Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Athletics Gold | 15 | 1 | 26 | 106 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 7% | 1.7 | 24.4% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 0.0% | 1.75 | 2.24 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Athletics Gold | 15 | 1 | 26 | 106 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 7% | 1.7 | 35.8% | 7.5% | 28.3% | 0.0% | 1.75 | 1.07 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 7 | 4 | 21 | 92 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 57% | 3.0 | 21.8% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.71 | 3.99 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 7 | 4 | 21 | 92 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 57% | 3.0 | 28.3% | 7.6% | 20.7% | 2.2% | 4.71 | 2.86 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 17 | 63 | 243 | 64 | 15 | 5 | 85% | 3.2 | 20.6% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 2.0% | 2.42 | 3.34 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 17 | 63 | 243 | 64 | 15 | 5 | 85% | 3.2 | 26.3% | 6.2% | 20.2% | 2.1% | 2.42 | 2.82 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 22 | 115 | 490 | 128 | 30 | 21 | 76% | 4.0 | 23.0% | 6.4% | 16.6% | 4.8% | 4.45 | 4.62 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 22 | 115 | 490 | 128 | 30 | 21 | 76% | 4.0 | 26.1% | 6.1% | 20.0% | 4.3% | 4.45 | 4.03 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 2 | 21 | 98 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 11% | 1.1 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.79 | 3.70 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 2 | 21 | 98 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 11% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 1.0% | 4.79 | 3.49 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Athletics | 26 | 2 | 36 | 168 | 34 | 11 | 3 | 8% | 1.4 | 19.7% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 1.5% | 6.00 | 3.21 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | OAK | 47 | 0 | 50 | 209 | 40 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 4.64 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | OAK | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 40 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 4.64 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 86 | 377 | 74 | 32 | 9 | — | — | 19.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 2.5% | 5.21 | 4.15 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 54 | 228 | 74 | 32 | 9 | — | — | 32.4% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 4.2% | 8.27 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 49 | 0 | 52 | 217 | 39 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.98 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 5.00 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 37 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 35 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 5.00 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 160 | 5 | 183 | 784 | 141 | 74 | 24 | 3% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.75 | 4.46 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 175 | 5 | 200 | 858 | 154 | 81 | 26 | 3% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.75 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 116 | 48 | 282 | 1197 | 256 | 93 | 34 | 41% | 2.4 | 21.4% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 3.99 | 3.83 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 82 | 34 | 200 | 849 | 181 | 66 | 24 | 41% | 2.4 | 21.4% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 3.99 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brady Basso (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.83 | 19.0% | 9.9% | 3.1% | — | 5.06 | 17.9% | 8.1% | 100 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 71 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2027 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.01 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.33 | 3.47 | 512 | 71 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 70 |
| Jack Dashwood L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.80 | 17.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 309 | 70 |
| Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 69 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 69 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 69 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 68 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 67 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 67 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 67 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.92 | 19.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | .348 | 2.22 | 18.9% | 13.2% | 18 | -2.70 | 2.22 | 286 | 66 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.93 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 244 | 66 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.04 | 15.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .324 | 4.73 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 53 | -0.31 | 3.33 | 228 | 66 |
| Brian Holmes L 2024 · 6.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 6.01 | 15.5% | 11.7% | 5.0% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 205 | 65 |
| Tristan Garnett L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.13 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 185 | 65 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 65 |
| Hayden Deal L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.28 | 15.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 420 | 65 |
| Reid Love L 2024 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% | .373 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 280 | 65 |
| Carson Teel L 2024 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.22 | 17.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 248 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 51 | 18.3% | 9.9% | 1.27 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |