Angel Hernandez
P
South Bend Cubs
+0.3
WAR
Age 26
LHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.5%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%10.9%
IP65
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 15 | 0 | 22 | 108 | 26 | 11 | 0 | 16.4% | 12.7% | 0.0% | 3.27 | 3.33 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 21 | 0 | 37 | 174 | 55 | 31 | 4 | 23.4% | 21.0% | 3.1% | 5.79 | 5.50 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 32 | 0 | 54 | 246 | 79 | 45 | 1 | 23.8% | 21.6% | 0.6% | 4.14 | 4.13 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 28 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 75 | 45 | 3 | 19.2% | 18.0% | 1.4% | 3.80 | 4.53 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 6 | 0 | 9 | 47 | 12 | 9 | 0 | — | — | — | 5.79 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 65 | 275 | 62 | 32 | 8 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.60 | 4.60 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 65 | 273 | 62 | 31 | 8 | 22.6% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.58 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 64 | 269 | 61 | 30 | 8 | 22.6% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.59 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 62 | 263 | 59 | 29 | 8 | 22.5% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.60 | 4.62 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 57 | 29 | 8 | 22.3% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 58 | — | 58 | 246 | 54 | 28 | 8 | 22.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.71 | 4.75 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 51 | 27 | 7 | 21.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.84 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 48 | 26 | 7 | 21.5% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 4.88 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 45 | 26 | 7 | 21.1% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 4.98 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 48 | — | 48 | 202 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 5.09 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 5.30 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 102 | 0 | 192 | 866 | 185 | 165 | 11 | 21.3% | 19.0% | 1.3% | 4.32 | 4.40 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 106 | 0 | 200 | 904 | 193 | 172 | 11 | 21.3% | 19.0% | 1.3% | 4.32 | 4.40 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Angel Hernandez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.60 | 22.6% | 11.3% | 190 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .309 | 4.53 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.62 | 3.91 | 106 | 93 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.62 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.93 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.31 | 1.66 | 186 | 88 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.82 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.38 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.56 | 3.82 | 277 | 88 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 88 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.26 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% | .272 | 5.26 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.00 | 3.88 | 256 | 87 |
| Andrew Magno L 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .341 | 3.23 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 66 | -1.27 | 3.23 | 275 | 86 |
| James Paxton L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.31 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .288 | 2.87 | 27.7% | 21.7% | 468 | -1.44 | 2.40 | 924 | 85 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 141 | 85 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.61 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.36 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.36 | 153 | 85 |
| Sean Mellen L 2024 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.01 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 101 | 84 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.59 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .264 | 5.75 | 12.0% | 0.6% | 30 | +2.16 | 3.29 | 142 | 83 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.09 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.3% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 83 |
| Tom Windle L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.54 | 19.0% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.35 | 17.2% | 1.8% | 74 | -0.19 | 3.66 | 330 | 83 |
| James Reeves L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.2% | .226 | 5.06 | 27.0% | 10.8% | 51 | +1.32 | 2.02 | 280 | 83 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .257 | 4.72 | 17.1% | 6.7% | 127 | +0.81 | 2.70 | 655 | 82 |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.28 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .284 | 3.54 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.74 | 3.00 | 226 | 82 |
| Carson Skipper L 2025 · 3.79 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.79 | 19.9% | 9.1% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 176 | 82 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2029 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 82 |
| Jake Diekman L 2028 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.40 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | .310 | 3.25 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 106 | -0.15 | 2.32 | 455 | 82 |
| Ben Holmes L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.05 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .264 | 5.57 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 61 | +1.52 | 3.09 | 451 | 82 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.