Thomas Ireland
P
Round Rock Express
Age 24
LHP
6'1" / 170 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107117vR 126
ERA4.72
FIP4.72
K%15.8%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%6.6%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 108 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 7 | 44 | 180 | 43 | 13 | 5 | 54% | 3.4 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 3.27 | 4.50 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 7 | 44 | 180 | 43 | 13 | 5 | 54% | 3.4 | 23.9% | 7.2% | 16.7% | 2.8% | 3.27 | 3.51 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 10 | 68 | 298 | 75 | 23 | 5 | 56% | 3.8 | 17.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 4.37 | 4.01 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 10 | 68 | 298 | 75 | 23 | 5 | 56% | 3.8 | 25.2% | 7.7% | 17.4% | 1.7% | 4.37 | 2.86 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 2 | 81 | 334 | 71 | 24 | 1 | 7% | 3.0 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 0.4% | 3.10 | 2.94 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 2 | 81 | 334 | 71 | 24 | 1 | 7% | 3.0 | 21.3% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 0.3% | 3.10 | 2.40 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 21 | 0 | 41 | 178 | 42 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.9 | 18.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 4.65 | 3.97 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TEX | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 45 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 4.72 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TEX | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 4.72 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 108 | 462 | 87 | 42 | 10 | — | — | 18.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 4.69 | 4.44 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 7 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 15.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 4.72 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 49 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 4.63 | 4.60 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 52 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 4.55 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 51 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 4.58 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 50 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.65 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 4.63 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 41 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 42 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 186 | 0 | 195 | 823 | 147 | 75 | 22 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 4.60 | 4.22 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 151 | 77 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 4.60 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 79 | 19 | 234 | 990 | 171 | 89 | 17 | 24% | 3.0 | 17.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 3.77 | 3.73 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 16 | 200 | 846 | 146 | 76 | 15 | 24% | 3.0 | 17.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 3.77 | 3.73 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Thomas Ireland (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.72 | 15.8% | 9.2% | 2.6% | — | 4.58 | 17.8% | 8.7% | 203 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Matt Crouse L 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.97 | 12.0% | 6.3% | 2.0% | .276 | 4.32 | 12.2% | 4.3% | 268 | +0.35 | 3.97 | 342 | 84 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.93 | 15.6% | 9.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.15 | 16.3% | 0.5% | 152 | +0.22 | 3.88 | 244 | 83 |
| Brad Hand L 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.96 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% | .326 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 25.0% | 241 | -1.15 | 0.84 | 577 | 82 |
| Michael Heesch L 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.87 | 14.0% | 10.3% | 1.2% | .284 | 4.59 | 11.1% | 2.8% | 44 | +0.72 | 3.87 | 109 | 81 |
| Austin Hamilton L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.37 | 14.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | .323 | 4.06 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 68 | -0.31 | 4.06 | 135 | 81 |
| Steve Ascher L 2024 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.07 | 13.3% | 9.5% | 1.6% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 151 | 80 |
| Shane McCain L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 18.3% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .261 | 4.93 | 14.2% | 10.7% | 51 | +0.70 | 4.19 | 201 | 80 |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.74 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .338 | 4.62 | 12.7% | 2.7% | 41 | -0.12 | 4.27 | 156 | 80 |
| Haylen Green L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.85 | 16.9% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .291 | 4.08 | 18.6% | 7.8% | 49 | +0.23 | 3.85 | 104 | 80 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.01 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.55 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.54 | 1.71 | 206 | 80 |
| Stephen Peterson L 2029 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.04 | 17.3% | 6.3% | 55 | -1.75 | 3.04 | 120 | 80 |
| Colton Turner L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.76 | 13.4% | 10.2% | 0.9% | .335 | 3.15 | 22.0% | 13.6% | 166 | -0.61 | 2.83 | 325 | 79 |
| Matt Tracy L 2028 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 14.4% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .306 | 4.04 | 14.7% | 5.5% | 208 | +0.03 | 3.24 | 298 | 78 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 78 |
| Hayden Howard L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.82 | 17.9% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .295 | 3.77 | 17.5% | 9.1% | 61 | -0.05 | 3.77 | 200 | 78 |
| Braulio Lara L 2028 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 78 |
| Joel Bender L 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.54 | 15.8% | 9.2% | 1.1% | .309 | 3.47 | 19.2% | 13.4% | 45 | -0.07 | 3.30 | 117 | 78 |
| Diego Barrera L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 17.9% | 9.2% | 1.7% | .310 | 4.40 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 70 | +0.74 | 3.62 | 137 | 78 |
| Patrick McCoy L 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 1.5% | .336 | 4.17 | 15.4% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.45 | 3.72 | 113 | 78 |
| Jacob Evans L 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.60 | 15.3% | 8.8% | 1.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 179 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 67 | 17.5% | 9.1% | 1.03 | 4.62 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |