Logan Gragg
P
Arkansas Travelers
+0.2
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'5" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.72
FIP4.72
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.7%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%11.6%
IP69
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 20 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 9 | 8 | 35 | 149 | 35 | 12 | 3 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 3.38 | 4.12 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 25 | 20 | 99 | 431 | 80 | 27 | 15 | 14.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.45 | 5.06 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 30 | 15 | 103 | 449 | 91 | 27 | 20 | 16.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.82 | 5.36 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 27 | 19 | 125 | 540 | 102 | 48 | 22 | 15.5% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 4.98 | 5.51 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 32 | 1 | 60 | 244 | 51 | 20 | 8 | 17.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.47 | 5.50 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 13 | 13 | 69 | 293 | 61 | 27 | 10 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 4.72 | 4.72 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 12 | 68 | 289 | 61 | 27 | 10 | 21.0% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.71 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 12 | 67 | 282 | 59 | 26 | 9 | 21.0% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 4.70 | 4.72 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 57 | 26 | 9 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 4.73 | 4.77 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 11 | 63 | 264 | 55 | 25 | 9 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 4.78 | 4.83 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 11 | 60 | 254 | 52 | 24 | 9 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 4.86 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 57 | — | 57 | 242 | 49 | 24 | 9 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 4.95 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 54 | — | 54 | 230 | 46 | 23 | 9 | 19.8% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 5.05 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 42 | 22 | 8 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 5.17 | 5.24 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 39 | 21 | 8 | 19.0% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 5.30 | 5.38 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 123 | 63 | 421 | 1813 | 284 | 148 | 81 | 15.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 4.47 | 5.25 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 30 | 200 | 862 | 135 | 70 | 39 | 15.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 4.47 | 5.25 | +0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Logan Gragg (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.72 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 3.3% | — | 4.73 | 21.0% | 11.7% | 200 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.80 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .295 | 3.70 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.10 | 3.17 | 269 | 90 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.91 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .348 | 3.55 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.36 | 2.38 | 160 | 88 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 87 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 86 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 86 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.91 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.53 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.38 | 2.86 | 596 | 86 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.84 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 206 | 85 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.55 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.15 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.40 | 4.02 | 328 | 85 |
| Bryan Evans R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.19 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.42 | 3.86 | 231 | 85 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.81 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.2% | .341 | 4.59 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | -0.22 | 3.74 | 223 | 85 |
| Steve Geltz R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.88 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .209 | 4.78 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 89 | +0.90 | 3.57 | 157 | 85 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.82 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | .230 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 149 | 85 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 85 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 84 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.95 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.95 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .320 | 4.89 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | -0.06 | 3.69 | 239 | 84 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.75 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | .246 | 3.68 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.07 | 3.25 | 160 | 84 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.54 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.9% | .321 | 2.87 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.67 | 2.39 | 509 | 84 |
| Troy Neiman R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.99 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 199 | 83 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 83 |
| Ryan Tepera R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.05 | 21.1% | 7.2% | 3.3% | .174 | 3.39 | 24.7% | 16.0% | 206 | -0.66 | 2.27 | 445 | 83 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.