Luis Hernandez
P
Charleston RiverDogs
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 195 lbs
A
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
K%23.3%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%13.1%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rays | 12 | 10 | 45 | 196 | 48 | 22 | 4 | 83% | 3.8 | 16.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.60 | 4.86 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rays | 12 | 10 | 45 | 196 | 48 | 22 | 4 | 83% | 3.8 | 24.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 2.0% | 3.60 | 3.59 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | 12 | 1 | 28 | 131 | 39 | 17 | 1 | 8% | 2.4 | 20.2% | 16.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 3.81 | 4.16 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | 12 | 1 | 28 | 131 | 39 | 17 | 1 | 8% | 2.4 | 29.8% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 0.8% | 3.81 | 2.61 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 42 | 182 | 52 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 2.1 | 22.3% | 18.2% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 3.43 | 7.75 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 42 | 182 | 52 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 2.1 | 28.6% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 3.8% | 3.43 | 4.58 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | TB | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.13 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 94 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 44 | 11 | 115 | 509 | 100 | 82 | 21 | 25% | 2.6 | 19.6% | 16.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.59 | 5.71 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 76 | 19 | 200 | 883 | 173 | 142 | 36 | 25% | 2.6 | 19.6% | 16.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.59 | 5.71 | -0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Hernandez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 23.3% | 10.2% | 3.2% | — | 4.51 | 23.5% | 13.4% | 20 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 80 |
| Dylan King R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 78 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 77 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 77 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 76 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 75 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 75 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 75 |
| Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.05 | 19.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | .283 | 3.86 | 19.3% | 11.7% | 124 | -0.19 | 3.47 | 171 | 75 |
| Brayden Spears R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 105 | 75 |
| Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% | .316 | 2.73 | 28.3% | 20.8% | 219 | -1.82 | 1.96 | 948 | 74 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 74 |
| Joe Vogatsky R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.82 | 21.0% | 8.8% | 4.3% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.82 | 120 | 74 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 73 |
| Jake Lyons R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 73 |
| Brad Bass R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.01 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 247 | 73 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 73 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2029 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 73 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 4.1% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 318 | 73 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 73 |