Evan McKendry — OGILVIE

Evan McKendry P Charlotte Knights

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.05

FIP5.05

K%13.0%

BB%5.4%

K-BB%7.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL6565

CMD4545

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	GCL Rays	2	2	4	14	2	0	0	100%	2.0	14.3%	0.0%	14.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.89	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	GCL Rays	2	2	4	14	2	0	0	100%	2.0	14.3%	0.0%	14.3%	0.0%	0.00	2.10	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	21	10	63	251	60	12	7	48%	3.0	18.4%	5.5%	12.9%	3.6%	3.73	4.20	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	21	10	63	251	60	12	7	48%	3.0	23.9%	4.8%	19.1%	2.8%	3.73	3.21	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	19	95	396	97	13	17	83%	4.1	20.1%	3.6%	16.5%	5.2%	3.99	4.70	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	19	95	396	97	13	17	83%	4.1	24.5%	3.3%	21.2%	4.3%	3.99	3.80	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	28	23	142	595	130	46	27	82%	5.1	18.1%	7.0%	11.2%	5.5%	4.30	5.48	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	28	23	142	595	130	46	27	82%	5.1	18.1%	7.0%	11.2%	5.5%	4.30	5.48	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	28	23	142	595	130	46	27	82%	5.1	21.8%	7.7%	14.1%	4.5%	4.30	4.71	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	24	10	87	370	69	33	12	42%	3.6	15.5%	8.0%	7.5%	3.9%	5.30	4.96	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	24	10	87	370	69	33	12	42%	3.6	15.5%	8.0%	7.5%	3.9%	5.30	4.96	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	24	10	87	370	69	33	12	42%	3.6	18.6%	8.9%	9.7%	3.2%	5.30	4.45	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	24	14	87	383	61	17	17	58%	3.6	13.2%	4.0%	9.2%	3.7%	5.26	4.52	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	24	14	87	383	61	17	17	58%	3.6	13.2%	4.0%	9.2%	3.7%	5.26	4.52	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	24	14	87	383	61	17	17	58%	3.6	15.9%	4.4%	11.5%	4.4%	5.26	4.82	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	CWS	1	1	6	25	3	1	1	100%	6.0	13.0%	5.4%	7.5%	3.6%	5.05	5.05	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CWS	11	11	66	280	38	17	10	100%	6.0	13.8%	6.0%	7.7%	3.7%	5.05	5.10	-0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	CWS	10	10	62	263	37	17	10	100%	6.2	14.1%	6.6%	7.6%	3.8%	5.13	5.22	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	CWS	4	4	24	101	14	6	4	100%	6.0	13.8%	6.0%	7.7%	3.7%	5.05	5.10	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	CWS	6	6	34	144	20	9	5	100%	5.7	14.1%	6.6%	7.6%	3.8%	5.13	5.22	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	10	59	248	35	16	9	100%	5.9	14.0%	6.3%	7.6%	3.8%	5.10	4.79	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	119	55	31	100%	6.1	14.0%	6.3%	7.6%	3.8%	5.10	4.79	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		122	78	478	2009	344	114	91	64%	3.9	17.1%	5.7%	11.4%	4.5%	4.48	4.86	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	33	200	841	144	48	38	64%	3.9	17.1%	5.7%	11.4%	4.5%	4.48	4.86	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Evan McKendry (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.05	13.0%	5.4%	3.6%	—	5.16	13.9%	7.6%	128	+0.11	—	—	—
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	83
Ivan Zavala R 2015 · 4.51 FIP	28	SP-	4.51	7.0%	4.7%	2.6%	.312	4.73	12.2%	4.3%	50	+0.22	4.27	209	82
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	81
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	81
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	80
Odrisamer Despaigne R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	12.6%	5.3%	3.0%	.289	3.81	15.5%	7.0%	329	-0.56	3.13	593	79
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	78
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	78
Jason Berken R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	31	SW	4.34	13.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.315	4.54	11.5%	3.2%	106	+0.20	4.34	219	78
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	77
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	77
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	77
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	77
Andres Ivan Meza R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	28	SP	4.45	10.9%	5.6%	2.9%	.322	4.14	12.5%	4.0%	85	-0.31	4.14	275	75
Mike Augliera R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	25	SP-	4.27	12.0%	7.2%	2.3%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	114	75
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	75
Tony Bucciferro R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	25	SP-	5.11	6.8%	6.2%	3.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	5.11	107	74
Frank Batista R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	26	SP-	4.29	12.1%	8.2%	2.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	118	74
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	74
Omar Bencomo R 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP-	4.50	18.9%	6.3%	4.0%	.333	4.48	14.9%	10.1%	186	-0.02	3.70	381	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	13.6%	6.0%	1.43	5.08
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Paolo Espino ('22)	1.2	82	19.4%	5.6%	1.82	4.70