Elier Morillo
P
Jupiter Hammerheads
Age 20
LHP
5'11" / 160 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98108vR 117
ERA4.30
FIP4.30
K%23.7%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 9 | 6 | 27 | 128 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 67% | 3.0 | 18.1% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 7.09 | 3.95 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 9 | 6 | 27 | 128 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 67% | 3.0 | 26.6% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 1.6% | 7.09 | 2.99 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Miami | 11 | 8 | 31 | 132 | 54 | 16 | 0 | 73% | 2.8 | 27.8% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 0.0% | 3.23 | 2.67 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Miami | 11 | 8 | 31 | 132 | 54 | 16 | 0 | 73% | 2.8 | 40.9% | 12.1% | 28.8% | 0.0% | 3.23 | 1.14 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 14 | 1 | 33 | 145 | 64 | 23 | 2 | 7% | 2.3 | 32.7% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 3.70 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIA | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.30 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 51 | 221 | 82 | 30 | 4 | — | — | 37.1% | 13.8% | 23.4% | 1.9% | 4.01 | 3.91 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.23 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.23 | 4.18 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.23 | 3.80 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.23 | 3.80 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 34 | 15 | 90 | 405 | 107 | 63 | 4 | 44% | 2.6 | 26.5% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 1.1% | 4.60 | 3.44 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 76 | 33 | 200 | 900 | 238 | 141 | 10 | 44% | 2.6 | 26.5% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 1.1% | 4.60 | 3.44 | +4.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Elier Morillo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.30 | 23.7% | 9.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.18 | 24.1% | 14.8% | 20 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Hearn L 2027 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.88 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .347 | 3.97 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.09 | 3.66 | 572 | 85 |
| Carlos Peña L 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.17 | 23.8% | 10.5% | 1.4% | .301 | 3.85 | 19.1% | 10.2% | 145 | +0.68 | 3.17 | 577 | 82 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 81 |
| Denny Roman L 2025 · 3.24 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.24 | 25.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .348 | 5.24 | 15.7% | -1.0% | 21 | +2.00 | 3.24 | 109 | 80 |
| Sam Long L 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.26 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 1.2% | .371 | 4.18 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 97 | +0.92 | 3.08 | 446 | 79 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 78 |
| Jacob Lopez L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.66 | 24.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .302 | 3.58 | 30.4% | 21.6% | 55 | -0.08 | 3.50 | 478 | 78 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.28 | 20.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .271 | 5.86 | 13.6% | -3.1% | 71 | +1.58 | 4.28 | 128 | 76 |
| Francisco Villegas L 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.55 | 17.0% | 8.1% | 3.4% | .256 | 5.57 | 17.9% | 3.1% | 59 | +1.02 | 4.55 | 131 | 75 |
| Josh Simpson L 2029 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.43 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .290 | 3.28 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.15 | 3.07 | 247 | 75 |
| Harry Gustin L 2028 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 74 |
| Oscar Rayo L 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.46 | 19.9% | 6.1% | 2.3% | .316 | 3.25 | 16.5% | 9.1% | 244 | -0.21 | 2.50 | 362 | 74 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 73 |
| Benony Robles L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .262 | 5.00 | 19.2% | 4.5% | 135 | +1.42 | 3.58 | 271 | 73 |
| Steven Pérez L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.56 | 18.3% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .305 | 5.01 | 20.2% | 5.6% | 116 | +0.45 | 3.80 | 329 | 73 |
| Keyshawn Askew L 2028 · 3.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.37 | 25.6% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .274 | 3.78 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 196 | +0.41 | 3.37 | 262 | 73 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 72 |
| Sean Mellen L 2029 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 72 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2029 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.57 | 16.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% | .280 | 3.65 | 15.0% | 7.2% | 63 | +0.08 | 2.91 | 141 | 72 |
| Rafael Marcano L 2025 · 3.59 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.59 | 16.2% | 8.7% | 1.4% | .304 | 4.43 | 19.7% | 7.0% | 117 | +0.84 | 3.38 | 291 | 72 |