Hunter Gregory
P
New Hampshire Fisher Cats
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AA
ERA5.08
FIP5.08
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.4%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%9.0%
IP62
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL5050
CMD5050
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 6 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 13.50 | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 10 | 6 | 32 | 145 | 40 | 11 | 3 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 7.24 | 3.91 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 26 | 11 | 60 | 267 | 67 | 26 | 6 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 1.9% | 4.65 | 4.01 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 43 | 2 | 76 | 341 | 91 | 38 | 6 | 21.6% | 12.3% | 1.8% | 5.54 | 3.81 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 44 | 1 | 56 | 255 | 60 | 34 | 10 | 19.4% | 14.4% | 5.2% | 5.17 | 6.14 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 11 | 11 | 62 | 261 | 56 | 32 | 9 | 21.4% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 5.08 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 11 | 11 | 61 | 258 | 55 | 31 | 9 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 5.02 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 54 | 30 | 8 | 21.5% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 5.00 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 52 | 29 | 8 | 21.4% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 5.01 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 50 | 28 | 8 | 21.2% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 5.06 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 54 | — | 54 | 226 | 47 | 27 | 8 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 3.5% | 5.14 | 5.19 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 45 | 27 | 8 | 20.7% | 12.3% | 3.6% | 5.23 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 49 | — | 49 | 205 | 42 | 26 | 8 | 20.3% | 12.5% | 3.7% | 5.33 | 5.40 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 46 | — | 46 | 193 | 39 | 25 | 7 | 19.9% | 12.7% | 3.8% | 5.44 | 5.52 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | TOR | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 4.0% | 5.57 | 5.65 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 129 | 20 | 230 | 1041 | 213 | 126 | 31 | 20.5% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 5.67 | 4.52 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 112 | 17 | 200 | 904 | 185 | 109 | 27 | 20.5% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 5.67 | 4.52 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hunter Gregory (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.08 | 21.4% | 12.3% | 3.3% | — | 5.03 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 178 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 86 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +1.00 | 4.46 | 215 | 86 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.29 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.94 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 146 | 85 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .211 | 4.46 | 24.6% | 14.3% | 98 | +0.20 | 4.26 | 258 | 85 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.02 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 242 | 85 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.95 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.95 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .320 | 4.89 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | -0.06 | 3.69 | 239 | 85 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 85 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.04 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.5% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 117 | 84 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.81 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.2% | .341 | 4.59 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | -0.22 | 3.74 | 223 | 84 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 1.9% | .256 | 2.69 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.57 | 2.69 | 125 | 84 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.41 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .360 | 5.38 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.97 | 3.46 | 173 | 84 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.54 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 84 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 84 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 83 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 83 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 83 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.3% | .274 | 6.70 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.77 | 4.76 | 183 | 83 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2024 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.76 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 106 | 83 |
| Alex Hoppe R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 2.0% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 176 | 83 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .355 | 4.49 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | -0.08 | 3.70 | 187 | 82 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.