Angel Hernandez
P
South Bend Cubs
Age 26
LHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105114vR 123
ERA4.61
FIP4.61
K%22.4%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%10.9%
ROS IP46
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 15 | 0 | 22 | 108 | 26 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.4% | 12.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 3.27 | 3.33 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 15 | 0 | 22 | 108 | 26 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.1% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 0.0% | 3.27 | 2.24 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 21 | 0 | 37 | 174 | 55 | 31 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 23.4% | 21.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.79 | 5.64 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 21 | 0 | 37 | 174 | 55 | 31 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 31.6% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.3% | 5.79 | 4.04 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 32 | 0 | 54 | 246 | 79 | 45 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 23.8% | 21.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 4.14 | 4.14 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 32 | 0 | 54 | 246 | 79 | 45 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 32.1% | 18.3% | 13.8% | 0.4% | 4.14 | 2.92 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 75 | 45 | 3 | 0% | 2.5 | 19.2% | 18.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.80 | 4.64 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 75 | 45 | 3 | 0% | 2.5 | 25.8% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 1.0% | 3.80 | 3.45 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 6 | 0 | 9 | 47 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.5% | 19.1% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 5.79 | 3.37 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 6 | 0 | 9 | 47 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.5% | 19.1% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 5.79 | 3.42 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 43 | 0 | 46 | 193 | 43 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.61 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 43 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.60 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.60 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 16 | 0 | 16 | 69 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.60 | 4.24 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 97 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.60 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 102 | 0 | 192 | 866 | 185 | 165 | 12 | 0% | 1.9 | 21.3% | 19.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 4.32 | 4.47 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 106 | 0 | 200 | 904 | 193 | 172 | 12 | 0% | 1.9 | 21.3% | 19.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 4.32 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Angel Hernandez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.62 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 45 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 90 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .272 | 4.99 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.11 | 3.88 | 256 | 86 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 86 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 84 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 4.1% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.66 | 3.46 | 145 | 84 |
| James Reeves L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.3% | .226 | 5.24 | 27.0% | 10.8% | 51 | +1.45 | 2.02 | 280 | 83 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 83 |
| Sean Mellen L 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 82 |
| Andrew Magno L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.87 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.9% | .341 | 3.26 | 22.6% | 9.7% | 101 | -1.61 | 3.21 | 309 | 82 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 82 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 82 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 82 |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .284 | 3.48 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.82 | 2.92 | 226 | 81 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 81 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.43 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.17 | 3.67 | 165 | 81 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .264 | 5.40 | 12.0% | 0.6% | 30 | +1.78 | 3.12 | 142 | 81 |
| Rob Zastryzny L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.44 | 18.4% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | 4.82 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 142 | +0.38 | 3.26 | 634 | 80 |
| Triston Polley L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 17.8% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.49 | 17.4% | -0.3% | 22 | +0.30 | 4.19 | 151 | 80 |
| Tyler Holton L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .288 | 3.75 | 21.7% | 16.8% | 258 | -0.61 | 3.02 | 409 | 80 |
| Jeff Belge L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 45 | 22.5% | 11.5% | 1.11 | 4.61 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |