Chris Wright
P
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 27
LHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106115vR 124
ERA4.64
FIP4.64
K%23.1%
BB%12.2%
K-BB%10.8%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Giants Black | 8 | 5 | 13 | 60 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 62% | 1.7 | 9.1% | 16.7% | -7.6% | 0.0% | 2.02 | 4.45 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Giants Black | 8 | 5 | 13 | 60 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 62% | 1.7 | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.02 | 3.70 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 45 | 173 | 79 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 33.6% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 1.6% | 1.00 | 2.99 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 45 | 173 | 79 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 45.7% | 12.1% | 33.5% | 1.2% | 1.00 | 1.57 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 41 | 0 | 56 | 244 | 76 | 35 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.2% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 3.86 | 4.54 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 41 | 0 | 56 | 244 | 76 | 35 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.1% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 2.0% | 3.86 | 3.42 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 1 | 50 | 243 | 72 | 45 | 6 | 2% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 4.89 | 4.97 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 1 | 50 | 243 | 72 | 45 | 6 | 2% | 1.2 | 29.6% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 2.5% | 4.89 | 4.49 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 2 | 26 | 114 | 31 | 20 | 3 | 8% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 19.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 5.96 | 4.54 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 2 | 26 | 114 | 31 | 20 | 3 | 8% | 1.1 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 5.96 | 4.54 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | SF | 12 | 0 | 13 | 53 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.64 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SF | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SF | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.31 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 106 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.31 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 152 | 8 | 190 | 834 | 209 | 145 | 18 | 5% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 17.3% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 3.61 | 4.34 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 160 | 8 | 200 | 879 | 220 | 152 | 18 | 5% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 17.3% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 3.61 | 4.34 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Wright (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 23.1% | 12.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.69 | 23.0% | 10.9% | 20 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Edward Paredes L 2028 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 79 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 4.1% | .296 | 2.67 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -2.02 | 2.51 | 160 | 79 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 27.4% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .284 | 3.06 | 23.4% | 16.7% | 53 | -0.80 | 3.06 | 145 | 79 |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 79 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .259 | 5.31 | 16.5% | -3.3% | 54 | +1.85 | 3.46 | 154 | 78 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.79 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.91 | 3.88 | 269 | 78 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .321 | 3.39 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.23 | 2.95 | 101 | 78 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 78 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 78 |
| A.J. Block L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 203 | 77 |
| Haylen Green L 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 77 |
| Josh Edgin L 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .359 | 3.67 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.09 | 3.36 | 113 | 77 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 23.8% | 11.7% | 3.0% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 265 | 77 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .197 | 4.72 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.75 | 3.97 | 133 | 77 |
| Jake Rice L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.63 | 21.8% | 13.8% | 1.1% | .273 | 6.46 | 16.9% | -1.3% | 54 | +2.83 | 3.29 | 199 | 76 |
| Jeff Belge L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 76 |
| Jerry Vasto L 2025 · 3.44 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.44 | 24.0% | 11.5% | 1.7% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 206 | 76 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.25 | 17.7% | 11.0% | 2.3% | .289 | 5.86 | 19.8% | 2.0% | 40 | +1.61 | 4.10 | 118 | 76 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 76 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 75 |