Armando Vasquez — OGILVIE

Armando Vasquez P Hillsboro Hops

Age 25 LHP 5'11" / 160 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117126vR 134

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%22.0%

BB%15.6%

K-BB%6.4%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	11	9	37	162	35	19	1	82%	3.4	14.7%	14.7%	0.0%	0.9%	3.65	4.22	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Black	11	9	37	162	35	19	1	82%	3.4	21.6%	11.7%	9.9%	0.6%	3.65	3.10	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	1	67	306	90	44	8	3%	1.9	21.5%	18.0%	3.5%	2.9%	4.54	5.15	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	1	67	306	90	44	8	3%	1.9	21.5%	18.0%	3.5%	2.9%	4.54	5.15	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	1	67	306	90	44	8	3%	1.9	29.4%	14.4%	15.0%	2.6%	4.54	3.93	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	34	0	36	159	43	25	5	0%	1.1	20.8%	18.1%	2.7%	4.5%	6.44	6.10	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	34	0	36	159	43	25	5	0%	1.1	20.8%	18.1%	2.7%	4.5%	6.44	6.10	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	34	0	36	159	43	25	5	0%	1.1	27.0%	15.7%	11.3%	3.1%	6.44	4.59	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	ARI	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	22.0%	15.6%	6.4%	3.1%	5.29	5.29	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ARI	31	0	33	138	31	21	4	0%	1.1	22.4%	14.9%	7.5%	3.1%	5.18	5.17	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	ARI	13	0	14	59	13	9	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	14.9%	7.5%	3.1%	5.18	5.17	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	59	13	9	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	14.9%	7.5%	3.1%	5.18	4.79	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	185	128	28	0%	1.1	22.4%	14.9%	7.5%	3.1%	5.18	4.79	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		81	10	141	627	123	108	17	12%	1.7	19.5%	17.2%	2.4%	2.8%	4.80	5.15	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		115	14	200	891	174	153	25	12%	1.7	19.5%	17.2%	2.4%	2.8%	4.80	5.15	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Armando Vasquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	22.0%	15.6%	3.1%	—	5.17	22.4%	7.5%	33	-0.12	—	—	—
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	85
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	84
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	84
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	83
Trey Cumbie L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SU	4.54	25.3%	15.3%	3.0%	.284	5.07	23.3%	7.2%	42	+0.53	3.44	152	83
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	81
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	80
Andy Oliver L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	23.4%	16.9%	1.6%	.283	4.56	19.2%	8.6%	108	+0.40	3.93	165	79
John Beller L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	21.6%	14.2%	2.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	170	79
Brendan Cellucci L 2023 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	21.2%	14.6%	3.3%	.381	4.25	23.2%	9.2%	137	-0.74	3.98	288	79
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	79
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	79
Ryne Slack L 2017 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	17.4%	13.2%	2.0%	.308	5.59	13.9%	1.8%	49	+1.17	4.07	212	78
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	78
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	78
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	78
Jimmy Burnette L 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	24.7%	16.3%	2.3%	.336	3.49	19.7%	4.9%	59	-0.85	3.01	158	78
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.27	22.8%	8.8%	171	+0.08	3.22	198	78
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	77
Bryan Warzek L 2022 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	22.1%	15.0%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	1.91	138	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	22.2%	15.2%	1.19	5.23
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84