Garrett Irvin — OGILVIE

Garrett Irvin P Lansing Lugnuts

Age 27 LHP 6'0" / 205 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110118vR 126

ERA4.91

FIP4.91

K%20.8%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%8.3%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	1	12	48	18	4	0	11%	1.3	37.5%	8.3%	29.2%	0.0%	1.50	0.99	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	1	12	48	18	4	0	11%	1.3	37.5%	8.3%	29.2%	0.0%	1.50	1.10	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	72	297	92	30	7	0%	2.2	23.2%	11.6%	11.5%	3.3%	2.89	4.42	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	72	297	92	30	7	0%	2.2	23.2%	11.6%	11.5%	3.3%	2.89	4.42	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	72	297	92	30	7	0%	2.2	31.0%	10.1%	20.9%	2.4%	2.89	3.06	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	43	203	46	27	3	0%	1.1	17.7%	14.8%	2.9%	1.5%	5.82	4.32	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	43	203	46	27	3	0%	1.1	17.7%	14.8%	2.9%	1.5%	5.82	4.32	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	43	203	46	27	3	0%	1.1	22.7%	13.3%	9.4%	1.5%	5.82	3.75	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	0	7	37	10	5	0	0%	1.0	27.0%	13.5%	13.5%	0.0%	10.80	2.53	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	0	7	37	10	5	0	0%	1.0	27.0%	13.5%	13.5%	0.0%	10.80	2.53	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	0	7	37	10	5	0	0%	1.0	27.0%	13.5%	13.5%	0.0%	10.80	2.35	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	OAK	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	20.8%	12.6%	8.3%	2.9%	4.91	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	OAK	26	0	27	115	24	14	3	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.4%	8.6%	3.0%	4.90	4.93	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	OAK	10	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.4%	8.6%	3.0%	4.90	4.93	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.0	21.0%	12.4%	8.6%	3.0%	4.90	4.55	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	100	20	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.4%	8.6%	3.0%	4.90	4.55	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		86	1	134	585	133	74	13	1%	1.6	22.7%	12.6%	10.1%	2.2%	4.11	3.98	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		129	1	200	875	199	110	19	1%	1.6	22.7%	12.6%	10.1%	2.2%	4.11	3.98	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Garrett Irvin (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.91	20.8%	12.6%	2.9%	—	4.93	20.9%	8.6%	27	+0.02	—	—	—
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	86
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	84
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	83
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	83
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	82
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	82
David Rollins L 2017 · 5.58 FIP	27	SU	5.58	18.0%	12.1%	4.5%	.260	5.68	15.9%	12.5%	20	+0.10	3.59	132	81
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	81
Tony Cingrani L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	27	SU	4.19	18.1%	13.3%	1.7%	.271	3.50	32.4%	26.1%	65	-0.69	1.68	186	80
Andy Oliver L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	23.4%	16.9%	1.6%	.283	4.56	19.2%	8.6%	108	+0.40	3.93	165	79
Braulio Lara L 2016 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	17.7%	11.0%	2.5%	.289	5.80	19.8%	2.0%	40	+1.45	3.96	118	79
Bryan Harper L 2016 · 4.13 FIP	26	SU	4.13	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.197	4.63	14.9%	1.0%	46	+0.50	4.13	133	79
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	79
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	79
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	78
Hunter Cervenka L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	27	SU	5.91	18.9%	15.0%	4.6%	.282	3.10	25.9%	15.0%	81	-2.81	3.08	194	78
Adrian Gusman L 2019 · 4.31 FIP	27	SU	4.31	17.9%	9.7%	2.7%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	141	77
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	77
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	77
Sean Keselica L 2019 · 4.47 FIP	26	SU	4.47	18.0%	14.5%	1.9%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	235	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	20.9%	12.5%	1.14	4.91
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78