Felipe De La Cruz
P
Binghamton Rumble Ponies
+0.5
WAR
Age 25
LHP
6'0" / 160 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.8 · 2028
ERA4.49
FIP4.49
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.6%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%12.5%
IP81
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2028
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | 14 | 12 | 46 | 194 | 46 | 16 | 1 | 16.1% | 10.3% | 0.7% | 3.13 | 3.44 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 21 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 12 | 6 | 36 | 151 | 53 | 16 | 3 | 21.7% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.62 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 24 | 22 | 107 | 463 | 131 | 46 | 11 | 21.0% | 11.7% | 2.4% | 4.36 | 4.14 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 25 | 24 | 106 | 467 | 116 | 45 | 2 | 19.1% | 11.1% | 0.4% | 4.25 | 3.12 | +2.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 33 | 6 | 64 | 283 | 90 | 32 | 10 | 26.6% | 12.1% | 3.8% | 5.04 | 4.50 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | NYM | 15 | 15 | 81 | 342 | 81 | 38 | 10 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.6 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 82 | 345 | 83 | 38 | 10 | 24.0% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 16 | 16 | 88 | 372 | 88 | 40 | 11 | 23.7% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 17 | 17 | 91 | 386 | 91 | 41 | 11 | 23.6% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 17 | 17 | 92 | 388 | 91 | 40 | 12 | 23.4% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.46 | +0.8 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 16 | 16 | 90 | 380 | 88 | 40 | 11 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.50 | +0.7 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | NYM | 16 | 16 | 87 | 368 | 85 | 39 | 11 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.56 | +0.6 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | NYM | 15 | 15 | 84 | 355 | 81 | 38 | 11 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.63 | +0.5 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 15 | 15 | 81 | 341 | 77 | 37 | 11 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.72 | +0.4 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 14 | 14 | 77 | 326 | 79 | 33 | 11 | 24.2% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 4.60 | 4.55 | +0.5 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 13 | 13 | 73 | 309 | 74 | 32 | 11 | 23.9% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.63 | 4.66 | +0.3 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 13 | 13 | 69 | 291 | 68 | 31 | 10 | 23.5% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 4.72 | 4.78 | +0.2 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | NYM | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 63 | 30 | 10 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.7% | 4.84 | 4.91 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 109 | 70 | 360 | 1561 | 328 | 182 | 30 | 21.0% | 11.7% | 1.9% | 4.27 | 3.85 | +5.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 39 | 200 | 866 | 182 | 101 | 17 | 21.0% | 11.7% | 1.9% | 4.27 | 3.85 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Felipe De La Cruz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.45 | 23.5% | 13.0% | 272 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Jack Choate L 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.27 | 22.4% | 12.6% | 2.7% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 282 | 83 |
| Damon Jones L 2025 · 3.69 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.69 | 25.9% | 13.8% | 1.9% | .266 | 4.21 | 25.5% | 7.4% | 41 | +0.52 | 3.69 | 269 | 83 |
| Kohl Drake L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.20 | 23.5% | 10.3% | 3.2% | .295 | 5.86 | 16.6% | 9.5% | 17 | +1.66 | 3.32 | 248 | 83 |
| Hayden Mullins L 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.85 | 24.0% | 13.7% | 1.9% | .240 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 191 | 82 |
| Hunter Owen L 2024 · 4.14 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.14 | 21.0% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 197 | 82 |
| Lael Lockhart L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.31 | 22.6% | 12.9% | 2.7% | .302 | 5.11 | 21.6% | 9.2% | 221 | +0.80 | 3.60 | 434 | 80 |
| Dalton Sawyer L 2024 · 4.07 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.07 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 160 | 78 |
| Jonathan Santucci L 2023 · 3.63 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.63 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 118 | 78 |
| Sam Garcia L 2024 · 5.14 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.14 | 18.5% | 12.7% | 3.6% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.14 | 101 | 78 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.87 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 236 | 78 |
| Nick Sando L 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 20.6% | 12.7% | 2.2% | .251 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 154 | 78 |
| Zack Thompson L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.56 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .355 | 4.78 | 24.1% | 10.1% | 107 | +0.22 | 2.03 | 402 | 77 |
| Nick Maronde L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.82 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 2.1% | .359 | 3.62 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.20 | 3.62 | 133 | 77 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.38 | 20.5% | 15.0% | 3.8% | .307 | 3.30 | 21.4% | 13.1% | 116 | -2.08 | 2.32 | 304 | 77 |
| Brent Headrick L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.64 | 23.5% | 8.5% | 4.5% | .299 | 3.62 | 27.0% | 19.6% | 65 | -1.02 | 3.39 | 335 | 76 |
| Adam Wolf L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.91 | 19.4% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .292 | 4.19 | 16.8% | 5.9% | 109 | +0.28 | 3.91 | 383 | 76 |
| Avery Weems L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.89 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | .323 | 5.15 | 20.5% | 12.3% | 38 | +0.26 | 2.46 | 227 | 76 |
| Matt Moore L 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.14 | 21.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .323 | 4.53 | 19.7% | 11.3% | 475 | +0.39 | 2.83 | 845 | 75 |
| Trey Dombroski L 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.76 | 20.1% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 329 | 75 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2028 · 5.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.44 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.3% | .289 | 5.28 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | -0.16 | 5.28 | 128 | 75 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.8 | $3M | +$3M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.5 | $3M | +$0.6M |
| Totals | $6M | $16M | +$10M | ||