Denzel Clarke
CF Athletics| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 571 | .286/.365/.464 | 15 | 45 | 87 | — | .208/.266/.335 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAAOAK | 135 | .280/.430/.411 | 0 | 7 | 115 | — | .248/.370/.363 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLBOAK | 159 | .230/.274/.372 | 3 | 6 | 73 | 1.1 | |
| 2026 | 26 | AAAOAK | 41 | .353/.463/.588 | 2 | 0 | 136 | — | .278/.366/.417 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLBOAK | 87 | .158/.238/.171 | 0 | 4 | 15 | -0.5 | |
| 2027PROJ | 27 | MLBOAK | 124 | .212/.290/.336 | 2 | 7 | 74 | 0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 28 | MLBOAK | 161 | .210/.288/.332 | 3 | 8 | 72 | 0.2 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 22 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 316 | 409 | 579 | 988 | 263 | 417 | 27 | 14 | 430 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 218 | 187 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 79 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 209 | 318 | 406 | 724 | 198 | 307 | 36 | 13 | 324 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 193 | 156 | 46 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 56 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 295 | 424 | 545 | 969 | 250 | 411 | 29 | 15 | 421 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 46 | 40 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 275 | 370 | 475 | 845 | 200 | 435 | 35 | 9 | 376 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 286 | 234 | 61 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 85 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 261 | 387 | 496 | 882 | 235 | 348 | 30 | 13 | 385 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 478 | 431 | 116 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 143 | 7 | 36 | 9 | 269 | 340 | 445 | 785 | 176 | 373 | 30 | 8 | 348 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 93 | 76 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 382 | 495 | 566 | 1.060 | 184 | 519 | 24 | 14 | 468 | 203 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Athletics | — | 159 | 148 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 61 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 230 | 274 | 372 | 646 | 142 | 369 | 38 | 4 | 284 | 73 | -5 | +1 | +10 | +1 | +3 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 135 | 107 | 30 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 280 | 430 | 411 | 841 | 131 | 390 | 22 | 17 | 385 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Athletics | — | 87 | 76 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 158 | 238 | 171 | 409 | 13 | 255 | 33 | 9 | 193 | 15 | -9 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 41 | 34 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 463 | 588 | 1.052 | 235 | 500 | 29 | 17 | 459 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 246 | 224 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 90 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 205 | 261 | 304 | 565 | 98 | 328 | 37 | 6 | 252 | 57 | -13 | +2 | +11 | +2 | +5 | 0.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 22 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 190 | 227 | 381 | 608 | 190 | 314 | 41 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 218 | 195 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 99 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 164 | 249 | 313 | 562 | 149 | 271 | 45 | 9 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 193 | 165 | 38 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 73 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 230 | 335 | 406 | 741 | 176 | 353 | 38 | 10 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 286 | 245 | 52 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 106 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 212 | 316 | 396 | 712 | 184 | 309 | 37 | 9 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 478 | 442 | 92 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 181 | 7 | 36 | 9 | 208 | 266 | 335 | 601 | 127 | 324 | 38 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | Athletics | — | 159 | 148 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 61 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 223 | 268 | 358 | 626 | 135 | 369 | 38 | 4 | 276 | 73 | -5 | +1 | +10 | +1 | +3 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 135 | 113 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 35 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 248 | 370 | 363 | 733 | 115 | 372 | 26 | 13 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Athletics | — | 87 | 76 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 158 | 238 | 171 | 409 | 13 | 255 | 33 | 9 | 191 | 15 | -9 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 41 | 36 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 366 | 417 | 783 | 139 | 462 | 34 | 12 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 22 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 190 | 227 | 381 | 608 | 190 | 273 | 41 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | ACL Athletics | — | 22 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 316 | 409 | 579 | 988 | 263 | 417 | 27 | 14 | 430 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 457 | 400 | 78 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 191 | 11 | 33 | 3 | 195 | 291 | 360 | 651 | 165 | 327 | 42 | 9 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 457 | 383 | 96 | 28 | 4 | 16 | 60 | 151 | 11 | 33 | 3 | 251 | 368 | 470 | 838 | 219 | 365 | 33 | 13 | 370 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 286 | 245 | 52 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 106 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 212 | 316 | 396 | 712 | 184 | 316 | 37 | 9 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | Midland RockHounds | — | 286 | 234 | 61 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 85 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 261 | 387 | 496 | 882 | 235 | 348 | 30 | 13 | 385 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 571 | 526 | 111 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 216 | 11 | 45 | 11 | 211 | 272 | 342 | 614 | 131 | 331 | 38 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 571 | 507 | 145 | 23 | 11 | 15 | 52 | 165 | 11 | 45 | 11 | 286 | 365 | 464 | 828 | 178 | 396 | 29 | 9 | 367 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 294 | 261 | 62 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 96 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 238 | 318 | 368 | 686 | 130 | 364 | 33 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -3 | +2 | +10 | +1 | +6 | 1.7 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 294 | 255 | 64 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 91 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 251 | 346 | 388 | 734 | 137 | 379 | 31 | 10 | 331 | 92 | -3 | +2 | +10 | +1 | +6 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 128 | 112 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 196 | 280 | 250 | 530 | 54 | 309 | 34 | 10 | 248 | 54 | -7 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 128 | 110 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 218 | 312 | 300 | 612 | 82 | 328 | 32 | 12 | 278 | 54 | -7 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 22 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 190 | 227 | 381 | 608 | 190 | 314 | 41 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 457 | 400 | 78 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 191 | 11 | 33 | 3 | 195 | 291 | 360 | 651 | 165 | 310 | 42 | 9 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 286 | 247 | 52 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 106 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 211 | 316 | 393 | 708 | 182 | 309 | 37 | 9 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 571 | 522 | 111 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 216 | 11 | 45 | 11 | 213 | 272 | 345 | 617 | 132 | 324 | 38 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 294 | 261 | 62 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 96 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 238 | 318 | 368 | 686 | 130 | 370 | 33 | 8 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 128 | 114 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 193 | 280 | 246 | 526 | 53 | 322 | 34 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 571 | 522 | 111 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 216 | 11 | 45 | 11 | 213 | 272 | 345 | 617 | 132 | 324 | 38 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 294 | 261 | 62 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 96 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 238 | 318 | 368 | 686 | 130 | 370 | 33 | 8 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 128 | 114 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 193 | 280 | 246 | 526 | 53 | 322 | 34 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | OAK | 100% | 200 | 178 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 59 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 207 | 285 | 327 | 612 | 120 | 280 | 30 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -6 | +1 | +4 | +1 | +4 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | OAK | 100% | 124 | 111 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 212 | 290 | 336 | 626 | 124 | 289 | 29 | 8 | 283 | 74 | -4 | +1 | +2 | +0 | +3 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | OAK | 82% | 196 | 175 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 58 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 205 | 283 | 322 | 605 | 117 | 279 | 30 | 8 | 274 | 72 | -7 | +1 | +3 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | OAK | 82% | 161 | 145 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 210 | 288 | 332 | 620 | 121 | 288 | 30 | 8 | 280 | 72 | -5 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +3 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 407 | 369 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 138 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 203 | 267 | 306 | 573 | 103 | 305 | 34 | 7 | 263 | 76 | -18 | +3 | +13 | +2 | +9 | 1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 120 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 220 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 204 | 267 | 309 | 576 | 105 | 305 | 34 | 7 | 263 | 76 | -29 | +5 | +22 | +3 | +14 | 1.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2078 | 1851 | 389 | 72 | 24 | 46 | 165 | 755 | 46 | 124 | 21 | 210 | 291 | 350 | 641 | 139 | 324 | 36 | 8 | 281 | 76 | -23 | +4 | +16 | +3 | +12 | 1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 122 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 52 | 236 | 14 | 39 | 7 | 211 | 291 | 351 | 642 | 140 | 325 | 36 | 8 | 281 | 76 | -27 | +5 | +19 | +3 | +14 | 1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 41 PAwOBA .447 → .369 (−78)K% 29.3% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 11.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 40.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 38.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 4.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 6.48% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .447 → .369; ISO .235 → .181; BABIP .500 → .462. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 135 PAwOBA .377 → .338 (−38)K% 22.2% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.027 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.04% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 12.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 3.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.68% | ÷1.052 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 23.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.39% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 9.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 4.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.183 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .377 → .338; ISO .131 → .129; BABIP .390 → .372. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAMidland RockHounds · 478 PAwOBA .339 → .265 (−75)K% 29.9% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.92% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.69% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×1.012 | 23.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.29% | ÷1.170 | ×0.840 | ×1.036 | ×1.012 | 5.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.036 | ×1.012 | 2.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.51% | ÷0.940 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.89% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 112, 2B 134, 3B 130, K 93, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .339 → .265; ISO .176 → .134; BABIP .373 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAMidland RockHounds · 286 PAwOBA .381 → .313 (−68)K% 29.7% → 36.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.72% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.94% | ÷1.031 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 9.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 3.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.82% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×1.027 | 21.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.38% | ÷1.011 | ×0.840 | ×0.997 | ×1.027 | 6.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.68% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.997 | ×1.027 | 2.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.05% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 6.92% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .381 → .313; ISO .235 → .195; BABIP .348 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 218 PAwOBA .317 → .243 (−74)K% 36.2% → 45.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.24% | ÷1.011 | ×1.270 | — | — | 45.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.84% | ÷1.020 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 9.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷0.996 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 17.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.967 | ×0.810 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 6.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 1.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.41% | ÷0.944 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 6.35% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 100, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .317 → .243; ISO .198 → .152; BABIP .307 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AStockton Ports · 193 PAwOBA .415 → .321 (−94)K% 29.0% → 37.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.02% | ÷1.049 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.51% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | — | 9.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.63% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | — | 21.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.00% | ÷1.092 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | — | 10.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | — | 1.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.800 | — | — | 5.59% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 118, 3B 106, K 110, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .415 → .321; ISO .250 → .190; BABIP .411 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Athletics · 22 PAwOBA .405 → .282 (−124)K% 27.3% → 39.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 39.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 5.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 18.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 10.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 5.91% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .405 → .282; ISO .263 → .183; BABIP .417 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .