Evan McKendry
P
Charlotte Knights
+0.3
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.86
FIP4.86
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%17.4%
BB%7.1%
K-BB%10.3%
IP92
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
STUF3535
CTRL6565
CMD4545
K†3040
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Rays | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 21 | 10 | 63 | 251 | 60 | 12 | 7 | 18.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.73 | 4.19 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 23 | 19 | 95 | 396 | 97 | 13 | 17 | 20.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.99 | 4.70 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 28 | 23 | 142 | 595 | 130 | 46 | 27 | 19.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.30 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 24 | 10 | 87 | 370 | 69 | 33 | 12 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 5.30 | 4.99 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 24 | 14 | 87 | 383 | 61 | 17 | 17 | 14.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.26 | 4.50 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 17 | 17 | 92 | 387 | 60 | 26 | 14 | 15.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 4.96 | 4.96 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 16 | 16 | 90 | 378 | 61 | 26 | 13 | 16.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 4.92 | 4.94 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 16 | 16 | 87 | 367 | 60 | 26 | 13 | 16.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 4.91 | 4.95 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 15 | 15 | 84 | 354 | 58 | 26 | 13 | 16.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 4.94 | 4.99 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 15 | 15 | 80 | 340 | 55 | 25 | 12 | 16.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 5.00 | 5.05 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 14 | 14 | 77 | 325 | 58 | 22 | 12 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.93 | 4.88 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 13 | 13 | 73 | 309 | 54 | 22 | 12 | 17.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 4.97 | 4.99 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 13 | 13 | 69 | 291 | 50 | 21 | 12 | 17.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 5.05 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 46 | 20 | 11 | 16.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 5.17 | 5.25 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 122 | 78 | 478 | 2009 | 357 | 129 | 90 | 17.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.48 | 4.87 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 33 | 200 | 841 | 149 | 54 | 38 | 17.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.48 | 4.87 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Evan McKendry (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.96 | 15.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | — | 4.96 | 16.3% | 9.2% | 260 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 250 | 91 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.95 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | .299 | 2.78 | 29.9% | 20.6% | 142 | -1.17 | 2.49 | 373 | 89 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.95 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .303 | 4.69 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 169 | +0.74 | 3.69 | 283 | 88 |
| Kris Medlen R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | .261 | 5.17 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.41 | 4.58 | 261 | 87 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.64 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | .327 | 3.81 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -0.83 | 3.39 | 316 | 86 |
| Jason Berken R 2029 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.51 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | +0.15 | 4.36 | 219 | 86 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .286 | 4.13 | 15.7% | 6.4% | 120 | +0.24 | 3.89 | 248 | 85 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.41 | 10.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.14 | 12.5% | 4.0% | 85 | -0.27 | 4.14 | 275 | 85 |
| Jose Pina R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.86 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .231 | 3.67 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.19 | 3.65 | 424 | 85 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.34 | 12.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | .289 | 3.82 | 15.5% | 7.0% | 329 | -0.52 | 3.14 | 593 | 84 |
| Donovan Hand R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.31 | 11.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | .305 | 4.54 | 12.5% | 5.7% | 140 | +0.23 | 4.31 | 237 | 84 |
| Scott McGregor R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.41 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.4% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 107 | 84 |
| Omar Bencomo R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.48 | 18.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | .333 | 4.46 | 14.9% | 10.1% | 186 | -0.02 | 3.70 | 381 | 84 |
| Jason Forjet R 2024 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.48 | 15.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 197 | 83 |
| Marco Antonio Duarte R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.06 | 15.5% | 9.1% | 2.0% | .306 | 4.65 | 9.0% | -1.2% | 38 | +0.59 | 4.06 | 203 | 83 |
| Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.43 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 2.7% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 83 |
| Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.72 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 175 | 83 |
| Iván Nova R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.3% | 8.0% | 2.7% | .283 | 4.33 | 17.3% | 13.1% | 510 | +0.03 | 4.13 | 810 | 82 |
| Colin Bates R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.57 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 111 | 82 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.93 | 12.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | .355 | 4.36 | 16.0% | 9.1% | 153 | +0.43 | 3.93 | 337 | 82 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.