Aidan Smith
OF Brooklyn Cyclones| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ATB | 444 | .288/.405/.473 | 11 | 41 | 87 | — | .219/.311/.366 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 515 | .235/.339/.380 | 14 | 45 | 57 | — | .180/.251/.305 |
| 2026 | 22 | A+/ROK2 orgs | 355 | .241/.327/.430 | 15 | 27 | 58 | — | .196/.251/.351 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBNYM | 1 | .189/.256/.326 | 0 | 0 | 66 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBNYM | 85 | .193/.261/.335 | 3 | 3 | 70 | -0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 19 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 54 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 259 | 327 | 586 | 143 | 250 | 30 | 7 | 265 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | — | 30 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 261 | 433 | 435 | 868 | 174 | 400 | 27 | 20 | 392 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 444 | 368 | 106 | 33 | 1 | 11 | 64 | 103 | 8 | 41 | 6 | 288 | 405 | 473 | 877 | 185 | 368 | 23 | 14 | 389 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 459 | 397 | 94 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 53 | 143 | 5 | 41 | 6 | 237 | 334 | 388 | 722 | 151 | 328 | 31 | 12 | 324 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 56 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 222 | 375 | 311 | 686 | 89 | 294 | 20 | 20 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 327 | 284 | 70 | 9 | 1 | 15 | 34 | 103 | 1 | 25 | 3 | 246 | 329 | 444 | 773 | 197 | 320 | 31 | 10 | 335 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | — | 28 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 174 | 296 | 261 | 557 | 87 | 200 | 14 | 14 | 254 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 54 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 204 | 260 | 464 | 120 | 231 | 39 | 6 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 30 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 160 | 300 | 240 | 540 | 80 | 320 | 40 | 13 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 444 | 388 | 85 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 142 | 8 | 41 | 6 | 219 | 311 | 366 | 677 | 147 | 304 | 32 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 459 | 416 | 75 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 183 | 5 | 41 | 6 | 180 | 251 | 305 | 556 | 125 | 271 | 40 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 327 | 297 | 59 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 135 | 1 | 25 | 3 | 199 | 254 | 360 | 614 | 162 | 280 | 41 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 28 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 160 | 222 | 240 | 462 | 80 | 155 | 21 | 7 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 84 | 75 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 147 | 238 | 253 | 491 | 107 | 244 | 39 | 8 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 84 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 208 | 321 | 361 | 683 | 153 | 298 | 29 | 12 | 311 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 444 | 388 | 85 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 142 | 8 | 41 | 6 | 219 | 311 | 366 | 677 | 147 | 312 | 32 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 444 | 368 | 106 | 33 | 1 | 11 | 64 | 103 | 8 | 41 | 6 | 288 | 405 | 473 | 877 | 185 | 368 | 23 | 14 | 389 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 468 | 84 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 205 | 5 | 45 | 7 | 179 | 249 | 301 | 550 | 122 | 277 | 40 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 515 | 442 | 104 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 64 | 154 | 5 | 45 | 7 | 235 | 339 | 380 | 719 | 145 | 324 | 30 | 12 | 324 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 355 | 322 | 63 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 141 | 1 | 27 | 3 | 196 | 251 | 351 | 602 | 155 | 286 | 40 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 355 | 307 | 74 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 107 | 1 | 27 | 3 | 241 | 327 | 430 | 757 | 189 | 307 | 30 | 11 | 329 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 84 | 75 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 147 | 238 | 253 | 491 | 107 | 263 | 39 | 8 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 444 | 389 | 85 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 142 | 8 | 41 | 6 | 219 | 311 | 365 | 676 | 147 | 304 | 32 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 467 | 84 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 205 | 5 | 45 | 7 | 180 | 249 | 302 | 550 | 122 | 271 | 40 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 355 | 328 | 63 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 141 | 1 | 27 | 3 | 192 | 251 | 345 | 596 | 152 | 270 | 40 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 444 | 389 | 85 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 142 | 8 | 41 | 6 | 219 | 311 | 365 | 676 | 147 | 304 | 32 | 10 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 467 | 84 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 205 | 5 | 45 | 7 | 180 | 249 | 302 | 550 | 122 | 271 | 40 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 355 | 328 | 63 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 141 | 1 | 27 | 3 | 192 | 251 | 345 | 596 | 152 | 270 | 40 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | NYM | 0% | 465 | 424 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 171 | 3 | 20 | 3 | 194 | 260 | 333 | 594 | 140 | 280 | 37 | 8 | 266 | 66 | -19 | +3 | +0 | -3 | +10 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | NYM | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 256 | 326 | 581 | 137 | 271 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 66 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | NYM | 30% | 279 | 254 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 100 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 198 | 266 | 342 | 608 | 144 | 282 | 36 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -10 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | NYM | 30% | 85 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 193 | 261 | 335 | 595 | 142 | 273 | 35 | 7 | 267 | 70 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 85 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 192 | 259 | 333 | 592 | 141 | 267 | 35 | 7 | 267 | 65 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 596 | 114 | 15 | 0 | 23 | 46 | 229 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 191 | 258 | 332 | 591 | 141 | 265 | 35 | 7 | 267 | 65 | -23 | +5 | +1 | -4 | +14 | -0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1887 | 1698 | 330 | 58 | 9 | 53 | 149 | 698 | 19 | 139 | 20 | 194 | 267 | 333 | 600 | 138 | 287 | 37 | 8 | 264 | 65 | -18 | +3 | +1 | -3 | +11 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 113 | 20 | 3 | 18 | 51 | 240 | 7 | 48 | 7 | 193 | 266 | 330 | 596 | 137 | 285 | 37 | 8 | 264 | 65 | -24 | +4 | +1 | -4 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 327 PAwOBA .332 → .260 (−72)K% 31.5% → 41.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 41.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 6.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.31% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 22.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 4.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 7.38% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .332 → .260; ISO .197 → .163; BABIP .320 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKFCL Rays · 28 PAwOBA .258 → .186 (−72)K% 14.3% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 8.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 12.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .258 → .186; ISO .087 → .064; BABIP .200 → .155. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 459 PAwOBA .319 → .244 (−75)K% 31.2% → 39.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.15% | ÷1.023 | ×1.310 | — | — | 39.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.55% | ÷0.965 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 7.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.20% | ÷1.005 | ×0.870 | ×0.960 | ×1.027 | 21.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.51% | ÷1.066 | ×0.780 | ×0.960 | ×1.027 | 3.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.996 | ×0.850 | ×0.960 | ×1.027 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.51% | ÷0.930 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 5.35% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 113, 3B 99, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .319 → .244; ISO .151 → .128; BABIP .328 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ACharleston RiverDogs · 444 PAwOBA .383 → .297 (−85)K% 23.2% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.20% | ÷0.985 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.41% | ÷1.047 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.80% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.02% | ÷1.071 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 19.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.45% | ÷1.017 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 9.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷1.099 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.15% | ÷0.824 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 4.15% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 114, 2B 103, 3B 120, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .383 → .297; ISO .185 → .158; BABIP .368 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AModesto Nuts · 54 PAwOBA .258 → .204 (−54)K% 29.6% → 39.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.63% | ÷1.026 | ×1.360 | — | — | 39.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 5.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.15% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 14.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 2.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.883 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.87% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .258 → .204; ISO .143 → .111; BABIP .250 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Mariners · 30 PAwOBA .384 → .266 (−118)K% 26.7% → 38.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.992 | ×1.440 | — | — | 38.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 12.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 22.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 9.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.945 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .384 → .266; ISO .174 → .117; BABIP .400 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .