Yeremmy Cabeza — OGILVIE

Yeremmy Cabeza P ACL Rockies

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.16

FIP4.16

K%22.1%

BB%7.2%

K-BB%14.8%

ROS IP45

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4050

CMD3050

K†5560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	7	3	21	91	22	4	0	43%	3.0	16.4%	5.5%	10.9%	0.0%	5.14	2.41	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	7	3	21	91	22	4	0	43%	3.0	16.4%	5.5%	10.9%	0.0%	5.14	2.41	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	7	3	21	91	22	4	0	43%	3.0	24.2%	4.4%	19.8%	0.0%	5.14	1.58	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	1	1	1	6	0	2	0	100%	0.7	0.0%	33.3%	-33.3%	0.0%	27.00	7.32	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	1	1	1	6	0	2	0	100%	0.7	0.0%	33.3%	-33.3%	0.0%	27.00	7.32	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	1	1	1	6	0	2	0	100%	0.7	0.0%	33.3%	-33.3%	0.0%	27.00	12.10	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	1	1	5	20	5	1	0	100%	5.0	—	—	—	—	0.00	—	—
YTD	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	1	1	5	20	5	1	0	100%	5.0	—	—	—	—	0.00	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	COL	1	1	5	20	5	1	0	100%	5.0	25.0%	5.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.62	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	COL	8	8	46	195	45	14	6	100%	5.8	22.9%	7.1%	15.8%	2.9%	4.10	4.05	+0.5
2028	24	MLB MLE	COL	8	8	48	201	47	14	6	100%	5.9	23.5%	7.1%	16.4%	2.9%	4.04	3.98	+0.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	COL	8	8	48	203	48	14	6	100%	6.0	23.9%	7.0%	16.8%	2.9%	3.99	3.94	+0.6
2030	26	MLB MLE	COL	8	8	48	203	49	14	6	100%	6.0	24.1%	7.1%	17.0%	2.9%	3.96	3.93	+0.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	COL	8	8	47	200	48	14	6	100%	5.9	24.1%	7.1%	16.9%	2.9%	3.96	3.97	+0.5
2027	23	MLB CTX	COL	4	4	23	97	22	7	3	100%	5.8	22.9%	7.1%	15.8%	3.4%	4.34	4.29	+0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	COL	6	6	33	139	33	10	5	100%	5.5	23.5%	7.1%	16.4%	3.3%	4.28	4.22	+0.4
2029	25	MLB CTX	COL	7	7	39	165	39	12	5	100%	5.6	23.9%	7.0%	16.8%	3.3%	4.23	4.18	+0.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	COL	7	7	42	177	43	13	6	100%	6.0	24.1%	7.1%	17.0%	3.3%	4.20	4.17	+0.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	COL	7	7	43	182	44	13	6	100%	6.1	24.1%	7.1%	16.9%	3.4%	4.21	4.22	+0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		31	31	180	759	180	54	25	100%	5.8	23.8%	7.1%	16.7%	3.3%	4.24	3.83	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	200	60	28	100%	5.8	23.8%	7.1%	16.7%	3.3%	4.24	3.83	+2.6
Career	—	MLE		9	5	27	117	20	8	0	56%	3.0	17.1%	6.8%	10.2%	0.0%	4.72	2.53	+2.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	38	200	878	150	60	0	56%	3.0	17.1%	6.8%	10.2%	0.0%	4.72	2.53	+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yeremmy Cabeza (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.16	22.1%	7.2%	3.0%	—	3.99	23.4%	16.4%	142	-0.17	—	—	—
Connor Cooke R 2022 · 3.35 FIP	22	SP-	3.35	23.7%	8.4%	2.2%	.350	4.13	24.0%	11.4%	56	+0.78	2.93	103	88
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	85
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	85
J.C. Flowers R 2021 · 3.59 FIP	23	SP-	3.59	21.3%	8.7%	2.1%	.330	4.86	16.2%	2.6%	184	+1.27	3.59	281	82
Nick Fraze R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	23	SP-	4.49	18.8%	7.3%	3.8%	.271	4.70	17.9%	10.2%	162	+0.21	3.86	278	82
Evan McKendry R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	18.4%	5.5%	3.6%	.256	5.11	18.0%	11.7%	324	+0.91	4.20	474	81
Javi Rivera R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	22	SP-	3.78	22.3%	7.9%	2.9%	.259	3.72	18.6%	9.0%	93	-0.06	2.81	274	81
Rico Garcia R 2017 · 3.37 FIP	23	SP-	3.37	18.8%	7.0%	1.8%	.316	4.07	19.8%	11.5%	296	+0.70	3.37	587	81
Duque Hebbert R 2023 · 3.18 FIP	21	SP-	3.18	17.8%	4.8%	1.8%	.324	4.54	13.4%	6.1%	130	+1.36	3.18	168	80
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	80
Clay Chandler R 2017 · 4.97 FIP	23	SP-	4.97	18.3%	6.0%	4.8%	.319	4.89	14.8%	8.8%	293	-0.08	4.49	328	80
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	80
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	80
Sam Benschoter R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SP-	3.71	26.3%	9.2%	3.0%	.344	4.98	18.5%	8.4%	306	+1.27	3.62	441	78
Brandon Bailey R 2017 · 3.54 FIP	22	SP-	3.54	24.6%	9.9%	2.3%	.290	4.44	21.2%	9.6%	215	+0.90	3.54	306	78
Caleb Sampen R 2018 · 3.46 FIP	22	SP	3.46	21.7%	8.3%	2.1%	.358	3.49	15.2%	6.8%	139	+0.03	3.09	213	78
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	77
Carson Rudd R 2021 · 3.39 FIP	22	SP-	3.39	25.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.351	5.24	21.6%	5.6%	193	+1.85	3.39	242	77
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	77
Ian Bedell R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	23	SP-	3.73	21.0%	10.1%	2.1%	.285	5.59	18.4%	8.7%	178	+1.86	3.73	274	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	47	23.4%	7.1%	1.13	4.03
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Chris Devenski ('24)	1.9	62	26.0%	6.9%	1.25	3.61
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47