Michael Toglia — OGILVIE

Michael Toglia1B Louisville Bats

Age 27 S/L 6'5" / 226 lbs AAA HR +9%K -4% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

wRC+†vL 11389vR 85

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .277 / .398

PA457

HR20

SB5

K%35

BB%9

xwOBA.271

Barrel%10.2%

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

60→60

SPD

50→50

EYE

55↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2027

Barrel%

6310.2

xwOBA

180.271

Avg EV

6189.9

Whiff%

100.173

Chase%

440.328

Speed

4027.0

Bat Spd

6372.7

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$-5M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	3 teams	604	541	96	19	3	19	52	233	4	11	3	.177	.255	.329	.584	.152	.260	39	9	.258	56	-30	+1	+0	-11	+17	-2.3
2022	23	AA	3 teams	615	558	109	22	2	26	51	234	2	8	3	.195	.265	.382	.647	.186	.275	38	8	.281	73	-19	+0	-0	-7	+17	-0.8
2023	24	AAA	3 teams	637	570	102	20	1	18	57	199	5	6	2	.179	.259	.312	.572	.133	.235	31	9	.258	55	-32	+0	-1	-11	+18	-2.6
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	593	523	106	17	3	30	65	193	2	11	3	.203	.293	.419	.712	.216	.251	33	11	.309	94	-4	+1	-8	-11	+17	-0.5
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	514	469	93	20	2	19	41	195	1	3	2	.198	.264	.371	.635	.173	.287	38	8	.277	70	-17	-0	-11	-9	+15	-2.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	AAA	Louisville Bats	92	82	17	4	0	4	10	31	0	1	0	.207	.293	.402	.696	.195	.277	34	11	.298	86	-1	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.0
ROS	27	MLB	CIN	365	327	66	13	1	16	34	127	1	4	1	.202	.279	.394	.674	.193	.271	35	9	.302	89	-4	+0	-7	-7	+10	-0.7
TOT	27	MLB	CIN	457	409	83	17	1	20	44	158	1	5	1	.203	.282	.396	.678	.193	.270	35	10	.301	89	-6	+1	-7	-8	+13	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB 20%	CIN	539	477	102	21	2	25	56	154	1	6	1	.214	.298	.423	.721	.210	.251	29	10	.314	99	-1	+1	-11	-10	+15	-0.5
2028	29	MLB 33%	CIN	527	466	98	20	2	24	55	152	1	4	1	.210	.295	.416	.711	.206	.250	29	10	.312	97	-2	+0	-11	-9	+15	-0.7
2029	30	MLB 43%	CIN	515	456	94	19	2	23	53	150	1	3	0	.206	.290	.408	.698	.202	.248	29	10	.309	95	-3	+1	-11	-9	+15	-0.9
2030	31	MLB 52%	CIN	500	443	90	18	2	22	52	148	1	1	0	.203	.288	.402	.690	.199	.246	30	10	.305	92	-5	+0	-12	-9	+14	-1.1
2031	32	MLB 64%	CIN	481	427	85	17	1	21	50	145	1	0	0	.199	.285	.391	.676	.192	.244	30	10	.300	88	-6	+0	-12	-9	+14	-1.4
2032	33	MLB 73%	CIN	451	401	79	16	1	19	46	139	1	0	0	.197	.281	.384	.665	.187	.242	31	10	.295	84	-8	+0	-12	-8	+13	-1.6
2033	34	MLB 91%	CIN	405	360	69	14	1	16	41	128	1	0	0	.192	.276	.369	.646	.178	.240	32	10	.288	78	-10	+0	-12	-7	+11	-1.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6746	6018	1189	236	23	278	653	2197	22	57	16	.198	.278	.383	.662	.185	.254	33	10	.292	81	-141	+5	-109	-116	+191	-17.3
/ 162G	—			650	580	115	23	2	27	63	212	2	5	2	.198	.279	.384	.664	.186	.255	33	10	.292	81	-14	+0	-10	-11	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	169	143	31	10	1	5	23	51	2	3	0	.217	.333	.406	.739	.189	.295	30	14	.331	112	+2	+1	—	—	+5	0.8
2021	22	A+	Spokane Indians	330	282	66	10	2	17	42	91	2	7	3	.234	.337	.465	.802	.230	.275	28	13	.351	126	+10	+0	—	—	+9	2.0
2021	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	105	91	24	2	1	3	12	26	0	1	0	.264	.350	.407	.756	.143	.328	25	11	.334	114	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2022	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	120	111	24	8	2	2	9	44	0	1	1	.216	.275	.378	.653	.162	.338	37	8	.290	80	-3	-0	-0	-7	+3	-0.7
2022	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	75	66	22	7	0	7	9	22	0	0	1	.333	.413	.758	1.171	.424	.405	29	12	.494	236	+12	-0	—	—	+2	1.4
2022	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	420	363	85	13	1	23	51	127	2	7	1	.234	.332	.466	.797	.231	.286	30	12	.349	125	+12	+1	—	—	+12	2.5
2023	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	152	141	23	5	0	4	10	50	1	1	1	.163	.224	.284	.507	.121	.218	33	7	.231	35	-11	-0	-1	-11	+4	-1.9
2023	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	367	308	79	15	2	16	53	82	3	3	1	.256	.371	.474	.845	.218	.296	22	14	.372	143	+18	+0	—	—	+10	2.9
2023	24	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	118	99	24	5	3	5	16	38	1	2	0	.242	.353	.505	.858	.263	.328	32	14	.369	140	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	458	399	87	14	3	25	54	147	1	10	1	.218	.312	.456	.768	.238	.270	32	12	.336	115	+8	+2	-8	-11	+13	0.4
2024	25	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	135	119	33	4	2	9	15	35	1	1	2	.277	.363	.571	.934	.294	.320	26	11	.404	168	+10	-1	—	—	+4	1.4
2025	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	337	306	58	15	1	11	28	132	1	3	0	.190	.260	.353	.613	.163	.285	39	8	.273	67	-12	+1	-11	-9	+10	-2.3
2025	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	177	157	52	9	2	11	19	46	0	0	2	.331	.403	.624	1.028	.293	.406	26	11	.441	196	+19	-1	—	—	+5	2.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1067	957	192	42	6	42	101	373	3	15	3	.201	.279	.389	.667	.188	.274	35	9	.296	85	-18	+2	-20	-38	+30	-4.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Toglia (OGILVIE)	27	40	60	50	50	.202/.277/.398	.197	.269	20	6	35%	9%	88	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jabari Blash 2016 · AAA	27	39→40	59→60	47→50	44	.214/.293/.420	.206	.279	27	10	34%	8%	99	+1.7	.209/.309/.401	.192	.302	24	7	36%	11%	102	+1.8	.197/.311/.392	.195	.294	26	6	38%	12%	97	+1.0
✕Edwin Rios 2022 · MLB	28	38→47	58→60	45→30	40	.208/.278/.411	.204	.287	27	5	37%	7%	92	+1.2	.219/.287/.397	.178	.314	22	4	36%	7%	91	+1.1	.217/.288/.399	.182	.313	23	1	36%	8%	89	+0.5
●Ryan Noda 2023 · AAA	27	40→49	55	50	46	.209/.304/.392	.183	.294	25	12	36%	10%	97	+1.5	.202/.323/.370	.168	.300	20	8	36%	13%	100	+1.7	.182/.324/.341	.159	.276	19	6	37%	15%	91	+0.9
●Bobby Dalbec 2021 · MLB	26	37→44	58→60	42→50	41	.206/.286/.407	.201	.290	28	5	38%	8%	94	+1.3	.226/.295/.438	.212	.307	29	7	35%	7%	105	+2.1	.217/.290/.427	.210	.302	30	9	37%	8%	97	+1.2
✕J.J. Matijevic 2023 · MLB	27	42→41	56→55	52→50	41	.221/.283/.410	.189	.306	24	12	35%	8%	92	+1.2	.215/.277/.376	.161	.297	18	11	32%	7%	81	+0.4	.197/.263/.349	.152	.270	15	8	32%	8%	64	-0.6
✕Aristides Aquino 2020 · MLB	26	37→40	61→65	49→50	38	.217/.263/.428	.211	.265	31	9	32%	5%	89	+1.0	.221/.289/.436	.215	.281	30	9	32%	8%	102	+1.9	.193/.274/.380	.187	.267	25	6	36%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Weston Wilson 2022 · AAA	27	40→43	55	51→55	45	.219/.283/.402	.182	.267	25	13	28%	8%	90	+1.0	.216/.279/.378	.162	.291	21	21	32%	8%	82	+0.5	.215/.294/.402	.188	.269	26	25	30%	10%	92	+0.8
✕Joe Borchard 2006 · MLB	27	41→44	54→55	43→45	42	.222/.277/.390	.168	.277	24	6	30%	7%	85	+0.7	.233/.300/.399	.166	.293	22	7	27%	8%	96	+1.5	.232/.310/.394	.162	.287	21	6	26%	9%	94	+0.5
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB	25	40→41	57→60	45→50	45	.214/.295/.410	.196	.290	26	9	35%	10%	98	+1.6	.210/.300/.403	.193	.281	26	13	33%	11%	98	+1.6	.198/.296/.384	.186	.261	25	15	33%	11%	87	+0.7
✕Mike Wilson 2010 · AAA	27	38→48	54→60	54→50	40	.203/.280/.380	.178	.285	23	9	36%	7%	84	+0.6	.226/.299/.398	.172	.297	22	10	30%	8%	96	+1.5	.227/.301/.397	.171	.290	22	9	29%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Cody Decker 2014 · AAA	27	36→39	57→65	40→30	40	.205/.266/.402	.197	.273	26	3	35%	7%	83	+0.6	.195/.257/.371	.176	.274	23	2	36%	7%	72	-0.2	.183/.255/.341	.158	.267	21	0	38%	8%	62	-0.3
✕David Villar 2023 · MLB	26	42	59→60	44→40	45	.227/.314/.440	.213	.296	28	4	32%	9%	114	+2.7	.213/.295/.379	.166	.285	21	5	31%	9%	90	+1.0	.201/.283/.336	.135	.271	17	4	31%	9%	71	-0.2
✕AJ Reed 2019 · MLB	26	38→48	55→60	46→30	44	.208/.276/.388	.181	.267	24	2	32%	8%	84	+0.6	.200/.266/.361	.161	.282	21	4	35%	7%	72	-0.2	.158/.231/.296	.138	.232	19	0	39%	7%	39	-1.3
✕Daniel Palka 2019 · MLB	27	42→43	56→60	43→50	39	.225/.274/.409	.185	.300	25	5	34%	6%	89	+0.9	.216/.281/.395	.179	.275	24	5	30%	8%	88	+0.9	.209/.279/.385	.176	.257	25	2	29%	9%	82	+0.4
✕Kennys Vargas 2018 · MLB	27	44→53	54→55	47→30	49	.229/.304/.402	.173	.291	22	2	29%	10%	99	+1.7	.222/.287/.389	.167	.289	22	3	30%	8%	89	+0.9	.207/.270/.365	.159	.265	22	0	30%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Casper Wells 2012 · MLB	27	43→46	56→60	44→50	42	.226/.292/.422	.197	.290	24	8	30%	7%	99	+1.7	.222/.294/.388	.166	.284	18	7	27%	8%	91	+1.1	.211/.292/.373	.161	.265	16	5	26%	9%	84	+0.3
✕Tyler Austin 2019 · MLB	27	44→54	57→60	45	41	.231/.289/.430	.199	.308	25	5	33%	7%	100	+1.7	.226/.296/.428	.202	.314	27	9	35%	9%	102	+1.9	.206/.302/.418	.212	.287	30	11	37%	12%	95	+0.6
✕Bobby Bradley 2022 · MLB	26	37→41	62→65	46→40	39	.213/.279/.432	.220	.288	32	3	38%	7%	97	+1.5	.198/.269/.368	.170	.295	22	5	39%	7%	76	+0.1	.137/.212/.266	.129	.220	16	0	44%	6%	28	-1.2
✕Joe Koshansky 2009 · MLB	27	45→46	55→60	44→40	41	.231/.290/.415	.184	.313	23	3	33%	7%	96	+1.5	.198/.267/.362	.164	.296	21	5	38%	8%	73	-0.1	.173/.249/.322	.150	.258	20	5	40%	8%	55	-0.9
✕Darick Hall 2023 · MLB	28	40→38	56→55	45→40	42	.218/.275/.408	.190	.260	25	5	27%	6%	89	+0.9	.222/.279/.381	.159	.276	21	4	27%	7%	83	+0.6	.210/.274/.337	.127	.266	18	1	28%	7%	66	-0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)