Alex McFarlane
P
Reading Fightin Phils
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 47 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 116
ERA5.11
FIP5.11
K%20.4%
BB%15.0%
K-BB%5.4%
ROS IP47
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 81 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 3 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 2.7 | 33.3% | 8.3% | 25.0% | 2.8% | 9.00 | 2.87 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 3 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 2.7 | 33.3% | 8.3% | 25.0% | 2.8% | 9.00 | 2.85 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 16 | 16 | 50 | 233 | 69 | 38 | 4 | 100% | 3.1 | 21.9% | 19.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 5.72 | 4.91 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 16 | 16 | 50 | 233 | 69 | 38 | 4 | 100% | 3.1 | 29.6% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 1.7% | 5.72 | 3.66 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 18 | 80 | 346 | 82 | 43 | 4 | 64% | 2.9 | 17.8% | 14.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 4.84 | 4.20 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 18 | 80 | 346 | 82 | 43 | 4 | 64% | 2.9 | 23.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 1.2% | 4.84 | 3.31 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 31 | 0 | 34 | 138 | 45 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 1.7% | 2.12 | 3.64 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PHI | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 41 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 15.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 5.11 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PHI | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 15.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 5.11 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 81 | 336 | 86 | 48 | 7 | — | — | 25.4% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 3.85 | 4.49 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 19 | 79 | 16 | 12 | 2 | — | — | 20.4% | 15.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 5.11 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 64 | 42 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 14.4% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 4.98 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 63 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 14.1% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 41 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 14.4% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 4.98 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 49 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 14.1% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 111 | 0 | 117 | 493 | 106 | 71 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 4.98 | 4.59 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 122 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 4.98 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 78 | 37 | 172 | 753 | 161 | 117 | 14 | 47% | 2.2 | 21.4% | 15.6% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 4.75 | 4.25 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 43 | 200 | 874 | 187 | 136 | 16 | 47% | 2.2 | 21.4% | 15.6% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 4.75 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alex McFarlane (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.95 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 139 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 84 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.56 | 17.8% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 259 | 82 |
| Sean Isaac R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 155 | 81 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.04 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.8% | .270 | 3.47 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 42 | -1.57 | 3.47 | 146 | 79 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 78 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 78 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 21.2% | 18.6% | 1.9% | .329 | 4.35 | 25.0% | 5.4% | 107 | -0.34 | 4.20 | 311 | 77 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 17.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .324 | 7.06 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 23 | +1.98 | 4.90 | 103 | 77 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 77 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.50 | 22.7% | 16.4% | 4.1% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 181 | 77 |
| Jordan Brink R 2024 · 5.96 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.96 | 18.3% | 19.2% | 3.6% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 132 | 77 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 77 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 76 |
| Marcos Tineo R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.91 | 22.2% | 14.4% | 3.4% | .320 | 6.95 | 7.8% | -24.1% | 10 | +2.04 | 3.52 | 273 | 76 |
| Richard Guasch R 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.44 | 22.3% | 16.2% | 2.1% | .287 | 3.21 | 23.8% | 11.8% | 72 | -1.23 | 2.94 | 293 | 76 |
| Fernando Baez R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 129 | 76 |
| Haden Erbe R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 18.4% | 16.5% | 3.1% | .320 | 5.49 | 17.8% | 0.5% | 40 | +0.14 | 5.17 | 116 | 75 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 75 |
| Carter Loewen R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 23.1% | 15.0% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 11.9% | 23 | -0.07 | 2.67 | 145 | 75 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 62 | 21.3% | 14.4% | 1.05 | 5.00 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |