Gabriel Rincones Jr.

Gabriel Rincones Jr.RF Philadelphia Phillies

Age 25 L/R 6'3" / 225 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION155 act + 103 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .293 / .357

PA103

HR3

K%28

BB%9

BABIP277

ISO141

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT38

xwOBA

100.208

POWER60

Barrel%

538.7

Avg EV

7390.7

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED41

Sprint

4327.2

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2029	Arb-1	$0.7M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.4M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	634	565	113	28	2	17	54	217	14	47	8	200	286	347	633	147	289	34	9	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	634	541	138	37	4	17	78	162	14	47	8	255	363	433	796	177	333	26	12	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	3 teams	—	384	346	66	16	1	10	30	131	5	32	7	191	265	329	595	139	269	34	8	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	3 teams	—	384	331	85	20	1	13	45	81	5	32	7	257	354	441	795	184	300	21	12	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	446	97	19	1	18	46	138	8	21	5	217	302	386	688	168	267	27	9	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	412	99	22	1	18	80	114	8	21	5	240	374	430	804	189	283	23	16	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	PHI	—	155	141	28	6	0	3	11	42	1	3	1	199	261	305	566	106	255	27	7	248	48	-9	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.6
YTD	25	MLB	PHI	—	155	137	29	6	0	3	15	37	1	3	1	212	294	321	615	109	263	24	10	279	72	-5	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.2
ROS	25	MLB	PHI	100%	103	92	20	4	0	3	9	29	1	3	1	217	293	357	651	141	281	28	9	295	84	-2	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.0
ROS	25	MLB	PHI	100%	103	93	20	4	0	3	8	29	1	3	1	215	284	355	639	140	283	28	8	289	80	-2	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
FULL	25	MLB	PHI	—	258	234	48	10	0	6	19	71	2	6	2	205	271	325	595	120	263	28	7	265	61	-11	+0	-0	-3	+7	-0.7
TOT	25	MLB	PHI	—	258	233	48	10	0	6	20	71	2	6	2	206	274	326	600	120	264	27	8	267	63	-11	+0	-0	-3	+7	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	PHI	65%	415	372	84	17	1	14	35	115	5	13	4	226	301	390	691	164	282	28	8	304	91	-4	+1	-1	-4	+12	0.3
2028	27	MLB	PHI	65%	421	377	85	17	1	14	36	115	5	13	4	225	301	387	689	162	283	27	9	305	92	-4	+1	-1	-5	+12	0.3
2029	28	MLB	PHI	65%	422	378	85	17	1	14	36	115	5	12	3	225	301	386	687	161	283	27	9	305	92	-4	+1	-2	-5	+12	0.3
2027	26	MLB	PHI	65%	270	242	55	11	1	9	23	75	3	8	2	227	302	393	695	165	285	28	9	298	86	-4	+1	-1	-3	+8	0.1
2028	27	MLB	PHI	65%	274	246	56	11	1	9	23	75	3	8	2	228	301	390	692	163	285	27	8	299	87	-4	+1	-1	-3	+8	0.1
2029	28	MLB	PHI	65%	274	245	56	11	1	9	24	75	3	8	2	229	305	392	697	163	285	27	9	299	87	-4	+1	-1	-3	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	921	826	187	37	3	30	78	254	10	27	7	226	301	387	688	161	288	28	8	298	86	-15	+3	-3	-10	+26	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	132	26	2	21	55	179	7	19	5	226	301	386	687	160	288	28	8	298	86	-10	+2	-2	-7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	2885	2576	550	118	7	90	246	860	43	141	32	213	293	370	662	156	280	30	9	293	82	-58	+15	-5	-31	+82	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	124	27	2	20	55	194	10	32	7	214	293	371	664	157	281	30	8	293	82	-13	+4	-1	-7	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	319	281	67	18	1	10	33	79	4	8	3	238	327	416	743	178	295	25	10	332	112	+4	+0	—	—	+9	1.4
2023	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	214	178	47	13	2	5	28	55	8	24	3	264	388	444	832	180	356	26	13	375	145	+11	+4	—	—	+6	2.1
2023	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	101	82	24	6	1	2	17	28	2	15	2	293	426	463	889	171	423	28	17	400	164	+7	+2	—	—	+3	1.3
2024	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	258	224	59	15	1	11	30	66	3	20	7	263	358	487	845	223	324	26	12	372	142	+12	+1	—	—	+7	2.1
2024	23	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	36	30	5	1	0	0	4	8	1	3	0	167	286	200	486	33	217	22	11	234	37	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	90	77	21	4	0	2	11	7	1	9	0	273	371	403	773	130	275	8	12	348	124	+2	+2	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	412	99	22	1	18	80	114	8	21	5	240	374	430	804	189	283	23	16	359	133	+19	+2	—	—	+14	3.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,033	33	30	222	292	381	-11	-5	0.7	0.7
	/162	664	21	19	222	292	381	-7.1	-3.1	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Rincones Jr. (OGILVIE)	25	30→38	60	40→41	57	206/274/326	120	264	6	6	27%	8%	63	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Taylor Trammell 2023 · MLB	25	45→46	54→55	49→55	46	230/302/412	181	299	21	15	30%	8%	101	+1.8	215/303/387	172	292	20	19	32%	10%	95	+1.4	200/298/370	170	270	21	20	32%	11%	87	+0.5
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB	25	39→42	57→60	45→50	45	211/291/406	195	286	26	8	35%	9%	95	+1.4	209/299/400	191	283	25	13	33%	11%	97	+1.5	199/296/388	189	266	25	15	34%	11%	89	+0.8
✕Devin Mann 2022 · AA	25	39→46	52→55	43→45	43	208/281/373	165	273	19	7	31%	7%	82	+0.5	221/299/382	161	292	18	5	29%	9%	92	+1.2	218/299/375	157	288	18	3	29%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Jason Martin 2022 · MLB	26	43→49	54→60	46→50	47	227/288/404	177	264	23	11	24%	8%	92	+1.2	230/292/428	198	292	26	9	30%	8%	101	+1.8	222/285/422	200	282	26	8	31%	8%	93	+0.9
✕Tommy Giles 2009 · AA	25	42→41	52→55	43→40	41	221/274/386	165	285	19	6	30%	6%	82	+0.5	220/281/383	163	289	20	5	30%	7%	85	+0.7	207/275/378	170	264	23	2	30%	8%	79	+0.1
✕Andy Wilkins 2014 · AAA	25	42→46	52→55	44→45	45	223/281/386	163	273	21	5	27%	7%	85	+0.7	218/261/381	163	268	20	3	26%	5%	75	-0.0	164/243/338	174	220	25	3	38%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Drew Robinson 2018 · MLB	26	40	53→55	49→50	46	212/285/390	178	284	21	12	32%	9%	88	+0.9	221/294/375	154	351	16	13	38%	9%	87	+0.8	196/277/339	144	353	15	13	45%	10%	69	-0.2
●Ryan Schimpf 2013 · AA	25	38→41	52→65	48→45	44	202/276/371	169	268	19	7	31%	8%	79	+0.3	192/268/370	178	250	22	4	32%	8%	76	+0.1	203/283/425	222	241	28	2	29%	8%	94	+1.0
●Andrew Navigato 2023 · AA	25	40→38	51→60	49→50	42	213/277/371	158	262	20	14	27%	6%	80	+0.4	223/279/416	193	277	24	15	28%	6%	92	+1.2	217/275/424	208	268	26	17	30%	6%	89	+0.7
●Ka'ai Tom 2019 · AA	25	45→50	48→55	49→50	45	229/293/378	149	287	16	13	26%	7%	88	+0.9	234/301/417	183	302	21	8	28%	7%	102	+1.8	213/291/391	178	283	20	6	31%	8%	87	+0.5
●Jake Bauers 2021 · MLB	25	44→50	49→60	45→55	51	223/307/375	152	286	17	12	27%	10%	93	+1.3	209/287/347	138	278	17	13	29%	10%	78	+0.2	233/340/432	199	302	26	17	30%	13%	117	+1.5
✕DJ Stewart 2020 · MLB	26	43→47	53→60	46→50	48	228/300/402	174	266	21	11	23%	8%	97	+1.5	223/320/403	180	277	23	6	27%	11%	106	+2.2	212/319/414	202	253	29	2	28%	11%	105	+1.0
✕Wladimir Balentien 2009 · MLB	25	40→45	53→55	44→50	44	216/275/389	173	262	22	9	27%	7%	83	+0.6	230/288/403	173	281	20	9	25%	7%	92	+1.2	234/293/408	175	284	20	10	24%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Preston Tucker 2015 · AAA	25	45→46	51→55	43→40	43	234/282/396	162	281	20	4	24%	6%	88	+0.9	225/275/389	164	271	20	3	25%	6%	83	+0.6	232/310/385	153	274	16	1	21%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Jabari Blash 2015 · AAA	26	37→41	53→60	46→50	42	197/281/370	173	278	22	10	36%	8%	82	+0.5	208/303/397	189	294	24	7	35%	10%	98	+1.6	199/309/387	188	287	24	5	36%	12%	95	+1.0
●Brandon Allen 2011 · MLB	25	42→47	53→55	50	47	221/297/391	170	279	21	11	28%	9%	93	+1.3	221/294/399	178	291	21	8	30%	9%	94	+1.3	216/286/400	184	279	21	6	30%	8%	88	+0.6
✕Dustin Majewski 2007 · AA	25	44→51	51→50	43→40	51	224/300/387	163	275	18	6	25%	10%	93	+1.3	227/303/361	134	281	12	5	22%	10%	87	+0.8	228/304/349	122	279	10	4	21%	9%	82	+0.4
✕Luis Liberato 2021 · AA	25	45→51	51→55	45→50	41	232/276/386	153	291	19	8	27%	6%	82	+0.5	223/282/362	139	312	15	8	31%	8%	79	+0.3	211/280/353	142	296	15	9	32%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2023 · AAA	24	41→44	56→55	46→45	43	225/280/412	187	275	25	7	28%	7%	92	+1.2	220/285/390	170	266	21	8	25%	8%	88	+0.9	208/281/371	163	244	21	8	24%	9%	79	+0.1
●Mickey Moniak 2023 · MLB	25	39→49	52→60	49→50	37	209/251/376	167	274	21	10	32%	5%	69	-0.4	238/276/427	189	308	23	11	30%	4%	94	+1.3	239/278/433	194	299	24	11	28%	4%	93	+0.9