Jonny Farmelo

CF Everett AquaSox
Age 22 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs A+ K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP40OGV rank#168ETA2029MLB%4%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419AModesto Nuts221.264/.402/.42141882—.212/.320/.333
202520A+/INTL2 orgs230.232/.360/.45381494—.171/.242/.333
202621AA/A+SEA613.251/.376/.436174178—.200/.298/.336
2027PROJMLE22MLBSEA9.203/.296/.34100830.0
2028PROJ36% MLB23MLBSEA187.210/.302/.36056900.3
2029PROJ47% MLB24MLBSEA259.215/.307/.37378940.6
Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$4M2032Arb-2$7M2033Arb-3$9M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
BB%92
Speed89
Chase%71
Z-Con%61
wRC+60
wOBA51
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 20, comp-based) · star 5% · didn't stick 78%
CompsJakob Marsee (age 22) · Matt McLain (age 23) · Derek Fisher (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†83
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .296 / .341
PA9
HR0
K%33
BB%11
BABIP283
ISO142
MLB%4%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.81.70.00.30.60.80.90.90.727282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$10M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.8$3M+$2M
2031Arb-1$4M+0.9$3M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Arb-2$7M+0.9$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-3$9M+0.7$2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $2M $13M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202419 AModesto Nuts — 221178 471034 36525 182 264402421823 157347 2416 371 82 — — — — — —
202520 A+Everett AquaSox — 129113 26616 14381 21 230320460780 230286 2911 342 55 — — — — — —
202520 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 10177 18432 20283 122 234410442852 208333 2820 381 144 — — — — — —
202621 AAArkansas Travelers — 214176 39824 35602 151 222357358715 136310 2816 329 68 — — — — — —
202621 A+Everett AquaSox — 399333 8917713 62983 2614 267387477864 210341 2516 383 84 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202419 A MLEModesto Nuts — 221189 40724 25715 182 212320333653 122303 3211 289 82 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 129117 20514 10541 21 171242333576 162253 428 249 55 — — — — — —
202621 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 214186 35723 25732 151 188291296587 108287 3412 269 68 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 399350 7213510 451323 2614 206302357659 151296 3311 292 84 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEModesto Nuts — 221189 40724 25715 182 212320333653 122310 3211 289 82 — — — — — —
202419 A RAWModesto Nuts — 221178 471034 36525 182 264402421823 157347 2416 371 82 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE2 teams — 230206 35818 18954 143 170250335585 165257 418 249 55 — — — — — —
202520 A+ RAW2 teams — 230190 441048 34664 143 232360453812 221305 2915 359 55 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE2 teams — 613536 10720713 702065 4115 200298336634 136295 3411 284 78 — — — — — —
202621 A+ RAW2 teams — 613509 12825917 971585 4115 251376436813 185330 2616 364 78 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEModesto Nuts — 221189 40724 25715 182 212320333653 122303 3211 289 82 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE2 teams — 230206 35818 18954 143 170250335585 165253 418 249 55 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE2 teams — 613533 10720713 702065 4115 201298338636 137293 3411 284 78 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 A MLEModesto Nuts — 221189 40724 25715 182 212320333653 122303 3211 289 82 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLE2 teams — 230206 35818 18954 143 170250335585 165253 418 249 55 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE2 teams — 613533 10720713 702065 4115 201298338636 137293 3411 284 78 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLESEA 4% 574503 10320513 621794 207 205298346645 141285 3111 291 83 -11 +1 +0 +2 +12 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202722 MLB CTXSEA 4% 98 1000 130 00 203296341637 138283 3311 288 83 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLESEA 36% 517452 9618514 561574 176 212305366671 154287 3011 301 90 -6 +1 +1 +2 +11 0.9
202924 MLB MLESEA 47% 552483 10520516 601644 186 217309379688 162288 3011 308 94 -4 +1 +1 +2 +12 1.3
203025 MLB MLESEA 52% 578506 11221518 621695 186 220311386697 166289 2911 311 97 -2 +1 +1 +2 +13 1.5
203126 MLB MLESEA 54% 597523 11722519 641725 186 222312390702 168289 2911 313 98 -1 +1 +1 +2 +13 1.6
203227 MLB MLESEA 54% 612537 11922519 651765 186 222311388699 166288 2911 312 97 -2 +1 +1 +2 +13 1.6
203328 MLB MLESEA 54% 604530 11722518 641755 166 220309383692 163287 2911 309 96 -3 +1 +1 +2 +13 1.4
203429 MLB MLESEA 53% 587516 11221517 621714 145 217306377683 159285 2911 306 93 -5 +1 -0 +2 +13 1.1
203530 MLB MLESEA 52% 569500 10720416 601684 125 214303368671 154283 3011 301 90 -7 +0 -1 +2 +12 0.7
203631 MLB MLESEA 52% 489432 9117413 511463 85 210298358656 149280 3010 295 86 -8 -0 -2 +2 +11 0.2
202823 MLB CTXSEA 36% 187164 34625 20571 62 210302360663 150284 3011 298 90 -2 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.3
202924 MLB CTXSEA 47% 259227 48927 28772 83 215307373679 158285 3011 305 94 -2 +0 +1 +1 +6 0.6
203025 MLB CTXSEA 52% 301263 581139 33882 93 217309380689 163286 2911 308 97 -1 +1 +1 +1 +7 0.8
203126 MLB CTXSEA 54% 325284 6312310 35943 103 219310383693 164286 2911 310 98 -1 +1 +1 +1 +7 0.9
203227 MLB CTXSEA 54% 333292 6412310 35963 103 219309382691 162285 2911 309 97 -1 +1 +1 +1 +7 0.9
203328 MLB CTXSEA 54% 328288 6412310 35952 83 217307377684 160284 2911 306 96 -2 +0 +0 +1 +7 0.7
203429 MLB CTXSEA 53% 312274 591129 33912 73 215304371675 156283 2911 303 93 -3 +0 -0 +1 +7 0.5
203530 MLB CTXSEA 52% 298263 551028 31882 63 212301363663 151280 3010 298 90 -4 +0 -0 +1 +6 0.4
203631 MLB CTXSEA 52% 254224 47927 26762 43 207296353649 145277 3010 292 86 -4 -0 -1 +1 +6 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 25972279 492922275 27676219 6826 216306374680 158286 2911 304 90 -19 +3 +1 +9 +56 5.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650570 12423619 691915 177 218307379686 161288 2911 304 90 -5 +1 +0 +2 +14 1.3
Career— MLE — 63795593 119622555180 680193555 21973 214305370675 156289 3011 301 90 -42 +8 +3 +19 +115 10.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650570 12223618 691976 227 214305370676 156291 3011 301 90 -5 +1 +0 +2 +14 1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Everett AquaSox · 399 PAwOBA .374 → .292 (−82)K% 24.6% → 33.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.56%÷1.000×1.350——33.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.54%÷1.000×0.710—×1.01211.16%
HBP% /PA0.75%—×0.810—×1.0120.62%
Singles /BIP22.13%÷1.000×0.910×0.979×1.01219.95%
Doubles /BIP7.23%÷1.000×0.830×0.979×1.0125.95%
Triples /BIP2.98%÷1.000×0.820×0.979×1.0122.42%
Home runs /BIP5.53%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0124.65%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .374 → .292; ISO .210 → .163; BABIP .341 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAArkansas Travelers · 214 PAwOBA .323 → .269 (−53)K% 28.0% → 34.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.04%÷1.000×1.220——34.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.36%÷1.000×0.700—×1.04211.93%
HBP% /PA0.93%—×0.870—×1.0420.85%
Singles /BIP21.55%÷1.000×0.920×0.990×1.04220.46%
Doubles /BIP6.90%÷1.000×0.840×0.990×1.0425.98%
Triples /BIP1.72%÷1.000×0.940×0.990×1.0421.67%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0422.87%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .323 → .269; ISO .136 → .116; BABIP .310 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Everett AquaSox · 129 PAwOBA .335 → .249 (−86)K% 29.5% → 41.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.46%÷0.957×1.350——41.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.85%÷0.999×0.710—×1.0277.92%
HBP% /PA0.78%—×0.810—×1.0270.64%
Singles /BIP17.33%÷1.001×0.910×0.990×1.02716.02%
Doubles /BIP8.00%÷0.955×0.830×0.990×1.0277.07%
Triples /BIP1.33%÷1.150×0.820×0.990×1.0270.97%
Home runs /BIP8.00%÷1.036×0.830—×1.0276.58%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .335 → .249; ISO .230 → .164; BABIP .286 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AModesto Nuts · 221 PAwOBA .364 → .289 (−75)K% 23.5% → 32.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.53%÷0.993×1.360——32.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.84%÷1.010×0.690—×1.03011.14%
HBP% /PA2.26%—×0.780—×1.0301.82%
Singles /BIP23.81%÷0.970×0.920×0.950×1.03022.09%
Doubles /BIP7.94%÷1.076×0.830×0.950×1.0305.99%
Triples /BIP2.38%÷1.150×0.910×0.950×1.0301.84%
Home runs /BIP3.17%÷0.897×0.800—×1.0302.92%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 94, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .364 → .289; ISO .157 → .125; BABIP .347 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .