Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 0 | 15 | 53 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 45.3% | 11.3% | 34.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.71 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 0 | 15 | 53 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 45.3% | 11.3% | 34.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.14 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.7 | 22.6% | 19.4% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 7.11 | 7.19 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.7 | 22.6% | 19.4% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 7.11 | 7.84 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 40 | 0 | 40 | 184 | 51 | 41 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 24.5% | -2.1% | 1.9% | 6.13 | 5.36 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 40 | 0 | 40 | 184 | 51 | 41 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.7% | 22.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 6.13 | 4.61 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 42 | 0 | 45 | 203 | 48 | 45 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 24.4% | -5.2% | 0.0% | 2.80 | 4.57 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 42 | 0 | 45 | 203 | 48 | 45 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 22.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 2.80 | 3.97 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 0 | 36 | 167 | 42 | 39 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.6% | 28.0% | -7.4% | 1.7% | 4.21 | 5.82 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 0 | 36 | 167 | 42 | 39 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.1% | 23.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 4.21 | 4.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 86 | 19 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 16.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 5.19 | 5.19 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 16.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 5.16 | 5.19 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 16.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 5.16 | 5.19 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 16.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 5.16 | 4.81 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 138 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 16.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 5.16 | 4.81 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 130 | 0 | 143 | 638 | 146 | 153 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 24.0% | -1.2% | 1.3% | 3.97 | 4.93 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 182 | 0 | 200 | 894 | 204 | 215 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 24.0% | -1.2% | 1.3% | 3.97 | 4.93 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gil Luna (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.19 | 21.7% | 16.6% | 2.6% | — | 5.19 | 21.8% | 5.8% | 20 | +0.00 | — | — | — |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 85 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | .283 | 5.02 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.94 | 4.08 | 165 | 85 |
| Trey Jeans L 2025 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 81 |
| Justin King L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.42 | 19.9% | 20.5% | 0.7% | .307 | 5.56 | 24.2% | 0.6% | 15 | +1.14 | 3.20 | 111 | 79 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.22 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.74 | 32.4% | 26.1% | 65 | -0.48 | 1.79 | 186 | 78 |
| Brian Marconi L 2024 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.96 | 20.3% | 18.2% | 2.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 101 | 78 |
| Nick Lee L 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.0% | 19.7% | 1.4% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 102 | 78 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 77 |
| Hayden Harris L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.0% | 19.6% | 1.4% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.86 | 180 | 77 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 6.12 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.12 | 18.9% | 15.0% | 4.9% | .282 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 15.0% | 81 | -2.90 | 3.20 | 194 | 77 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2025 · 5.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.07 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 3.5% | .215 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 152 | 77 |
| C.J. Widger L 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.25 | 17.5% | 18.8% | 2.3% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 105 | 77 |
| Julian Bosnic L 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 20.0% | 19.6% | 2.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 136 | 76 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2024 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.2% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.64 | 107 | 76 |
| Rex Brothers L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.02 | 27.2% | 23.5% | 0.5% | .286 | 4.09 | 26.4% | 9.1% | 64 | +0.07 | 3.10 | 205 | 76 |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2026 · 6.14 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.14 | 18.2% | 17.0% | 4.4% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 119 | 76 |
| Eric Torres L 2025 · 5.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.68 | 21.6% | 19.9% | 3.4% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 155 | 75 |
| Jeff Belge L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 75 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 75 |
| Sam Freeman L 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.23 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 2.3% | .265 | 3.53 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 166 | -0.70 | 3.03 | 299 | 75 |