Connor Foley
P
Visalia Rawhide
Age 23
RHP
6'5" / 235 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION20 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
K%23.2%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 5 | 5 | 14 | 69 | 20 | 15 | 0 | 100% | 2.8 | 21.4% | 25.7% | -4.2% | 0.0% | 7.07 | 4.54 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 5 | 5 | 14 | 69 | 20 | 15 | 0 | 100% | 2.8 | 29.0% | 21.7% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 7.07 | 3.46 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 8 | 8 | 20 | 86 | 35 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 2.5 | 29.6% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 2.0% | 6.64 | 3.54 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ARI | 2 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.2 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.45 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 29 | 121 | 43 | 16 | 4 | — | — | 35.6% | 13.0% | 22.6% | 3.3% | 6.00 | 3.80 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.8% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.8% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.3 | 23.8% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 3.92 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 94 | 23 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.8% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 13 | 13 | 34 | 155 | 40 | 30 | 2 | 100% | 2.6 | 26.0% | 19.5% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 6.82 | 3.98 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 76 | 76 | 200 | 903 | 235 | 176 | 10 | 100% | 2.6 | 26.0% | 19.5% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 6.82 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Connor Foley (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.30 | 23.8% | 13.9% | 20 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Garcia R 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 77 |
| River Ryan R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.58 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .321 | 3.86 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 134 | +0.28 | 2.13 | 218 | 77 |
| Michael Grove R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.46 | 24.3% | 9.5% | 4.0% | .409 | 5.62 | 21.8% | 11.5% | 176 | +1.16 | 3.54 | 377 | 76 |
| Dane Acker R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.44 | 19.3% | 15.2% | 3.7% | .284 | 4.44 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 215 | -1.00 | 4.23 | 257 | 76 |
| Drew Rasmussen R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.62 | 24.6% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .312 | 3.26 | 22.7% | 16.2% | 237 | -0.36 | 1.21 | 621 | 75 |
| Jared Ruxer R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.3% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .333 | 4.68 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 240 | +0.52 | 3.38 | 270 | 74 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2027 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.29 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .316 | 4.60 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +1.31 | 3.29 | 142 | 74 |
| Brandon White R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.11 | 16.7% | 10.3% | 3.8% | .264 | 4.10 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 245 | -1.01 | 3.90 | 264 | 73 |
| Chad Patrick R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 73 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 72 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 71 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 71 |
| Sean Mooney R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.45 | 30.2% | 15.3% | 1.8% | .250 | 4.82 | 24.7% | 11.2% | 60 | +1.37 | 3.45 | 102 | 71 |
| Grant Judkins R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.40 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.85 | 16.4% | 5.4% | 150 | +0.45 | 5.40 | 322 | 70 |
| James Proctor R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.02 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 1.6% | .277 | 4.35 | 14.0% | 1.5% | 48 | +0.33 | 4.02 | 109 | 70 |
| Will Bednar R 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.57 | 20.5% | 14.1% | 4.4% | .173 | 4.70 | 26.6% | 6.3% | 95 | -0.87 | 3.32 | 172 | 70 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .241 | 5.26 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 176 | +1.61 | 3.65 | 211 | 70 |
| Leonardo Pestana R 2028 · 5.53 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.53 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 4.7% | .324 | 5.35 | 22.6% | 7.3% | 66 | -0.18 | 3.61 | 155 | 69 |
| Hunter Harvey R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.80 | 17.6% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .344 | 5.66 | 20.0% | 12.0% | 86 | +1.86 | 2.00 | 269 | 69 |
| Octavio Acosta R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.37 | 15.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | .337 | 4.27 | 16.3% | 4.8% | 184 | -0.10 | 3.80 | 333 | 68 |