Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 55.6% | 11.1% | 44.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.18 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 55.6% | 11.1% | 44.4% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.40 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 11 | 62 | 281 | 108 | 43 | 3 | 41% | 2.3 | 29.4% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 1.0% | 2.74 | 3.33 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 11 | 62 | 281 | 108 | 43 | 3 | 41% | 2.3 | 38.4% | 15.3% | 23.1% | 1.1% | 2.74 | 2.33 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 30 | 21 | 72 | 299 | 107 | 50 | 6 | 70% | 2.4 | 27.6% | 19.2% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 2.99 | 4.73 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 30 | 21 | 72 | 299 | 107 | 50 | 6 | 70% | 2.4 | 35.8% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 2.0% | 2.99 | 3.29 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 35 | 0 | 50 | 227 | 70 | 41 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.0% | 19.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 4.17 | 4.54 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 35 | 0 | 50 | 227 | 70 | 41 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 30.8% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 1.8% | 4.17 | 3.80 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 58 | 253 | 91 | 42 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.3% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 0.5% | 3.43 | 3.07 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 58 | 253 | 91 | 42 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 36.0% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 0.4% | 3.43 | 2.35 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 30 | 0 | 32 | 157 | 31 | 32 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 21.4% | -4.0% | 4.2% | 8.24 | 6.65 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 43 | 0 | 45 | 191 | 57 | 38 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.8% | 19.7% | 10.1% | 2.3% | 4.71 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 23 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.8% | 19.7% | 10.1% | 2.3% | 4.71 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 77 | 348 | 88 | 70 | 10 | — | — | 25.3% | 20.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 6.17 | 5.51 | -0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 18 | 76 | 23 | 15 | 2 | — | — | 29.8% | 19.7% | 10.1% | 2.3% | 4.71 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 85 | 49 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.5% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 2.3% | 4.53 | 4.44 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 84 | 47 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.3% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 2.4% | 4.45 | 4.41 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 82 | 46 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.0% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 2.5% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 79 | 44 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.7% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 2.6% | 4.49 | 4.52 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 55 | 32 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.5% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 2.3% | 4.53 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 65 | 37 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.3% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 2.4% | 4.45 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 70 | 39 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.0% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 2.5% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 70 | 40 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.7% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 2.6% | 4.49 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 219 | 0 | 230 | 970 | 283 | 162 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.1% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 2.4% | 4.49 | 4.09 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 246 | 141 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.1% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 2.4% | 4.49 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 174 | 32 | 276 | 1226 | 330 | 230 | 23 | 18% | 1.6 | 27.0% | 18.8% | 8.2% | 1.9% | 3.82 | 4.24 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 126 | 23 | 200 | 889 | 240 | 167 | 17 | 18% | 1.6 | 27.0% | 18.8% | 8.2% | 1.9% | 3.82 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ronan Kopp (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.71 | 29.8% | 19.7% | 2.3% | — | 4.43 | 29.3% | 12.6% | 203 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Christian Chamberlain L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.53 | 27.0% | 18.9% | 2.4% | .238 | 3.91 | 20.7% | 0.5% | 43 | -0.62 | 3.91 | 148 | 84 |
| Justin King L 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.55 | 29.7% | 19.7% | 0.8% | .361 | 4.08 | 25.1% | 8.0% | 81 | +0.53 | 3.20 | 111 | 82 |
| Jimmy Burnette L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.63 | 25.5% | 18.2% | 2.5% | .336 | 3.66 | 20.0% | 4.1% | 59 | -0.97 | 3.06 | 158 | 80 |
| Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.74 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 2.9% | .305 | 3.95 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 87 | -0.79 | 3.67 | 165 | 79 |
| Logan Salow L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.59 | 26.8% | 17.5% | 1.0% | .233 | 4.20 | 22.0% | 3.6% | 41 | +0.61 | 2.75 | 148 | 79 |
| Zach Warren L 2025 · 3.82 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.82 | 24.0% | 17.0% | 1.1% | .299 | 4.44 | 24.6% | 4.2% | 67 | +0.62 | 2.86 | 184 | 78 |
| Kolton Ingram L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.93 | 26.7% | 15.3% | 2.1% | .306 | 3.99 | 23.9% | 11.7% | 173 | +0.06 | 3.31 | 239 | 78 |
| Phil Pfeifer L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 24.2% | 17.6% | 0.5% | .319 | 3.87 | 21.4% | 9.1% | 240 | +0.29 | 3.58 | 307 | 78 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 77 |
| Ty Damron L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 24.3% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .358 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 10.3% | 134 | +0.37 | 3.22 | 346 | 77 |
| Caleb Wurster L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 25.0% | 16.1% | 2.7% | .241 | 10.79 | 13.9% | -5.0% | 11 | +6.30 | 3.44 | 100 | 76 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 25.2% | 14.7% | 1.4% | .381 | 4.46 | 22.0% | 10.0% | 109 | +0.84 | 3.20 | 194 | 76 |
| Ben Harris L 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.54 | 23.8% | 19.6% | 3.6% | .291 | 5.17 | 21.6% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.37 | 3.02 | 183 | 76 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.69 | 24.7% | 15.6% | 3.1% | .320 | 4.57 | 22.5% | 10.5% | 163 | -0.12 | 4.13 | 265 | 76 |
| Geoffrey Gilbert L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.52 | 26.4% | 13.1% | 1.8% | .266 | 7.33 | 19.6% | 4.6% | 16 | +3.81 | 3.52 | 101 | 75 |
| Andy Oliver L 2029 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | .283 | 5.02 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.94 | 4.08 | 165 | 75 |
| Brian Marconi L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .265 | 4.96 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.35 | 3.61 | 101 | 75 |
| Andrew Walling L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.10 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .281 | 3.81 | 20.9% | 6.8% | 52 | -0.29 | 3.12 | 161 | 75 |
| Michael Trausch L 2024 · 3.84 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.84 | 25.8% | 19.4% | 0.8% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 106 | 75 |
| Rex Brothers L 2029 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.02 | 27.2% | 23.5% | 0.5% | .286 | 4.09 | 26.4% | 9.1% | 64 | +0.07 | 3.10 | 205 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 63 | 29.2% | 17.0% | 0.93 | 4.51 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Jake Diekman ('24) | 9 | 51 | 28.6% | 13.8% | 0.91 | 4.07 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| José Leclerc ('24) | 6 | 57 | 31.6% | 12.8% | 0.76 | 3.33 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |