Grant Wolfram
P
Baltimore Orioles
Age 29
LHP
6'7" / 250 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7786vR 95
ERA3.29
FIP3.28
K%24.5%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%15.1%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6095.2
Whiff%
p5025.2%
K%
p7025.8%
xwOBA vs
p760.287
SI (42%)
CU (15%)
FB (64%)
SL-1.1 (22%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 8 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 12% | 1.3 | 22.2% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 2.91 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 8 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 12% | 1.3 | 22.2% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 2.91 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 25 | 9 | 69 | 308 | 73 | 30 | 3 | 36% | 2.8 | 17.5% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 4.28 | 3.58 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 25 | 9 | 69 | 308 | 73 | 30 | 3 | 36% | 2.8 | 23.7% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 1.0% | 4.28 | 2.85 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 17 | 14 | 66 | 303 | 99 | 34 | 11 | 82% | 3.9 | 25.2% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 4.21 | 5.88 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 17 | 14 | 66 | 303 | 99 | 34 | 11 | 82% | 3.9 | 32.7% | 11.2% | 21.5% | 3.6% | 4.21 | 3.81 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 39 | 0 | 57 | 260 | 71 | 42 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.1% | 17.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 4.42 | 4.40 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 39 | 0 | 57 | 260 | 71 | 42 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 27.3% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 1.2% | 4.42 | 3.50 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 1 | 62 | 255 | 78 | 24 | 6 | 2% | 1.6 | 25.1% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 3.90 | 3.80 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 1 | 62 | 255 | 78 | 24 | 6 | 2% | 1.6 | 30.6% | 9.4% | 21.2% | 2.4% | 3.90 | 3.00 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 60 | 250 | 69 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 3.13 | 4.02 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 60 | 250 | 69 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.6% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 2.0% | 3.13 | 3.13 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 59 | 271 | 67 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 0.7% | 4.42 | 2.82 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 59 | 271 | 67 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.7% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 0.7% | 4.42 | 2.64 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 35 | 0 | 28 | 124 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.8 | 25.8% | 4.0% | 21.8% | 0.8% | 4.76 | 1.87 | +0.9 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | BAL | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 37 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 1.9% | 3.29 | 3.28 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | BAL | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 37 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 1.9% | 3.29 | 3.28 | +0.5 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 64 | 275 | 69 | 19 | 4 | — | — | 25.1% | 7.0% | 18.1% | 1.4% | 3.94 | 2.66 | +1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 64 | 270 | 69 | 19 | 4 | — | — | 25.5% | 7.1% | 18.4% | 1.4% | 3.94 | 2.64 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 57 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 60 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 2.2% | 3.86 | 3.94 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 53 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 54 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 2.5% | 4.07 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 57 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 2.2% | 3.86 | 3.94 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 2.5% | 4.07 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 195 | 0 | 201 | 874 | 208 | 79 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 1.9% | 4.15 | 3.30 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 194 | 0 | 200 | 869 | 207 | 79 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 1.9% | 4.15 | 3.30 | +4.9 | ||
| Career | — | 259 | 25 | 413 | 1816 | 413 | 212 | 42 | 10% | 1.6 | 22.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 4.09 | 3.93 | +7.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 125 | 12 | 200 | 879 | 200 | 102 | 20 | 10% | 1.6 | 22.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 4.09 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Grant Wolfram (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.10 | 23.8% | 11.3% | 2.2% | — | 4.07 | 23.2% | 13.4% | 116 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.25 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .241 | 3.03 | 28.6% | 15.8% | 115 | -0.22 | 2.33 | 455 | 80 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .318 | 6.37 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +2.53 | 2.66 | 230 | 78 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.04 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 1.7% | .238 | 5.18 | 22.6% | 11.3% | 88 | +2.14 | 3.04 | 145 | 77 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 77 |
| Zach Phillips L 2026 · 3.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.06 | 27.4% | 11.9% | 1.4% | .370 | 3.20 | 19.2% | 10.6% | 86 | +0.14 | 2.29 | 202 | 76 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 75 |
| Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 75 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 74 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.45 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.17 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 163 | 74 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 73 |
| Jorge Ibarra L 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.02 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.3% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 146 | 73 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 18.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% | .329 | 3.67 | 22.1% | 15.6% | 150 | -0.64 | 1.52 | 350 | 73 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 73 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.16 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.23 | 2.51 | 190 | 73 |
| Scott Alexander L 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.38 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 1.6% | .290 | 4.81 | 13.3% | 5.0% | 45 | +1.43 | 2.90 | 414 | 73 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 72 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .253 | 3.69 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 161 | -0.35 | 2.69 | 703 | 72 |
| Aaron Loup L 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.04 | 24.2% | 9.1% | 1.5% | .318 | 3.32 | 23.6% | 17.2% | 65 | +0.28 | 2.07 | 363 | 71 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 71 |
| Chasen Shreve L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.98 | 24.4% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.53 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 108 | +0.55 | 3.94 | 470 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 60 | 23.4% | 10.4% | 0.89 | 4.01 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Cory Gearrin ('19) | 4 | 57 | 21.5% | 9.8% | 0.79 | 3.42 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |