Michael Toglia — OGILVIE

Michael Toglia1B Louisville Bats

Age 27 S/L 6'5" / 226 lbs AAA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 457 proj PA

wRC+†vL 9090vR 90

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA430

HR0

K%33

BB%9

BABIP279

ISO190

MLB%45%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

1115.4%

xAVG

140.222

POWER60

Barrel%

8813.8

Avg EV

8091.2

Bat Spd

6372.7

EYE50

Chase%

6129.6%

SPEED50

Sprint

2726.4

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 795 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

242

553

—

wRC+

111

◀◀L

wOBA

332

295

◀L

ISO

241

191

◀◀L

BABIP

275

277

—

28.9%

37.8%

◀◀L

BB%

9.1%

10.1%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	169	143	31	10	1	5	23	51	2	3	0	217	333	406	739	189	295	30	14	331	110	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2021	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	330	282	66	10	2	17	42	91	2	7	3	234	337	465	802	230	275	28	13	351	123	+9	+0	—	—	+7	1.7
2021	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	105	91	24	2	1	3	12	26	0	1	0	264	350	407	756	143	328	25	11	334	112	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	120	111	24	8	2	2	9	44	0	1	1	216	275	378	653	162	338	37	8	290	82	-3	-0	-0	-7	+3	-0.7
2022	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	75	66	22	7	0	7	9	22	0	0	1	333	413	758	1.171	424	405	29	12	494	221	+11	-0	—	—	+2	1.2
2022	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	420	363	85	13	1	23	51	127	2	7	1	234	332	466	797	231	286	30	12	349	122	+11	+1	—	—	+9	2.2
2023	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	152	141	23	5	0	4	10	50	1	1	1	163	224	284	507	121	218	33	7	231	43	-10	-0	-1	-11	+3	-2.0
2023	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	367	308	79	15	2	16	53	82	3	3	1	256	371	474	845	218	296	22	14	372	138	+17	+0	—	—	+8	2.5
2023	24	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	118	99	24	5	3	5	16	38	1	2	0	242	353	505	858	263	328	32	14	369	136	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	458	399	87	14	3	25	54	147	1	10	1	218	312	456	768	238	270	32	12	336	114	+7	+2	-8	-11	+10	0.0
2024	25	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	135	119	33	4	2	9	15	35	1	1	2	277	363	571	934	294	320	26	11	404	160	+10	-1	—	—	+3	1.2
2025	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	337	306	58	15	1	11	28	132	1	3	0	190	260	353	613	163	285	39	8	273	71	-12	+1	-11	-9	+7	-2.4
2025	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	177	157	52	9	2	11	19	46	0	0	2	331	403	624	1.028	293	406	26	11	441	185	+18	-1	—	—	+4	2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1067	957	192	42	6	42	101	373	3	15	3	201	279	389	667	188	274	35	9	296	87	-17	+2	-20	-38	+23	-5.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	169	151	27	9	1	4	15	61	2	3	0	179	262	331	593	152	257	36	9	259	61	-8	+1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2021	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	330	296	53	8	2	11	28	127	2	7	3	179	255	331	586	152	250	38	8	253	57	-17	+0	—	—	+7	-1.0
2022	23	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	120	111	23	7	2	2	9	44	0	1	1	207	267	360	627	153	338	37	8	269	68	-5	-0	-0	-7	+3	-0.9
2022	23	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	75	68	16	5	0	5	7	28	0	0	1	235	307	529	836	294	318	37	9	341	117	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	420	379	71	10	1	18	35	154	2	7	1	187	260	361	621	174	247	37	8	269	68	-16	+1	—	—	+9	-0.6
2023	24	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	152	141	23	5	0	4	10	50	1	1	1	163	224	284	507	121	218	33	7	217	33	-12	-0	-1	-11	+3	-2.1
2023	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	367	324	61	11	1	11	37	112	3	3	1	188	277	330	608	142	245	31	10	275	72	-12	+0	—	—	+8	-0.4
2024	25	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	458	400	81	13	2	22	54	147	1	10	1	203	299	410	709	207	270	32	12	311	96	-2	+2	-8	-11	+10	-1.0
2024	25	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	135	123	24	3	1	6	11	46	1	1	2	195	267	382	649	187	258	34	8	281	76	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	26	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	337	306	55	14	1	10	28	132	1	3	0	180	251	330	581	150	285	39	8	252	56	-17	+1	-11	-9	+7	-3.0
2025	26	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	177	163	40	7	1	8	13	63	0	0	2	245	301	448	749	202	339	36	7	320	103	+1	-1	—	—	+4	0.4
2021	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	604	541	96	20	3	18	52	227	4	11	3	177	255	325	580	148	257	38	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	604	516	121	22	4	25	77	168	4	11	3	234	338	438	776	203	291	28	13	342	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	615	558	109	23	2	24	51	227	2	8	3	195	265	373	638	177	273	37	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	615	540	131	28	3	32	69	193	2	8	3	243	331	483	814	241	310	31	11	355	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	637	570	103	20	2	18	57	198	5	6	2	181	261	318	579	137	237	31	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	637	548	126	25	5	25	79	170	5	6	2	230	332	431	763	201	282	27	12	338	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	593	523	106	16	4	28	65	193	2	11	3	203	293	409	702	207	256	33	11	304	92	-6	+1	-8	-11	+13	-1.1
2024	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	593	518	120	18	5	34	69	182	2	11	3	232	324	483	806	251	282	31	12	352	92	-6	+1	-8	-11	+13	-1.1
2025	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	514	469	93	20	2	17	41	195	1	3	2	198	264	358	622	160	292	38	8	275	72	-17	-0	-11	-9	+11	-2.7
2025	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	514	463	110	24	3	22	47	178	1	3	2	238	309	445	754	207	331	35	9	331	72	-17	-0	-11	-9	+11	-2.7
2021	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	604	543	96	20	3	18	52	227	4	11	3	177	255	324	579	147	252	38	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	615	557	109	23	2	24	51	227	2	8	3	196	265	373	639	178	274	37	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	637	570	103	20	2	18	57	198	5	6	2	181	261	318	579	137	237	31	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	593	521	106	16	4	28	65	193	2	11	3	203	293	411	704	207	267	33	11	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	514	467	93	20	2	17	41	195	1	3	2	199	264	360	624	161	303	38	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	637	570	103	20	2	18	57	198	5	6	2	181	261	318	579	137	237	31	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	593	521	106	16	4	28	65	193	2	11	3	203	293	411	704	207	267	33	11	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	514	467	93	20	2	17	41	195	1	3	2	199	264	360	624	161	303	38	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	CIN	—	430	387	81	23	1	15	41	135	0	4	1	209	285	390	675	181	276	31	10	292	84	-8	+0	+0	-8	+9	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	CIN	—	28	26	3	2	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	115	179	192	371	77	214	43	7	174	84	-1	+0	+0	-8	+1	-0.8
YTD	27	AAA RAW	CIN	—	402	344	94	26	1	22	56	103	0	4	1	273	375	547	922	273	326	26	14	399	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	MLB RAW	CIN	—	28	26	3	2	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	115	179	192	371	77	214	43	7	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AAA MLE	CIN	45%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	275	—	—	301	90	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
ROS	27	MLB CTX	CIN	45%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	27	MLB A+C	CIN	—	28	26	3	2	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	115	179	192	371	77	214	43	7	174	84	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
TOT	27	AAA MLE	CIN	—	430	387	81	23	1	15	41	135	0	4	1	209	285	390	675	181	276	31	10	292	84	-8	+0	+0	-8	+9	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CIN	49%	592	531	111	26	3	23	55	192	1	5	1	209	284	399	684	190	273	32	9	300	89	-7	+1	-3	-11	+13	-0.8
2027	28	MLB CTX	CIN	49%	292	263	55	13	1	12	27	95	0	3	1	209	283	403	686	194	277	33	9	307	89	-4	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1359	1220	247	55	7	54	128	468	3	18	4	202	280	392	671	189	274	34	9	299	74	-21	+2	-22	-43	+29	-5.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	118	26	3	26	61	224	1	9	2	202	278	390	669	188	273	34	9	299	74	-10	+1	-10	-21	+14	-2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3555	3192	618	125	16	128	321	1232	15	44	14	194	270	363	634	169	264	35	9	278	74	-25	+2	-23	-48	+36	-5.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	113	23	3	23	59	225	3	8	3	193	271	361	633	168	264	35	9	278	74	-10	+1	-9	-19	+14	-2.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#3Dayan Viciedolast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,798 PA	2.7	1,798	66	2	254	298	424	-18	-29	0.3	0.3
/162	664	24	1	-6.6	-10.7	0.1	pk7: 0
#4Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.4	1,565	62	20	204	279	394	-28	-33	-0.7	-0.6
/162	664	26	8	-11.9	-14.1	-0.3	pk7: -1
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	2.6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	19	9	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	2.6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	21	9	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Toglia (OGILVIE)	27	40	60	50	50	207/282/395	187	275	18	5	32%	9%	90	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jabari Blash 2016 · AAA	27	39→41	57→60	48→50	44	213/292/411	199	277	26	9	32%	8%	97	+1.1	210/311/398	188	307	24	7	36%	11%	101	+1.4	198/312/392	194	297	25	6	38%	12%	98	+0.8
✕J.J. Matijevic 2023 · MLB	27	43→41	55	52→50	42	225/287/412	187	306	23	12	34%	8%	95	+1.0	218/281/379	161	300	18	11	32%	7%	85	+0.2	200/265/356	156	273	16	8	32%	8%	71	-0.7
✕Edwin Rios 2022 · MLB	28	38→48	58→60	46→30	42	210/284/411	202	280	27	5	35%	8%	95	+0.9	218/288/390	172	316	21	4	36%	7%	91	+0.6	213/285/383	170	311	21	1	36%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Bobby Dalbec 2021 · MLB	26	38→44	57→60	42→50	42	208/289/402	194	286	27	5	36%	8%	94	+0.9	225/293/431	206	309	28	7	35%	7%	102	+1.5	214/288/415	200	301	28	9	37%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Kennys Vargas 2018 · MLB	27	44→52	52→55	47→30	49	226/303/393	166	289	21	2	29%	10%	97	+1.1	219/284/372	153	289	19	4	30%	8%	84	+0.2	200/264/341	141	262	19	0	31%	7%	69	-0.8
✕Brandon Allen 2013 · MLB	27	42→47	53→55	49→50	47	219/297/394	175	290	20	8	31%	9%	95	+0.9	220/283/371	151	277	17	6	26%	8%	84	+0.1	215/279/360	145	265	16	5	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕AJ Reed 2019 · MLB	26	37→47	56→60	46→30	44	208/276/391	183	267	25	2	32%	8%	86	+0.3	199/266/349	150	287	19	5	36%	7%	73	-0.6	151/223/270	119	229	15	0	40%	7%	37	-1.7
✕Chris Shaw 2021 · MLB	27	42→43	54→55	45→30	38	223/275/398	175	299	22	4	33%	5%	87	+0.4	193/271/330	137	326	16	7	42%	9%	70	-0.8	132/233/279	147	220	21	2	48%	11%	42	-1.1
✕Aristides Aquino 2020 · MLB	26	38→41	59→60	49→50	39	217/265/420	202	262	29	10	30%	5%	89	+0.5	218/288/417	199	283	27	9	32%	8%	97	+1.1	193/274/373	180	272	23	6	37%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Casper Wells 2012 · MLB	27	43→44	55→60	43→50	42	227/294/421	194	290	23	8	30%	7%	100	+1.3	216/289/365	149	281	16	7	27%	8%	85	+0.2	204/285/349	145	259	14	5	26%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Joe Borchard 2006 · MLB	27	41→44	52→50	43→45	42	218/273/372	154	277	21	6	30%	7%	80	-0.1	231/300/390	159	292	20	7	27%	8%	95	+0.9	231/309/390	159	287	20	6	26%	9%	94	+0.3
✕Weston Wilson 2022 · AAA	27	41→43	54→55	51→55	46	222/286/395	174	270	23	14	27%	8%	91	+0.7	210/275/355	145	288	18	22	32%	8%	78	-0.3	207/286/372	166	264	22	25	30%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Daniel Palka 2019 · MLB	27	43	55	43→50	39	227/277/408	181	301	25	5	33%	6%	91	+0.6	210/277/374	164	272	21	5	30%	8%	82	+0.0	210/273/358	148	265	20	3	28%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Tyler Austin 2019 · MLB	27	43→53	58→60	44→45	41	228/285/431	202	303	26	4	33%	7%	99	+1.2	227/300/427	200	316	26	9	35%	9%	103	+1.6	205/301/412	208	285	29	11	37%	12%	97	+0.5
●Ryan Noda 2023 · AAA	27	40→50	54→55	50	46	209/305/383	174	293	23	13	35%	10%	96	+1.0	201/325/370	169	300	20	8	36%	14%	101	+1.4	182/324/345	162	277	19	6	37%	15%	93	+0.6
✕Joe Koshansky 2009 · MLB	27	45→46	55	44→40	41	230/289/413	183	315	23	3	34%	7%	96	+1.0	197/266/359	162	295	21	6	38%	8%	76	-0.4	172/249/321	149	257	20	5	40%	8%	60	-1.0
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB	25	39→43	56→60	45→50	46	213/294/402	190	286	25	8	34%	10%	96	+1.0	210/300/400	190	282	25	13	33%	11%	98	+1.2	199/297/385	185	266	24	15	33%	11%	90	+0.5
✕Mike Hessman 2005 · MLB	27	41→36	53→60	48→45	42	218/278/388	170	277	21	7	29%	7%	86	+0.3	177/248/341	164	236	23	6	35%	7%	65	-1.2	189/269/386	197	255	26	4	36%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Stewart Ijames 2016 · AA	27	42	58→60	47→45	38	222/277/424	202	310	26	7	37%	7%	94	+0.9	203/266/352	149	295	17	6	35%	7%	74	-0.6	175/247/308	133	250	15	3	35%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Michael Johnson 2007 · AA	27	42→38	56→60	42→30	44	224/290/417	193	289	25	3	31%	8%	97	+1.1	216/294/378	162	306	19	4	33%	10%	90	+0.6	197/285/367	170	279	20	0	35%	11%	82	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps