Triston Polley — OGILVIE

Triston Polley P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 29 LHP 6'0" / 190 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110118vR 126

ERA4.91

FIP4.91

K%19.9%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%7.8%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	2	0	2	10	2	1	0	0%	1.2	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	0.0%	7.71	2.68	—
2019	22	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	2	0	2	10	2	1	0	0%	1.2	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	0.0%	7.71	2.67	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	2	17	78	26	14	1	18%	1.5	22.3%	20.0%	2.3%	2.1%	7.02	4.88	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	2	17	78	26	14	1	18%	1.5	33.3%	17.9%	15.4%	1.3%	7.02	3.28	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	62	273	67	38	8	0%	1.5	19.4%	15.5%	3.9%	3.6%	5.08	5.37	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	62	273	67	38	8	0%	1.5	24.5%	13.9%	10.6%	2.9%	5.08	4.45	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	2	61	271	57	23	6	5%	1.5	17.8%	8.9%	9.0%	2.6%	5.49	4.15	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	2	61	271	57	23	6	5%	1.5	17.8%	8.9%	9.0%	2.6%	5.49	4.15	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	2	61	271	57	23	6	5%	1.5	21.0%	8.5%	12.5%	2.2%	5.49	3.64	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	28	126	23	22	2	0%	1.2	17.4%	17.7%	-0.3%	1.2%	3.54	4.53	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	28	126	23	22	2	0%	1.2	17.4%	17.7%	-0.3%	1.2%	3.54	4.53	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	28	126	23	22	2	0%	1.2	18.3%	17.5%	0.8%	1.6%	3.54	4.74	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	TEX	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	19.9%	12.1%	7.8%	2.9%	4.91	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	TEX	19	0	20	84	17	10	3	0%	1.1	19.9%	12.1%	7.8%	3.1%	4.96	5.03	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	TEX	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	19.9%	12.1%	7.8%	3.1%	4.96	5.03	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	5	3	1	0%	1.0	19.9%	12.1%	7.8%	3.1%	4.96	4.65	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	96	32	0%	1.1	19.9%	12.1%	7.8%	3.1%	4.96	4.65	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		118	4	170	758	143	105	20	3%	1.4	18.8%	13.9%	4.9%	2.6%	5.20	4.71	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	5	200	894	168	124	23	3%	1.4	18.8%	13.9%	4.9%	2.6%	5.20	4.71	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Triston Polley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.91	19.9%	12.1%	2.9%	—	5.03	19.9%	7.8%	20	+0.12	—	—	—
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	84
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	82
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	79
Dan Runzler L 2015 · 3.78 FIP	30	SU	3.78	19.0%	13.1%	1.2%	.383	4.07	16.5%	4.0%	63	+0.29	3.78	127	79
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	77
Buddy Boshers L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	29	SU	4.56	18.9%	8.0%	3.7%	.300	3.47	24.1%	15.6%	112	-1.09	2.80	223	75
Aaron Brown L 2021 · 4.13 FIP	29	SU	4.13	17.4%	12.8%	1.6%	.275	5.38	21.3%	8.8%	66	+1.25	4.04	269	74
Bryan Harper L 2018 · 4.63 FIP	28	SU	4.63	14.9%	13.9%	1.9%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	133	73
Ross Detwiler L 2015 · 5.50 FIP	29	SW	5.50	14.2%	12.2%	3.8%	.356	4.80	14.1%	5.9%	242	-0.70	3.49	512	72
Braulio Lara L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	28	SU	5.80	19.8%	17.8%	3.9%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	118	70
Sammy Solís L 2018 · 4.39 FIP	29	SU	4.39	24.9%	9.6%	4.0%	.330	4.05	26.2%	17.3%	23	-0.34	2.51	190	70
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	70
Jake McGee L 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	18.5%	7.3%	3.9%	.329	3.93	22.1%	15.6%	150	-0.67	1.39	350	70
Adam Loewen L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	31	SU	3.84	25.1%	15.9%	1.6%	.287	3.63	23.2%	7.3%	98	-0.21	2.96	176	70
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	70
Caleb Thielbar L 2015 · 4.15 FIP	28	SU	4.15	11.8%	10.8%	1.2%	.253	2.68	19.0%	16.6%	57	-1.47	2.22	505	69
Kevin Siegrist L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	25.0%	11.6%	2.7%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	2.72	176	68
Wandy Peralta L 2020 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	21.9%	9.6%	2.8%	.253	3.70	21.1%	11.3%	161	-0.33	2.69	725	68
Sam Freeman L 2016 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	16.3%	11.8%	1.8%	.345	4.02	22.1%	10.5%	169	-0.20	3.03	299	68
Brian Duensing L 2015 · 4.47 FIP	32	SU	4.47	11.5%	8.1%	2.4%	.252	3.76	20.2%	11.8%	137	-0.71	2.57	198	68