Yereny Teus — OGILVIE

Yereny Teus P Charleston RiverDogs

Age 22 LHP 5'10" / 157 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111119vR 128

ERA4.97

FIP4.97

K%21.9%

BB%13.9%

K-BB%8.0%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	12	10	44	177	50	17	1	83%	3.6	19.2%	12.0%	7.2%	0.8%	2.89	3.46	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	12	10	44	177	50	17	1	83%	3.6	19.2%	12.0%	7.2%	0.8%	2.89	3.46	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	12	10	44	177	50	17	1	83%	3.6	28.2%	9.6%	18.6%	0.6%	2.89	2.28	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	14	12	54	207	71	17	3	86%	3.9	23.3%	10.3%	13.1%	2.1%	2.50	3.57	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	14	12	54	207	71	17	3	86%	3.9	23.3%	10.3%	13.1%	2.1%	2.50	3.57	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	14	12	54	207	71	17	3	86%	3.9	34.3%	8.2%	26.1%	1.4%	2.50	2.14	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	11	6	34	151	42	22	1	55%	3.1	18.9%	18.2%	0.7%	1.1%	5.08	4.44	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	11	6	34	151	42	22	1	55%	3.1	18.9%	18.2%	0.7%	1.1%	5.08	4.44	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	11	6	34	151	42	22	1	55%	3.1	27.8%	14.6%	13.2%	0.7%	5.08	2.95	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	31	0	54	210	80	22	1	0%	1.7	28.2%	12.4%	15.8%	0.6%	2.00	2.63	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	31	0	54	210	80	22	1	0%	1.7	28.2%	12.4%	15.8%	0.6%	2.00	2.63	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	TB	31	0	54	210	80	22	1	0%	1.7	38.1%	10.5%	27.6%	0.5%	2.00	1.47	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TB	52	0	55	232	53	28	7	0%	1.1	22.8%	12.2%	10.5%	2.9%	4.77	4.67	-0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	TB	54	0	56	238	56	27	7	0%	1.0	23.4%	11.2%	12.2%	2.8%	4.58	4.47	+0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	TB	54	0	57	241	57	25	7	0%	1.1	23.8%	10.5%	13.3%	2.8%	4.44	4.35	+0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	TB	54	0	57	241	58	25	7	0%	1.1	23.9%	10.4%	13.6%	2.8%	4.37	4.33	+0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	TB	53	0	56	237	57	25	7	0%	1.1	23.9%	10.5%	13.5%	2.9%	4.37	4.36	+0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	TB	26	0	27	114	26	14	3	0%	1.0	22.8%	12.2%	10.5%	2.9%	4.77	4.67	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	TB	37	0	39	165	38	18	5	0%	1.1	23.4%	11.2%	12.2%	2.8%	4.58	4.47	+0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	TB	44	0	46	194	46	20	5	0%	1.0	23.8%	10.5%	13.3%	2.8%	4.44	4.35	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	TB	48	0	50	211	51	22	6	0%	1.0	23.9%	10.4%	13.6%	2.8%	4.37	4.33	+0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	TB	49	0	51	215	52	23	6	0%	1.0	23.9%	10.5%	13.5%	2.9%	4.37	4.36	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		203	0	213	899	213	97	26	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.8%	12.8%	2.8%	4.47	4.03	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	200	91	24	0%	1.1	23.6%	10.8%	12.8%	2.8%	4.47	4.03	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		68	28	185	745	170	96	9	41%	2.7	22.8%	12.9%	9.9%	1.2%	2.91	3.45	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	30	200	804	183	104	9	41%	2.7	22.8%	12.9%	9.9%	1.2%	2.91	3.45	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yereny Teus (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.97	21.9%	13.9%	2.9%	—	4.49	23.3%	12.0%	168	-0.48	—	—	—
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	84
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	83
Matt Osterberg L 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	20.2%	12.3%	1.7%	.255	4.04	15.6%	9.3%	274	+0.16	3.70	294	83
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	79
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	79
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.29	32.8%	19.4%	102	-1.28	3.04	255	79
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	77
Jack O'Loughlin L 2022 · 4.83 FIP	22	SW	4.83	17.0%	13.7%	2.6%	.269	4.81	17.0%	6.8%	239	-0.02	3.78	348	77
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	76
Matt Walker L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	16.7%	13.3%	1.5%	.324	4.62	15.5%	4.0%	94	+0.41	4.21	156	76
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	76
Juliandry Higuera L 2017 · 3.87 FIP	22	SU	3.87	20.0%	9.4%	2.3%	.358	4.64	13.8%	-0.3%	43	+0.77	3.87	197	76
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	75
Andre Wheeler L 2015 · 3.82 FIP	23	SW	3.82	16.8%	11.5%	1.2%	.321	5.17	16.5%	4.4%	87	+1.35	3.82	150	75
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	75
Joey Marciano L 2017 · 3.97 FIP	22	SW	3.97	15.1%	11.8%	1.2%	.266	4.99	16.3%	6.1%	153	+1.02	3.65	330	75
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.40	163	75
Shane McCain L 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.8%	9.7%	3.0%	.324	4.75	16.6%	10.0%	125	+0.41	4.34	201	74
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	74
Will Mabrey L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	22	SU	4.27	18.5%	12.6%	2.1%	.256	4.27	19.2%	6.6%	62	+0.00	4.14	128	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.5	51	23.4%	11.2%	1.10	4.54
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33