Gabriel Rincones Jr.

RF Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 26 L/R 6'3" / 225 lbs AAA HR +14% Svc 0.308 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
AAA40-MANROOKIEPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423AA/ROK/INTL2 orgs384.257/.354/.441133283—.204/.277/.339
202524AAAPHI506.240/.374/.430182189—.216/.310/.361
202625AAA/APHI208.249/.343/.4317377—.213/.285/.351
202625MLBPHI89.167/.205/.2862032-0.9
2027PROJ45% MLB26MLBPHI70.223/.301/.37322880.0
2028PROJ49% MLB27MLBPHI130.223/.300/.3724388-0.1
2029PROJ52% MLB28MLBPHI145.222/.299/.3694387-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.9  ·  Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.308First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$0.2M2031Arb-2$0.4M2032Ext$0.6M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Max EV93
K%38
Chase%37
Whiff%36
Z-Con%36
BB%33
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 2.1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%
CompsDrew Robinson (age 26) · Ryan Ward (age 26) · Marc Krauss (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†88
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .301 / .373
PA70
HR2
K%30
BB%9
BABIP296
ISO143
MLB%45%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT
xAVG
100.150
POWER
Barrel%
589.4
Avg EV
6490.1
SPEED
Sprint
4627.3
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0.308 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.0$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Arb-1$0.2M———
2031Arb-2$0.4M———
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202322 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws — 319281 6718110 33794 83 238327416743 178295 2510 332 59 — — — — — —
202322 AClearwater Threshers — 214178 471325 28558 243 264388444832 180356 2613 375 82 — — — — — —
202322 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 10182 24612 17282 152 293426463889 171423 2817 400 157 — — — — — —
202423 AAReading Fightin Phils — 258224 5915111 30663 207 263358487845 223324 2612 372 82 — — — — — —
202423 ROKFCL Phillies — 3630 5100 481 30 167286200486 33217 2211 234 -6 — — — — — —
202423 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 9077 21402 1171 90 273371403773 130275 812 348 121 — — — — — —
202524 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs — 506412 9922118 801148 215 240374430804 189283 2316 359 89 — — — — — —
202625 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies — 8984 14402 2292 00 167205286490 119222 332 218 32 -7 +0 +0 -3 +2 -0.9
202625 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs — 179157 391106 16455 21 248337433770 185308 259 343 78 — — — — — —
202625 AClearwater Threshers — 2924 6101 560 10 250379417796 167294 2117 361 70 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 8984 14402 2292 00 167205286490 119222 332 218 34 -7 +0 +0 -3 +2 -0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202322 A+ MLEJersey Shore BlueClaws — 319293 5513110 211044 83 188252341593 154247 337 255 59 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEClearwater Threshers — 214186 401024 20738 243 215318355673 140325 349 290 82 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLEReading Fightin Phils — 258233 501217 21833 207 215288365653 150297 328 290 82 — — — — — —
202423 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 3632 4100 2111 30 125200156356 31158 316 160 -6 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 506440 9520114 521378 215 216310361671 145268 2710 300 89 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 8984 14402 2292 00 167205286490 119222 332 216 32 -7 +0 +0 -3 +2 -0.9
202625 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 179162 351004 11545 21 216287352638 136293 306 284 78 — — — — — —
202625 A MLEClearwater Threshers — 2926 5101 380 10 192276346622 154254 2810 271 70 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE3 teams — 634571 11227316 4821114 478 196275338613 142278 338 269 68 — — — — — —
202322 A+ RAW3 teams — 634541 13837417 7816214 478 255363433796 177333 2612 357 68 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLE3 teams — 384345 7117110 311225 327 206281348629 142282 328 274 72 — — — — — —
202423 AA RAW3 teams — 384331 8520113 45815 327 257354441795 184300 2112 353 72 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 506440 9520114 521378 215 216310361671 145275 2710 300 89 — — — — — —
202524 AAA RAWLehigh Valley IronPigs — 506412 9922118 801148 215 240374430804 189283 2316 359 89 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLE3 teams — 297271 541407 17917 31 199264328593 129269 316 262 64 — — — — — —
202625 AAA RAW3 teams — 297265 591609 23807 31 223302385687 162281 278 307 64 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE3 teams — 634567 11227316 4821114 478 198275340615 143278 338 269 68 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLE3 teams — 384345 7117110 311225 327 206281348629 142280 328 274 72 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 506441 9520114 521378 215 215310361671 145268 2710 300 89 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLE3 teams — 297271 541407 17917 31 199264328593 129268 316 262 64 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 AA MLE3 teams — 384345 7117110 311225 327 206281348629 142280 328 274 72 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 506441 9520114 521378 215 215310361671 145268 2710 300 89 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLE3 teams — 297271 541407 17917 31 199264328593 129268 316 262 64 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEPHI 45% 347310 681519 281036 82 221299366665 145296 308 299 88 -5 +1 -1 -4 +8 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXPHI 45% 7063 14302 6211 20 223301373674 150296 309 302 88 -1 +0 -0 -1 +2 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEPHI 49% 263235 531217 21785 62 221299365664 144295 308 298 88 -4 +0 -1 -3 +6 -0.1
202928 MLB MLEPHI 52% 280250 551217 23825 52 220298362660 142293 298 297 87 -4 +0 -1 -3 +6 -0.2
203029 MLB MLEPHI 52% 279249 551217 23825 41 219296358654 139291 298 294 85 -5 +0 -2 -3 +6 -0.4
203130 MLB MLEPHI 52% 278250 541207 22814 31 217293352645 135288 298 290 83 -6 +0 -3 -3 +6 -0.5
202827 MLB CTXPHI 49% 130116 26604 11382 31 223300372673 150295 298 301 88 -2 +0 -0 -1 +3 -0.1
202928 MLB CTXPHI 52% 145130 28604 12432 31 222299369669 147294 308 300 87 -2 +0 -1 -2 +3 -0.1
203029 MLB CTXPHI 52% 144129 28604 12422 21 221297365662 144291 298 297 85 -3 +0 -1 -2 +3 -0.2
203130 MLB CTXPHI 52% 143128 28604 12422 21 218294358653 140289 298 293 83 -3 +0 -1 -2 +3 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 651587 12428018 4919410 104 211283351634 140279 308 287 79 -17 +0 -3 -9 +14 -1.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650586 12428018 4919410 104 212284352635 140280 308 287 79 -17 +0 -3 -9 +14 -1.5
Career— MLE — 30762749 579133879 25093056 12528 211290351641 140285 308 285 79 -28 +2 -7 -17 +29 -2.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 12328217 5319712 266 212291355646 143286 308 285 79 -14 +1 -3 -8 +14 -1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 179 PAwOBA .336 → .284 (−52)K% 25.1% → 30.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.14%÷1.000×1.200——30.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.94%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0336.37%
HBP% /PA2.79%—×0.940—×1.0332.71%
Singles /BIP19.64%÷1.000×0.930×1.041×1.03319.64%
Doubles /BIP9.82%÷1.000×0.830×1.041×1.0338.76%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×1.041×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP5.36%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0333.87%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .336 → .284; ISO .185 → .141; BABIP .308 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AClearwater Threshers · 29 PAwOBA .352 → .271 (−82)K% 20.7% → 28.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.69%÷1.000×1.360——28.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.24%÷1.000×0.690—×0.97011.54%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9700.00%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.000×0.920—×0.97019.83%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9704.47%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×0.9700.00%
Home runs /BIP5.56%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9704.31%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .352 → .271; ISO .167 → .127; BABIP .294 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 506 PAwOBA .352 → .300 (−52)K% 22.5% → 27.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.53%÷0.996×1.200——27.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.22%÷1.075×0.690—×1.04810.24%
HBP% /PA1.58%—×0.940—×1.0481.56%
Singles /BIP19.46%÷0.986×0.930×1.004×1.04819.33%
Doubles /BIP7.38%÷1.018×0.830×1.004×1.0486.34%
Triples /BIP0.34%÷0.900×0.970×1.004×1.0480.38%
Home runs /BIP6.04%÷0.947×0.700—×1.0484.68%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 99, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .352 → .300; ISO .189 → .158; BABIP .283 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAReading Fightin Phils · 258 PAwOBA .363 → .290 (−73)K% 25.6% → 32.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.58%÷0.974×1.220——32.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.63%÷1.013×0.700—×1.0278.25%
HBP% /PA1.16%—×0.850—×1.0271.02%
Singles /BIP20.25%÷0.997×0.970×0.980×1.02719.83%
Doubles /BIP9.49%÷1.022×0.860×0.980×1.0278.04%
Triples /BIP0.63%÷0.983×0.950×0.980×1.0270.62%
Home runs /BIP6.96%÷1.137×0.780—×1.0274.90%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .363 → .290; ISO .223 → .162; BABIP .324 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Phillies · 36 PAwOBA .236 → .160 (−76)K% 22.2% → 30.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.22%÷1.042×1.440——30.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.11%÷0.982×0.620—×0.9656.77%
HBP% /PA2.78%—×0.720—×0.9651.93%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷1.073×0.820—×0.96513.41%
Doubles /BIP4.55%÷1.015×0.720—×0.9653.11%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.994×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.924×0.780—×0.9650.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 115, 2B 103, 3B 99, K 108, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .236 → .160; ISO .033 → .023; BABIP .217 → .158. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 319 PAwOBA .324 → .255 (−70)K% 24.8% → 32.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.76%÷0.993×1.310——32.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.34%÷0.973×0.600—×1.0126.46%
HBP% /PA1.25%—×0.770—×1.0120.98%
Singles /BIP18.81%÷1.006×0.870×0.995×1.01216.39%
Doubles /BIP8.91%÷1.034×0.780×0.995×1.0126.77%
Triples /BIP0.50%÷1.071×0.850×0.995×1.0120.40%
Home runs /BIP4.95%÷0.858×0.880—×1.0125.14%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 114, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .324 → .255; ISO .178 → .156; BABIP .295 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AClearwater Threshers · 214 PAwOBA .365 → .290 (−75)K% 25.7% → 34.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.70%÷1.020×1.360——34.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.08%÷0.972×0.690——9.29%
HBP% /PA3.74%—×0.780——2.92%
Singles /BIP21.95%÷0.965×0.920×1.010—21.14%
Doubles /BIP10.57%÷1.002×0.830×1.010—8.84%
Triples /BIP1.63%÷1.056×0.910×1.010—1.41%
Home runs /BIP4.07%÷1.000×0.800——3.25%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 93, 2B 100, 3B 111, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .365 → .290; ISO .180 → .138; BABIP .356 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .