Jonny Farmelo — OGILVIE

Jonny FarmeloOF Everett AquaSox

Age 21 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs A+ HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION388 act + 258 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .284 / .360

PA258

HR7

SB12

K%33

BB%9

BABIP288

ISO156

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT48

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$7M	+$6M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$8M	+$7M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$8M	+$6M
2032	Arb-2	$5M	+1.4	$7M	+$5M
2033	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$16M		$38M	+$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	221	190	40	7	2	4	24	71	5	18	2	211	315	332	647	121	308	32	11	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	221	178	47	10	3	4	36	52	5	18	2	264	402	421	823	157	347	24	16	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	2 teams	—	230	208	31	7	1	7	16	104	4	14	3	149	224	293	517	144	242	45	7	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	2 teams	—	230	190	44	10	4	8	34	66	4	14	3	232	360	453	812	221	305	29	15	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	SEA	—	388	347	67	12	5	10	37	136	3	25	13	193	276	343	619	150	282	35	10	273	67	-14	-0	+0	-2	+11	-0.6
YTD	21	A+	SEA	—	388	325	88	17	7	13	59	97	3	25	13	271	388	486	874	215	347	25	15	386	153	+23	-0	+0	-2	+11	3.3
ROS	21	A+	SEA	4%	258	230	47	9	3	7	24	86	2	12	6	204	284	360	644	156	284	33	9	283	75	-7	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
ROS	21	MLB	SEA	4%	12	11	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	91	167	91	258		281	33	8	274	68	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	21	A+	SEA	—	400	358	68	12	5	10	38	140	3	26	13	190	273	335	608	145	278	35	10	273	67	-15	+0	+0	-2	+11	-0.6
TOT	21	A+	SEA	—	646	577	114	21	8	17	61	222	5	37	19	197	280	350	629	152	285	34	9	277	70	-22	-0	+0	-4	+18	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	SEA	36%	368	327	70	13	4	11	35	117	3	12	6	214	296	379	675	165	286	32	10	297	85	-6	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2028	23	MLB	SEA	49%	609	541	118	21	6	20	58	187	5	19	9	218	300	390	690	172	288	31	10	305	91	-6	+0	+0	-4	+17	0.8
2029	24	MLB	SEA	53%	627	557	123	22	6	21	60	189	5	19	9	221	302	395	697	174	289	30	10	310	96	-3	+0	+0	-4	+18	1.1
2030	25	MLB	SEA	55%	638	566	126	23	6	22	61	190	6	19	9	223	305	401	706	178	290	30	10	313	98	-2	+0	+0	-4	+18	1.3
2031	26	MLB	SEA	56%	637	564	126	23	6	22	62	189	6	19	8	223	307	402	709	179	289	30	10	314	99	-1	+1	+0	-4	+18	1.4
2032	27	MLB	SEA	55%	629	556	124	22	6	22	62	187	6	18	8	223	308	403	711	180	289	30	10	314	99	-1	+0	+0	-4	+18	1.4
2033	28	MLB	SEA	55%	619	548	121	22	6	21	61	185	5	17	8	221	305	398	702	177	289	30	10	313	98	-1	+0	-1	-4	+18	1.2
2034	29	MLB	SEA	53%	609	538	118	21	5	21	61	183	5	16	7	219	305	394	699	175	288	30	10	311	97	-2	+0	-1	-4	+17	1.1
2035	30	MLB	SEA	53%	598	528	115	21	5	20	60	182	5	15	7	218	304	390	694	172	286	30	10	309	94	-4	+0	-2	-4	+17	0.8
2027	22	MLB	SEA	36%	133	118	24	4	1	4	13	42	1	4	2	203	288	356	644	153	284	32	10	288	78	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	SEA	49%	300	265	57	10	3	9	29	92	3	10	4	215	300	377	677	162	285	31	10	295	84	-5	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2029	24	MLB	SEA	53%	333	295	65	12	3	11	32	100	3	10	5	220	303	393	696	173	286	30	10	301	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.3
2030	25	MLB	SEA	55%	350	310	68	12	3	12	34	104	3	10	5	219	303	394	696	174	287	30	10	303	90	-4	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.4
2031	26	MLB	SEA	56%	355	315	69	12	3	12	34	105	3	10	5	219	301	390	692	171	287	30	10	304	91	-4	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.5
2032	27	MLB	SEA	55%	346	306	67	12	3	12	34	103	3	10	5	219	303	395	699	176	286	30	10	304	91	-3	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.4
2033	28	MLB	SEA	55%	338	299	65	12	3	11	33	101	3	9	4	217	301	388	689	171	286	30	10	304	90	-4	+0	-0	-2	+10	0.4
2034	29	MLB	SEA	53%	325	287	63	11	3	11	32	98	3	9	4	220	304	394	698	174	285	30	10	302	89	-4	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.3
2035	30	MLB	SEA	53%	314	277	60	11	3	10	31	95	3	8	4	217	302	386	689	170	283	30	10	299	87	-5	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2806	2483	539	96	25	92	273	844	25	81	38	217	301	387	688	170	286	30	10	301	88	-37	+1	-2	-17	+80	2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	125	22	6	21	63	196	6	19	9	217	301	386	687	169	287	30	10	301	88	-8	+0	-0	-4	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	6043	5353	1159	211	56	198	584	1870	57	198	82	216	300	388	688	171	290	31	10	305	91	-58	+7	-3	-36	+171	8.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	125	23	6	21	63	201	6	21	9	217	301	387	688	170	291	31	10	305	91	-6	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	221	178	47	10	3	4	36	52	5	18	2	264	402	421	823	157	347	24	16	371	142	+10	+3	—	—	+6	2.0
2025	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	129	113	26	6	1	6	14	38	1	2	1	230	320	460	780	230	286	29	11	342	120	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2025	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	101	77	18	4	3	2	20	28	3	12	2	234	410	442	852	208	333	28	20	381	149	+6	+2	—	—	+3	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#3Alex Gonzalezlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,150 PA	6	3,150	86	34	246	304	402	-0	+23	9.7	9.7
	/162	664	18	7	246	304	402	-0.0	+4.9	2.1	pk7: 10
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,804	95	81	221	301	397	-17	+8	5.0	4.7
	/162	664	23	19	221	301	397	-4.0	+1.8	1.2	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonny Farmelo (OGILVIE)	21	40→48	45→54	67→66	49	197/280/350	152	285	17	37	34%	9%	70	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Derek Fisher 2016 · A	22	42→52	49→55	54→55	41	211/275/355	143	307	17	18	36%	8%	74	-0.1	230/301/385	155	327	18	19	33%	9%	93	+1.3	231/306/412	181	317	23	18	33%	9%	98	+1.2
●Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A	20	45→55	43→60	57→50	42	218/277/333	115	296	10	13	29%	7%	69	-0.4	234/291/434	200	292	25	13	28%	7%	102	+1.9	227/288/440	213	276	26	14	28%	7%	100	+1.5
●Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→52	42→55	56→55	46	201/275/316	115	288	8	13	31%	9%	63	-0.8	212/280/338	126	319	10	16	34%	8%	72	-0.2	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→48	47→55	59→55	38	216/258/360	144	272	14	15	26%	4%	68	-0.5	239/275/399	160	304	18	22	27%	4%	85	+0.7	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Jasson Domínguez 2023 · AA	20	42→52	45→50	56→60	43	204/277/332	129	309	12	20	36%	8%	69	-0.4	234/307/374	140	323	15	28	30%	9%	92	+1.2	244/319/382	138	325	16	33	28%	10%	96	+1.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→43	46→55	53→50	45	188/278/321	133	289	14	16	37%	10%	68	-0.5	217/294/348	131	331	14	16	35%	9%	81	+0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
●Corbin Carroll 2022 · A	21	49→54	45→65	56→60	46	231/302/364	133	330	12	17	32%	9%	87	+0.8	251/331/458	207	309	21	32	25%	9%	124	+3.4	249/336/472	222	286	23	37	21%	10%	126	+3.9
✕Taylor Trammell 2019 · A	21	45→46	40→55	54→55	45	215/283/311	96	305	7	21	30%	8%	66	-0.6	200/274/302	102	291	11	16	32%	8%	60	-1.0	211/296/388	177	282	22	17	32%	10%	91	+0.7
●Cedric Mullins 2017 · A	22	43→53	47→55	56→60	39	220/252/364	144	270	14	16	24%	4%	66	-0.6	223/265/361	138	265	14	16	21%	5%	71	-0.3	250/319/421	170	288	19	27	19%	8%	106	+2.2
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	48	45→55	56→55	43	235/298/363	128	318	13	19	29%	7%	85	+0.7	217/270/366	149	357	16	25	41%	6%	75	-0.0	210/278/395	185	354	23	23	44%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Sean Henry 2007 · A	21	41→51	45→50	56→55	43	207/263/331	123	274	12	24	28%	7%	62	-0.9	240/293/369	129	295	11	17	22%	6%	85	+0.7	248/301/378	130	297	12	17	20%	6%	88	+0.7
●Roger Bernadina 2006 · A	22	40→50	44→45	54→60	50	202/283/312	110	254	12	20	25%	9%	67	-0.5	235/295/331	96	314	8	26	26%	7%	76	+0.0	261/318/388	127	324	12	31	22%	7%	96	+1.3
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A	21	40→45	45→55	55→50	40	201/267/329	128	288	12	8	33%	6%	64	-0.8	209/259/340	131	294	14	8	32%	5%	63	-0.8	208/281/368	159	278	20	6	31%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Gage Workman 2022 · A	22	41→49	46→60	54→55	36	194/253/333	139	333	12	18	43%	7%	59	-1.1	192/245/336	144	346	15	21	46%	6%	56	-1.3	235/291/430	195	347	22	24	37%	7%	97	+1.1
●Lawrence Butler 2022 · A	22	48	47→55	56→55	40	218/284/359	141	368	14	19	42%	8%	79	+0.3	228/284/387	159	324	18	18	33%	7%	86	+0.8	241/300/421	180	296	23	21	26%	8%	100	+1.7
✕Alex Castellanos 2009 · A	22	43→49	46→55	58→50	35	215/264/350	135	301	13	18	32%	4%	68	-0.5	217/268/352	135	313	11	15	33%	4%	70	-0.3	226/288/398	173	303	17	15	30%	6%	89	+0.8
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
●Jason Pridie 2006 · AA	22	42→52	47→50	54→55	38	212/261/348	136	305	14	16	34%	6%	66	-0.6	230/264/341	111	295	9	17	25%	4%	64	-0.8	243/290/391	148	303	17	19	25%	6%	86	+0.7
✕Jake Marisnick 2012 · A	21	48→52	45→60	56→55	41	236/290/363	127	304	12	21	26%	5%	82	+0.5	228/280/351	123	291	11	20	25%	5%	75	-0.0	226/290/423	196	302	25	18	33%	6%	96	+0.7