Felipe De La Cruz
P
Binghamton Rumble Ponies
Age 25
LHP
6'0" / 160 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 0.7 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 127 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106116vR 125
ERA4.67
FIP4.67
K%24.7%
BB%13.6%
K-BB%11.0%
ROS IP127
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 159 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | 14 | 12 | 46 | 194 | 46 | 16 | 1 | 86% | 3.3 | 16.1% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 0.7% | 3.13 | 3.44 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | 14 | 12 | 46 | 194 | 46 | 16 | 1 | 86% | 3.3 | 23.7% | 8.2% | 15.5% | 0.5% | 3.13 | 2.43 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 6 | 36 | 151 | 53 | 16 | 3 | 50% | 3.0 | 21.7% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 4.29 | 4.55 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 6 | 36 | 151 | 53 | 16 | 3 | 50% | 3.0 | 35.1% | 10.6% | 24.5% | 2.0% | 4.29 | 2.57 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 107 | 463 | 131 | 46 | 11 | 92% | 4.5 | 21.0% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 2.1% | 4.36 | 3.97 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 107 | 463 | 131 | 46 | 11 | 92% | 4.5 | 28.3% | 9.9% | 18.4% | 2.4% | 4.36 | 3.28 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 25 | 24 | 106 | 467 | 116 | 45 | 2 | 96% | 4.2 | 19.1% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 0.3% | 4.25 | 3.06 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 25 | 24 | 106 | 467 | 116 | 45 | 2 | 96% | 4.2 | 24.8% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 0.4% | 4.25 | 2.43 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 6 | 64 | 283 | 90 | 32 | 10 | 18% | 1.9 | 26.6% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 3.6% | 5.04 | 4.38 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 6 | 64 | 283 | 90 | 32 | 10 | 18% | 1.9 | 31.8% | 11.3% | 20.5% | 3.5% | 5.04 | 3.82 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 24 | 0 | 32 | 133 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.4% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 1.1% | 2.84 | 3.53 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | NYM | 121 | 0 | 127 | 537 | 133 | 73 | 15 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.7% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.67 | +1.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | NYM | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 159 | 670 | 172 | 88 | 17 | — | — | 25.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 2.6% | 4.31 | 4.44 | +1.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 3 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 24.7% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 133 | 0 | 139 | 588 | 145 | 76 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.61 | +1.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 131 | 0 | 137 | 579 | 141 | 73 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.61 | 4.62 | +1.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 127 | 0 | 133 | 562 | 136 | 71 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.68 | +1.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 121 | 0 | 127 | 537 | 128 | 68 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.74 | 4.80 | +0.9 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | NYM | 114 | 0 | 120 | 505 | 119 | 65 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 4.88 | 4.98 | +0.6 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | NYM | 106 | 0 | 111 | 470 | 109 | 63 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 5.06 | 5.18 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 98 | 0 | 103 | 435 | 99 | 60 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 5.27 | 5.41 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 63 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 83 | 0 | 87 | 367 | 90 | 47 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.61 | 4.62 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 95 | 0 | 100 | 422 | 102 | 53 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.68 | +0.8 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 99 | 0 | 104 | 439 | 105 | 56 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.74 | 4.80 | +0.7 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | NYM | 98 | 0 | 103 | 435 | 102 | 56 | 15 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 4.88 | 4.98 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | NYM | 94 | 0 | 99 | 418 | 97 | 56 | 15 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 5.06 | 5.18 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 89 | 0 | 93 | 393 | 89 | 54 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 5.26 | 5.40 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 619 | 0 | 650 | 2743 | 650 | 357 | 89 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.53 | +6.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 110 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.53 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 132 | 70 | 391 | 1691 | 357 | 201 | 28 | 53% | 3.0 | 21.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 1.7% | 4.17 | 3.74 | +7.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 36 | 200 | 865 | 183 | 103 | 14 | 53% | 3.0 | 21.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 1.7% | 4.17 | 3.74 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Felipe De La Cruz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 24.7% | 13.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.64 | 24.4% | 11.6% | 410 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Tommy Vail L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.91 | 27.5% | 15.3% | 2.2% | .237 | 5.18 | 19.7% | 3.3% | 81 | +1.27 | 3.91 | 151 | 77 |
| Zack Thompson L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.59 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .355 | 4.75 | 24.1% | 10.1% | 107 | +0.16 | 2.03 | 402 | 75 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.35 | 20.5% | 15.0% | 3.8% | .307 | 3.48 | 21.1% | 12.6% | 150 | -1.87 | 2.34 | 338 | 74 |
| Lael Lockhart L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.22 | 22.6% | 12.9% | 2.5% | .302 | 5.47 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 271 | +1.25 | 3.71 | 484 | 73 |
| Brent Headrick L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 23.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% | .299 | 3.08 | 27.3% | 19.5% | 111 | -1.47 | 2.40 | 382 | 72 |
| Adam Wolf L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.01 | 19.4% | 10.6% | 2.2% | .292 | 4.17 | 16.8% | 5.9% | 109 | +0.16 | 3.91 | 383 | 72 |
| Nick Maronde L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 70 |
| Framber Valdez L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.82 | 25.3% | 12.2% | 2.4% | .304 | 3.02 | 23.5% | 15.2% | 407 | -0.80 | 2.47 | 1,509 | 70 |
| Chris Murphy L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.07 | 22.1% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .344 | 4.09 | 21.0% | 8.0% | 93 | +0.02 | 3.83 | 447 | 70 |
| Justin Wrobleski L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.75 | 23.3% | 8.0% | 2.9% | .305 | 3.29 | 18.3% | 13.3% | 100 | -0.46 | 0.98 | 468 | 69 |
| Edgar Barclay L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.79 | 24.5% | 13.6% | 3.7% | .307 | 5.60 | 16.5% | 4.9% | 157 | +0.81 | 2.06 | 402 | 68 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.37 | 16.7% | 11.9% | 3.9% | .273 | 6.05 | 16.6% | 6.2% | 129 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 68 |
| Brian Flynn L 2027 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 68 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .322 | 5.90 | 28.8% | 13.9% | 13 | +2.06 | 3.84 | 249 | 68 |
| Will Dion L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 19.5% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .342 | 2.44 | 28.9% | 23.8% | 49 | -1.21 | 2.44 | 496 | 67 |
| Brad Hand L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.96 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% | .326 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 25.0% | 241 | -1.15 | 0.84 | 577 | 67 |
| Kyle Bird L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.73 | 24.4% | 11.3% | 2.3% | .250 | 5.55 | 20.6% | 6.3% | 47 | +1.82 | 2.68 | 379 | 67 |
| Brandon Waddell L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.39 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 3.0% | .344 | 3.60 | 20.1% | 10.5% | 53 | -0.79 | 2.65 | 616 | 66 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2028 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 66 |
| Parker Mushinski L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.50 | 24.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .357 | 4.17 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 143 | +0.67 | 3.21 | 439 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 125 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 1.22 | 4.79 |
| Chad Kuhl ('24) | 8 | 84 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 1.31 | 4.98 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Zack Godley ('20) | 6 | 94 | 22.1% | 9.5% | 1.13 | 4.86 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |