Sheng-En Lin
P
Daytona Tortugas
Age 20
RHP
5'11" / 185 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 28 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 95
ERA4.16
FIP4.16
K%23.4%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%15.2%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 89 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 12 | 47 | 192 | 61 | 15 | 4 | 80% | 3.1 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 2.1% | 3.06 | 3.58 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 12 | 47 | 192 | 61 | 15 | 4 | 80% | 3.1 | 31.8% | 7.8% | 24.0% | 2.1% | 3.06 | 2.57 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 15 | 14 | 61 | 278 | 67 | 34 | 3 | 93% | 4.1 | 17.8% | 14.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 3.84 | 4.19 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | CIN | 6 | 6 | 28 | 118 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 4.7 | 23.4% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.16 | 4.16 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.4% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.20 | 4.20 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 89 | 396 | 95 | 44 | 6 | — | — | 23.9% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 1.6% | 3.94 | 4.18 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | CIN | 6 | 6 | 29 | 124 | 30 | 10 | 4 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 2.9% | 4.10 | 4.06 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | CIN | 3 | 3 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 4.7 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 4.14 | 4.10 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 14 | 61 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 4.8 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 4.14 | 3.72 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 208 | 69 | 28 | 100% | 4.8 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 4.14 | 3.72 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 30 | 26 | 108 | 470 | 92 | 59 | 8 | 87% | 3.6 | 19.6% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 3.50 | 3.94 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 48 | 200 | 870 | 171 | 108 | 15 | 87% | 3.6 | 19.6% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 3.50 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sheng-En Lin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.16 | 23.4% | 8.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.06 | 23.8% | 15.8% | 29 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Hoffmann R 2027 · 3.03 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.03 | 23.6% | 8.1% | 1.6% | .275 | 5.12 | 19.0% | 8.7% | 311 | +2.09 | 3.03 | 420 | 85 |
| Rayner Urbaez R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.82 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .337 | 3.35 | 15.0% | 3.0% | 27 | -0.47 | 2.50 | 103 | 82 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2028 · 3.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.67 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .341 | 3.99 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.32 | 3.44 | 259 | 82 |
| Christian Zazueta R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | .277 | 3.55 | 28.6% | 22.7% | 66 | -0.25 | 3.55 | 276 | 81 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 81 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2029 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 80 |
| Dualvert Gutierrez R 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.14 | 23.5% | 9.1% | 1.6% | .352 | 4.24 | 15.9% | 2.2% | 78 | +1.10 | 3.14 | 130 | 80 |
| Peniel Otano R 2026 · 3.06 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.06 | 19.3% | 7.4% | 1.2% | .307 | 4.65 | 14.6% | -1.0% | 176 | +1.59 | 3.06 | 232 | 80 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2029 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .241 | 5.26 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 176 | +1.61 | 3.65 | 211 | 80 |
| José López R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.32 | 3.08 | 543 | 80 |
| Yordi Rosario R 2025 · 3.53 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.53 | 21.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 163 | 79 |
| Angel Jimenez R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.27 | 23.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | .368 | 3.76 | 21.3% | 10.7% | 115 | +0.49 | 3.04 | 194 | 79 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 79 |
| Chris Clark R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.41 | 18.9% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .362 | 4.78 | 17.6% | 7.1% | 303 | +1.37 | 3.41 | 322 | 79 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2029 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 78 |
| Dylan Wilson R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.60 | 20.6% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 139 | 78 |
| Porter Hodge R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 78 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 236 | -0.19 | 3.12 | 482 | 78 |
| Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 78 |
| Logan Gragg R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.02 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .343 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 202 | +1.02 | 4.02 | 412 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 29 | 23.6% | 8.1% | 1.12 | 4.13 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Trevor Gott ('23) | 4 | 51 | 22.0% | 7.4% | 0.79 | 3.97 |