Gil Luna
P
Birmingham Barons
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
LHP
5'10" / 173 lbs
AA
ERA5.16
FIP5.16
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.7%
BB%16.6%
K-BB%5.1%
IP29
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 10 | 0 | 15 | 53 | 24 | 6 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 9 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 7 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | 7.11 | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 40 | 0 | 40 | 184 | 51 | 41 | 3 | 22.5% | 24.5% | 1.9% | 6.13 | 5.37 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 42 | 0 | 45 | 203 | 48 | 45 | 0 | 19.2% | 24.4% | 0.0% | 2.80 | 4.57 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 29 | 0 | 36 | 167 | 42 | 39 | 1 | 20.6% | 28.0% | 1.2% | 4.21 | 5.59 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 29 | — | 29 | 123 | 27 | 20 | 3 | 21.7% | 16.6% | 2.6% | 5.16 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 29 | — | 29 | 121 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 21.9% | 15.9% | 2.7% | 5.10 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 130 | 0 | 143 | 638 | 146 | 153 | 8 | 22.8% | 24.0% | 1.2% | 3.97 | 4.87 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 182 | 0 | 200 | 894 | 205 | 214 | 11 | 22.8% | 24.0% | 1.2% | 3.97 | 4.87 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gil Luna (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.16 | 21.7% | 16.6% | 2.6% | — | 5.11 | 21.9% | 5.9% | 29 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .318 | 2.78 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -1.75 | 1.81 | 421 | 85 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.6% | .283 | 4.60 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.45 | 3.97 | 165 | 83 |
| Trey Jeans L 2025 · 5.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.11 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 82 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2024 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.89 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 146 | 80 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.94 | 18.9% | 15.0% | 4.6% | .282 | 3.10 | 25.9% | 15.0% | 81 | -2.84 | 3.04 | 194 | 79 |
| Joseph Menefee L 2024 · 5.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.25 | 23.3% | 17.4% | 3.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 134 | 78 |
| Dale Stanavich L 2025 · 5.63 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.63 | 21.8% | 18.2% | 3.8% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 144 | 78 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.08 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 3.5% | .215 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 152 | 77 |
| Nick Lee L 2024 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.02 | 19.0% | 19.7% | 1.9% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 102 | 77 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2024 · 5.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.77 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.1% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 107 | 77 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.21 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.66 | 32.4% | 26.1% | 65 | -0.55 | 1.66 | 186 | 77 |
| Rex Brothers L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 27.2% | 23.5% | 0.5% | .286 | 4.08 | 26.4% | 9.1% | 64 | +0.04 | 3.16 | 205 | 77 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.02 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .317 | 4.77 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 269 | 77 |
| Brian Marconi L 2024 · 5.03 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.03 | 20.3% | 18.2% | 2.5% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 101 | 77 |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2026 · 6.05 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.05 | 18.2% | 17.0% | 4.3% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 119 | 77 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.58 | 19.4% | 15.5% | 2.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 264 | 76 |
| Sam Freeman L 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.23 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 2.3% | .265 | 3.56 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 166 | -0.67 | 3.06 | 299 | 76 |
| Jeff Belge L 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.2% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 175 | 76 |
| David Rollins L 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.50 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 4.3% | .260 | 5.70 | 15.9% | 12.5% | 20 | +0.20 | 3.60 | 132 | 75 |
| Sean Keselica L 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.48 | 18.0% | 14.5% | 1.9% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 235 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.