Dominic Scheffler
P
Daytona Tortugas
Age 22
LHP
6'4" / 196 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106115vR 125
ERA4.66
FIP4.66
K%22.3%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%10.3%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Reds | 12 | 6 | 28 | 145 | 42 | 33 | 1 | 50% | 2.4 | 19.7% | 28.4% | -8.8% | 0.9% | 7.62 | 5.51 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Reds | 12 | 6 | 28 | 145 | 42 | 33 | 1 | 50% | 2.4 | 29.0% | 22.8% | 6.2% | 0.7% | 7.62 | 4.09 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 34 | 167 | 38 | 27 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 15.9% | 19.5% | -3.6% | 0.6% | 9.36 | 4.53 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 34 | 167 | 38 | 27 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 22.8% | 16.2% | 6.6% | 0.6% | 9.36 | 3.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 16 | 0 | 26 | 129 | 23 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 13.2% | 22.9% | -9.7% | 2.0% | 5.88 | 5.99 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CIN | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.66 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 45 | 209 | 41 | 35 | 4 | — | — | 19.5% | 16.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 5.37 | 5.43 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.05 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 47 | 6 | 88 | 441 | 72 | 103 | 5 | 13% | 1.9 | 16.3% | 23.4% | -7.1% | 1.1% | 7.77 | 5.28 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 107 | 14 | 200 | 1002 | 164 | 235 | 11 | 13% | 1.9 | 16.3% | 23.4% | -7.1% | 1.1% | 7.77 | 5.28 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dominic Scheffler (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.66 | 22.3% | 12.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.43 | 23.1% | 12.3% | 20 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Harry Gustin L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 89 |
| Jonathan Hennigan L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.31 | 22.0% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .341 | 3.53 | 17.5% | 5.8% | 119 | -0.78 | 3.41 | 265 | 86 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 85 |
| Sean Mellen L 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 85 |
| Ronnie Glenn L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.47 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 1.6% | .330 | 4.85 | 11.1% | -2.6% | 171 | +1.38 | 3.47 | 212 | 85 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2027 · 3.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.52 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .294 | 2.76 | 24.7% | 16.8% | 135 | -0.76 | 2.17 | 310 | 84 |
| Zach Morris L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.59 | 18.5% | 10.1% | 1.4% | .286 | 4.59 | 13.9% | 2.4% | 84 | +1.00 | 3.40 | 109 | 83 |
| Seth Clark L 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.30 | 22.5% | 15.0% | 2.2% | .287 | 5.13 | 18.4% | 0.6% | 82 | +0.83 | 4.30 | 128 | 83 |
| Chase Watkins L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.81 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 1.8% | .346 | 4.29 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 156 | +0.48 | 3.27 | 232 | 83 |
| Brendan Nail L 2027 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.74 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 2.9% | .305 | 3.95 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 87 | -0.79 | 3.67 | 165 | 83 |
| Kai Peterson L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.75 | 20.4% | 14.0% | 2.9% | .250 | 5.11 | 22.1% | 3.3% | 19 | +0.36 | 3.60 | 111 | 82 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.09 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .208 | 4.77 | 16.8% | 7.4% | 223 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 82 |
| Luis Paulino L 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.54 | 19.1% | 10.5% | 1.3% | .269 | 2.75 | 20.2% | 9.5% | 50 | -0.79 | 2.57 | 103 | 82 |
| Andrew Walling L 2027 · 4.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.20 | 23.7% | 14.8% | 2.2% | .272 | 3.95 | 22.2% | 8.5% | 105 | -0.25 | 3.12 | 161 | 81 |
| James Ziemba L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.73 | 18.3% | 12.5% | 1.1% | .309 | 5.32 | 11.7% | -0.7% | 78 | +1.59 | 3.73 | 110 | 81 |
| Brian Marconi L 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .265 | 4.96 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.35 | 3.61 | 101 | 80 |
| Juliandry Higuera L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 20.0% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .358 | 4.53 | 13.8% | -0.3% | 43 | +0.49 | 4.04 | 197 | 80 |
| Lucas Knowles L 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.79 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .366 | 4.10 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 177 | +0.31 | 3.37 | 275 | 80 |
| Ignacio Briceno L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.53 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 2.3% | .270 | 3.28 | 14.7% | 3.5% | 76 | -1.25 | 2.39 | 156 | 80 |
| Wesley Moore L 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.83 | 25.9% | 13.2% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.14 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 58 | +0.31 | 3.83 | 111 | 80 |