21.1%	11.4%	2.6%	—	4.64	23.8%	11.1%	119	+0.06	—	—	—
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	70
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	69
Kevin Siegrist L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	25.0%	11.6%	2.7%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	2.72	176	69
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	68
Adam Loewen L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	31	SU	3.84	25.1%	15.9%	1.6%	.287	3.63	23.2%	7.3%	98	-0.21	2.96	176	68
Chasen Shreve L 2019 · 3.95 FIP	29	SU	3.95	24.4%	11.1%	2.7%	.269	4.59	23.9%	13.0%	108	+0.64	3.89	470	68
Josh Smoker L 2018 · 3.66 FIP	29	SU	3.66	22.1%	8.4%	2.5%	.318	6.58	14.2%	3.4%	14	+2.92	2.71	230	68
Sammy Solís L 2018 · 4.39 FIP	29	SU	4.39	24.9%	9.6%	4.0%	.330	4.05	26.2%	17.3%	23	-0.34	2.51	190	68
Edward Paredes L 2016 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	24.1%	13.0%	1.4%	.225	3.55	23.7%	14.0%	86	+0.08	2.36	130	68
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	66
Kyle Regnault L 2018 · 3.82 FIP	29	SU	3.82	27.6%	9.7%	3.3%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	204	65
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	65
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	65
Felix Doubront L 2017 · 4.12 FIP	29	SU	4.12	23.7%	9.0%	3.4%	.304	3.44	17.6%	12.6%	126	-0.68	3.44	291	65
Wandy Peralta L 2020 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	21.9%	9.6%	2.8%	.253	3.70	21.1%	11.3%	161	-0.33	2.69	725	65
Josh Edgin L 2016 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	22.1%	13.2%	1.3%	.359	3.81	23.2%	13.6%	80	+0.17	3.63	113	64
Tommy Layne L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	30	SU	3.61	21.7%	12.1%	1.5%	.284	3.34	20.2%	11.0%	97	-0.27	1.32	182	63
Josh Osich L 2018 · 3.73 FIP	29	SU	3.73	17.3%	9.5%	1.6%	.377	5.05	22.2%	15.9%	115	+1.32	3.41	315	63
Dario Alvarez L 2018 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	20.7%	12.4%	1.0%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.47	160	62
Buddy Boshers L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	29	SU	4.56	18.9%	8.0%	3.7%	.300	3.47	24.1%	15.6%	112	-1.09	2.80	223	62

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	62	22.9%	12.2%	1.07	4.50
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91