Rico Garcia
P
Baltimore Orioles
Age 32
RHP
5'9" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION175 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA3.82
FIP3.75
xFIP2.90
SIERA2.64
K%28.2%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%18.6%
IP175
K†6565
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
FB+3.0 (36%)
SL+1.8 (24%)
CH+0.8 (24%)
CU (17%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 23 | A | Asheville Tourists | 8 | 4 | 28 | 118 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | 2.57 | 3.21 | +0.4 |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 27 | 26 | 167 | 680 | 162 | 42 | 20 | 18.7% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 2.96 | 3.55 | +3.6 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 28 | 27 | 135 | 572 | 140 | 56 | 21 | 21.3% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.16 | +2.0 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 12 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15.9% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 5.40 | 4.16 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 30 | 3 | 53 | 218 | 62 | 21 | 8 | 25.0% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 2.36 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 34 | 0 | 39 | 182 | 46 | 26 | 8 | 22.9% | 14.8% | 4.4% | 4.81 | 5.45 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 55 | 0 | 62 | 261 | 89 | 28 | 9 | 30.0% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 3.94 | 4.13 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 53 | 3 | 65 | 277 | 75 | 29 | 12 | 25.5% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 3.76 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 31 | 0 | 29 | 104 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 29.8% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 1.26 | 3.14 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | BAL | 27 | 27 | 146 | 618 | 174 | 59 | 20 | 28.2% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 3.82 | 3.75 | +2.8 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 175 | 722 | 205 | 67 | 23 | 28.4% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 3.40 | 3.65 | +3.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 29 | 29 | 161 | 678 | 179 | 67 | 24 | 26.5% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 4.37 | 4.46 | +1.8 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 27 | 27 | 146 | 617 | 156 | 63 | 24 | 25.2% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 4.59 | 4.75 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | BAL | 24 | 24 | 131 | 554 | 133 | 59 | 23 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 4.86 | 5.06 | +0.5 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | BAL | 21 | 21 | 116 | 490 | 113 | 55 | 22 | 23.0% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 5.18 | 5.40 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 278 | 63 | 588 | 2456 | 554 | 234 | 76 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 3.52 | 4.10 | +9.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 95 | 21 | 200 | 835 | 188 | 80 | 26 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 3.52 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Rico Garcia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 27.3% | 10.2% | 3.4% | — | 4.74 | 25.3% | 15.1% | 438 | +0.39 | — | — | — |
| Justin Verlander R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.51 | 21.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | .265 | 3.18 | 29.6% | 23.4% | 648 | -0.33 | 2.24 | 1,584 | 55 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.49 | 18.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.58 | 17.3% | 9.6% | 253 | +1.09 | 3.49 | 393 | 47 |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.92 | 22.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 44 |
| Manuel Flores R 2025 · 3.55 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.55 | 15.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | .305 | 4.08 | 17.1% | 9.7% | 122 | +0.53 | 3.55 | 515 | 44 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.63 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 1.9% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 593 | 44 |
| Jason Hammel R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.43 | 24.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | .282 | 4.26 | 18.4% | 11.9% | 474 | +0.83 | 3.43 | 645 | 44 |
| Mike Fiers R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.90 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 4.5% | .290 | 4.76 | 17.5% | 11.5% | 416 | -0.14 | 3.72 | 918 | 43 |
| Aníbal Sánchez R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.07 | 20.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | .313 | 4.18 | 21.5% | 14.8% | 424 | -0.89 | 3.49 | 869 | 42 |
| Jordan Zimmermann R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.03 | 20.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | .286 | 4.57 | 16.3% | 11.7% | 112 | -0.46 | 3.57 | 731 | 42 |
| Nestor Molina R 2024 · 4.12 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.12 | 16.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 401 | 42 |
| Andrew Cashner R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.44 | 17.0% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 786 | 41 |
| Jake Peavy R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.09 | 17.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | .278 | 4.36 | 19.6% | 12.9% | 119 | +0.27 | 4.09 | 262 | 41 |
| Tanner Roark R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.36 | 21.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | .313 | 4.76 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 94 | +0.40 | 3.13 | 942 | 41 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.14 | 19.6% | 11.1% | 2.3% | .315 | 5.02 | 21.5% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.88 | 3.67 | 469 | 41 |
| Miguel González R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.73 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | .295 | 4.74 | 14.1% | 6.3% | 168 | +1.01 | 3.73 | 469 | 40 |
| Daniel McCutchen R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.47 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | .268 | 4.60 | 10.8% | 4.9% | 155 | +0.13 | 4.47 | 287 | 39 |
| Brad Peacock R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.04 | 25.1% | 8.1% | 3.7% | .261 | 4.12 | 22.8% | 12.5% | 96 | +0.08 | 2.88 | 533 | 39 |
| Merrill Kelly R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.83 | 19.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | .297 | 3.64 | 23.4% | 15.3% | 452 | -0.19 | 3.54 | 1,073 | 39 |
| Jake Arrieta R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.03 | 19.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .283 | 4.89 | 17.9% | 9.6% | 279 | +0.86 | 2.09 | 1,046 | 38 |
| Yu Darvish R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.83 | 31.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% | .258 | 3.24 | 28.0% | 22.7% | 437 | -0.59 | 1.91 | 1,253 | 38 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.