Chris Murphy
P
Chicago White Sox
+0.0
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 28
LHP
6'1" / 186 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2027
ERA4.42
FIP4.59
xFIP5.48
SIERA5.08
K%21.7%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%10.2%
IP31
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2027
STUF5050
CTRL2525
CMD3535
K†5050
FB Velo
p4794.3
Whiff%
p5826.5%
K%
p3720.3%
xwOBA vs
p510.311
CH+0.7 (8%)
SI (16%)
CU (16%)
FB-0.6 (38%)
SL-2.5 (39%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 21 | 20 | 101 | 424 | 128 | 36 | 21 | 23.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.62 | 6.20 | -1.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 30 | 28 | 152 | 647 | 149 | 72 | 14 | 19.3% | 11.9% | 2.5% | 4.03 | 4.38 | +1.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 35 | 9 | 100 | 464 | 110 | 48 | 12 | 22.1% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 5.65 | 4.14 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 41 | 5 | 62 | 264 | 59 | 35 | 5 | 20.7% | 13.7% | 2.1% | 3.03 | 4.24 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 6 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 10.50 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | CWS | 6 | — | 6 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 12 | 59 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 20.1% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 7.49 | 2.50 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 30 | — | 30 | 127 | 27 | 17 | 4 | 21.0% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.83 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 29 | — | 29 | 123 | 25 | 16 | 4 | 20.6% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.92 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 133 | 62 | 422 | 1831 | 388 | 209 | 66 | 21.2% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 4.50 | 4.74 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 29 | 200 | 868 | 184 | 99 | 31 | 21.2% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 4.50 | 4.74 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Murphy (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.89 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 2.8% | — | 4.99 | 20.8% | 7.6% | 59 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 81 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 80 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.65 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 133 | 79 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.16 | 15.5% | 11.8% | 3.4% | .324 | 5.04 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 53 | -0.12 | 3.29 | 228 | 79 |
| Marlon Arias L 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .330 | 3.73 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.57 | 3.73 | 154 | 79 |
| Josh Osich L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.26 | 21.4% | 12.9% | 4.2% | .328 | 4.44 | 21.1% | 14.1% | 143 | -0.82 | 3.41 | 315 | 78 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 78 |
| Dan Runzler L 2028 · 3.78 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.78 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.03 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.25 | 3.78 | 127 | 78 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.23 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 2.3% | .265 | 3.56 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 166 | -0.67 | 3.06 | 299 | 76 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.80 | 19.8% | 17.8% | 3.9% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 118 | 76 |
| Mike Minor L 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.65 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.9% | .330 | 3.73 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 443 | -1.92 | 2.38 | 807 | 75 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.19 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.0% | .308 | 5.03 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.84 | 3.48 | 134 | 75 |
| Justin Wright L 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.43 | 14.7% | 13.7% | 1.5% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.28 | 109 | 74 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2027 · 5.45 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.45 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .356 | 4.80 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.65 | 3.45 | 512 | 74 |
| Colton Johnson L 2025 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.53 | 12.2% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 106 | 74 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 74 |
| Aaron Brown L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.02 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .317 | 4.77 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 269 | 74 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.82 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.0% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 244 | 74 |
| Trevor Lane L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.05 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.14 | 246 | 74 |
| Ryan Och L 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.84 | 19.5% | 13.9% | 1.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.54 | 124 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.