Felix Polanco P DSL Guardians Blue
Age 26 LHP 6'2" / 190 lbs ROK
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99108vR 117
ERA4.31
FIP4.31
K%23.4%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.2%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.05 (16 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201919ROKDSL Indians15021100241300%1.416.3%16.2%0.1%0.0%5.573.78
201919ROKDSL Indians15021100241300%1.424.0%13.0%11.0%0.0%5.572.67
202121ROKDSL Indians Red182331443415411%1.816.1%13.0%3.0%3.8%4.095.46
202121ROKDSL Indians Red182331443415411%1.823.6%10.4%13.2%2.8%4.093.98
202222ROKDSL CLE Red16124113311826%1.518.7%19.9%-1.3%1.8%5.255.04
202222ROKDSL CLE Red16124113311826%1.527.4%15.9%11.5%1.8%5.253.85
202323ROKDSL Guardians Blue1102710529520%2.518.8%6.0%12.8%2.5%2.333.64
202323ROKDSL Guardians Blue1102710529520%2.527.6%4.8%22.9%1.9%2.332.47
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBPIT150166816620%1.123.4%9.2%14.2%3.0%4.314.31+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBPIT190208420830%1.123.3%9.2%14.1%3.0%4.344.35+0.0
202727MLBPIT707307310%1.023.3%9.2%14.1%3.0%4.344.35+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career707317310%1.023.3%9.2%14.1%3.0%4.343.97+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084419383280%1.123.3%9.2%14.1%3.0%4.343.97+3.3
Career6031054628064105%1.817.4%13.8%3.6%2.2%4.204.58+1.0
/ 200 IP1146200880153121195%1.817.4%13.8%3.6%2.2%4.204.58+1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Felix Polanco (OGILVIE) 4.31 23.4%9.2%3.0% 4.35 23.3%14.1%20 +0.04
Greg Nappo L 2026 · 3.40 FIP 26 SU 3.40 22.7%7.5%2.3%.267 5.45 16.5%5.9%79 +2.05 3.40 144 81
Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP 26 SU 3.88 21.7%9.5%2.6%.272 4.99 13.4%3.4%67 +1.11 3.88 256 81
Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP 26 SU 4.04 20.8%11.0%2.4%.309 4.49 12.2%-0.4%48 +0.45 4.04 106 81
Robbie Ross Jr. L 2026 · 3.72 FIP 26 SU 3.72 20.5%6.9%2.7%.287 3.19 22.3%9.6%66 -0.53 2.79 159 80
Giovanni Soto L 2026 · 3.96 FIP 26 SU 3.96 25.6%10.5%3.1%.317 3.26 128 79
Sean Mellen L 2024 · 3.97 FIP 24 SU 3.97 21.3%10.4%2.5%.285 3.97 101 78
Jeff Malm L 2025 · 3.12 FIP 25 SU 3.12 22.0%7.2%1.8%.354 3.12 101 78
Joey Marciano L 2026 · 3.78 FIP 26 SU 3.78 24.9%9.2%3.0%.301 4.73 20.6%4.5%102 +0.95 3.78 330 78
James Reeves L 2026 · 3.79 FIP 26 SU 3.79 22.4%10.3%2.3%.226 5.24 27.0%10.8%51 +1.45 2.02 280 78
Tyler Holton L 2026 · 4.36 FIP 26 SU 4.36 20.7%9.8%3.2%.288 3.75 21.7%16.8%258 -0.61 3.02 409 78
Elvis Araujo L 2025 · 4.17 FIP 25 SU 4.17 21.0%9.8%2.9%.308 5.33 22.9%11.1%38 +1.16 2.35 120 78
Adam Liberatore L 2028 · 3.84 FIP 28 SU 3.84 21.1%7.3%2.9%.267 3.21 23.3%15.2%73 -0.63 2.44 124 78
Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP 25 SU 4.26 19.9%10.3%2.8%.306 2.85 141 77
Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP 26 SU 4.86 19.8%10.9%3.7%.305 4.86 134 77
Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.12 FIP 26 SU 5.12 21.0%12.3%4.1%.234 3.46 20.5%4.0%57 -1.66 3.46 145 77
Kit Scheetz L 2025 · 4.45 FIP 25 SU 4.45 22.9%8.7%4.0%.340 5.20 16.2%2.6%55 +0.75 2.34 195 77
Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP 26 SU 3.61 25.8%12.9%1.9%.305 3.97 25.4%15.7%128 +0.36 1.79 186 77
Mason Melotakis L 2026 · 3.62 FIP 26 SU 3.62 21.9%10.9%1.8%.264 5.40 12.0%0.6%30 +1.78 3.12 142 77
R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 4.72 FIP 26 SU 4.72 19.1%7.1%4.2%.259 3.85 16.6%6.3%30 -0.87 1.71 206 77
Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.26 FIP 26 SU 4.26 22.6%12.5%2.7%.311 4.43 19.5%8.1%53 +0.17 3.67 165 77