Sean Reynolds — OGILVIE

Sean Reynolds P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 28 RHP 6'8" / 250 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA4.96

FIP5.12

K%20.8%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%6.8%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7196.0

Whiff%

p3222.7%

p4521.4%

xwOBA vs

p100.379

SL+1.7 (43%)

CH (6%)

FB-1.6 (52%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	19	0	32	149	37	23	0	0%	1.7	18.4%	18.2%	0.2%	0.0%	3.09	3.86	—
2021	23	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	19	0	32	149	37	23	0	0%	1.7	24.8%	15.4%	9.4%	0.0%	3.09	2.94	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	52	223	66	24	5	0%	1.0	23.3%	12.2%	11.1%	2.8%	4.13	4.22	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	52	223	66	24	5	0%	1.0	29.6%	10.8%	18.8%	2.2%	4.13	3.20	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	0	65	306	73	50	5	0%	1.2	19.6%	15.8%	3.8%	1.7%	5.43	4.39	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	0	65	306	73	50	5	0%	1.2	19.6%	15.8%	3.8%	1.7%	5.43	4.39	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	0	65	306	73	50	5	0%	1.2	23.9%	16.3%	7.5%	1.6%	5.43	4.17	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	3	65	300	88	38	4	6%	1.4	22.2%	11.8%	10.3%	1.6%	5.26	3.62	+0.7
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	3	65	300	88	38	4	6%	1.4	22.2%	11.8%	10.3%	1.6%	5.26	3.62	+0.7
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	3	65	300	88	38	4	6%	1.4	29.3%	12.7%	16.7%	1.3%	5.26	2.95	+1.2
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	1	55	237	47	39	6	2%	1.2	18.3%	15.5%	2.7%	2.6%	4.07	4.95	-0.3
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	1	55	237	47	39	6	2%	1.2	18.3%	15.5%	2.7%	2.6%	4.07	4.95	-0.3
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	1	55	237	47	39	6	2%	1.2	19.8%	16.5%	3.4%	2.5%	4.07	4.93	-0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			28	1	38	166	46	22	4	4%	1.4	27.7%	13.3%	14.5%	2.4%	4.03	3.78	+0.3
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	SD	3	0	3	13	3	2	0	0%	1.0	20.8%	14.0%	6.8%	3.0%	4.96	5.12	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SD	35	0	37	156	32	21	5	0%	1.1	20.4%	13.7%	6.7%	3.1%	5.07	5.20	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	SD	13	0	14	59	12	8	2	0%	1.1	20.4%	13.7%	6.7%	3.2%	5.11	5.24	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		41	1	52	223	58	30	6	2%	1.3	25.8%	13.4%	12.5%	2.6%	4.31	4.05	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		159	4	200	866	225	116	23	2%	1.3	25.8%	13.4%	12.5%	2.6%	4.31	4.05	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		218	4	269	1215	249	175	23	2%	1.2	20.5%	14.4%	6.1%	1.9%	4.58	4.21	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		162	3	200	902	185	130	17	2%	1.2	20.5%	14.4%	6.1%	1.9%	4.58	4.21	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sean Reynolds (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.12	20.8%	14.0%	3.0%	—	5.20	20.4%	6.7%	37	+0.08	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	86
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	81
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	80
José A. Váldez R 2018 · 4.02 FIP	28	SU	4.02	23.1%	16.2%	1.5%	.325	4.21	16.8%	6.2%	103	+0.19	4.02	328	79
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	79
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	79
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	77
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	77
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	77
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	27	SU	4.21	19.8%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.02	2.92	140	77
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	76
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	28	SU	4.43	23.3%	13.6%	2.9%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	315	76
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	76
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	75
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	75
Kyle Dowdy R 2021 · 5.16 FIP	28	SU	5.16	20.3%	14.6%	3.5%	.282	3.57	21.1%	9.1%	116	-1.59	2.98	606	75
Brandon Maurer R 2018 · 4.87 FIP	28	SU	4.87	19.7%	13.0%	3.2%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	234	75
Yennier Cano R 2022 · 4.46 FIP	28	SU	4.46	23.2%	11.8%	3.3%	.325	3.19	23.4%	16.2%	191	-1.27	2.43	377	75
Michael Ynoa R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	23.1%	13.8%	3.3%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	142	75
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	20.6%	13.8%	1.18	5.01
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99