Zac Veen
RF Albuquerque Isotopes| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AAA/AA/A+COL | 260 | .248/.339/.451 | 11 | 19 | 71 | — | .213/.280/.365 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAACOL | 412 | .289/.355/.468 | 11 | 15 | 88 | — | .249/.299/.388 |
| 2025 | 23 | MLBCOL | 37 | .118/.189/.235 | 1 | 1 | 14 | -0.8 | |
| 2026 | 24 | AAACOL | 445 | .327/.404/.635 | 24 | 18 | 130 | — | .278/.339/.512 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBCOL | 79 | .232/.312/.435 | 3 | 2 | 92 | -0.4 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 25 | MLBCOL | 70 | .241/.302/.448 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ51% MLB | 26 | MLBCOL | 161 | .241/.304/.448 | 6 | 5 | 93 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ53% MLB | 27 | MLBCOL | 170 | .241/.304/.444 | 6 | 6 | 93 | 0.2 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 479 | 399 | 120 | 27 | 4 | 15 | 64 | 126 | 6 | 36 | 17 | 301 | 404 | 501 | 906 | 201 | 396 | 26 | 13 | 393 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 141 | 124 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 42 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 177 | 266 | 234 | 500 | 56 | 253 | 30 | 10 | 235 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 400 | 342 | 92 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 90 | 5 | 50 | 4 | 269 | 370 | 439 | 809 | 170 | 332 | 22 | 12 | 360 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 99 | 81 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 333 | 449 | 444 | 893 | 111 | 356 | 8 | 15 | 402 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 201 | 172 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 43 | 2 | 22 | 2 | 209 | 310 | 308 | 618 | 99 | 260 | 21 | 11 | 281 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | INTL | Leones de Ponce | — | 23 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 429 | 478 | 619 | 1.097 | 190 | 562 | 22 | 9 | 481 | 211 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 92 | 82 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 220 | 281 | 476 | 757 | 256 | 231 | 26 | 8 | 319 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 145 | 127 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 38 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 268 | 359 | 457 | 815 | 189 | 345 | 26 | 11 | 363 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 23 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 235 | 435 | 294 | 729 | 59 | 286 | 13 | 26 | 356 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 37 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 118 | 189 | 235 | 424 | 118 | 158 | 38 | 5 | 197 | 14 | -4 | -0 | +0 | -5 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 412 | 370 | 107 | 23 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 84 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 289 | 355 | 468 | 823 | 178 | 347 | 20 | 8 | 361 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 79 | 69 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 232 | 312 | 435 | 746 | 203 | 371 | 39 | 9 | 322 | 92 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 445 | 392 | 128 | 33 | 8 | 24 | 48 | 91 | 3 | 18 | 2 | 327 | 404 | 635 | 1.039 | 309 | 373 | 20 | 11 | 445 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 116 | 103 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 194 | 272 | 369 | 641 | 175 | 296 | 39 | 8 | 283 | 77 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -10 | +3 | -1.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 479 | 420 | 99 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 44 | 176 | 6 | 36 | 17 | 236 | 317 | 362 | 679 | 126 | 357 | 37 | 9 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 141 | 128 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 172 | 237 | 227 | 464 | 55 | 256 | 36 | 7 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 400 | 357 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 125 | 5 | 50 | 4 | 216 | 295 | 336 | 631 | 120 | 298 | 31 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 201 | 178 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 50 | 2 | 22 | 2 | 202 | 279 | 298 | 577 | 96 | 252 | 25 | 8 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 92 | 84 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 190 | 236 | 369 | 605 | 179 | 223 | 32 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 145 | 132 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 227 | 297 | 379 | 675 | 152 | 311 | 32 | 8 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 23 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 211 | 348 | 263 | 611 | 53 | 249 | 17 | 17 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 37 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 118 | 189 | 235 | 424 | 118 | 158 | 38 | 5 | 189 | 14 | -4 | -0 | +0 | -5 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 412 | 381 | 95 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 107 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 249 | 299 | 388 | 687 | 139 | 322 | 26 | 6 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 79 | 69 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 232 | 312 | 435 | 746 | 203 | 371 | 39 | 9 | 304 | 92 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 445 | 406 | 113 | 28 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 109 | 3 | 18 | 2 | 278 | 339 | 512 | 851 | 234 | 337 | 24 | 8 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 479 | 420 | 99 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 44 | 176 | 6 | 36 | 17 | 236 | 317 | 362 | 679 | 126 | 372 | 37 | 9 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A RAW | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 479 | 399 | 120 | 27 | 4 | 15 | 64 | 126 | 6 | 36 | 17 | 301 | 404 | 501 | 906 | 201 | 396 | 26 | 13 | 393 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 640 | 573 | 115 | 23 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 208 | 8 | 71 | 11 | 201 | 278 | 298 | 576 | 98 | 293 | 32 | 8 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 640 | 547 | 141 | 29 | 3 | 13 | 79 | 140 | 8 | 71 | 11 | 258 | 360 | 393 | 753 | 135 | 320 | 22 | 12 | 339 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 224 | 199 | 40 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 56 | 2 | 25 | 2 | 201 | 277 | 296 | 574 | 95 | 262 | 25 | 8 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 224 | 193 | 45 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 48 | 2 | 25 | 2 | 233 | 327 | 342 | 669 | 109 | 293 | 21 | 11 | 302 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 260 | 235 | 49 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 80 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 209 | 276 | 357 | 634 | 149 | 279 | 31 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 260 | 226 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 65 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 248 | 339 | 451 | 790 | 204 | 300 | 25 | 11 | 347 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 415 | 99 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 121 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 239 | 290 | 376 | 666 | 137 | 314 | 27 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 449 | 404 | 111 | 24 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 98 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 275 | 342 | 448 | 790 | 173 | 334 | 22 | 8 | 347 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 524 | 475 | 128 | 31 | 9 | 20 | 41 | 140 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 269 | 333 | 499 | 832 | 229 | 341 | 27 | 8 | 352 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 524 | 461 | 144 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 55 | 122 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 312 | 390 | 605 | 996 | 293 | 373 | 23 | 10 | 426 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 479 | 426 | 99 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 44 | 176 | 6 | 36 | 17 | 232 | 317 | 357 | 674 | 124 | 357 | 37 | 9 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 640 | 574 | 115 | 23 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 208 | 8 | 71 | 11 | 200 | 278 | 298 | 576 | 98 | 287 | 32 | 8 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 224 | 201 | 40 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 56 | 2 | 25 | 2 | 199 | 277 | 294 | 571 | 95 | 252 | 25 | 8 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 260 | 236 | 49 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 80 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 208 | 276 | 356 | 632 | 148 | 274 | 31 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 416 | 99 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 121 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 238 | 290 | 375 | 665 | 137 | 308 | 27 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 524 | 474 | 128 | 31 | 9 | 20 | 41 | 140 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 270 | 333 | 500 | 833 | 230 | 342 | 27 | 8 | 352 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 260 | 236 | 49 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 80 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 208 | 276 | 356 | 632 | 148 | 274 | 31 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 416 | 99 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 121 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 238 | 290 | 375 | 665 | 137 | 308 | 27 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 524 | 474 | 128 | 31 | 9 | 20 | 41 | 140 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 270 | 333 | 500 | 833 | 230 | 342 | 27 | 8 | 352 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | COL | 45% | 380 | 347 | 78 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 101 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 225 | 287 | 406 | 693 | 181 | 277 | 27 | 7 | 305 | 93 | -3 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | COL | 45% | 70 | 64 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 302 | 448 | 751 | 208 | 296 | 27 | 7 | 327 | 93 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | COL | 51% | 315 | 286 | 64 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 83 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 225 | 289 | 405 | 694 | 180 | 277 | 26 | 7 | 306 | 93 | -3 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | COL | 53% | 323 | 293 | 67 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 85 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 225 | 289 | 403 | 692 | 178 | 277 | 26 | 7 | 305 | 93 | -3 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 53% | 324 | 294 | 66 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 85 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 224 | 289 | 398 | 687 | 174 | 277 | 26 | 7 | 303 | 91 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | COL | 53% | 314 | 286 | 64 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 83 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 223 | 287 | 392 | 679 | 169 | 275 | 26 | 7 | 300 | 89 | -4 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | COL | 52% | 305 | 277 | 61 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 81 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 220 | 285 | 384 | 669 | 164 | 274 | 27 | 8 | 296 | 87 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | COL | 51% | 161 | 147 | 36 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 241 | 304 | 448 | 751 | 206 | 296 | 26 | 7 | 328 | 93 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | COL | 53% | 170 | 154 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 45 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 241 | 304 | 444 | 748 | 203 | 295 | 26 | 8 | 327 | 93 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 53% | 173 | 157 | 38 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 240 | 303 | 438 | 741 | 199 | 294 | 27 | 8 | 324 | 91 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | COL | 53% | 165 | 151 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 238 | 301 | 431 | 732 | 193 | 293 | 27 | 7 | 321 | 89 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | COL | 52% | 159 | 145 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 235 | 298 | 422 | 720 | 187 | 291 | 26 | 8 | 316 | 87 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 944 | 857 | 200 | 40 | 14 | 33 | 71 | 264 | 7 | 26 | 6 | 233 | 297 | 428 | 726 | 195 | 296 | 28 | 8 | 318 | 86 | -12 | +3 | +0 | -19 | +20 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 590 | 139 | 28 | 10 | 23 | 49 | 182 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 236 | 300 | 434 | 734 | 198 | 299 | 28 | 8 | 318 | 86 | -9 | +2 | +0 | -13 | +14 | -0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4312 | 3895 | 884 | 181 | 44 | 111 | 331 | 1239 | 40 | 237 | 53 | 227 | 294 | 382 | 676 | 155 | 300 | 29 | 8 | 296 | 86 | -22 | +6 | +1 | -29 | +40 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 134 | 27 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 187 | 6 | 36 | 8 | 228 | 295 | 385 | 680 | 157 | 302 | 29 | 8 | 296 | 86 | -8 | +2 | +0 | -10 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 445 PAwOBA .434 → .361 (−74)K% 20.4% → 24.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.45% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.993 | ×1.033 | 19.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.033 | 9.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.993 | ×1.033 | 2.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 5.77% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .434 → .361; ISO .309 → .243; BABIP .373 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 412 PAwOBA .352 → .298 (−54)K% 20.4% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.39% | ÷0.945 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.25% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.78% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×1.029 | ×1.048 | 22.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.04% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×1.048 | 7.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.028 | ×0.970 | ×1.029 | ×1.048 | 1.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.77% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 106, 3B 106, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .352 → .298; ISO .178 → .142; BABIP .347 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAHartford Yard Goats · 145 PAwOBA .353 → .290 (−63)K% 26.2% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.21% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.03% | ÷1.066 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.38% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.72% | ÷1.041 | ×0.970 | ×0.966 | ×1.027 | 22.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.62% | ÷1.102 | ×0.860 | ×0.966 | ×1.027 | 4.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.25% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.966 | ×1.027 | 2.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.62% | ÷0.916 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.91% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 108, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .353 → .290; ISO .189 → .160; BABIP .345 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 92 PAwOBA .310 → .250 (−60)K% 26.1% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.09% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.61% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.52% | ÷0.990 | ×0.930 | ×1.045 | ×1.050 | 16.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.17% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×1.045 | ×1.050 | 4.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.045 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.34% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.94% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .310 → .250; ISO .256 → .180; BABIP .231 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Spokane Indians · 23 PAwOBA .349 → .272 (−77)K% 13.0% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.04% | ÷0.996 | ×1.350 | — | — | 17.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 26.09% | ÷1.106 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 16.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.999 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 19.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.098 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 5.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.907 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.086 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 100, 2B 120, 3B 81, K 99, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .349 → .272; ISO .059 → .048; BABIP .286 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAHartford Yard Goats · 201 PAwOBA .280 → .253 (−27)K% 21.4% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.39% | ÷1.052 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.44% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 8.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.38% | ÷1.065 | ×0.970 | ×1.027 | ×1.042 | 18.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.027 | ×1.042 | 4.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.55% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | ×1.042 | 1.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.55% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 1.21% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 113, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .280 → .253; ISO .099 → .094; BABIP .260 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Spokane Indians · 400 PAwOBA .353 → .276 (−77)K% 22.5% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.50% | ÷0.975 | ×1.350 | — | — | 31.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.25% | ÷1.022 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 8.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.25% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.41% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | ×1.024 | ×1.027 | 21.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.54% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×1.027 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×1.024 | ×1.027 | 1.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.316 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 2.83% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 108, 2B 96, 3B 91, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .353 → .276; ISO .170 → .120; BABIP .332 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAHartford Yard Goats · 141 PAwOBA .233 → .206 (−27)K% 29.8% → 36.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.79% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.93% | ÷1.002 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 7.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.73% | ÷1.032 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 21.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷1.035 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.22% | ÷0.992 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 1.01% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .233 → .206; ISO .056 → .048; BABIP .253 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .