Ryan Ward — OGILVIE

Ryan WardLF Oklahoma City Comets

Age 28 L/R 5'10" / 200 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION315 act + 210 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .298 / .416

PA210

HR8

K%27

BB%8

BABIP286

ISO184

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT42

xwOBA

560.316

POWER52

Barrel%

6810.8

Avg EV

4288.5

Bat Spd

6873.2

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

Sprint

3326.7

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$6M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	495	457	110	18	2	25	30	155	5	8	6	241	295	453	748	212	304	31	6	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	495	439	122	21	3	27	47	118	5	8	6	278	354	524	878	246	320	24	9	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	506	472	103	14	1	24	27	159	5	5	1	218	268	405	673	186	271	31	5	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	506	459	117	18	2	28	39	116	5	5	1	255	319	486	805	231	281	23	8	352	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	615	557	101	22	4	15	50	201	5	12	5	181	255	316	571	135	250	33	8	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	615	538	126	27	6	21	68	157	5	12	5	234	325	424	749	190	289	26	11	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	520	489	105	19	4	30	25	186	2	11	3	215	256	454	710	239	271	36	5	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	520	473	122	22	7	33	41	141	2	11	3	258	320	543	863	285	294	27	8	370	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	—	652	600	153	27	4	31	49	153	1	16	6	255	312	468	781	213	292	23	8	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	—	652	566	164	31	6	36	83	122	1	16	6	290	382	557	938	267	312	19	13	407	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	LAD	—	315	282	62	13	1	10	30	82	2	6	0	220	299	379	679	160	272	26	10	298	86	-5	+1	-0	-6	+9	-0.0
YTD	28	AAA	LAD	—	315	271	70	15	1	12	41	67	2	6	0	258	360	454	814	196	301	21	13	362	135	+12	+1	-0	-6	+9	1.7
ROS	28	AAA	LAD	100%	210	190	44	9	1	8	17	57	1	4	1	232	298	416	714	184	281	27	8	316	100	-0	+0	-0	-2	+6	0.4
ROS	28	MLB	LAD	100%	210	190	43	8	1	8	17	57	1	4	1	226	293	405	699	179	277	27	8	307	93	-2	+0	-0	-2	+6	0.2
FULL	28	AAA	LAD	—	525	472	105	21	2	18	47	139	3	10	1	222	297	390	687	167	274	26	9	302	89	-6	+2	-0	-8	+15	0.2
TOT	28	AAA	LAD	—	525	472	106	22	2	18	47	139	3	10	1	225	299	394	693	169	278	26	9	305	92	-5	+2	-0	-8	+15	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	LAD	82%	660	596	138	27	3	25	55	176	4	11	2	232	301	413	714	181	281	27	8	315	99	-1	+1	-3	-7	+19	1.0
2028	30	MLB	LAD	82%	660	596	136	26	3	24	55	176	4	10	2	228	298	403	700	174	281	27	8	312	97	-2	+1	-3	-7	+19	0.7
2027	29	MLB	LAD	82%	541	488	110	21	2	20	45	144	3	9	2	225	295	400	694	174	277	27	8	306	92	-5	+1	-2	-6	+15	0.4
2028	30	MLB	LAD	82%	541	488	109	21	2	19	45	144	3	8	1	223	293	391	684	168	277	27	8	303	90	-6	+1	-3	-6	+15	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1292	1166	262	50	5	47	107	345	7	21	4	225	294	397	691	172	275	27	8	305	92	-12	+3	-5	-14	+37	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	132	25	3	24	54	174	4	11	2	225	295	400	696	175	275	27	8	305	92	-6	+1	-3	-7	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	4318	3957	890	162	22	182	308	1263	27	77	26	225	285	415	700	190	280	29	7	305	91	-42	+5	-6	-46	+122	3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	133	24	3	27	46	190	4	12	4	223	283	409	693	186	277	29	7	305	91	-6	+1	-1	-7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	495	439	122	21	3	27	47	118	5	8	6	278	354	524	878	246	320	24	9	381	150	+28	-1	—	—	+14	4.2
2022	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	506	459	117	18	2	28	39	116	5	5	1	255	319	486	805	231	281	23	8	352	127	+16	+1	—	—	+14	3.1
2023	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	615	538	126	27	6	21	68	157	5	12	5	234	325	424	749	190	289	26	11	332	112	+9	+0	—	—	+17	2.7
2024	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	520	473	122	22	7	33	41	141	2	11	3	258	320	543	863	285	294	27	8	370	142	+24	+1	—	—	+15	4.1
2025	27	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	—	652	566	164	31	6	36	83	122	1	16	6	290	382	557	938	267	312	19	13	407	170	+51	+1	—	—	+18	7.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	9	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
	/162	664	27	9	242	297	444	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,330	52	20	232	296	418	-14	-0	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	26	10	232	296	418	-7.1	-0.1	1.1	pk7: 2
#5John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Ward (OGILVIE)	28	40→42	50→52	45	45	225/299/394	169	278	18	10	26%	9%	92	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Munson 2006 · MLB	28	42→43	59→60	44→40	47	234/294/438	204	256	28	4	22%	7%	105	+2.1	222/290/384	162	253	20	4	21%	8%	89	+0.9	209/286/342	134	246	14	1	21%	9%	74	-0.0
●Pedro Álvarez 2015 · MLB	28	44→46	60	47→45	48	239/310/448	209	288	29	6	28%	9%	114	+2.7	240/307/454	214	285	30	4	27%	9%	114	+2.7	234/296/450	216	273	31	2	27%	8%	102	+1.6
✕Jason Vosler 2022 · MLB	28	44→43	55	49→40	49	233/303/420	187	265	23	5	23%	8%	103	+1.9	216/278/387	171	274	22	6	29%	7%	84	+0.6	206/267/372	166	264	22	4	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕John Rodriguez 2006 · MLB	28	48→47	57→55	52→40	45	249/317/444	195	301	25	9	26%	7%	115	+2.8	245/320/409	164	309	17	5	25%	8%	107	+2.2	239/321/389	150	307	15	1	25%	9%	99	+0.7
✕Matt Clark 2015 · MLB	28	45→49	57→60	46→30	41	241/294/432	192	292	27	3	28%	6%	103	+1.9	227/280/402	175	276	24	3	27%	6%	89	+1.0	221/279/404	183	263	25	0	27%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Christin Stewart 2022 · MLB	28	41→50	55→60	47→45	41	219/279/402	183	282	23	4	31%	6%	89	+0.9	212/292/392	180	299	24	10	35%	9%	92	+1.2	185/286/359	175	256	26	11	37%	11%	78	+0.1
✕DJ Stewart 2022 · MLB	28	41→47	55→60	42→50	56	218/324/402	184	266	23	4	27%	12%	108	+2.3	225/328/415	190	281	26	6	28%	11%	113	+2.6	211/325/400	189	260	26	6	29%	12%	106	+1.0
✕Jarrett Parker 2017 · MLB	28	48→51	55	48→50	44	238/312/425	187	337	24	11	35%	9%	108	+2.3	225/302/389	164	321	19	7	33%	9%	95	+1.4	200/290/358	158	289	19	4	35%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Andrew Young 2022 · MLB	28	43→47	57→60	48→40	38	220/302/422	202	319	24	5	37%	6%	105	+2.1	208/285/370	162	322	20	7	39%	8%	83	+0.6	171/257/312	142	262	19	4	40%	8%	53	-0.9
✕Jayson Nix 2011 · MLB	28	43→49	54→55	46→55	46	230/296/403	173	266	22	10	23%	7%	96	+1.5	216/281/350	134	275	14	13	26%	7%	76	+0.0	207/276/316	109	275	10	18	27%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Zach Reks 2022 · AAA	28	48→39	55	44→40	43	240/311/431	191	333	23	4	34%	8%	109	+2.4	228/300/380	152	333	16	6	34%	8%	92	+1.2	176/263/286	110	268	11	2	36%	9%	50	-0.6
✕Darick Hall 2023 · MLB	28	39→40	56→55	45→40	41	217/270/408	192	260	25	5	28%	6%	86	+0.8	219/276/373	154	274	21	4	27%	7%	79	+0.3	209/272/336	127	265	18	1	28%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Ka'ai Tom 2021 · AAA	27	48→50	57→55	47→50	44	249/309/453	204	313	23	8	28%	7%	114	+2.7	201/284/335	134	281	14	8	32%	8%	74	-0.1	167/264/280	113	238	12	7	33%	9%	47	-0.9
✕Daniel Palka 2019 · MLB	27	42→44	56→55	43→50	39	225/274/408	183	298	25	5	33%	6%	88	+0.9	210/274/379	169	272	22	5	30%	8%	80	+0.4	217/279/385	168	275	23	3	29%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2019 · MLB	28	44→51	54→60	47→45	42	226/294/403	177	308	22	4	33%	8%	95	+1.4	236/311/438	202	321	25	10	33%	8%	111	+2.5	221/309/454	233	293	31	9	34%	9%	112	+1.3
✕Andrew Lambo 2016 · MLB	27	45→49	59→65	47→45	39	240/285/451	211	299	27	7	30%	6%	104	+2.0	212/261/334	122	278	12	7	27%	6%	63	-0.9	211/265/332	122	261	11	2	23%	6%	60	-0.4
✕Jaylin Davis 2022 · MLB	28	42→45	58→50	48→45	41	226/294/425	199	301	26	10	34%	7%	102	+1.8	199/277/341	142	298	16	7	36%	8%	72	-0.2	180/265/309	130	272	15	4	37%	9%	57	-0.8
✕Isan Díaz 2023 · MLB	27	41→42	53→55	46→45	47	217/298/391	173	286	22	8	31%	10%	93	+1.3	214/285/396	182	277	26	9	32%	8%	89	+1.0	178/253/347	170	203	29	6	30%	9%	62	-0.3
●Ryan Noda 2023 · AAA	27	39→49	56→55	50	45	209/300/396	187	293	25	13	36%	9%	97	+1.5	202/324/373	171	301	20	8	36%	13%	102	+1.8	184/326/349	164	280	20	6	37%	15%	93	+1.0
✕Jabari Blash 2016 · AAA	27	39→41	58→60	48→50	44	214/292/419	206	279	27	9	33%	8%	98	+1.6	208/310/397	189	306	24	7	37%	11%	101	+1.8	194/309/387	193	292	25	6	39%	12%	95	+0.9