Chris Wright — OGILVIE

Chris Wright P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 27 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115123vR 131

ERA5.16

FIP5.16

K%22.2%

BB%15.6%

K-BB%6.5%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Black	8	5	13	60	8	8	0	62%	1.7	9.1%	16.7%	-7.6%	0.0%	2.02	4.45	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	AZL Giants Black	8	5	13	60	8	8	0	62%	1.7	13.3%	13.3%	0.0%	0.0%	2.02	3.70	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	45	173	79	21	2	0%	1.2	33.6%	14.6%	19.0%	1.7%	1.00	3.03	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	45	173	79	21	2	0%	1.2	45.7%	12.1%	33.5%	1.2%	1.00	1.57	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	41	0	56	244	76	35	5	0%	1.4	25.2%	15.8%	9.5%	2.6%	3.86	4.42	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	41	0	56	244	76	35	5	0%	1.4	31.1%	14.3%	16.8%	2.0%	3.86	3.42	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	1	50	243	72	45	6	2%	1.2	23.6%	17.3%	6.3%	2.7%	4.89	4.80	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	1	50	243	72	45	6	2%	1.2	23.6%	17.3%	6.3%	2.7%	4.89	4.80	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	1	50	243	72	45	6	2%	1.2	29.6%	18.5%	11.1%	2.5%	4.89	4.49	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	2	26	114	31	20	3	8%	1.1	20.0%	19.1%	0.8%	1.5%	5.96	4.65	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	2	26	114	31	20	3	8%	1.1	20.0%	19.1%	0.8%	1.5%	5.96	4.65	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	2	26	114	31	20	3	8%	1.1	27.2%	17.5%	9.6%	2.6%	5.96	4.54	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	SF	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	22.2%	15.6%	6.5%	2.9%	5.16	5.16	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SF	19	0	20	84	19	13	3	0%	1.1	22.2%	15.1%	7.0%	3.0%	5.13	5.16	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	SF	8	0	8	34	7	5	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	15.1%	7.0%	3.0%	5.13	5.16	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	32	7	5	1	0%	1.1	22.2%	15.1%	7.0%	3.0%	5.13	4.78	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	133	27	0%	1.1	22.2%	15.1%	7.0%	3.0%	5.13	4.78	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		152	8	190	834	205	138	18	5%	1.2	24.6%	16.5%	8.1%	2.1%	3.61	4.27	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	8	200	879	216	145	19	5%	1.2	24.6%	16.5%	8.1%	2.1%	3.61	4.27	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Wright (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	22.2%	15.6%	2.9%	—	5.16	22.2%	7.0%	20	+0.00	—	—	—
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	83
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	83
Andy Oliver L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	23.4%	16.9%	1.6%	.283	4.56	19.2%	8.6%	108	+0.40	3.93	165	82
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	81
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	80
Jake Rice L 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	23.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.305	4.90	18.7%	4.0%	103	+0.49	3.16	199	80
Hunter Cervenka L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	27	SU	5.91	18.9%	15.0%	4.6%	.282	3.10	25.9%	15.0%	81	-2.81	3.08	194	79
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	77
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	77
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	77
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	76
Tony Cingrani L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	27	SU	4.19	18.1%	13.3%	1.7%	.271	3.50	32.4%	26.1%	65	-0.69	1.68	186	76
David Rollins L 2017 · 5.58 FIP	27	SU	5.58	18.0%	12.1%	4.5%	.260	5.68	15.9%	12.5%	20	+0.10	3.59	132	76
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	76
Andrew Mitchell L 2022 · 6.04 FIP	27	SU	6.04	18.2%	17.0%	4.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	119	75
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	75
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	75
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	75
Sam Freeman L 2015 · 4.21 FIP	28	SU	4.21	23.4%	14.6%	2.2%	.265	3.52	22.0%	10.3%	166	-0.69	3.03	299	74
Cody Reed L 2020 · 5.15 FIP	27	SU	5.15	21.8%	14.5%	3.7%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	2.90	572	74