Logan Gragg — OGILVIE

Logan Gragg P Arkansas Travelers

Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 200 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%17.8%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	20	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	9	8	35	149	35	12	3	89%	3.9	17.4%	9.5%	7.9%	2.4%	3.38	4.14	—
2019	20	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	9	8	35	149	35	12	3	89%	3.9	23.5%	8.1%	15.4%	2.0%	3.38	3.24	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	25	20	99	431	80	27	15	80%	4.0	14.3%	7.2%	7.1%	4.1%	4.45	5.05	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	25	20	99	431	80	27	15	80%	4.0	18.6%	6.3%	12.3%	3.5%	4.45	4.27	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	15	103	449	91	27	20	50%	3.4	16.0%	6.7%	9.3%	5.0%	4.82	5.35	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	15	103	449	91	27	20	50%	3.4	20.3%	6.0%	14.3%	4.5%	4.82	4.65	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	19	125	540	102	48	22	70%	4.6	15.3%	9.6%	5.8%	4.5%	4.98	5.50	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	19	125	540	102	48	22	70%	4.6	15.3%	9.6%	5.8%	4.5%	4.98	5.50	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	19	125	540	102	48	22	70%	4.6	18.9%	8.9%	10.0%	4.1%	4.98	4.91	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	1	60	244	51	20	8	3%	1.9	17.1%	8.4%	8.6%	4.9%	3.47	5.42	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	1	60	244	51	20	8	3%	1.9	17.1%	8.4%	8.6%	4.9%	3.47	5.42	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	1	60	244	51	20	8	3%	1.9	20.9%	8.2%	12.7%	3.3%	3.47	4.14	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	SEA	1	1	4	17	3	2	1	100%	4.0	17.8%	9.0%	8.8%	3.3%	4.94	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SEA	7	7	47	199	36	18	7	100%	6.7	18.2%	9.2%	9.1%	3.4%	4.93	4.96	-0.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	SEA	7	7	45	190	35	18	7	100%	6.4	18.4%	9.4%	9.0%	3.5%	4.98	5.05	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	SEA	3	3	18	76	14	7	3	100%	6.0	18.2%	9.2%	9.1%	3.4%	4.93	4.96	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	SEA	4	4	25	106	19	10	4	100%	6.2	18.4%	9.4%	9.0%	3.5%	4.98	5.05	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	6	43	180	33	17	6	100%	7.1	18.3%	9.3%	9.0%	3.5%	4.96	4.63	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		30	30	200	844	154	80	28	100%	6.7	18.3%	9.3%	9.0%	3.5%	4.96	4.63	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		123	63	421	1813	284	148	80	51%	3.4	15.6%	8.1%	7.5%	4.4%	4.47	5.23	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	30	200	862	135	70	38	51%	3.4	15.6%	8.1%	7.5%	4.4%	4.47	5.23	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Logan Gragg (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	17.8%	9.0%	3.3%	—	5.00	18.3%	9.0%	92	+0.06	—	—	—
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	81
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	80
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	79
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	79
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	79
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	79
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	79
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	18.2%	10.5%	3.1%	.304	4.70	15.8%	3.2%	11	+0.09	3.22	221	78
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	77
Andres Santiago R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	27	SW	4.16	16.3%	9.1%	2.3%	.384	5.26	13.1%	3.2%	159	+1.10	3.76	291	76
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	76
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	76
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	75
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	75
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	75
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	75
Chase Whitley R 2016 · 4.10 FIP	27	SP-	4.10	19.5%	7.0%	3.2%	.217	3.22	18.0%	11.8%	81	-0.88	3.09	159	75
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	74
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	74
André Rienzo R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	27	SW	4.22	15.7%	11.1%	1.9%	.264	4.02	19.8%	5.1%	74	-0.20	3.53	200	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	47	18.1%	9.2%	1.32	4.95
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63