Gabriel Rincones Jr.RF
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 25
L/R
6'3" / 225 lbs
AAA
HR +11%H +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.6 · 2027
wRC+†92
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .298 / .379
PA134
HR4
K%29
BB%9
MLB%40%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
32↗37
PWR
58↗60
SPD
41↘40
FLD
45↗47
EYE
53↗58
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.4M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.5M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $9M | $6M | -$3M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | 3 teams | 634 | 568 | 112 | 28 | 2 | 17 | 51 | 213 | 14 | 47 | 8 | .197 | .280 | .343 | .623 | .146 | .280 | 34 | 8 | .275 | 69 | -23 | +6 | +0 | -7 | +18 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | 3 teams | 384 | 345 | 69 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 127 | 5 | 32 | 7 | .200 | .276 | .348 | .623 | .148 | .276 | 33 | 8 | .272 | 66 | -15 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 506 | 443 | 95 | 19 | 1 | 17 | 49 | 138 | 8 | 21 | 5 | .214 | .304 | .377 | .681 | .163 | .265 | 27 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -7 | +2 | +0 | -5 | +14 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 134 | 119 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .210 | .293 | .353 | .646 | .143 | .282 | 29 | 9 | .305 | 92 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 56% | PHI | 365 | 323 | 72 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 105 | 5 | 11 | 3 | .223 | .307 | .396 | .703 | .173 | .285 | 29 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 74% | PHI | 388 | 344 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 110 | 5 | 10 | 3 | .227 | .309 | .401 | .710 | .174 | .285 | 28 | 9 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 82% | PHI | 401 | 355 | 79 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 113 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .223 | .307 | .392 | .698 | .169 | .285 | 28 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 88% | PHI | 400 | 354 | 79 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 113 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .223 | .307 | .393 | .700 | .169 | .285 | 28 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 94% | PHI | 398 | 353 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 114 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .221 | .304 | .382 | .686 | .161 | .283 | 29 | 9 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -3 | -4 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 387 | 343 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 113 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .219 | .302 | .382 | .684 | .163 | .282 | 29 | 9 | .305 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 370 | 327 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 110 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .214 | .300 | .373 | .673 | .159 | .280 | 30 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -5 | +1 | -5 | -4 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 341 | 302 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 103 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .212 | .296 | .361 | .657 | .149 | .278 | 30 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 298 | 264 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 93 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .208 | .294 | .360 | .654 | .152 | .276 | 31 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -7 | +0 | -6 | -3 | +8 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5006 | 4440 | 951 | 200 | 13 | 161 | 457 | 1491 | 72 | 161 | 33 | .214 | .298 | .374 | .672 | .160 | .281 | 30 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -75 | +19 | -29 | -54 | +142 | 0.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 577 | 124 | 26 | 2 | 21 | 59 | 194 | 9 | 21 | 4 | .215 | .298 | .376 | .674 | .161 | .281 | 30 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -10 | +3 | -4 | -7 | +18 | 0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 319 | 281 | 67 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 79 | 4 | 8 | 3 | .238 | .327 | .416 | .743 | .178 | .295 | 25 | 10 | .332 | 112 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 214 | 178 | 47 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 55 | 8 | 24 | 3 | .264 | .388 | .444 | .832 | .180 | .356 | 26 | 13 | .375 | 145 | +11 | +4 | — | — | +6 | 2.1 |
| 2023 | 22 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | 101 | 82 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 28 | 2 | 15 | 2 | .293 | .426 | .463 | .889 | .171 | .423 | 28 | 17 | .400 | 164 | +7 | +2 | — | — | +3 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 258 | 224 | 59 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 66 | 3 | 20 | 7 | .263 | .358 | .487 | .845 | .223 | .324 | 26 | 12 | .372 | 142 | +12 | +1 | — | — | +7 | 2.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 36 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .167 | .286 | .200 | .486 | .033 | .217 | 22 | 11 | .234 | 37 | -3 | +1 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | 90 | 77 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 0 | .273 | .371 | .403 | .773 | .130 | .275 | 8 | 12 | .348 | 124 | +2 | +2 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 506 | 412 | 99 | 22 | 1 | 18 | 80 | 114 | 8 | 21 | 5 | .240 | .374 | .430 | .804 | .189 | .283 | 23 | 16 | .359 | 133 | +19 | +2 | — | — | +14 | 3.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Gabriel Rincones Jr. (OGILVIE) | 25 | 32→37 | 58→60 | 41→40 | 58 | .216/.298/.379 | .163 | .282 | 4 | 4 | 29% | 9% | 92 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jake Bauers 2021 · MLB |
25 | 44→50 | 50→60 | 45→55 | 52 | .223/.307/.378 | .155 | .284 | 17 | 12 | 27% | 10% | 94 | +1.3 | .211/.290/.346 | .135 | .282 | 16 | 13 | 29% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .216/.314/.413 | .198 | .284 | 25 | 18 | 31% | 12% | 99 | +0.9 |
|
✕Taylor Trammell 2023 · MLB |
25 | 42→46 | 53→55 | 49→55 | 46 | .219/.294/.391 | .172 | .289 | 20 | 15 | 31% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .213/.302/.390 | .177 | .289 | 22 | 19 | 32% | 10% | 95 | +1.4 | .200/.298/.378 | .178 | .267 | 22 | 20 | 32% | 11% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕DJ Stewart 2020 · MLB |
26 | 44→48 | 52→60 | 47→50 | 48 | .231/.303/.398 | .167 | .271 | 20 | 12 | 23% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .223/.320/.400 | .177 | .277 | 22 | 7 | 27% | 11% | 105 | +2.1 | .212/.318/.409 | .197 | .253 | 28 | 2 | 28% | 11% | 104 | +0.9 |
|
✕Brandon Allen 2011 · MLB |
25 | 43→47 | 54→55 | 50 | 47 | .225/.300/.405 | .180 | .280 | 22 | 11 | 28% | 9% | 98 | +1.6 | .221/.297/.396 | .175 | .289 | 20 | 9 | 29% | 9% | 94 | +1.3 | .214/.284/.389 | .175 | .276 | 20 | 6 | 29% | 8% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB |
25 | 40→41 | 57→60 | 45→50 | 45 | .214/.295/.410 | .196 | .290 | 26 | 9 | 35% | 10% | 98 | +1.6 | .210/.300/.403 | .193 | .281 | 26 | 13 | 33% | 11% | 98 | +1.6 | .198/.296/.384 | .186 | .261 | 25 | 15 | 33% | 11% | 87 | +0.7 |
|
✕Rowdy Tellez 2020 · MLB |
25 | 45→50 | 52→60 | 44→45 | 44 | .232/.289/.397 | .165 | .281 | 20 | 5 | 25% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .244/.311/.447 | .203 | .277 | 27 | 4 | 22% | 8% | 114 | +2.7 | .231/.309/.443 | .213 | .243 | 29 | 1 | 20% | 9% | 100 | +1.1 |
|
✕Greg Bird 2018 · MLB |
25 | 44→46 | 55 | 45→30 | 51 | .234/.310/.420 | .186 | .270 | 22 | 3 | 23% | 9% | 106 | +2.2 | .215/.301/.391 | .176 | .262 | 21 | 4 | 26% | 10% | 95 | +1.4 | .187/.268/.347 | .160 | .232 | 20 | 1 | 29% | 9% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Seth Beer 2022 · AAA |
25 | 44→46 | 53→55 | 40→30 | 43 | .229/.315/.402 | .173 | .277 | 21 | 3 | 25% | 6% | 105 | +2.1 | .212/.297/.342 | .130 | .266 | 14 | 2 | 25% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .206/.287/.324 | .118 | .266 | 14 | 0 | 27% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 |
|
✕Andrew Lambo 2014 · MLB |
25 | 43→50 | 55→60 | 46→45 | 40 | .229/.280/.414 | .185 | .294 | 24 | 6 | 31% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .238/.284/.417 | .179 | .297 | 21 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 95 | +1.4 | .240/.285/.394 | .154 | .289 | 16 | 4 | 22% | 5% | 86 | +0.3 |
|
✕Clint Frazier 2020 · MLB |
25 | 46 | 52→55 | 46→50 | 42 | .234/.289/.410 | .176 | .294 | 19 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 94 | +1.3 | .222/.305/.377 | .155 | .299 | 17 | 8 | 30% | 9% | 93 | +1.3 | .190/.299/.313 | .123 | .279 | 14 | 9 | 34% | 12% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
●JJ Bleday 2023 · MLB |
25 | 34→44 | 50→55 | 46→45 | 50 | .186/.278/.340 | .154 | .241 | 18 | 6 | 30% | 11% | 73 | -0.1 | .220/.308/.399 | .179 | .265 | 20 | 6 | 24% | 11% | 100 | +1.7 | .233/.319/.423 | .190 | .271 | 22 | 4 | 22% | 11% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
✕Isan Díaz 2021 · MLB |
25 | 41→40 | 50→55 | 45 | 43 | .213/.280/.364 | .151 | .286 | 18 | 8 | 31% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .209/.286/.369 | .160 | .277 | 20 | 7 | 31% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .191/.269/.374 | .183 | .233 | 28 | 8 | 32% | 9% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Christin Stewart 2019 · MLB |
25 | 41→45 | 54→55 | 48→45 | 47 | .217/.293/.392 | .175 | .274 | 22 | 3 | 29% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .223/.293/.389 | .166 | .281 | 20 | 3 | 27% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .207/.287/.379 | .172 | .273 | 22 | 5 | 32% | 8% | 83 | +0.4 |
|
✕Derek Fisher 2019 · MLB |
25 | 45→51 | 51→55 | 52→55 | 44 | .227/.297/.390 | .163 | .320 | 19 | 19 | 34% | 8% | 93 | +1.3 | .223/.302/.390 | .167 | .314 | 21 | 15 | 33% | 10% | 95 | +1.4 | .199/.289/.365 | .166 | .273 | 23 | 13 | 34% | 10% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
●Will Benson 2023 · MLB |
25 | 42→51 | 52→55 | 53→55 | 50 | .214/.312/.388 | .175 | .301 | 20 | 16 | 34% | 11% | 99 | +1.7 | .222/.312/.399 | .177 | .317 | 19 | 23 | 33% | 11% | 102 | +1.8 | .215/.300/.396 | .181 | .302 | 20 | 24 | 33% | 10% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Wladimir Balentien 2009 · MLB |
25 | 40→45 | 53→55 | 45→50 | 44 | .214/.275/.384 | .170 | .264 | 22 | 9 | 28% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .229/.287/.402 | .173 | .277 | 21 | 9 | 25% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .234/.292/.410 | .176 | .278 | 21 | 10 | 24% | 7% | 95 | +0.9 |
|
✕Jarred Kelenic 2023 · MLB |
24 | 40→50 | 54→60 | 48→50 | 45 | .216/.280/.401 | .185 | .264 | 22 | 13 | 28% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .227/.289/.388 | .161 | .307 | 18 | 13 | 30% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .220/.280/.357 | .137 | .308 | 15 | 13 | 32% | 8% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Preston Tucker 2016 · MLB |
26 | 44→45 | 53→55 | 41→40 | 44 | .235/.284/.404 | .169 | .272 | 22 | 3 | 23% | 6% | 91 | +1.1 | .217/.269/.375 | .158 | .262 | 19 | 3 | 25% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .232/.307/.388 | .157 | .271 | 17 | 1 | 21% | 8% | 95 | +0.6 |
|
●Matt Joyce 2010 · MLB |
25 | 44→54 | 54→60 | 45→50 | 47 | .228/.297/.413 | .185 | .282 | 21 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .249/.334/.442 | .193 | .299 | 20 | 10 | 23% | 11% | 121 | +3.2 | .258/.351/.454 | .197 | .305 | 21 | 9 | 21% | 12% | 122 | +2.5 |
|
✕Jabari Blash 2014 · AA |
25 | 41→40 | 51→60 | 47→50 | 46 | .209/.295/.369 | .159 | .303 | 19 | 11 | 35% | 10% | 87 | +0.8 | .207/.293/.398 | .191 | .284 | 24 | 9 | 35% | 9% | 94 | +1.3 | .201/.308/.395 | .194 | .284 | 25 | 5 | 36% | 11% | 96 | +1.0 |