John Klein
P
St. Paul Saints
Age 24
RHP
6'5" / 225 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 1.2 · 2027
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113103vR 94
ERA4.10
FIP4.10
K%21.5%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 104 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Twins | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.63 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Twins | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.60 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 58 | 255 | 61 | 23 | 4 | 100% | 4.5 | 17.4% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 4.17 | 4.59 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 58 | 255 | 61 | 23 | 4 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.9% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 1.6% | 4.17 | 3.08 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 22 | 20 | 100 | 441 | 90 | 38 | 9 | 91% | 4.6 | 15.7% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 4.57 | 4.04 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 22 | 20 | 100 | 441 | 90 | 38 | 9 | 91% | 4.6 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 2.0% | 4.57 | 3.61 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 15 | 106 | 464 | 128 | 37 | 7 | 48% | 3.4 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 1.8% | 3.98 | 3.23 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 15 | 106 | 464 | 128 | 37 | 7 | 48% | 3.4 | 27.6% | 8.0% | 19.6% | 1.5% | 3.98 | 2.59 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 22 | 14 | 61 | 273 | 67 | 31 | 15 | 64% | 2.8 | 22.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 6.16 | 5.94 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIN | 8 | 8 | 42 | 179 | 38 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.5% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 2.4% | 4.10 | 4.10 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIN | 8 | 8 | 42 | 177 | 38 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.5% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 2.4% | 4.11 | 4.11 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 104 | 452 | 105 | 47 | 19 | — | — | 23.3% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 4.3% | 5.32 | 5.19 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 47 | 197 | 105 | 47 | 19 | — | — | 53.5% | 23.8% | 29.7% | 9.8% | 11.82 | 6.96 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 70 | 297 | 66 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.1% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 2.4% | 4.07 | 4.03 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 70 | 297 | 67 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 2.5% | 4.06 | 4.03 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 69 | 293 | 66 | 25 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.4% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 2.5% | 4.08 | 4.09 | +0.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 67 | 284 | 63 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.3% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 4.14 | 4.18 | +0.4 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 64 | 271 | 60 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.24 | 4.31 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 10 | 60 | 255 | 55 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.48 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 9 | 9 | 56 | 237 | 51 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.57 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 46 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 4.78 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 62 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.1% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 2.4% | 4.08 | 4.04 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 63 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 2.5% | 4.07 | 4.04 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 66 | 279 | 62 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.4% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 2.6% | 4.09 | 4.10 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 60 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.3% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 4.15 | 4.19 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 57 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 4.32 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 52 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 9 | 9 | 53 | 224 | 48 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 8 | 8 | 49 | 207 | 43 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 4.79 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 94 | 91 | 531 | 2244 | 490 | 206 | 63 | 97% | 5.7 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 3.95 | +9.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 34 | 200 | 845 | 184 | 78 | 24 | 97% | 5.7 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 90 | 62 | 328 | 1442 | 283 | 144 | 40 | 69% | 3.6 | 19.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.23 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 38 | 200 | 878 | 172 | 88 | 24 | 69% | 3.6 | 19.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| John Klein (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.10 | 21.5% | 8.9% | 2.4% | — | 4.05 | 22.3% | 13.7% | 210 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Ricky Castro R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 89 |
| Brett Gillis R 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 86 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 86 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 85 |
| Michael Baird R 2026 · 2.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 2.90 | 21.2% | 8.3% | 1.0% | .273 | 6.19 | 21.6% | 13.1% | 94 | +3.29 | 2.90 | 132 | 84 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 83 |
| Sean Harney R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 83 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.29 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .316 | 4.60 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +1.31 | 3.29 | 142 | 82 |
| Noah Gotsis R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.38 | 16.5% | 6.5% | 1.5% | .296 | 4.26 | 15.9% | 8.6% | 90 | +0.88 | 3.38 | 138 | 81 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 81 |
| Tylor Megill R 2026 · 3.01 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.01 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 0.9% | .331 | 3.91 | 26.8% | 19.7% | 177 | +0.90 | 3.01 | 603 | 80 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 80 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 80 |
| Nick Payero R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.06 | 16.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | .285 | 5.72 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 107 | +1.66 | 4.06 | 178 | 79 |
| Chase Centala R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 79 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 79 |
| James McArthur R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.53 | 19.7% | 7.9% | 2.0% | .310 | 4.16 | 22.1% | 13.7% | 194 | +0.63 | 3.53 | 352 | 79 |
| Keith Rogalla R 2025 · 3.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.55 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .344 | 3.62 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 65 | +0.07 | 3.00 | 113 | 78 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 78 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 9 | 62 | 21.9% | 9.1% | 1.07 | 4.25 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Daniel Hudson ('24) | 9 | 52 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 1.13 | 3.75 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Joe Kelly ('24) | 9 | 56 | 24.6% | 10.3% | 0.81 | 4.40 |