Logan Gragg
P
Arkansas Travelers
Age 27
RHP
6'5" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.78
FIP4.78
K%20.7%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP49
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 20 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 9 | 8 | 35 | 149 | 35 | 12 | 3 | 89% | 3.9 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 3.38 | 4.02 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 9 | 8 | 35 | 149 | 35 | 12 | 3 | 89% | 3.9 | 23.5% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 2.0% | 3.38 | 3.24 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 25 | 20 | 99 | 431 | 80 | 27 | 15 | 80% | 4.0 | 14.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 4.45 | 4.93 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 25 | 20 | 99 | 431 | 80 | 27 | 15 | 80% | 4.0 | 18.6% | 6.3% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 4.45 | 4.27 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 15 | 103 | 449 | 91 | 27 | 20 | 50% | 3.4 | 16.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 4.82 | 5.15 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 15 | 103 | 449 | 91 | 27 | 20 | 50% | 3.4 | 20.3% | 6.0% | 14.3% | 4.5% | 4.82 | 4.65 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 19 | 125 | 540 | 102 | 48 | 22 | 70% | 4.6 | 15.5% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.98 | 5.34 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 19 | 125 | 540 | 102 | 48 | 22 | 70% | 4.6 | 18.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 4.98 | 4.91 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 1 | 60 | 244 | 51 | 20 | 8 | 3% | 1.9 | 17.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.47 | 6.18 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 1 | 60 | 244 | 51 | 20 | 8 | 3% | 1.9 | 20.9% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 3.47 | 4.14 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 7 | 49 | 205 | 43 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 6.9 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 4.78 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 7 | 47 | 199 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 6.7 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 4.78 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 7 | 45 | 190 | 40 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 6.4 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 4.84 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 6 | 6 | 42 | 179 | 37 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 7.0 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 4.96 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 3 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 4.78 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 4.84 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 4 | 4 | 29 | 122 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 100% | 7.2 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 4.96 | 5.06 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 11 | 72 | 302 | 63 | 29 | 11 | 100% | 6.5 | 20.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 4.87 | 4.57 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 30 | 30 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 81 | 31 | 100% | 6.7 | 20.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 4.87 | 4.57 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 123 | 63 | 421 | 1813 | 284 | 148 | 79 | 51% | 3.4 | 15.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.47 | 5.20 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 30 | 200 | 862 | 135 | 71 | 37 | 51% | 3.4 | 15.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.47 | 5.20 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Logan Gragg (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.78 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 3.4% | — | 4.93 | 20.8% | 11.2% | 134 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 81 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 77 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 77 |
| Chase Whitley R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.04 | 19.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .217 | 3.24 | 18.0% | 11.8% | 81 | -0.80 | 3.11 | 159 | 76 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 75 |
| Josh Roeder R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 74 |
| Andres Santiago R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .384 | 5.45 | 13.1% | 3.2% | 159 | +1.18 | 3.74 | 291 | 73 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 73 |
| Colby Morris R 2024 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 73 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 72 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 72 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.79 | 16.6% | 9.2% | 1.7% | .251 | 4.85 | 16.0% | 6.7% | 234 | +1.06 | 3.76 | 399 | 72 |
| Jacob Turner R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 72 |
| Ben Lively R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.82 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 4.2% | .312 | 3.15 | 20.9% | 12.1% | 77 | -1.67 | 3.15 | 1,049 | 72 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 72 |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 72 |
| Noah Davis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.87 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .368 | 4.57 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 148 | +0.70 | 3.64 | 560 | 71 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 71 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.64 | 24.9% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .301 | 4.41 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 205 | -0.23 | 4.11 | 563 | 71 |
| Kyle Lloyd R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .336 | 4.33 | 17.2% | 9.3% | 110 | +0.16 | 3.46 | 572 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 46 | 20.8% | 9.4% | 1.38 | 4.84 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |