Gil Luna P Birmingham Barons
Age 27 LHP 5'10" / 173 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118127vR 136
ERA5.19
FIP5.19
K%21.7%
BB%16.6%
K-BB%5.1%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -1.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -0.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.15 (20 IP)-0.2WAR
-0.2-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202122MIX2 levels100155324600%1.545.3%11.3%34.0%0.0%0.000.71
202122MIX2 levels100155324600%1.545.3%11.3%34.0%0.0%0.001.14
202223MIX2 levels906317620%0.722.6%19.4%3.2%6.5%7.117.19
202223MIX2 levels906317620%0.722.6%19.4%3.2%6.5%7.117.84
202324AABirmingham Barons40040184514130%1.022.5%24.5%-2.1%1.9%6.135.36
202324AABirmingham Barons40040184514130%1.027.7%22.3%5.4%1.6%6.134.61
202425AABirmingham Barons42045203484500%1.119.2%24.4%-5.2%0.0%2.804.57
202425AABirmingham Barons42045203484500%1.123.6%22.2%1.5%0.0%2.803.97
202526MIX3 levels29036167423910%1.320.6%28.0%-7.4%1.7%4.215.82
202526MIX3 levels29036167423910%1.325.1%23.4%1.8%0.6%4.214.37
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBCWS1902086191420%1.121.7%16.6%5.1%2.6%5.195.19-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBCWS1902084181420%1.121.8%16.0%5.8%2.8%5.165.19-0.1
202728MLBCWS707306510%1.021.8%16.0%5.8%2.8%5.165.19-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career707317510%1.021.8%16.0%5.8%2.8%5.164.81-0.0
/ 200 IP1900200844193138280%1.121.8%16.0%5.8%2.8%5.164.81+1.4
Career130014363814615380%1.122.8%24.0%-1.2%1.3%3.974.93+0.8
/ 200 IP1820200894204215120%1.122.8%24.0%-1.2%1.3%3.974.93+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Gil Luna (OGILVIE) 5.19 21.7%16.6%2.6% 5.19 21.8%5.8%20 +0.00
Brian Moran L 2025 · 4.66 FIP 26 SU 4.66 17.7%14.1%2.3%.318 2.63 25.0%17.4%80 -2.03 1.67 421 85
Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.08 FIP 27 SU 4.08 23.4%16.9%1.5%.283 5.02 19.2%8.6%108 +0.94 4.08 165 85
Trey Jeans L 2025 · 5.12 FIP 26 SU 5.12 22.3%16.5%3.3%.291 2.74 111 81
Justin King L 2026 · 4.42 FIP 27 SU 4.42 19.9%20.5%0.7%.307 5.56 24.2%0.6%15 +1.14 3.20 111 79
Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 4.22 FIP 27 SU 4.22 18.1%13.3%1.8%.271 3.74 32.4%26.1%65 -0.48 1.79 186 78
Brian Marconi L 2024 · 4.96 FIP 25 SU 4.96 20.3%18.2%2.3%.329 3.61 101 78
Nick Lee L 2024 · 4.73 FIP 25 SU 4.73 19.0%19.7%1.4%.286 3.81 102 78
Graeme Stinson L 2024 · 4.75 FIP 25 SU 4.75 19.5%15.6%2.4%.302 3.54 146 77
Hayden Harris L 2026 · 4.30 FIP 27 SU 4.30 24.0%19.6%1.4%.341 1.86 180 77
Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 6.12 FIP 27 SU 6.12 18.9%15.0%4.9%.282 3.22 25.9%15.0%81 -2.90 3.20 194 77
Trey Cumbie L 2025 · 5.07 FIP 26 SU 5.07 23.3%16.1%3.5%.215 3.33 152 77
C.J. Widger L 2026 · 5.25 FIP 27 SU 5.25 17.5%18.8%2.3%.354 3.71 105 77
Julian Bosnic L 2024 · 5.01 FIP 25 SU 5.01 20.0%19.6%2.0%.285 4.28 136 76
Ty Madrigal L 2024 · 5.86 FIP 25 SU 5.86 17.6%15.2%4.2%.304 4.64 107 76
Rex Brothers L 2026 · 4.02 FIP 27 SU 4.02 27.2%23.5%0.5%.286 4.09 26.4%9.1%64 +0.07 3.10 205 76
Andrew Mitchell L 2026 · 6.14 FIP 27 SU 6.14 18.2%17.0%4.4%.317 2.51 119 76
Eric Torres L 2025 · 5.68 FIP 26 SU 5.68 21.6%19.9%3.4%.327 2.73 155 75
Jeff Belge L 2025 · 4.45 FIP 26 SU 4.45 19.4%12.3%2.6%.250 3.27 175 75
Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.06 FIP 29 SU 4.06 18.8%11.2%2.1%.291 3.73 15.1%2.7%48 -0.33 3.73 108 75
Sam Freeman L 2027 · 4.23 FIP 28 SU 4.23 23.4%14.6%2.3%.265 3.53 22.0%10.3%166 -0.70 3.03 299 75