Luichi Casilla
P
ACL Rockies
Age 21
LHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION10 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 119
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%23.2%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 7 | 7 | 23 | 97 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 100% | 3.2 | 19.6% | 14.2% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 1.19 | 3.24 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 7 | 7 | 23 | 97 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 100% | 3.2 | 28.9% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 1.19 | 2.09 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 11 | 10 | 41 | 175 | 44 | 16 | 1 | 91% | 3.7 | 17.1% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 3.32 | 3.44 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 11 | 10 | 41 | 175 | 44 | 16 | 1 | 91% | 3.7 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 0.6% | 3.32 | 2.44 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 12 | 7 | 36 | 173 | 57 | 28 | 2 | 58% | 3.0 | 22.4% | 20.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 7.00 | 4.59 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 12 | 7 | 36 | 173 | 57 | 28 | 2 | 58% | 3.0 | 32.9% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 1.2% | 7.00 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 6 | 1 | 10 | 52 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 17% | 1.7 | 20.9% | 4.8% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 6.97 | 1.94 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | COL | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 4.38 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | COL | — | — | 32 | 145 | 38 | 11 | 3 | — | — | 25.9% | 7.7% | 18.2% | 1.9% | 5.20 | 3.60 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | COL | 5 | 5 | 23 | 98 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 4.6 | 24.1% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | COL | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 24.1% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.19 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.7 | 24.1% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.81 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 844 | 210 | 70 | 18 | 100% | 5.1 | 24.1% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 36 | 25 | 110 | 497 | 99 | 71 | 4 | 69% | 3.0 | 19.8% | 14.3% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 4.43 | 3.64 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 46 | 200 | 906 | 180 | 130 | 7 | 69% | 3.0 | 19.8% | 14.3% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 4.43 | 3.64 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luichi Casilla (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.19 | 24.1% | 15.0% | 23 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Sonny Vargas L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 81 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 80 |
| Tommy Sommer L 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.59 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | .196 | 5.30 | 18.6% | 6.1% | 205 | +0.71 | 4.20 | 230 | 79 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 78 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 78 |
| Develson Aria L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.07 | 19.9% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .346 | 6.50 | 16.7% | -11.9% | 47 | +2.43 | 4.07 | 137 | 78 |
| Jackson Stoeckinger L 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.19 | 18.7% | 7.7% | 1.2% | .365 | 4.75 | 13.1% | 7.3% | 157 | +1.56 | 3.19 | 184 | 78 |
| Ryan Williamson L 2028 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.10 | 18.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.67 | 18.4% | 5.8% | 102 | +1.57 | 4.10 | 123 | 78 |
| Dalton Pence L 2027 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.32 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.89 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 71 | +0.57 | 3.32 | 153 | 77 |
| Mac Lardner L 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 77 |
| Taylor Hearn L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.88 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .347 | 3.97 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.09 | 3.66 | 572 | 76 |
| Jordi Martinez L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .277 | 4.56 | 17.7% | 6.6% | 120 | +0.72 | 3.15 | 205 | 76 |
| Bryan Sammons L 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.60 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.91 | 18.4% | 8.4% | 228 | +0.31 | 3.53 | 688 | 76 |
| Jacob Lopez L 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.66 | 24.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .302 | 3.58 | 30.4% | 21.6% | 55 | -0.08 | 3.50 | 478 | 76 |
| Avery Short L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.04 | 20.1% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .346 | 4.76 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 271 | -0.28 | 4.31 | 460 | 75 |
| Keyshawn Askew L 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.37 | 25.6% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .274 | 3.78 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 196 | +0.41 | 3.37 | 262 | 75 |
| Jaylen Nowlin L 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.48 | 26.8% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .352 | 5.07 | 19.1% | 6.1% | 254 | +1.59 | 3.48 | 357 | 75 |
| Bailey Horn L 2028 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 75 |
| David Rodriguez L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.74 | 19.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 120 | 74 |
| James Reeves L 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.50 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .237 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.20 | 2.02 | 280 | 74 |