Rico Garcia
P
Baltimore Orioles
+0.4
WAR
Age 32
RHP
5'9" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.71
FIP4.54
xFIP2.90
SIERA2.64
K%25.7%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%15.4%
IP56
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†6060
FB+3.0 (37%)
SL+1.8 (25%)
CH+0.8 (22%)
CU (16%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 23 | A | Asheville Tourists | 8 | 4 | 28 | 118 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 2.57 | 3.43 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 27 | 26 | 167 | 680 | 162 | 42 | 20 | 18.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 2.96 | 3.86 | +2.7 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 28 | 27 | 135 | 572 | 140 | 56 | 21 | 21.3% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.29 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 12 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 7 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 5.40 | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 30 | 3 | 53 | 218 | 62 | 21 | 8 | 25.0% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 2.36 | 4.95 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 34 | 0 | 39 | 182 | 46 | 26 | 8 | 22.9% | 14.8% | 4.5% | 4.81 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 55 | 0 | 62 | 261 | 89 | 28 | 9 | 30.0% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 3.94 | 4.11 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 53 | 3 | 65 | 277 | 75 | 29 | 12 | 25.5% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 3.76 | 4.57 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 9 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | COL | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 53 | 20 | 7 | 26.5% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 4.73 | 4.46 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | COL | — | — | 56 | 228 | 63 | 23 | 7 | 27.4% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 3.97 | 3.74 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | COL | 54 | — | 54 | 226 | 59 | 23 | 8 | 26.3% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.46 | 4.40 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | COL | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 54 | 22 | 7 | 25.4% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.50 | 4.54 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | COL | 48 | — | 48 | 202 | 50 | 21 | 7 | 24.6% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 4.60 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | COL | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 45 | 20 | 7 | 23.8% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.83 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 256 | 63 | 568 | 2382 | 533 | 229 | 79 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 3.58 | 4.25 | +6.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 22 | 200 | 838 | 188 | 81 | 28 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 3.58 | 4.25 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Rico Garcia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 26.5% | 10.2% | 3.5% | — | 4.53 | 25.5% | 15.0% | 152 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 86 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 86 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.65 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.36 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.71 | 3.65 | 137 | 85 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 84 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 83 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.37 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% | .319 | 2.59 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.78 | 2.00 | 380 | 83 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 82 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.88 | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .247 | 3.28 | 23.0% | 13.8% | 141 | -0.60 | 2.80 | 284 | 82 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 82 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.99 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .291 | 5.41 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 36 | +1.42 | 2.93 | 176 | 81 |
| Blake Wood R 2025 · 3.35 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.35 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 210 | 80 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.52 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 115 | 79 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.53 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .338 | 4.03 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 97 | +0.50 | 2.80 | 410 | 79 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 78 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 78 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 77 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.63 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | .240 | 5.25 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.62 | 3.10 | 120 | 76 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 76 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.77 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.2% | .280 | 3.48 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.29 | 3.02 | 363 | 76 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2024 · 3.62 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.62 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 224 | 76 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.