Jagger Haynes
P
San Antonio Missions
Age 23
LHP
6'3" / 170 lbs
AA
peak 0.6 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION89 act + 68 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129138vR 148
ERA5.74
FIP5.74
K%18.6%
BB%16.2%
K-BB%2.4%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 156 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 11 | 11 | 25 | 109 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 100% | 2.3 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 3.91 | 4.14 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 11 | 11 | 25 | 109 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 100% | 2.3 | 26.6% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 1.8% | 3.91 | 3.26 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 23 | 22 | 111 | 475 | 114 | 66 | 11 | 96% | 4.8 | 18.5% | 16.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.64 | 5.47 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 23 | 22 | 111 | 475 | 114 | 66 | 11 | 96% | 4.8 | 24.0% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 2.3% | 4.64 | 4.12 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 26 | 25 | 103 | 443 | 101 | 62 | 12 | 96% | 4.0 | 18.5% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.11 | 5.47 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 26 | 25 | 103 | 443 | 101 | 62 | 12 | 96% | 4.0 | 22.8% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 4.11 | 4.46 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 17 | 17 | 89 | 379 | 77 | 40 | 9 | 100% | 5.2 | 16.5% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.57 | 4.74 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SD | 13 | 13 | 68 | 285 | 53 | 46 | 9 | 100% | 5.2 | 18.6% | 16.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.74 | 5.74 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SD | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 16.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.74 | 5.74 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | SD | — | — | 156 | 664 | 130 | 86 | 18 | — | — | 19.6% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 5.07 | 5.18 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | SD | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 18.6% | 16.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.74 | 5.36 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SD | 24 | 24 | 134 | 566 | 112 | 80 | 18 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.8% | 14.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 5.45 | 5.35 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SD | 23 | 23 | 136 | 573 | 118 | 74 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 5.21 | 5.11 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | SD | 23 | 23 | 136 | 573 | 120 | 72 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 5.09 | 5.04 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | SD | 22 | 22 | 134 | 565 | 118 | 71 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.9% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 5.06 | 5.06 | +0.5 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SD | 11 | 11 | 59 | 249 | 49 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 19.8% | 14.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 5.45 | 5.35 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SD | 16 | 16 | 91 | 384 | 79 | 49 | 12 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 5.21 | 5.11 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | SD | 18 | 18 | 108 | 456 | 95 | 57 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 5.09 | 5.04 | +0.5 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | SD | 19 | 19 | 114 | 481 | 101 | 60 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.9% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 5.06 | 5.06 | +0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 63 | 63 | 373 | 1575 | 325 | 203 | 50 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.6% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 5.17 | 4.73 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 109 | 27 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.6% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 5.17 | 4.73 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 77 | 75 | 328 | 1406 | 253 | 202 | 45 | 97% | 4.3 | 18.0% | 14.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.39 | 5.17 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 46 | 200 | 858 | 155 | 123 | 28 | 97% | 4.3 | 18.0% | 14.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.39 | 5.17 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jagger Haynes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.74 | 18.6% | 16.2% | 3.2% | — | 5.17 | 20.4% | 7.2% | 405 | -0.57 | — | — | — |
| Brooks Gosswein L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.01 | 14.7% | 14.8% | 2.3% | .328 | 5.58 | 15.2% | -2.7% | 66 | +0.57 | 5.01 | 165 | 83 |
| Doug Nikhazy L 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.61 | 21.9% | 16.9% | 4.0% | .304 | 4.79 | 20.5% | 8.0% | 253 | -0.82 | 4.20 | 458 | 81 |
| Connor O'Halloran L 2024 · 5.02 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.02 | 17.2% | 12.3% | 3.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.02 | 104 | 79 |
| John Doxakis L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.16 | 18.2% | 11.9% | 3.8% | .252 | 4.74 | 17.9% | 3.8% | 113 | -0.42 | 3.21 | 332 | 79 |
| Brandon Knarr L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.83 | 22.6% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .299 | 4.21 | 19.9% | 10.8% | 158 | -0.62 | 4.15 | 256 | 78 |
| Xavier Rivas L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.87 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 3.0% | .229 | 5.34 | 28.7% | 15.4% | 64 | +0.47 | 4.87 | 150 | 78 |
| Justin Sinibaldi L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.79 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 3.0% | .286 | 6.01 | 14.0% | 3.4% | 72 | +1.22 | 4.79 | 163 | 77 |
| Lucas Gordon L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.60 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .269 | 5.90 | 20.7% | 8.4% | 87 | +1.30 | 4.60 | 308 | 76 |
| Eddie Campbell L 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.08 | 13.5% | 10.7% | 3.2% | .315 | 6.37 | 13.7% | -3.8% | 140 | +1.29 | 5.08 | 250 | 75 |
| Samy Natera Jr. L 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.17 | 22.9% | 13.3% | 4.2% | .294 | 3.68 | 29.8% | 14.8% | 108 | -1.49 | 1.94 | 191 | 75 |
| Brett Adcock L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.22 | 17.4% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 301 | 74 |
| Trey Ball L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.15 | 14.7% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .367 | 4.75 | 14.4% | 5.3% | 65 | -0.40 | 4.75 | 437 | 74 |
| Rylan Kaufman L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.79 | 18.5% | 13.4% | 2.8% | .319 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 0.1% | 17 | -0.78 | 4.01 | 212 | 73 |
| Luis De La Torre L 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.47 | 22.7% | 20.1% | 3.2% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 173 | 73 |
| Sam Hentges L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 17.4% | 12.0% | 3.1% | .354 | 3.31 | 25.2% | 16.4% | 131 | -1.54 | 2.22 | 594 | 73 |
| Luis González L 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.70 | 12.4% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .386 | 3.21 | 24.1% | 14.7% | 164 | -1.49 | 3.05 | 416 | 72 |
| Mason Montgomery L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .272 | 4.18 | 27.4% | 16.8% | 171 | -0.67 | 2.91 | 419 | 72 |
| Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.67 | 19.6% | 14.6% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.89 | 20.3% | 3.7% | 33 | -0.78 | 2.81 | 146 | 72 |
| Luis Lugo L 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.42 | 12.8% | 10.3% | 3.8% | .288 | 4.42 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 131 | -1.00 | 4.16 | 622 | 72 |
| Tommy Henry L 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.80 | 22.2% | 11.8% | 3.8% | .327 | 4.46 | 18.9% | 8.8% | 417 | -0.34 | 4.33 | 629 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 134 | 20.2% | 13.6% | 1.23 | 5.31 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |