Jordan Woods
P
Columbia Fireflies
Age 22
LHP
6'3" / 183 lbs
A
peak 0.6 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125134vR 143
ERA5.52
FIP5.52
K%17.2%
BB%15.3%
K-BB%1.9%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 102 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Royals | 10 | 9 | 31 | 133 | 40 | 11 | 3 | 90% | 3.1 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 4.65 | 4.61 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Royals | 10 | 9 | 31 | 133 | 40 | 11 | 3 | 90% | 3.1 | 30.1% | 8.3% | 21.8% | 2.3% | 4.65 | 2.84 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 20 | 9 | 63 | 270 | 63 | 34 | 4 | 45% | 3.2 | 17.3% | 14.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 4.12 | 4.43 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 20 | 9 | 63 | 270 | 63 | 34 | 4 | 45% | 3.2 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 1.5% | 4.12 | 3.54 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 14 | 5 | 49 | 203 | 66 | 18 | 4 | 36% | 3.5 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 2.5% | 3.31 | 3.74 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | KC | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 38 | 34 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 15.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.52 | 5.52 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | KC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.2% | 15.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.52 | 5.52 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | KC | — | — | 102 | 425 | 104 | 52 | 10 | — | — | 24.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | 4.45 | 4.66 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | KC | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 43 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 13.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.27 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | KC | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 46 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 4.97 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | KC | 54 | 0 | 57 | 239 | 48 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 4.91 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | KC | 54 | 0 | 57 | 239 | 49 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | KC | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 48 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | KC | 52 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 46 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | KC | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 21 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 13.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.27 | 5.18 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | KC | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 32 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | KC | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 4.91 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | KC | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 42 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | KC | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 43 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | KC | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 43 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 249 | 0 | 261 | 1104 | 220 | 136 | 31 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.53 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 168 | 104 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.53 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 44 | 23 | 143 | 606 | 123 | 75 | 14 | 52% | 3.3 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 3.96 | 4.24 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 32 | 200 | 846 | 172 | 105 | 20 | 52% | 3.3 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 3.96 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordan Woods (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.52 | 17.2% | 15.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.99 | 19.4% | 6.6% | 167 | -0.53 | — | — | — |
| Joe Kemlage L 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .278 | 5.53 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 65 | +1.18 | 4.35 | 128 | 84 |
| Andrew Faulkner L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.84 | 18.0% | 12.8% | 3.0% | .290 | 4.18 | 17.7% | 6.6% | 142 | -0.66 | 3.78 | 252 | 83 |
| Bryce Hubbart L 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.82 | 17.0% | 26.0% | 1.6% | .303 | 5.00 | 17.4% | 3.9% | 136 | -0.82 | 4.73 | 181 | 82 |
| Colby Langford L 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.24 | 21.6% | 22.5% | 2.0% | .273 | 6.09 | 22.9% | -1.5% | 95 | +0.85 | 4.82 | 153 | 82 |
| Victor Payano L 2026 · 6.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.19 | 14.8% | 16.5% | 4.1% | .287 | 4.92 | 20.5% | 7.0% | 225 | -1.27 | 3.81 | 341 | 82 |
| Alex Winkelman L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.37 | 15.8% | 14.7% | 1.4% | .344 | 3.74 | 18.8% | 6.5% | 181 | -0.63 | 3.37 | 246 | 81 |
| Luis De Paula L 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.44 | 14.8% | 14.2% | 1.4% | .285 | 5.36 | 16.4% | 0.2% | 47 | +0.92 | 4.44 | 125 | 81 |
| Braeden Fausnaught L 2028 · 4.77 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.77 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.67 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 179 | -0.10 | 4.57 | 242 | 81 |
| Ryan Lawlor L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.36 | 16.1% | 15.8% | 1.1% | .264 | 2.43 | 25.5% | 15.1% | 119 | -1.93 | 2.24 | 201 | 81 |
| Estevan Gonzalez L 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.69 | 14.1% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .322 | 4.80 | 14.7% | 0.1% | 130 | +0.11 | 4.62 | 195 | 80 |
| Marino Santy L 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.93 | 17.6% | 16.1% | 2.3% | .322 | 4.04 | 21.6% | 3.0% | 65 | -0.89 | 2.78 | 253 | 80 |
| Gabriel Noguera L 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.41 | 15.6% | 15.0% | 1.3% | .231 | 5.34 | 14.2% | 2.1% | 95 | +0.93 | 4.41 | 174 | 80 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 80 |
| Jake Miller L 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.19 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.2% | .345 | 3.04 | 22.5% | 16.3% | 99 | -2.15 | 3.01 | 143 | 78 |
| Seth Lonsway L 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.34 | 21.2% | 14.4% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.12 | 16.0% | 4.2% | 319 | -0.22 | 3.33 | 457 | 78 |
| Austin Davis L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.07 | 14.7% | 12.4% | 3.0% | .259 | 2.95 | 23.3% | 15.8% | 151 | -2.12 | 2.22 | 486 | 78 |
| Parker Rigler L 2026 · 6.33 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.33 | 13.8% | 13.3% | 5.0% | .318 | 4.54 | 14.5% | 4.0% | 140 | -1.79 | 4.54 | 192 | 78 |
| Julian Smith L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.79 | 14.5% | 17.4% | 1.3% | .399 | 5.33 | 17.9% | 5.8% | 110 | +0.54 | 2.87 | 189 | 77 |
| Nate Peterson L 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.8% | 213 | +0.07 | 3.67 | 288 | 77 |
| Bailey Horn L 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 55 | 19.4% | 12.8% | 1.09 | 5.04 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |