Daylen LileRF Washington Nationals
Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 195 lbs MLB Svc 0.698 · Ctrl thru 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION403 act + 268 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 79121vR 137
AVG/OBP/SLG.258 / .311 / .408
PA268
HR6
SB10
K%18
BB%6
BABIP299
ISO149
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -2.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +2.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: -0.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -7.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-7POSREP: +19.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+19REPTotal WAR: +1.00+1.0WAR
0.01.42.70.42.02.12.22.22.0+$63M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026
CONTACT60
Whiff%
904.0%
xwOBA
690.331
POWER40
Barrel%
376.5
Avg EV
4188.4
Bat Spd
4370.6
EYE50
Chase%
9014.1%
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.2
Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 473 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
113
360
wRC+
92
147
▶▶R
wOBA
305
378
▶▶R
ISO
096
213
▶▶R
BABIP
324
335
R
K%
21.2%
13.9%
▶▶R
BB%
6.2%
6.9%
R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   0.698 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.3M+0.4$2M+$1M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.0$15M+$14M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.1$14M+$14M
2029Arb-1$4M+2.2$14M+$11M
2030Arb-2$8M+2.2$13M+$8M
2031Arb-3$10M+2.0$11M+$5M
Totals $24M $69M +$53M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKFCL Nationals 8070 10100 9290 21 143241157398 14238 3611 200 11
202118 ROKFCL Nationals 8064 14200 15200 21 219367250617 31311 2519 299 87
202320 A2 teams 465428 892079 291444 236 208265350615 143287 316 268 63
202320 A2 teams 465405 10927109 52994 236 269358452810 183332 2111 357 131
202421 AA2 teams 560505 11120105 3412913 255 220286329615 109280 236 269 64
202421 AA2 teams 560485 12723106 549713 255 262351388739 126311 1710 330 111
202522 MLB3 teams 564522 154261513 31966 209 295342477819 182338 175 351 127 +17 +0 -9 -6 +16 1.8
202522 MLB3 teams 564516 160271613 35896 209 310360500860 190352 166 373 144 +28 +0 -9 -6 +16 3.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 MLBWSH 403370 9121310 24715 95 246301400701 154276 186 304 91 -4 -0 +0 -4 +11 0.3
YTD23 MLBWSH 403370 9121310 24715 95 246301400701 154276 186 309 95 -2 -0 +0 -4 +11 0.5
ROS23 MLBWSH 100% 268247 641336 16493 103 258311408719 149300 186 324 106 +2 +1 -1 -3 +8 0.6
ROS23 MLBWSH 100% 269248 641336 16493 103 258311407718 149300 186 316 100 -0 +1 -1 -3 +8 0.4
FULL23 MLBWSH 672618 15534616 401208 198 251305403708 152285 186 309 94 -4 +1 -1 -7 +19 0.7
TOT23 MLBWSH 671617 15534616 401208 198 251305403708 152286 186 312 97 -2 +1 -1 -7 +19 1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBWSH 98% 658604 16032917 411188 257 265320432752 167301 186 329 110 +7 +2 -3 -7 +19 1.8
202825 MLBWSH 98% 648594 15732817 411158 247 264320431751 167301 186 331 112 +9 +2 -3 -7 +18 1.9
202926 MLBWSH 98% 648594 15732817 411158 247 264320431751 167301 186 332 113 +9 +2 -3 -7 +18 2.0
203027 MLBWSH 98% 643588 15531817 421148 247 264321430752 167300 187 332 113 +9 +2 -3 -7 +18 2.0
203128 MLBWSH 98% 635580 15431817 421148 237 266324434758 169300 187 331 112 +8 +2 -4 -7 +18 1.8
203229 MLBWSH 98% 623570 14930816 411137 216 261319426745 165299 187 329 110 +7 +2 -4 -7 +18 1.6
203330 MLBWSH 98% 611558 14529815 411127 185 260318421740 161297 187 326 107 +5 +2 -5 -7 +17 1.3
203431 MLBWSH 98% 596544 14028715 401117 165 257316417734 160294 197 321 104 +2 +1 -6 -6 +17 0.9
203532 MLBWSH 98% 577527 13226713 381107 124 250309400710 150289 197 314 98 -1 +1 -6 -6 +16 0.4
203633 MLBWSH 98% 547500 12123612 361076 93 242301384685 142283 207 305 92 -5 +1 -7 -6 +15 -0.2
203734 MLBWSH 94% 499458 11421610 331015 62 249306386693 138295 207 309 94 -3 +0 -7 -5 +14 -0.1
202724 MLBWSH 98% 645592 15531816 401158 247 262317422739 160301 186 320 103 +2 +2 -3 -7 +18 1.3
202825 MLBWSH 98% 635582 15431817 401138 247 265321433754 168301 186 323 105 +4 +2 -3 -7 +18 1.4
202926 MLBWSH 98% 635581 15431817 411128 247 265322434756 169301 186 323 106 +4 +2 -3 -7 +18 1.5
203027 MLBWSH 98% 630576 15331817 411128 247 266323436759 170300 187 323 106 +4 +2 -3 -7 +18 1.4
203128 MLBWSH 98% 622568 15030816 411118 227 264323430752 165300 187 322 105 +3 +2 -4 -7 +18 1.3
203229 MLBWSH 98% 611558 14629816 411117 206 262320428748 167299 187 320 103 +2 +2 -4 -7 +17 1.1
203330 MLBWSH 98% 599547 14128715 401107 185 258316417733 159297 187 317 101 +1 +2 -5 -6 +17 0.8
203431 MLBWSH 98% 584533 13627714 391097 154 255314411725 156294 197 312 97 -2 +1 -6 -6 +17 0.4
203532 MLBWSH 98% 565517 12925713 371086 124 250307400708 151289 197 305 92 -5 +1 -6 -6 +16 -0.1
203633 MLBWSH 98% 536490 11822612 351056 93 241299384683 143283 207 297 85 -9 +1 -7 -6 +15 -0.6
203734 MLBWSH 94% 467429 10719610 30945 62 249306392698 142295 206 301 88 -6 +0 -7 -5 +13 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 71496542 170333295178 462130585 21668 260317422739 161299 186 318 102 +13 +16 -60 -79 +203 9.4
/ 162G 650595 15530916 421198 206 261318422740 161300 186 318 102 +1 +2 -5 -7 +18 0.9
Career 86227889 2012395118199 5551677105 28284 255313411723 156299 196 318 102 +17 +23 -62 -92 +244 13.3
/ 162G 650595 15230915 421268 216 255314412725 156299 196 318 102 +1 +2 -5 -7 +18 1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKFCL Nationals 8064 14200 15200 21 219367250617 31311 2519 299 87 -1 +0 +2 0.1
202320 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks 171154 36732 16411 23 234310357667 123306 249 302 89 -2 -1 +5 0.2
202320 AFredericksburg Nationals 294251 732077 36583 213 291386510896 219347 2012 388 155 +18 +3 +8 3.0
202421 AAHarrisburg Senators 316275 701543 33585 113 255345371716 116310 1810 323 105 +2 +1 +9 1.2
202421 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks 244210 57863 21398 142 271360410769 138312 169 340 118 +5 +2 +7 1.4
202522 MLBWashington Nationals 351321 9615119 21564 86 299349498847 199336 166 366 138 +15 -1 -9 -6 +10 0.9
202522 AAARochester Red Wings 119104 35722 11202 62 337407500907 163398 179 397 162 +8 +0 +3 1.2
202522 AAHarrisburg Senators 9491 29532 3130 61 319340505846 187355 143 369 141 +4 +1 +3 0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 351321 9615119 21564 86 299349498847 199336 166 366 138 +15 -1 -9 -6 +10 0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Justin Uptonlast yr '22
AS×4SS×2
career totals — 16 seasons, 7,649 PA
167,649325151261342469-82-9129.627.0
/1626642813-7.1-7.92.6pk7: 24
#2Alex Rioslast yr '15
career totals — 12 seasons, 6,929 PA
126,929169253277321434-57+1125.025.4
/1626641624-5.5+1.02.4pk7: 26
#3Hunter Pencelast yr '20
career totals — 14 seasons, 7,006 PA
147,006244120279334461-68-6724.322.9
/1626642311-6.5-6.42.3pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons
147,951197251263316425-85-7622.119.0
/1626641621-7.1-6.31.8pk7: 16
#4Jacque Joneslast yr '08
career totals — 9 seasons, 4,646 PA
94,64615679276326448-35-2615.715.9
/1626642211-5.0-3.82.3pk7: 16
#5Wil Myerslast yr '23
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA
114,290156107252326437-47-4510.710.7
/1626642417-7.3-6.91.7pk7: 11
#6Juan Encarnacionlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 4,344 PA
84,34412984270319435-39-488.79.0
/1626642013-5.9-7.31.3pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Daylen Lile (OGILVIE) 23 60 40 60 50 251/305/403 152286 1619 18% 6% 97 +1.0
Sal Frelick
2023 · AAA
23 56→59 44→45 55 48 272/327/398 125313 1019 17% 6% 106 +2.2 263/326/369 106304 819 15% 8% 98 +1.6 266/334/3659930482014%8%99+1.4
Andrés Giménez
2023 · MLB
24 55→60 51→50 56→55 43 272/338/433 162329 1821 22% 6% 121 +3.2 251/311/378 127291 1324 18% 5% 95 +1.4 238/299/349111274112617%5%80+0.3
Steven Kwan
2023 · MLB
25 59→62 44→45 54→50 57 285/356/409 124305 1115 11% 9% 121 +3.2 276/346/390 114298 916 10% 9% 111 +2.5 272/343/38211029191710%9%105+2.3
Gregory Polanco
2016 · MLB
24 52→55 45→60 54→55 50 254/313/386 133300 1224 19% 8% 98 +1.6 255/321/432 177293 1917 19% 9% 113 +2.6 254/325/453200285221419%9%113+2.3
Brett Lawrie
2012 · MLB
22 52→55 50→55 58→55 45 256/308/428 172309 1519 22% 6% 106 +2.2 258/313/410 152294 1614 18% 6% 104 +2.0 256/313/399143285161016%6%99+1.2
Kolten Wong
2014 · MLB
23 53→61 42→55 56→55 46 254/298/364 109293 919 16% 5% 85 +0.7 255/309/383 128290 1319 16% 6% 95 +1.4 274/349/416141313132016%8%116+2.0
Andrew Toles
2017 · MLB
25 57→62 46→45 52→60 43 275/315/421 145334 1121 21% 5% 107 +2.2 259/299/399 140323 1412 23% 5% 95 +1.4 256/291/38312832215525%4%83+0.2
Leo Heras
2013 · AAA
23 53→63 48→55 53→55 47 264/312/407 143290 1618 16% 6% 102 +1.9 233/295/363 130290 1118 23% 8% 84 +0.6 250/325/413162319161825%9%107+1.3
Brice Turang
2023 · AAA
23 50→60 43→50 56→60 47 243/300/350 107307 1123 24% 8% 82 +0.5 250/312/363 113307 1131 21% 8% 91 +1.1 270/345/412142330143221%10%114+2.5
Tony Kemp
2015 · AA
23 56→61 41→45 56→55 53 266/338/376 110311 722 16% 8% 105 +2.1 269/328/358 89315 522 15% 7% 95 +1.4 277/332/3739731372113%7%98+1.3
Adam Eaton
2013 · MLB
24 61→65 42→45 57→55 50 289/364/403 115346 827 18% 8% 123 +3.3 276/342/387 111331 720 17% 8% 109 +2.4 285/357/41212733991517%8%119+3.3
Akil Baddoo
2022 · MLB
23 51→54 51→55 57→55 49 251/321/420 170331 1720 28% 10% 110 +2.4 230/309/382 152301 1623 27% 10% 95 +1.4 222/303/408186279212827%10%96+1.1
Cameron Maybin
2010 · MLB
23 54→60 45→50 55 47 257/323/394 137350 1116 28% 8% 103 +1.9 259/321/391 132331 1123 24% 8% 102 +1.8 259/332/373114311103019%9%99+1.4
David Dahl
2017 · MLB
23 50→54 47→55 55 40 245/288/389 144324 1418 28% 6% 88 +0.9 239/287/397 158313 1712 28% 6% 89 +1.0 250/300/39614731814525%6%92+0.8
Andrew Benintendi
2018 · MLB
24 51→61 48→55 52→50 54 254/325/405 151284 1516 16% 9% 108 +2.3 258/337/414 156306 1415 19% 10% 115 +2.7 268/340/434166315161319%9%119+3.1
Michael Saunders
2010 · MLB
23 49→52 47→55 50→55 42 241/295/381 140319 1415 28% 7% 89 +0.9 224/292/360 136294 1516 27% 9% 82 +0.5 250/336/44019031620826%11%117+2.2
Domonic Brown
2011 · MLB
23 52→54 49→55 53→55 45 258/311/413 155323 1618 25% 7% 104 +2.0 250/313/403 153296 1613 20% 8% 102 +1.8 252/316/413162285181118%8%101+1.4
Peter Bourjos
2012 · MLB
25 51→56 48→50 61→60 43 251/300/404 153304 1325 22% 5% 96 +1.5 239/298/368 129306 1116 25% 6% 87 +0.8 240/282/37913930710824%5%78+0.1
Corey Patterson
2004 · MLB
24 53→54 51→55 57→60 40 265/300/432 166317 1820 22% 4% 105 +2.1 255/299/422 167308 1927 23% 5% 102 +1.8 250/295/411161298193323%5%91+1.1
Matt Murton
2006 · MLB
24 60→64 49→50 53→50 49 297/347/448 151334 1616 16% 7% 128 +3.6 282/344/425 143314 148 14% 8% 120 +3.1 275/341/40713230512614%8%111+1.9