J.C. Flowers — OGILVIE

J.C. Flowers P Altoona Curve

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 124

ERA5.64

FIP5.64

K%16.7%

BB%14.9%

K-BB%1.8%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	13	79	330	92	25	7	62%	3.7	21.3%	8.7%	12.5%	2.1%	3.78	3.59	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	13	79	330	92	25	7	62%	3.7	27.9%	7.6%	20.3%	2.1%	3.78	2.87	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	33	2	69	285	62	23	6	6%	2.1	17.6%	8.9%	8.7%	2.3%	2.88	4.02	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	33	2	69	285	62	23	6	6%	2.1	21.8%	8.1%	13.7%	2.1%	2.88	3.43	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	30	3	46	236	45	39	9	10%	1.5	15.8%	14.9%	1.0%	3.8%	9.39	5.75	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	30	3	46	236	45	39	9	10%	1.5	15.8%	14.9%	1.0%	3.8%	9.39	5.75	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	30	3	46	236	45	39	9	10%	1.5	19.1%	16.5%	2.5%	3.8%	9.39	6.23	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	2	70	320	59	55	5	5%	1.7	15.0%	17.3%	-2.2%	2.0%	5.04	5.09	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	2	70	320	59	55	5	5%	1.7	15.0%	17.3%	-2.2%	2.0%	5.04	5.09	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	2	70	320	59	55	5	5%	1.7	18.4%	17.2%	1.3%	1.6%	5.04	4.71	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	1	27	131	24	18	6	7%	1.9	17.8%	13.4%	4.4%	4.9%	9.67	6.00	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	1	27	131	24	18	6	7%	1.9	17.8%	13.4%	4.4%	4.9%	9.67	6.00	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	1	27	131	24	18	6	7%	1.9	18.3%	13.7%	4.6%	4.6%	9.67	6.21	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	PIT	2	0	2	8	1	1	0	0%	1.0	16.7%	14.9%	1.8%	3.1%	5.64	5.64	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	PIT	19	0	20	86	15	12	3	0%	1.1	17.1%	14.5%	2.6%	3.2%	5.59	5.64	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	PIT	6	0	6	25	4	4	1	0%	1.0	17.1%	14.5%	2.6%	3.2%	5.59	5.64	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	27	5	4	1	0%	1.1	17.1%	14.5%	2.6%	3.2%	5.59	5.26	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	157	126	31	0%	1.1	17.1%	14.5%	2.6%	3.2%	5.59	5.26	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		139	21	290	1302	229	162	35	15%	2.1	17.6%	12.5%	5.1%	2.7%	5.31	4.69	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		96	14	200	898	158	112	24	15%	2.1	17.6%	12.5%	5.1%	2.7%	5.31	4.69	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
J.C. Flowers (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.64	16.7%	14.9%	3.1%	—	5.64	17.1%	2.6%	20	+0.00	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	81
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	78
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	78
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	78
Jake Haberer R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	16.4%	14.7%	2.8%	.262	5.03	16.2%	-1.4%	15	-0.07	3.46	183	77
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	77
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	77
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	76
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	76
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	75
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	74
Brian Glowicki R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	27	SU	5.39	18.2%	15.9%	3.3%	.229	—	—	—	—	—	2.31	189	74
Hunter Dollander R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	26	SU	6.77	17.6%	18.3%	5.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	106	74
Kyle McMyne R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	12.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	181	74
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	73
Mark Peterson R 2017 · 4.78 FIP	26	SU	4.78	13.7%	11.9%	2.4%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.65	185	73
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	73
Trey Haley R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	26	SU	4.98	14.0%	16.5%	1.8%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	111	73
Chris Jefferson R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	26	SU	4.45	16.6%	11.8%	2.3%	.333	5.65	16.4%	2.8%	46	+1.20	3.53	140	73
Fernando Villalobos R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	30	SU	5.33	8.3%	13.1%	2.3%	.365	4.36	11.4%	3.1%	109	-0.97	4.00	152	73