Brett Jackson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 24 | AAA/AA/ROK3 orgs | 367 | .210/.297/.330 | 6 | 9 | 30 | — | .161/.228/.248 |
| 2014 | 25 | AAAARI | 271 | .208/.299/.350 | 6 | 5 | 19 | — | .133/.207/.206 |
| 2015 | 26 | AAASF | 189 | .220/.330/.321 | 3 | 6 | 45 | — | .175/.259/.241 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 20 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 128 | 112 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 295 | 383 | 545 | 927 | 250 | 356 | 25 | 9 | 407 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 15 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 571 | 636 | 1.208 | 182 | 625 | 27 | 20 | 489 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 269 | 228 | 63 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 63 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 276 | 369 | 465 | 834 | 189 | 352 | 23 | 11 | 361 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 312 | 263 | 83 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 63 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 316 | 421 | 517 | 938 | 202 | 395 | 20 | 14 | 413 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 215 | 185 | 55 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 64 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 297 | 390 | 551 | 941 | 254 | 402 | 30 | 13 | 407 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 297 | 246 | 63 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 45 | 74 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 256 | 375 | 443 | 819 | 187 | 323 | 25 | 15 | 362 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 142 | 120 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 175 | 303 | 342 | 644 | 167 | 298 | 42 | 15 | 296 | 86 | -2 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 467 | 407 | 104 | 22 | 12 | 15 | 47 | 158 | 6 | 27 | 5 | 256 | 341 | 479 | 820 | 224 | 372 | 34 | 10 | 355 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 242 | 215 | 48 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 77 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 223 | 301 | 367 | 669 | 144 | 316 | 32 | 9 | 298 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 110 | 95 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 200 | 309 | 284 | 593 | 84 | 328 | 34 | 12 | 279 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 133 | 71 | 205 | 143 | 47 | 7 | 107 | -77 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 271 | 240 | 50 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 103 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 208 | 299 | 350 | 649 | 142 | 336 | 38 | 10 | 295 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 189 | 159 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 51 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 220 | 330 | 321 | 650 | 101 | 296 | 27 | 14 | 296 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 142 | 120 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 175 | 303 | 342 | 644 | 167 | 298 | 42 | 15 | 296 | 87 | -2 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +3 | 0.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 128 | 116 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 44 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 233 | 305 | 414 | 718 | 181 | 314 | 34 | 5 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 15 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 429 | 500 | 929 | 167 | 496 | 40 | 13 | 389 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 269 | 239 | 57 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 80 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 238 | 308 | 389 | 697 | 151 | 318 | 30 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 312 | 273 | 70 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 89 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 256 | 347 | 407 | 754 | 150 | 359 | 29 | 11 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 215 | 195 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 86 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 236 | 300 | 421 | 721 | 185 | 365 | 40 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 297 | 263 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 95 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 213 | 294 | 365 | 659 | 152 | 291 | 32 | 9 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 142 | 120 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 175 | 303 | 342 | 644 | 167 | 298 | 42 | 15 | 295 | 86 | -2 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 467 | 418 | 84 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 203 | 6 | 27 | 5 | 201 | 274 | 380 | 654 | 179 | 332 | 43 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 242 | 221 | 37 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 99 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 167 | 230 | 262 | 493 | 95 | 272 | 41 | 6 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 110 | 100 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 170 | 245 | 250 | 495 | 80 | 311 | 43 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 15 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 67 | 111 | 67 | 7 | 55 | -77 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 271 | 248 | 33 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 138 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 133 | 207 | 206 | 412 | 73 | 286 | 51 | 7 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 189 | 166 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 63 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 175 | 259 | 241 | 500 | 66 | 251 | 33 | 10 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 143 | 128 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 242 | 317 | 422 | 739 | 180 | 347 | 34 | 6 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 143 | 123 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 309 | 401 | 553 | 954 | 244 | 383 | 25 | 10 | 415 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 581 | 512 | 128 | 27 | 11 | 10 | 53 | 169 | 9 | 30 | 11 | 250 | 331 | 404 | 735 | 154 | 350 | 29 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 581 | 491 | 146 | 32 | 14 | 12 | 73 | 126 | 9 | 30 | 11 | 297 | 397 | 493 | 890 | 196 | 375 | 22 | 13 | 389 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 512 | 458 | 103 | 19 | 4 | 17 | 46 | 181 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 225 | 298 | 395 | 694 | 170 | 327 | 35 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 512 | 431 | 118 | 23 | 5 | 20 | 73 | 138 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 274 | 381 | 490 | 871 | 216 | 355 | 27 | 14 | 381 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 609 | 538 | 104 | 22 | 10 | 17 | 58 | 262 | 6 | 27 | 8 | 193 | 279 | 366 | 645 | 173 | 330 | 43 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 609 | 527 | 125 | 28 | 13 | 19 | 69 | 217 | 6 | 27 | 8 | 237 | 332 | 448 | 780 | 211 | 358 | 36 | 11 | 341 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 367 | 335 | 54 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 156 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 161 | 228 | 245 | 473 | 84 | 284 | 43 | 7 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 367 | 324 | 68 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 121 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 210 | 297 | 330 | 627 | 120 | 313 | 33 | 10 | 284 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 271 | 248 | 33 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 138 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 133 | 207 | 206 | 412 | 73 | 280 | 51 | 7 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | Reno Aces | — | 271 | 240 | 50 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 103 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 208 | 299 | 350 | 649 | 142 | 336 | 38 | 10 | 295 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 189 | 166 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 63 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 175 | 259 | 241 | 500 | 66 | 260 | 33 | 10 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA RAW | Sacramento River Cats | — | 189 | 159 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 51 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 220 | 330 | 321 | 650 | 101 | 296 | 27 | 14 | 296 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 143 | 128 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 242 | 317 | 422 | 739 | 180 | 333 | 34 | 6 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 581 | 514 | 128 | 27 | 11 | 10 | 53 | 169 | 9 | 30 | 11 | 249 | 331 | 403 | 734 | 154 | 340 | 29 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 512 | 459 | 103 | 19 | 4 | 17 | 46 | 181 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 224 | 298 | 394 | 693 | 170 | 322 | 35 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 609 | 540 | 104 | 22 | 10 | 17 | 58 | 262 | 6 | 27 | 8 | 193 | 279 | 365 | 644 | 172 | 324 | 43 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 367 | 335 | 54 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 156 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 161 | 228 | 245 | 473 | 84 | 277 | 43 | 7 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 271 | 246 | 33 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 138 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 134 | 207 | 207 | 414 | 73 | 286 | 51 | 7 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 189 | 168 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 63 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 173 | 259 | 238 | 498 | 65 | 251 | 33 | 10 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 142 | 120 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 175 | 303 | 342 | 644 | 167 | 298 | 42 | 15 | 296 | 72 | -2 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +3 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 549 | 96 | 27 | 5 | 18 | 101 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 175 | 303 | 341 | 644 | 166 | 299 | 42 | 16 | 296 | 72 | -10 | -5 | +5 | +10 | +14 | 1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2672 | 2385 | 482 | 90 | 33 | 58 | 228 | 1018 | 31 | 109 | 41 | 202 | 280 | 340 | 621 | 138 | 320 | 38 | 9 | 274 | 72 | -2 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +3 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 117 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 55 | 248 | 8 | 27 | 10 | 202 | 280 | 340 | 620 | 138 | 320 | 38 | 8 | 274 | 72 | -10 | -5 | +5 | +10 | +14 | 1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAASacramento River Cats · 189 PAwOBA .292 → .235 (−57)K% 27.0% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.98% | ÷1.047 | ×1.290 | — | — | 33.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.23% | ÷0.960 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 9.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.15% | ÷1.003 | ×0.900 | ×0.973 | ×1.003 | 20.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.48% | ÷1.024 | ×0.810 | ×0.973 | ×1.003 | 5.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.810 | ×0.973 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.982 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 2.21% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 85, K 109, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .292 → .235; ISO .101 → .079; BABIP .296 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAReno Aces · 271 PAwOBA .288 → .196 (−91)K% 38.0% → 50.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.01% | ÷0.965 | ×1.290 | — | — | 50.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.96% | ÷1.049 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 6.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.48% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.36% | ÷1.047 | ×0.900 | ×1.022 | ×1.018 | 20.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.84% | ÷1.047 | ×0.810 | ×1.022 | ×1.018 | 4.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.92% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.022 | ×1.018 | 2.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.38% | ÷1.116 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 3.11% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 109, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .288 → .196; ISO .142 → .085; BABIP .336 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAIowa Cubs · 242 PAwOBA .292 → .220 (−71)K% 31.8% → 40.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.82% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 40.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 6.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.19% | ÷1.009 | ×0.900 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 20.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.07% | ÷1.050 | ×0.810 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 3.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.012 | ×0.810 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 1.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.130 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 3.10% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 102, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .292 → .220; ISO .144 → .097; BABIP .316 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AATennessee Smokies · 110 PAwOBA .272 → .219 (−54)K% 33.6% → 42.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.64% | ÷0.968 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.82% | ÷1.060 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 7.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.41% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 21.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.970 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 6.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.935 | ×0.880 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 3.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 87, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .272 → .219; ISO .084 → .074; BABIP .328 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Cubs · 15 PAwOBA .105 → .055 (−50)K% 46.7% → 67.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 46.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 67.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 3.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 11.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .105 → .055; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .143 → .111. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAIowa Cubs · 467 PAwOBA .349 → .282 (−67)K% 33.8% → 43.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.83% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 43.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.85% | ÷0.938 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 7.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.09% | ÷1.028 | ×0.900 | ×1.011 | ×1.048 | 20.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.84% | ÷1.049 | ×0.810 | ×1.011 | ×1.048 | 7.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.82% | ÷0.953 | ×0.810 | ×1.011 | ×1.048 | 4.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.02% | ÷0.863 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 5.71% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 110, 3B 91, K 101, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .349 → .282; ISO .224 → .180; BABIP .372 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AATennessee Smokies · 297 PAwOBA .354 → .291 (−63)K% 24.9% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.92% | ÷0.951 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.090 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 9.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.26% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 21.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.001 | ×0.910 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 5.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.74% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 1.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.81% | ÷0.937 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 5.10% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 106, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 90, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .354 → .291; ISO .187 → .164; BABIP .323 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAIowa Cubs · 215 PAwOBA .393 → .316 (−77)K% 29.8% → 39.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.77% | ÷0.965 | ×1.290 | — | — | 39.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.63% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 8.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.79% | ÷0.980 | ×0.900 | ×0.999 | ×1.050 | 23.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.74% | ÷1.017 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×1.050 | 8.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.65% | ÷1.086 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×1.050 | 1.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.26% | ÷0.934 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 7.25% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 117, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .393 → .316; ISO .254 → .201; BABIP .402 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).