Ronan Kopp
P
Oklahoma City Comets
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 24
LHP
6'7" / 250 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.5 · 2027
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%26.6%
BB%14.8%
K-BB%11.8%
IP57
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2027
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 27 | 11 | 62 | 281 | 108 | 43 | 3 | 29.4% | 17.0% | 1.2% | 2.74 | 3.43 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 30 | 21 | 72 | 299 | 107 | 50 | 6 | 27.6% | 19.2% | 2.7% | 2.99 | 4.69 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 35 | 0 | 50 | 227 | 70 | 41 | 4 | 25.0% | 19.9% | 2.0% | 4.17 | 4.59 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 49 | 0 | 58 | 253 | 91 | 42 | 1 | 30.3% | 17.9% | 0.5% | 3.43 | 3.06 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 5 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 5 | 11 | 3 | — | — | — | 21.21 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 23 | — | 23 | 96 | 26 | 14 | 2 | 26.6% | 14.8% | 2.3% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 27 | 128 | 31 | 25 | 5 | 23.9% | 19.7% | 4.1% | 7.23 | 3.61 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 57 | — | 57 | 242 | 65 | 32 | 6 | 26.7% | 13.1% | 2.3% | 4.24 | 4.16 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 57 | — | 57 | 242 | 65 | 31 | 6 | 26.6% | 12.7% | 2.4% | 4.19 | 4.15 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 57 | — | 57 | 241 | 64 | 30 | 6 | 26.5% | 12.6% | 2.4% | 4.18 | 4.17 | +0.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 56 | — | 56 | 237 | 62 | 30 | 6 | 26.4% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 4.19 | 4.20 | +0.5 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 61 | 29 | 6 | 26.2% | 12.6% | 2.5% | 4.22 | 4.25 | +0.4 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 58 | 29 | 6 | 26.0% | 12.7% | 2.6% | 4.27 | 4.31 | +0.4 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 56 | 28 | 6 | 25.8% | 12.8% | 2.6% | 4.34 | 4.38 | +0.3 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 49 | — | 49 | 208 | 53 | 27 | 6 | 25.5% | 13.0% | 2.7% | 4.42 | 4.47 | +0.3 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 50 | 26 | 6 | 25.2% | 13.2% | 2.8% | 4.51 | 4.57 | +0.2 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 45 | — | 45 | 188 | 47 | 25 | 5 | 24.9% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.61 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 43 | 24 | 5 | 24.5% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.72 | 4.80 | +0.1 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 24.0% | 13.9% | 3.1% | 4.85 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 149 | 32 | 249 | 1101 | 308 | 208 | 20 | 28.0% | 18.8% | 1.8% | 3.58 | 4.12 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 120 | 26 | 200 | 886 | 248 | 167 | 16 | 28.0% | 18.8% | 1.8% | 3.58 | 4.12 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ronan Kopp (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 26.6% | 14.8% | 2.3% | — | 4.16 | 26.6% | 13.8% | 172 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.87 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 3.1% | .305 | 3.85 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 87 | -1.02 | 3.49 | 165 | 87 |
| Jeff Belge L 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.53 | 28.3% | 14.4% | 1.8% | .299 | 3.77 | 22.9% | 9.3% | 99 | +0.24 | 3.32 | 175 | 86 |
| Jimmy Burnette L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.52 | 25.5% | 18.2% | 2.3% | .336 | 3.62 | 20.0% | 4.1% | 59 | -0.90 | 3.06 | 158 | 84 |
| Phil Pfeifer L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.65 | 24.2% | 17.6% | 0.7% | .319 | 3.79 | 21.4% | 9.1% | 240 | +0.14 | 3.63 | 307 | 83 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.63 | 25.2% | 14.7% | 1.5% | .381 | 4.34 | 22.0% | 10.0% | 109 | +0.71 | 3.04 | 194 | 82 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.05 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.3% | .382 | 3.83 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.22 | 2.44 | 171 | 82 |
| Kolton Ingram L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.85 | 26.7% | 15.3% | 1.9% | .306 | 4.05 | 23.9% | 11.7% | 173 | +0.20 | 3.35 | 239 | 82 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2028 · 3.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.49 | 26.0% | 13.1% | 1.7% | .260 | 3.65 | 27.7% | 17.1% | 129 | +0.16 | 3.47 | 160 | 81 |
| Brian Marconi L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.91 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .265 | 5.03 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.12 | 3.91 | 101 | 81 |
| Christian Chamberlain L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.42 | 27.0% | 18.9% | 2.2% | .238 | 3.91 | 20.7% | 0.5% | 43 | -0.51 | 3.91 | 148 | 81 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.71 | 24.7% | 15.6% | 3.1% | .320 | 4.48 | 22.5% | 10.5% | 163 | -0.23 | 3.96 | 265 | 80 |
| Adam Choplick L 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.45 | 25.3% | 14.9% | 1.1% | .260 | 4.10 | 19.9% | 7.0% | 37 | +0.65 | 3.45 | 152 | 79 |
| Ben Harris L 2026 · 5.64 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.64 | 23.8% | 19.6% | 3.8% | .291 | 5.13 | 21.6% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.51 | 3.06 | 183 | 78 |
| Triston Polley L 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.90 | 22.3% | 20.0% | 2.1% | .361 | 4.75 | 18.5% | 5.2% | 136 | -0.15 | 4.15 | 151 | 78 |
| Jack Dreyer L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.47 | 26.8% | 18.2% | 0.6% | .279 | 2.57 | 25.5% | 19.5% | 134 | -0.90 | 2.47 | 188 | 78 |
| Ty Damron L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.26 | 24.3% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .358 | 4.34 | 19.7% | 10.3% | 134 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 346 | 78 |
| Jack Leathersich L 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.72 | 30.6% | 13.2% | 2.8% | .339 | 3.72 | 28.6% | 11.9% | 76 | -0.00 | 3.13 | 101 | 78 |
| Tommy Vail L 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.69 | 27.5% | 15.3% | 1.8% | .237 | 4.86 | 19.7% | 3.3% | 81 | +1.17 | 3.69 | 151 | 78 |
| Andrew Walling L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.07 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 2.3% | .281 | 3.14 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 42 | -0.93 | 3.14 | 151 | 77 |
| John Beller L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 170 | 77 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.6M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| Totals | $5M | $12M | +$7M | ||