Hunter Gregory
P
Wichita Wind Surge
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION14 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 124
ERA5.47
FIP5.47
K%20.2%
BB%13.8%
K-BB%6.4%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 84 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 6 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 13.50 | 6.04 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 6 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 13.50 | 6.93 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 10 | 6 | 32 | 145 | 40 | 11 | 3 | 60% | 3.2 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 7.24 | 3.98 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 10 | 6 | 32 | 145 | 40 | 11 | 3 | 60% | 3.2 | 27.6% | 7.6% | 20.0% | 2.1% | 7.24 | 2.85 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 11 | 60 | 267 | 67 | 26 | 6 | 42% | 2.3 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 4.65 | 3.87 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 11 | 60 | 267 | 67 | 26 | 6 | 42% | 2.3 | 25.1% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 2.2% | 4.65 | 3.47 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 43 | 2 | 76 | 341 | 91 | 38 | 6 | 5% | 1.8 | 21.6% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 1.6% | 5.54 | 3.73 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 43 | 2 | 76 | 341 | 91 | 38 | 6 | 5% | 1.8 | 26.7% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 1.8% | 5.54 | 3.23 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 1 | 56 | 255 | 60 | 34 | 10 | 2% | 1.3 | 19.4% | 14.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.17 | 6.65 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 1 | 56 | 255 | 60 | 34 | 10 | 2% | 1.3 | 23.5% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 5.17 | 5.11 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 11 | 0 | 14 | 67 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.1% | 4.9% | 13.2% | 1.8% | 7.07 | 3.18 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIN | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 60 | 41 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.47 | 5.47 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.47 | 5.47 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 84 | 363 | 75 | 44 | 11 | — | — | 20.6% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 5.74 | 5.09 | -0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.2% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.47 | 5.09 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 58 | 39 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 5.40 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 56 | 37 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 5.42 | 5.48 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 58 | 0 | 61 | 257 | 52 | 35 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.51 | 5.60 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 5.40 | 5.44 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 5.42 | 5.48 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.51 | 5.60 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 99 | 0 | 104 | 441 | 89 | 59 | 16 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 5.45 | 5.14 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 170 | 113 | 31 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 5.45 | 5.14 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 140 | 20 | 244 | 1108 | 225 | 130 | 33 | 14% | 1.7 | 20.3% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 5.75 | 4.50 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 115 | 16 | 200 | 907 | 184 | 106 | 27 | 14% | 1.7 | 20.3% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 5.75 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hunter Gregory (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.47 | 20.2% | 13.8% | 3.5% | — | 5.50 | 20.3% | 6.9% | 194 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 86 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 86 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 84 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 84 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 84 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 84 |
| Mike Adams R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 83 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 83 |
| Chris Beck R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.83 | 17.4% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .305 | 5.33 | 18.1% | 9.3% | 41 | +0.50 | 3.11 | 313 | 83 |
| Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 83 |
| Fernery Ozuna R 2026 · 5.77 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.77 | 19.5% | 13.5% | 4.7% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 157 | 83 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 83 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 82 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 82 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2024 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 81 |
| Matt Lollis R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.05 | 19.2% | 14.5% | 3.2% | .221 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 120 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 80 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.06 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 183 | 80 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 79 |
| Michael Blazek R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.09 | 17.9% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .336 | 4.52 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 124 | -0.57 | 3.05 | 221 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 66 | 20.3% | 13.5% | 1.42 | 5.45 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |