Braian Salazar
P
Fort Wayne TinCaps
Age 21
LHP
6'2" / 165 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121130vR 139
ERA5.35
FIP5.35
K%22.3%
BB%18.3%
K-BB%4.0%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 85 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres | 7 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 2.1 | 13.8% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.30 | 6.01 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres | 7 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 2.1 | 20.3% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 4.30 | 4.26 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Padres | 3 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 2.7 | 43.3% | 6.7% | 36.7% | 3.3% | 3.38 | 2.11 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Padres | 3 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 2.7 | 43.3% | 6.7% | 36.7% | 3.3% | 3.38 | 2.23 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 4 | 37 | 176 | 55 | 29 | 2 | 20% | 1.9 | 22.0% | 20.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 5.11 | 4.80 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 4 | 37 | 176 | 55 | 29 | 2 | 20% | 1.9 | 31.2% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 1.1% | 5.11 | 3.18 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 2 | 56 | 273 | 80 | 45 | 0 | 6% | 1.6 | 21.9% | 18.4% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 5.50 | 3.58 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 2 | 56 | 273 | 80 | 45 | 0 | 6% | 1.6 | 29.3% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 5.50 | 2.65 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 30 | 0 | 43 | 189 | 51 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.8% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 5.02 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | SD | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 40 | 33 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 18.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 5.35 | 5.35 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | 18.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 5.35 | 5.35 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | SD | — | — | 85 | 366 | 91 | 55 | 10 | — | — | 24.7% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 5.18 | 5.10 | -0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 21 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.3% | 18.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 5.35 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | SD | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 43 | 29 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 15.7% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 5.05 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | SD | 44 | 0 | 46 | 193 | 47 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.78 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | SD | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | SD | 45 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 50 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 2.6% | 4.41 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | SD | 45 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 50 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 2.6% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | SD | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 50 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | SD | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 15.7% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 5.05 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | SD | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.78 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | SD | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | SD | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 44 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 2.6% | 4.41 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | SD | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 46 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 2.6% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | SD | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 46 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 212 | 0 | 223 | 942 | 232 | 121 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 2.6% | 4.53 | 4.06 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 208 | 108 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 2.6% | 4.53 | 4.06 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 94 | 13 | 158 | 727 | 159 | 119 | 13 | 14% | 1.7 | 21.9% | 16.4% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 5.06 | 4.35 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 119 | 16 | 200 | 918 | 201 | 151 | 17 | 14% | 1.7 | 21.9% | 16.4% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 5.06 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Braian Salazar (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.35 | 22.3% | 18.3% | 2.6% | — | 4.66 | 24.0% | 9.9% | 137 | -0.69 | — | — | — |
| Jeff Belge L 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.03 | 24.0% | 18.8% | 2.9% | .343 | 3.76 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 131 | -1.27 | 3.27 | 175 | 86 |
| Brendan Nail L 2028 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.74 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 2.9% | .305 | 3.95 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 87 | -0.79 | 3.67 | 165 | 85 |
| Carlos Rey L 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 22.0% | 1.3% | .297 | 3.92 | 25.9% | 5.0% | 84 | -0.48 | 3.91 | 141 | 84 |
| Seth Clark L 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.30 | 22.5% | 15.0% | 2.2% | .287 | 5.13 | 18.4% | 0.6% | 82 | +0.83 | 4.30 | 128 | 84 |
| Joseph Menefee L 2028 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.45 | 21.9% | 18.5% | 1.6% | .361 | 4.59 | 24.8% | 6.0% | 99 | +0.14 | 3.16 | 146 | 84 |
| CD Pelham L 2025 · 4.77 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.77 | 18.8% | 18.7% | 1.6% | .286 | 3.97 | 20.4% | 7.8% | 109 | -0.80 | 3.29 | 265 | 82 |
| Peter Bonilla L 2026 · 5.63 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.63 | 25.3% | 23.9% | 3.0% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 125 | 82 |
| Julian Bosnic L 2028 · 5.78 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.78 | 22.5% | 21.0% | 3.5% | .206 | 4.70 | 19.1% | -0.1% | 90 | -1.08 | 4.28 | 136 | 82 |
| Brayan Restituyo L 2026 · 5.55 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.55 | 17.4% | 17.3% | 3.1% | .312 | 4.61 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 149 | -0.94 | 3.66 | 236 | 82 |
| Andrew Walling L 2028 · 4.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.20 | 23.7% | 14.8% | 2.2% | .272 | 3.95 | 22.2% | 8.5% | 105 | -0.25 | 3.12 | 161 | 81 |
| Jorger Petri L 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.93 | 19.1% | 15.2% | 2.8% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 147 | 81 |
| Jonathan Hennigan L 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.31 | 22.0% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .341 | 3.53 | 17.5% | 5.8% | 119 | -0.78 | 3.41 | 265 | 81 |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2029 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 18.9% | 17.6% | 2.4% | .315 | 4.92 | 19.3% | 7.1% | 107 | -0.13 | 4.28 | 127 | 81 |
| Triston Polley L 2029 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 22.3% | 20.0% | 2.4% | .361 | 4.78 | 18.5% | 5.2% | 136 | -0.27 | 4.19 | 151 | 80 |
| Adrian Almeida L 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.65 | 18.6% | 15.3% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.97 | 18.4% | -4.1% | 119 | -0.68 | 4.24 | 188 | 80 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2029 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.64 | 19.3% | 15.7% | 2.2% | .329 | 5.86 | 17.6% | 2.4% | 49 | +1.22 | 4.64 | 107 | 80 |
| Geury Rodriguez L 2026 · 6.04 FIP | 21 | SU | 6.04 | 22.0% | 20.7% | 4.0% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 108 | 80 |
| Yoldin De La Paz L 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.41 | 17.8% | 15.8% | 1.5% | .339 | 4.19 | 17.7% | 10.5% | 44 | -0.22 | 3.44 | 124 | 80 |
| Gil Luna L 2029 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.36 | 22.5% | 24.5% | 1.9% | .303 | 5.05 | 19.7% | -6.0% | 73 | -0.31 | 4.57 | 113 | 80 |
| Nicolo Pinazzi L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.52 | 25.7% | 21.3% | 1.6% | .389 | 5.37 | 22.7% | 0.2% | 76 | +0.85 | 2.70 | 122 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 46 | 24.2% | 13.8% | 1.00 | 4.68 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Jake Diekman ('24) | 9 | 51 | 28.6% | 13.8% | 0.91 | 4.07 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |