Randry De Leon — OGILVIE

Randry De Leon P DSL Giants Black

Age 21 RHP 6'4" / 201 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.7 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.51

FIP5.51

K%21.9%

BB%18.1%

K-BB%3.8%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.8M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	11	9	31	142	37	23	4	82%	2.8	17.7%	20.2%	-2.5%	4.2%	8.51	6.45	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	11	9	31	142	37	23	4	82%	2.8	17.7%	20.2%	-2.5%	4.2%	8.51	6.45	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	11	9	31	142	37	23	4	82%	2.8	26.1%	16.2%	9.9%	2.8%	8.51	4.63	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	12	11	42	174	46	16	3	92%	3.5	18.0%	11.5%	6.5%	2.6%	3.19	4.49	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	12	11	42	174	46	16	3	92%	3.5	18.0%	11.5%	6.5%	2.6%	3.19	4.49	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	12	11	42	174	46	16	3	92%	3.5	26.4%	9.2%	17.2%	1.7%	3.19	2.98	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	17	6	32	141	46	28	0	35%	1.9	22.2%	24.8%	-2.6%	0.0%	3.66	4.37	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	17	6	32	141	46	28	0	35%	1.9	22.2%	24.8%	-2.6%	0.0%	3.66	4.37	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	17	6	32	141	46	28	0	35%	1.9	32.6%	19.9%	12.8%	0.0%	3.66	2.85	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	12	12	48	210	50	20	6	100%	4.0	16.2%	11.9%	4.3%	4.0%	5.21	5.44	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	12	12	48	210	50	20	6	100%	4.0	16.2%	11.9%	4.3%	4.0%	5.21	5.44	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	SF	12	12	48	210	50	20	6	100%	4.0	23.8%	9.5%	14.3%	2.9%	5.21	3.86	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SF	10	10	50	210	48	32	6	100%	5.0	22.9%	15.2%	7.7%	2.8%	5.18	5.03	-0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	SF	10	10	52	218	52	29	6	100%	5.2	23.7%	13.4%	10.3%	2.8%	4.88	4.71	+0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	SF	9	9	53	223	54	27	6	100%	5.9	24.2%	12.1%	12.1%	2.8%	4.64	4.50	+0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	SF	9	9	54	226	56	25	6	100%	6.0	24.6%	11.2%	13.3%	2.8%	4.47	4.35	+0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	SF	9	9	54	226	56	25	6	100%	6.0	24.8%	11.2%	13.5%	2.8%	4.39	4.33	+0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	SF	9	9	53	223	55	25	6	100%	5.9	24.8%	11.3%	13.5%	2.8%	4.38	4.37	+0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	SF	5	5	24	101	23	15	3	100%	4.8	22.9%	15.2%	7.7%	2.6%	5.06	4.91	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	SF	7	7	38	160	38	21	4	100%	5.4	23.7%	13.4%	10.3%	2.6%	4.76	4.59	+0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	SF	8	8	44	186	45	22	5	100%	5.5	24.2%	12.1%	12.1%	2.6%	4.53	4.39	+0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	SF	8	8	47	198	49	22	5	100%	5.9	24.6%	11.2%	13.3%	2.6%	4.36	4.24	+0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	SF	8	8	49	207	51	23	5	100%	6.1	24.8%	11.2%	13.5%	2.6%	4.28	4.22	+0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	SF	8	8	49	207	51	23	5	100%	6.1	24.8%	11.3%	13.5%	2.6%	4.26	4.25	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		44	44	251	1060	257	128	27	100%	5.7	24.3%	12.1%	12.2%	2.6%	4.48	4.00	+2.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	205	102	22	100%	5.7	24.3%	12.1%	12.2%	2.6%	4.48	4.00	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		52	38	153	667	122	109	19	73%	2.9	18.2%	16.3%	1.9%	2.8%	4.99	5.18	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	50	200	870	159	142	25	73%	2.9	18.2%	16.3%	1.9%	2.8%	4.99	5.18	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Randry De Leon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.51	21.9%	18.1%	2.9%	—	4.74	23.6%	10.1%	154	-0.77	—	—	—
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	89
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	85
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	85
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	83
Daniel Corniel R 2023 · 5.15 FIP	19	SP-	5.15	20.3%	17.1%	2.9%	.364	4.37	15.7%	3.2%	140	-0.78	3.50	218	82
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	81
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	80
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	80
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	79
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	78
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	211	78
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.1%	8.1%	206	-0.23	3.28	260	78
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	78
Carlos Lagrange R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	20	SP	4.34	22.1%	15.5%	2.1%	.291	3.97	25.4%	12.1%	198	-0.37	3.66	272	78
Fernando Baez R 2015 · 6.56 FIP	23	SP-	6.56	18.6%	18.8%	4.8%	.322	4.51	26.9%	7.8%	94	-2.05	3.45	129	77
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	77
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	77
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	76
Juan Nuñez R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SP	4.49	19.6%	13.2%	2.5%	.300	4.42	22.8%	8.3%	148	-0.07	2.88	245	76
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	48	24.0%	12.7%	1.09	4.70
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59