Jonny Farmelo — OGILVIE

Jonny FarmeloCF Everett AquaSox

Age 21 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs A+ K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION613 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP281

ISO140

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$18M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Arb-1	$5M	+1.0	$5M	+$3M
2032	Arb-2	$8M	+1.0	$5M	+$0.8M
2033	Arb-3	$11M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$15M		$23M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	221	178	47	10	3	4	36	52	5	18	2	264	402	421	823	157	347	24	16	371	137	+10	+3	—	—	+5	1.8
2025	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	129	113	26	6	1	6	14	38	1	2	1	230	320	460	780	230	286	29	11	342	117	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2025	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	101	77	18	4	3	2	20	28	3	12	2	234	410	442	852	208	333	28	20	381	144	+5	+2	—	—	+2	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	221	189	39	7	2	4	25	70	5	18	2	206	315	328	643	122	289	32	11	286	80	-5	+3	—	—	+5	0.2
2025	20	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	129	118	19	4	1	4	9	56	1	2	1	161	227	314	540	153	233	43	7	227	40	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2024	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	221	189	39	7	2	4	25	70	5	18	2	206	315	328	643	122	299	32	11	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	221	178	47	10	3	4	36	52	5	18	2	264	402	421	823	157	347	24	16	371	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	230	208	32	7	1	7	16	99	4	14	3	154	228	298	526	144	240	43	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	230	190	44	10	4	8	34	66	4	14	3	232	360	453	812	221	305	29	15	359	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	221	189	39	7	2	4	25	70	5	18	2	206	315	328	643	122	289	32	11	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	230	208	32	7	1	7	16	99	4	14	3	154	228	298	526	144	233	43	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	221	189	39	7	2	4	25	70	5	18	2	206	315	328	643	122	289	32	11	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	230	208	32	7	1	7	16	99	4	14	3	154	228	298	526	144	233	43	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	SEA	—	613	543	104	19	7	13	63	210	5	41	15	192	282	324	606	133	283	34	10	269	68	-23	+2	+0	+2	+13	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ RAW	SEA	—	399	333	89	17	7	13	62	98	3	26	14	267	387	477	864	210	341	25	16	383	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA RAW	SEA	—	214	176	39	8	2	4	35	60	2	15	1	222	357	358	715	136	310	28	16	329	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	SEA	4%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		284	33	11	281	76	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	SEA	—	622	551	105	19	7	13	64	213	5	41	15	191	281	321	602	131	281	34	10	269	68	-24	+2	+0	+2	+13	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SEA	36%	368	325	68	12	4	10	37	116	3	14	5	209	296	363	659	154	285	32	10	296	87	-6	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.5
2028	23	MLB MLE	SEA	49%	609	538	116	21	6	19	61	186	5	21	7	216	301	383	684	167	287	31	10	305	93	-5	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	627	554	122	22	6	21	63	187	5	21	7	220	305	395	701	175	288	30	10	312	97	-2	+1	+0	+2	+14	1.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	638	562	125	22	6	22	65	188	6	20	7	222	310	400	710	178	289	29	10	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+2	+14	1.8
2031	26	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	637	561	125	22	6	22	65	187	6	20	7	223	310	401	711	178	289	29	10	317	101	+1	+1	+0	+2	+14	1.9
2032	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	629	553	123	22	6	22	65	185	6	19	7	222	311	403	714	181	288	29	10	317	101	+1	+1	+0	+2	+14	1.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	619	544	121	22	5	22	65	183	5	18	6	222	311	403	714	180	288	30	11	316	100	+0	+1	-0	+2	+13	1.7
2034	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	609	535	117	21	5	21	64	182	5	17	6	219	308	394	702	176	287	30	11	314	99	-1	+1	-1	+2	+13	1.5
2035	30	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	598	525	114	20	5	20	63	180	5	15	5	217	307	389	695	171	285	30	11	312	97	-2	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.3
2036	31	MLB MLE	SEA	60%	587	515	110	19	5	19	62	178	5	14	5	214	304	381	685	167	283	30	11	308	94	-4	+1	-2	+2	+13	0.9
2037	32	MLB MLE	SEA	61%	576	506	106	18	5	18	60	177	5	13	4	209	299	372	671	162	279	31	10	302	91	-6	+1	-3	+2	+12	0.6
2027	22	MLB CTX	SEA	36%	133	118	24	4	1	4	13	42	1	5	2	203	288	356	644	153	282	32	10	287	87	-2	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	SEA	49%	300	264	56	10	3	9	30	91	3	11	4	212	300	375	675	163	284	30	10	296	93	-3	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.6
2029	24	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	333	293	64	11	3	11	34	99	3	11	4	218	306	389	695	171	286	30	10	302	97	-1	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.8
2030	25	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	350	308	68	12	3	12	36	103	3	11	4	221	308	396	704	175	286	29	10	306	100	-0	+1	+0	+1	+8	1.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	355	313	68	12	3	12	36	104	3	11	4	217	304	390	694	173	286	29	10	307	101	+0	+1	+0	+1	+8	1.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	346	304	67	12	3	12	36	102	3	11	4	220	309	398	707	178	286	29	10	307	101	+0	+1	+0	+1	+7	1.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	338	297	66	12	3	12	35	100	3	10	3	222	310	404	714	182	285	30	10	307	100	+0	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.9
2034	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	325	285	62	11	3	11	34	97	3	9	3	218	307	393	700	175	284	30	10	305	99	-0	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.8
2035	30	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	341	299	64	11	3	11	36	103	3	9	3	214	305	381	686	167	283	30	11	302	97	-1	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.7
2036	31	MLB CTX	SEA	60%	349	306	65	11	3	11	37	106	3	8	3	212	303	376	679	163	280	30	11	298	94	-2	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.6
2037	32	MLB CTX	SEA	61%	353	310	65	11	3	11	37	109	3	8	3	210	300	371	671	161	277	31	10	293	91	-4	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3523	3097	669	117	31	116	364	1056	31	104	37	216	305	386	691	170	284	30	10	302	94	-13	+6	-4	+13	+76	8.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	124	22	6	21	67	195	6	19	7	217	306	387	693	170	287	30	10	302	94	-2	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6957	6123	1319	235	62	227	712	2121	65	224	71	215	304	385	689	170	287	30	10	308	94	-26	+12	-6	+23	+141	14.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	123	22	6	21	67	198	6	21	7	215	304	385	688	170	287	30	10	308	94	-3	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	8.0	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
/162	664	24	18	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	5.3	3,533	118	103	220	304	394	-21	+9	6.8	6.1
/162	664	22	19	-4.0	+1.8	1.3	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonny Farmelo (OGILVIE)	21	40→49	49→54	67→66	49	196/284/332	135	284	5	11	33%	10%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Derek Fisher 2016 · A	22	43→50	50→55	55	42	218/282/367	149	303	18	18	33%	8%	82	+0.0	229/299/385	156	321	18	19	32%	8%	93	+0.8	225/302/403	177	309	23	18	33%	9%	95	+0.7
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→52	43→50	56→55	47	203/279/323	120	288	8	13	30%	9%	71	-0.8	213/282/343	130	314	11	16	33%	9%	76	-0.4	236/319/383	147	308	15	24	26%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→52	46→55	59→55	39	213/256/347	134	267	12	15	26%	4%	68	-1.0	239/275/393	154	305	16	22	27%	4%	85	+0.2	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A	20	45→54	43→60	57→50	42	218/277/333	115	296	10	13	29%	7%	72	-0.7	226/284/402	176	289	21	13	28%	7%	91	+0.7	223/292/404	181	286	20	15	29%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Jasson Domínguez 2023 · AA	20	44→53	45→50	56→60	43	209/284/338	129	316	12	20	36%	9%	76	-0.4	235/307/369	134	322	15	28	29%	9%	92	+0.7	243/318/375	132	322	15	33	28%	10%	94	+0.7
✕Taylor Trammell 2019 · A	21	46	41→55	54→55	45	218/286/319	102	310	8	21	31%	8%	73	-0.6	203/279/307	104	289	10	16	31%	9%	68	-1.0	203/297/373	170	273	21	23	32%	11%	88	+0.3
●Corbin Carroll 2022 · A	21	49→54	46→65	56→60	46	233/304/367	134	332	12	17	32%	9%	90	+0.6	253/334/461	208	309	22	32	24%	9%	123	+3.0	250/336/478	228	282	25	37	21%	10%	124	+3.4
✕Sean Henry 2007 · A	21	41→51	45→50	56→55	43	207/263/331	123	274	12	24	28%	7%	66	-1.1	240/293/365	125	294	11	17	21%	6%	85	+0.2	248/301/372	124	296	11	17	19%	6%	87	+0.3
●Zac Veen 2023 · AA	21	43→50	42→55	57→60	42	205/273/309	104	307	9	31	34%	8%	65	-1.2	204/266/318	114	285	11	30	30%	7%	65	-1.2	226/287/396	170	296	18	22	29%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→45	58→60	54	211/315/327	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	86	+0.3	215/313/338	123	273	13	33	24%	11%	88	+0.5	211/310/338	127	264	13	40	24%	11%	84	+0.2
●Cedric Mullins 2017 · A	22	44→54	46→55	56→60	39	221/255/363	142	274	13	16	25%	4%	70	-0.8	223/266/354	131	265	13	16	21%	5%	73	-0.6	254/323/429	174	292	19	27	19%	8%	108	+2.0
●Zach Borenstein 2012 · A	22	45→54	41→60	58→50	46	214/290/318	104	277	6	15	24%	7%	74	-0.5	237/289/410	173	301	19	10	27%	6%	95	+1.0	251/301/432	182	317	21	6	27%	6%	103	+1.2
●Josh Lowe 2021 · AA	23	41→51	46→55	53→60	43	208/272/338	131	294	14	20	33%	8%	72	-0.7	241/302/401	160	339	17	26	32%	8%	97	+1.1	252/311/424	172	347	18	31	31%	8%	103	+1.3
●Trent Grisham 2018 · A	21	40→49	40→60	55	47	189/275/281	92	290	6	20	34%	10%	61	-1.5	216/301/356	140	285	15	15	28%	10%	87	+0.4	240/327/432	192	284	22	14	23%	10%	111	+1.7
●Jahmai Jones 2019 · AA	21	46→50	43→50	54→50	45	222/284/337	115	285	10	16	25%	7%	76	-0.4	201/261/296	95	269	8	12	27%	7%	57	-1.8	248/345/422	173	324	16	18	26%	11%	114	+1.3
✕Roger Bernadina 2006 · A	22	40→50	44→45	54→60	50	202/283/312	110	254	12	20	25%	9%	71	-0.8	236/296/330	94	314	8	26	25%	7%	78	-0.3	261/318/385	124	324	11	31	22%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Alex Castellanos 2009 · A	22	43→51	46→55	58→50	35	215/264/350	135	301	13	18	32%	4%	72	-0.7	217/269/350	133	312	11	15	33%	4%	74	-0.6	233/294/405	172	309	17	15	29%	6%	94	+0.7
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	47→50	53→55	46	189/281/323	135	287	14	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	211/290/332	121	325	11	16	35%	9%	78	-0.3	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
●Gregory Polanco 2013 · A	21	48→56	46→60	56→55	46	241/291/374	133	283	13	23	20%	6%	86	+0.3	251/306/382	131	299	12	25	19%	7%	94	+0.9	255/327/463	208	285	24	14	19%	9%	115	+2.0
●James Outman 2019 · A	22	39→49	47→55	53→50	39	201/258/335	134	281	16	11	34%	6%	66	-1.1	195/264/332	137	278	16	13	34%	7%	68	-1.0	227/320/420	193	316	24	14	33%	10%	108	+1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps