Randry De Leon

P DSL Giants Black

Age 22 RHP 6'4" / 201 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038 peak 0.4 · 2030

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1217ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	20	ROKDSL Giants Or…	17	6	32	3.66	2.85	32.6%	19.9%	—	K 22.2% · BB 24.8% · FIP 4.37
2026	21	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	12	12	48	5.21	3.89	23.8%	9.5%	—	K 16.2% · BB 11.9% · FIP 5.44
2027PROJ	22	MLBSF	—	—	0	5.20	5.20	20.3%	14.1%	—
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBSF	4	4	19	4.84	4.74	21.4%	12.3%	0.1
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBSF	5	5	27	4.63	4.53	22.1%	11.2%	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRyan Atkinson (age 23) · Ray Gaither (age 24) · Ryan Harvey (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.20

FIP5.20

K%20.3%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%6.2%

Proj IP26

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.8M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	11	9	31	142	37	23	4	82%	2.8	17.7%	20.2%	-2.5%	4.2%	8.51	6.45	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	11	9	31	142	37	23	4	82%	2.8	26.1%	16.2%	9.9%	2.8%	8.51	4.63	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	12	11	42	174	46	16	3	92%	3.5	18.0%	11.5%	6.5%	2.6%	3.19	4.49	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	12	11	42	174	46	16	3	92%	3.5	18.0%	11.5%	6.5%	2.6%	3.19	4.49	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	12	11	42	174	46	16	3	92%	3.5	26.4%	9.2%	17.2%	1.7%	3.19	2.98	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	17	6	32	141	46	28	0	35%	1.9	22.2%	24.8%	-2.6%	0.0%	3.66	4.37	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	17	6	32	141	46	28	0	35%	1.9	22.2%	24.8%	-2.6%	0.0%	3.66	4.37	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	17	6	32	141	46	28	0	35%	1.9	32.6%	19.9%	12.8%	0.0%	3.66	2.85	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	12	12	48	210	50	20	6	100%	4.0	16.2%	11.9%	4.3%	4.0%	5.21	5.44	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	12	12	48	210	50	20	6	100%	4.0	16.2%	11.9%	4.3%	4.0%	5.21	5.44	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	12	12	48	210	50	20	6	100%	4.0	23.8%	9.5%	14.3%	2.9%	5.21	3.89	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	SF	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.3%	14.1%	6.2%	3.0%	5.20	5.20	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SF	7	7	38	160	34	20	5	100%	5.4	21.4%	12.3%	9.0%	3.0%	4.96	4.86	+0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	SF	7	7	38	160	35	18	5	100%	5.4	22.1%	11.2%	10.8%	2.9%	4.75	4.65	+0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	SF	6	6	37	155	35	16	5	100%	6.1	22.5%	10.5%	12.0%	2.9%	4.60	4.51	+0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	SF	6	6	37	156	35	16	5	100%	6.1	22.7%	10.5%	12.3%	2.9%	4.53	4.49	+0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	SF	6	6	36	152	34	16	4	100%	6.0	22.7%	10.5%	12.2%	3.0%	4.53	4.52	+0.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	SF	6	6	34	144	32	15	4	100%	5.7	22.6%	10.7%	11.9%	3.1%	4.58	4.61	+0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	SF	4	4	19	80	17	10	2	100%	4.8	21.4%	12.3%	9.0%	2.7%	4.84	4.74	+0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	SF	5	5	27	114	25	13	3	100%	5.4	22.1%	11.2%	10.8%	2.7%	4.63	4.53	+0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	SF	5	5	30	127	29	13	3	100%	6.0	22.5%	10.5%	12.0%	2.7%	4.48	4.39	+0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	SF	5	5	32	135	31	14	4	100%	6.4	22.7%	10.5%	12.3%	2.7%	4.41	4.37	+0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	SF	5	5	32	135	31	14	4	100%	6.4	22.7%	10.5%	12.2%	2.7%	4.41	4.40	+0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	SF	5	5	31	131	30	14	4	100%	6.2	22.6%	10.7%	11.9%	2.8%	4.45	4.48	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		29	29	171	722	162	78	20	100%	5.9	22.4%	10.9%	11.6%	2.7%	4.51	4.08	+2.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	190	91	23	100%	5.8	22.4%	10.9%	11.6%	2.7%	4.51	4.08	+3.1
Career	—	MLE		52	38	153	667	122	109	19	73%	2.9	18.2%	16.3%	1.9%	2.8%	4.99	5.18	+2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	50	200	870	159	142	25	73%	2.9	18.2%	16.3%	1.9%	2.8%	4.99	5.18	+1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKDSL Giants Black · 48 IPFIP 3.86 → 5.44 (+1.57)K% 23.8% → 16.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.81%	—	×0.680	16.19%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.52%	—	×1.250	11.90%
HR / BF /BF	2.86%	÷1.000	×1.400	4.00%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.86 → 5.44, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKDSL Giants Orange · 32 IPFIP 2.86 → 4.37 (+1.51)K% 32.6% → 22.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	32.62%	—	×0.680	22.18%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	19.86%	—	×1.250	24.82%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.963	×1.400	0.00%

Result: FIP 2.86 → 4.37, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKDSL Giants Orange · 42 IPFIP 2.98 → 4.49 (+1.51)K% 26.4% → 18.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.44%	—	×0.680	17.98%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.20%	—	×1.250	11.49%
HR / BF /BF	1.72%	÷0.914	×1.400	2.64%

Result: FIP 2.98 → 4.49, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKDSL Giants Orange · 31 IPFIP 4.50 → 6.45 (+1.95)K% 26.1% → 17.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.06%	—	×0.680	17.72%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	16.20%	—	×1.250	20.25%
HR / BF /BF	2.82%	÷0.949	×1.400	4.16%

Result: FIP 4.50 → 6.45, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Randry De Leon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.20	20.3%	14.1%	3.0%	—	4.68	22.0%	10.6%	113	-0.52	—	—	—
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	86
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	84
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	83
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	83
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.4%	8.5%	211	-0.23	3.28	265	82
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	82
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	82
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	82
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	81
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.39	20.2%	8.6%	215	-1.21	4.29	257	81
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	81
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	80
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	79
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	79
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	79
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	79
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	79
Christian Roa R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	22	SP	4.94	19.6%	12.4%	3.5%	.321	4.90	22.5%	6.9%	260	-0.04	4.14	414	79
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	79
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	35	22.1%	11.3%	1.15	4.72
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*