J.C. Flowers
P
Altoona Curve
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 195 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138128vR 119
ERA5.27
FIP5.27
K%19.7%
BB%13.6%
K-BB%6.1%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 13 | 79 | 330 | 92 | 25 | 7 | 62% | 3.7 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 1.8% | 3.78 | 3.39 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 13 | 79 | 330 | 92 | 25 | 7 | 62% | 3.7 | 27.9% | 7.6% | 20.3% | 2.1% | 3.78 | 2.87 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | 33 | 2 | 69 | 285 | 62 | 23 | 6 | 6% | 2.1 | 17.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 2.88 | 3.92 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | 33 | 2 | 69 | 285 | 62 | 23 | 6 | 6% | 2.1 | 21.8% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 2.1% | 2.88 | 3.43 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 30 | 3 | 46 | 236 | 45 | 39 | 9 | 10% | 1.5 | 16.8% | 17.4% | -0.6% | 3.5% | 9.39 | 5.82 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 30 | 3 | 46 | 236 | 45 | 39 | 9 | 10% | 1.5 | 19.1% | 16.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 9.39 | 6.23 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 2 | 70 | 320 | 59 | 55 | 5 | 5% | 1.7 | 15.3% | 18.5% | -3.2% | 2.2% | 5.04 | 5.38 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 2 | 70 | 320 | 59 | 55 | 5 | 5% | 1.7 | 18.4% | 17.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 5.04 | 4.71 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 1 | 27 | 131 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 7% | 1.9 | 17.8% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.67 | 6.38 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 1 | 27 | 131 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 7% | 1.9 | 18.3% | 13.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 9.67 | 6.21 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 5.27 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 19 | 0 | 20 | 86 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 5.26 | 5.31 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 5.26 | 5.31 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 5.26 | 4.93 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 157 | 126 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 5.26 | 4.93 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 139 | 21 | 290 | 1302 | 232 | 172 | 35 | 15% | 2.1 | 17.8% | 13.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.31 | 4.74 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 96 | 14 | 200 | 898 | 160 | 119 | 24 | 15% | 2.1 | 17.8% | 13.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.31 | 4.74 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| J.C. Flowers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.27 | 19.7% | 13.6% | 3.2% | — | 5.31 | 19.8% | 6.4% | 20 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 85 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 80 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 80 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 79 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 78 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 78 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 77 |
| Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 77 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 77 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 77 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 77 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 77 |
| Fernery Ozuna R 2025 · 5.77 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.77 | 19.5% | 13.5% | 4.7% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 157 | 76 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 76 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 75 |
| Sean Harney R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.28 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 1.3% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 123 | 75 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.36 | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 159 | 75 |
| Jake Haberer R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.42 | 16.4% | 14.7% | 3.4% | .262 | 5.33 | 16.2% | -1.4% | 15 | -0.09 | 3.62 | 183 | 75 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 75 |
| Guido Knudson R 2024 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.83 | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.4% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 106 | 74 |