Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 57 | 245 | 76 | 46 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.5% | 21.0% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.74 | 5.78 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 57 | 245 | 76 | 46 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 31.0% | 18.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | 4.74 | 3.99 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 24 | 0 | 39 | 173 | 40 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 17.8% | 18.6% | -0.8% | 0.6% | 3.03 | 4.28 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 24 | 0 | 39 | 173 | 40 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 23.1% | 16.2% | 6.9% | 0.6% | 3.03 | 3.54 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 42 | 1 | 51 | 223 | 58 | 38 | 4 | 2% | 1.2 | 20.0% | 19.6% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 3.51 | 5.01 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 42 | 1 | 51 | 223 | 58 | 38 | 4 | 2% | 1.2 | 26.0% | 17.0% | 9.0% | 1.8% | 3.51 | 4.07 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 57 | 59 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 20.1% | -0.8% | 2.7% | 5.89 | 5.89 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 58 | 56 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 19.1% | 0.6% | 2.8% | 5.76 | 5.77 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 56 | 52 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 18.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.71 | 5.75 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 21 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 19.1% | 0.6% | 2.8% | 5.76 | 5.77 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 33 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 18.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.71 | 5.75 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 62 | 0 | 65 | 273 | 54 | 51 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 18.8% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.73 | 5.38 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 167 | 158 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 18.8% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.73 | 5.38 | +0.1 | ||
| Career | — | 102 | 1 | 147 | 641 | 131 | 127 | 14 | 1% | 1.4 | 20.4% | 19.9% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 3.86 | 5.11 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 139 | 1 | 200 | 872 | 178 | 173 | 19 | 1% | 1.4 | 20.4% | 19.9% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 3.86 | 5.11 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Julian Bosnic (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.89 | 19.4% | 20.1% | 2.7% | — | 5.76 | 19.8% | 1.0% | 136 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.34 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.09 | 3.46 | 154 | 91 |
| Nick Lee L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.0% | 19.7% | 1.4% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 102 | 85 |
| Brian Marconi L 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.96 | 20.3% | 18.2% | 2.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 101 | 84 |
| Dale Stanavich L 2026 · 5.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.74 | 21.8% | 18.2% | 4.0% | .254 | 5.12 | 24.8% | 13.6% | 23 | -0.62 | 3.14 | 167 | 83 |
| C.J. Widger L 2026 · 6.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.20 | 18.5% | 18.8% | 4.1% | .278 | 5.25 | 17.5% | -1.3% | 22 | -0.95 | 3.71 | 105 | 82 |
| Chandler Jozwiak L 2025 · 5.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.23 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 2.9% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 161 | 80 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 80 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.2% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.64 | 107 | 79 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2026 · 5.63 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.63 | 22.7% | 20.5% | 3.4% | .293 | 8.93 | 19.2% | 3.7% | 31 | +3.30 | 3.86 | 189 | 79 |
| Trey Jeans L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 79 |
| Davis Schwab L 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 20.3% | 18.7% | 3.8% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 114 | 78 |
| John Kilichowski L 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 115 | 78 |
| Randy Labaut L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.91 | 17.1% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .244 | 5.21 | 18.7% | 4.4% | 98 | +0.30 | 1.91 | 302 | 76 |
| Gil Luna L 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.82 | 20.6% | 28.0% | 1.7% | .237 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 113 | 76 |
| Yoan Aybar L 2025 · 5.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.64 | 20.9% | 19.7% | 3.3% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 166 | 76 |
| Will Lamb L 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 75 |
| Eric Torres L 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.68 | 21.6% | 19.9% | 3.4% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 155 | 74 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.07 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 3.5% | .215 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 152 | 74 |
| Cody Beckman L 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.42 | 19.3% | 14.9% | 3.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 189 | 73 |
| Ben Harris L 2025 · 5.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.17 | 21.6% | 23.6% | 1.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.02 | 183 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 19.7% | 19.3% | 1.09 | 5.79 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |