J.C. Flowers
P Altoona Curve| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 25 | AAAPIT | 30 | 3 | 46 | 9.39 | 6.23 | 19.1% | 16.5% | — | K 16.4% · BB 14.9% · FIP 5.70 | |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX2 levels | 41 | 2 | 70 | 5.04 | 4.71 | 18.4% | 17.2% | — | K 15.2% · BB 17.3% · FIP 5.08 | |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX2 levels | 14 | 1 | 27 | 9.67 | 6.21 | 18.3% | 13.7% | — | K 17.8% · BB 13.4% · FIP 6.00 | |
| 2026 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 29 | MLBPIT | — | — | 0 | 5.29 | 5.29 | 18.5% | 13.5% | — | ||
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 30 | MLBPIT | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5.30 | 5.37 | 18.6% | 13.3% | -0.0 | ||
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 21 | 13 | 79 | 330 | 92 | 25 | 7 | 62% | 3.7 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 2.1% | 3.78 | 3.59 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 21 | 13 | 79 | 330 | 92 | 25 | 7 | 62% | 3.7 | 27.9% | 7.6% | 20.3% | 2.1% | 3.78 | 2.87 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | 33 | 2 | 69 | 285 | 62 | 23 | 6 | 6% | 2.1 | 17.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 2.88 | 4.02 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | 33 | 2 | 69 | 285 | 62 | 23 | 6 | 6% | 2.1 | 21.8% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 2.1% | 2.88 | 3.43 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | 30 | 3 | 46 | 236 | 45 | 39 | 9 | 10% | 1.5 | 16.4% | 14.9% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 9.39 | 5.70 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA RAW | Indianapolis Indians | 30 | 3 | 46 | 236 | 45 | 39 | 9 | 10% | 1.5 | 19.1% | 16.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 9.39 | 6.23 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 41 | 2 | 70 | 320 | 59 | 55 | 5 | 5% | 1.7 | 15.2% | 17.3% | -2.1% | 2.0% | 5.04 | 5.08 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 41 | 2 | 70 | 320 | 59 | 55 | 5 | 5% | 1.7 | 15.2% | 17.3% | -2.1% | 2.0% | 5.04 | 5.08 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 41 | 2 | 70 | 320 | 59 | 55 | 5 | 5% | 1.7 | 18.4% | 17.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 5.04 | 4.71 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 14 | 1 | 27 | 131 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 7% | 1.9 | 17.8% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 9.67 | 6.00 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 14 | 1 | 27 | 131 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 7% | 1.9 | 17.8% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 9.67 | 6.00 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 14 | 1 | 27 | 131 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 7% | 1.9 | 18.3% | 13.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 9.67 | 6.21 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.5% | 13.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.29 | 5.29 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | PIT | 15 | 0 | 15 | 65 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.30 | 5.37 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | PIT | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.30 | 5.37 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 5 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.30 | 4.99 | -0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 166 | 124 | 41 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.30 | 4.99 | -1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 139 | 21 | 290 | 1302 | 231 | 162 | 35 | 15% | 2.1 | 17.7% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 5.31 | 4.67 | -0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 96 | 14 | 200 | 898 | 159 | 112 | 24 | 15% | 2.1 | 17.7% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 5.31 | 4.67 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAltoona Curve · 18 IPFIP 4.80 → 6.00 (+1.20)K% 22.0% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 21.95% | — | ×0.810 | 17.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.20% | — | ×1.100 | 13.41% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.66% | ÷0.891 | ×1.200 | 4.93% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 78).
Result: FIP 4.80 → 6.00, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 9 IPFIP 7.49 → 8.11 (+0.62)K% 12.2% → 10.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 12.24% | — | ×0.860 | 10.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 16.33% | — | ×0.900 | 14.69% |
| HR / BF /BF | 6.12% | ÷0.915 | ×1.100 | 7.36% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 83).
Result: FIP 7.49 → 8.11, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAltoona Curve · 50 IPFIP 3.38 → 4.00 (+0.62)K% 20.7% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 20.67% | — | ×0.810 | 16.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 13.94% | — | ×1.100 | 15.34% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.48% | ÷0.844 | ×1.200 | 0.68% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 69).
Result: FIP 3.38 → 4.00, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 20 IPFIP 6.79 → 7.08 (+0.29)K% 14.3% → 12.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 14.29% | — | ×0.860 | 12.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 23.21% | — | ×0.900 | 20.89% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.57% | ÷0.909 | ×1.100 | 4.32% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 82).
Result: FIP 6.79 → 7.08, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 46 IPFIP 5.68 → 5.70 (+0.03)K% 19.1% → 16.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 19.07% | — | ×0.860 | 16.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 16.53% | — | ×0.900 | 14.87% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.81% | ÷1.095 | ×1.100 | 3.83% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 119).
Result: FIP 5.68 → 5.70, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAltoona Curve · 69 IPFIP 3.44 → 4.02 (+0.58)K% 21.8% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 21.75% | — | ×0.810 | 17.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 8.07% | — | ×1.100 | 8.88% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.11% | ÷1.084 | ×1.200 | 2.33% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 117).
Result: FIP 3.44 → 4.02, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 62 IPFIP 3.20 → 3.87 (+0.67)K% 25.9% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 25.94% | — | ×0.770 | 19.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 8.27% | — | ×1.150 | 9.51% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.26% | ÷1.238 | ×1.250 | 2.28% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 148).
Result: FIP 3.20 → 3.87, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ABradenton Marauders · 17 IPFIP 1.52 → 2.41 (+0.89)K% 35.9% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 35.94% | — | ×0.740 | 26.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 4.69% | — | ×1.180 | 5.53% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.56% | ÷1.302 | ×1.300 | 1.56% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 160).
Result: FIP 1.52 → 2.41, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).