Evan McKendry
P
Charlotte Knights
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 114
ERA5.02
FIP5.02
K%13.8%
BB%6.3%
K-BB%7.5%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Rays | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.89 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Rays | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.10 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 21 | 10 | 63 | 251 | 60 | 12 | 7 | 48% | 3.0 | 18.4% | 5.5% | 12.9% | 3.6% | 3.73 | 4.24 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 21 | 10 | 63 | 251 | 60 | 12 | 7 | 48% | 3.0 | 23.9% | 4.8% | 19.1% | 2.8% | 3.73 | 3.21 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 19 | 95 | 396 | 97 | 13 | 17 | 83% | 4.1 | 20.1% | 3.6% | 16.5% | 5.3% | 3.99 | 4.76 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 19 | 95 | 396 | 97 | 13 | 17 | 83% | 4.1 | 24.5% | 3.3% | 21.2% | 4.3% | 3.99 | 3.80 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 28 | 23 | 142 | 595 | 130 | 46 | 27 | 82% | 5.1 | 19.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 4.30 | 5.89 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 28 | 23 | 142 | 595 | 130 | 46 | 27 | 82% | 5.1 | 21.8% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 4.5% | 4.30 | 4.71 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 24 | 10 | 87 | 370 | 69 | 33 | 12 | 42% | 3.6 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.30 | 5.29 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 24 | 10 | 87 | 370 | 69 | 33 | 12 | 42% | 3.6 | 18.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 5.30 | 4.45 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 24 | 14 | 87 | 383 | 61 | 17 | 17 | 58% | 3.6 | 14.0% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 5.26 | 4.14 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 24 | 14 | 87 | 383 | 61 | 17 | 17 | 58% | 3.6 | 15.9% | 4.4% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 5.26 | 4.82 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 69 | 293 | 40 | 18 | 10 | 100% | 6.3 | 13.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 5.02 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 66 | 280 | 41 | 19 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 5.03 | 5.08 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 10 | 10 | 62 | 263 | 39 | 19 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 14.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 5.11 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 5.03 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 14.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 5.11 | 5.20 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 10 | 59 | 248 | 36 | 18 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 5.08 | 4.77 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 123 | 61 | 31 | 100% | 6.1 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 5.08 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 122 | 78 | 478 | 2009 | 357 | 129 | 94 | 64% | 3.9 | 17.7% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 4.48 | 4.99 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 33 | 200 | 841 | 149 | 54 | 39 | 64% | 3.9 | 17.7% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 4.48 | 4.99 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Evan McKendry (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.02 | 13.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | — | 5.14 | 14.7% | 7.6% | 128 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Kris Medlen R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 84 |
| Ivan Zavala R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.50 | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | .312 | 4.84 | 12.2% | 4.3% | 50 | +0.34 | 4.31 | 209 | 81 |
| Colin Bates R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 111 | 81 |
| Scott McGregor R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.19 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 107 | 81 |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 80 |
| Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 80 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2029 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.68 | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .346 | 4.95 | 8.4% | -0.8% | 52 | +0.27 | 4.68 | 104 | 80 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.54 | 12.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.95 | 15.5% | 7.0% | 329 | -0.59 | 3.16 | 593 | 79 |
| Jason Berken R 2029 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 79 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.93 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .303 | 4.49 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 169 | +0.56 | 3.57 | 283 | 78 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.46 | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .365 | 4.29 | 16.3% | 8.4% | 54 | -0.17 | 4.29 | 125 | 77 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2027 · 6.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.00 | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.44 | 10.6% | -0.4% | 53 | -0.56 | 5.44 | 117 | 76 |
| Frank Batista R 2024 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.33 | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 118 | 76 |
| Mike Augliera R 2023 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 114 | 76 |
| David Griffin R 2025 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 75 |
| Aldo Montes R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.65 | 12.4% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.41 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 75 | -0.24 | 4.41 | 210 | 75 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 75 |
| Omar Bencomo R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 18.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | .333 | 4.43 | 14.9% | 10.1% | 186 | +0.05 | 3.67 | 381 | 75 |
| Matt Cain R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 75 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.37 | 10.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | .322 | 4.25 | 12.5% | 4.0% | 85 | -0.12 | 4.25 | 275 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 14.4% | 6.8% | 1.39 | 5.05 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |
| Josh Fleming ('24) | 5 | 51 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 1.17 | 4.77 |