Hogan Harris
P
Athletics
Age 29
LHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
MLB
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8493vR 102
ERA3.86
FIP3.98
K%25.0%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5795.0
Whiff%
p6227.1%
K%
p8729.0%
xwOBA vs
p750.288
FB+4.1 (58%)
CH (6%)
CT (1%)
CU (26%)
SL (9%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Stockton Ports | 7 | 7 | 29 | 109 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 1.9% | 2.51 | 3.73 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Stockton Ports | 7 | 7 | 29 | 109 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 26.6% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 1.8% | 2.51 | 3.03 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 22 | 74 | 318 | 105 | 43 | 6 | 96% | 3.2 | 27.4% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 1.8% | 3.42 | 3.64 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 22 | 74 | 318 | 105 | 43 | 6 | 96% | 3.2 | 33.0% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 1.9% | 3.42 | 3.06 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 20 | 120 | 551 | 111 | 66 | 22 | 69% | 4.1 | 18.9% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.83 | 5.43 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 20 | 120 | 551 | 111 | 66 | 22 | 69% | 4.1 | 20.1% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 6.83 | 5.28 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 22 | 129 | 575 | 126 | 72 | 15 | 65% | 3.8 | 20.6% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 4.40 | 4.53 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 22 | 129 | 575 | 126 | 72 | 15 | 65% | 3.8 | 21.9% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 4.40 | 4.33 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 79 | 343 | 90 | 36 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 1.5% | 3.40 | 3.14 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 79 | 343 | 90 | 36 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.2% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 1.5% | 3.40 | 3.01 | +1.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Athletics | 45 | 0 | 42 | 193 | 56 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.0% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 2.6% | 3.43 | 3.71 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | OAK | 22 | 0 | 24 | 99 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 2.6% | 3.86 | 3.98 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | OAK | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 2.6% | 3.86 | 3.98 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 66 | 292 | 81 | 37 | 8 | — | — | 27.6% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 2.6% | 3.58 | 3.81 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 66 | 277 | 81 | 37 | 8 | — | — | 29.2% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 2.7% | 3.58 | 3.84 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 62 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 4.49 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 55 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 56 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 4.71 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 51 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 50 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 59 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 4.49 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 53 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 4.71 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 47 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 306 | 15 | 429 | 1849 | 421 | 217 | 50 | 5% | 1.4 | 22.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 4.35 | 4.16 | +6.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 143 | 7 | 200 | 862 | 196 | 101 | 23 | 5% | 1.4 | 22.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 4.35 | 4.16 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 196 | 71 | 473 | 2089 | 475 | 261 | 58 | 36% | 2.4 | 22.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 4.49 | 4.29 | +6.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 30 | 200 | 884 | 201 | 111 | 25 | 36% | 2.4 | 22.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 4.49 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hogan Harris (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 21.4% | 12.0% | 2.6% | — | 4.85 | 22.9% | 9.9% | 172 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 70 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 68 |
| Adam Loewen L 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.90 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.58 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.32 | 2.96 | 176 | 67 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 66 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.48 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 46 | -0.34 | 3.80 | 172 | 66 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 65 |
| Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 65 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 65 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 63 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 63 |
| A.J. Block L 2024 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 203 | 62 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .359 | 3.67 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.09 | 3.36 | 113 | 62 |
| Justin Marks L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.84 | 18.7% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 324 | 62 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .318 | 6.37 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +2.53 | 2.66 | 230 | 62 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 62 |
| Tommy Layne L 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.58 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | .284 | 3.34 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.24 | 1.32 | 182 | 61 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 61 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.16 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.23 | 2.51 | 190 | 61 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.87 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | .300 | 5.18 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.31 | 3.50 | 360 | 61 |
| Chasen Shreve L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.98 | 24.4% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.53 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 108 | +0.55 | 3.94 | 470 | 61 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 1.13 | 4.65 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |