Sean Reynolds
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 28
RHP
6'8" / 250 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 115
ERA4.93
FIP5.09
K%21.3%
BB%13.9%
K-BB%7.4%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7196.0
Whiff%
p3222.7%
K%
p4521.4%
xwOBA vs
p100.379
SL+1.7 (43%)
CH (6%)
FB-1.6 (52%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 19 | 0 | 32 | 149 | 37 | 23 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 18.4% | 18.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 3.09 | 3.86 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 19 | 0 | 32 | 149 | 37 | 23 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 24.8% | 15.4% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 3.09 | 2.94 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 52 | 223 | 66 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.13 | 4.28 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 52 | 223 | 66 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.6% | 10.8% | 18.8% | 2.2% | 4.13 | 3.20 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 0 | 65 | 306 | 73 | 50 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.1% | 17.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 5.43 | 4.50 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 0 | 65 | 306 | 73 | 50 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.9% | 16.3% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 5.43 | 4.17 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 3 | 65 | 300 | 88 | 38 | 4 | 6% | 1.4 | 23.5% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | 5.26 | 3.70 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 3 | 65 | 300 | 88 | 38 | 4 | 6% | 1.4 | 29.3% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 1.3% | 5.26 | 2.95 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 1 | 55 | 237 | 47 | 39 | 6 | 2% | 1.2 | 18.7% | 16.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.07 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 1 | 55 | 237 | 47 | 39 | 6 | 2% | 1.2 | 19.8% | 16.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.07 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | SD | 37 | 0 | 39 | 163 | 35 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 4.93 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SD | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 33 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 13.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 5.05 | 5.17 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SD | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 13.7% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 4.99 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 41 | 1 | 52 | 223 | 58 | 30 | 6 | 2% | 1.3 | 26.0% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 2.6% | 4.28 | 4.01 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 159 | 4 | 200 | 866 | 225 | 116 | 23 | 2% | 1.3 | 26.0% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 2.6% | 4.28 | 4.01 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 218 | 4 | 269 | 1215 | 256 | 189 | 23 | 2% | 1.2 | 21.1% | 15.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 4.58 | 4.32 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 162 | 3 | 200 | 902 | 190 | 140 | 17 | 2% | 1.2 | 21.1% | 15.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 4.58 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sean Reynolds (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.09 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 3.0% | — | 5.17 | 20.9% | 7.3% | 37 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 84 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.63 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.94 | 2.96 | 230 | 78 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 77 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 234 | 77 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 77 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 77 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 75 |
| Tayron Guerrero R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.41 | 19.9% | 16.7% | 3.4% | .269 | 3.73 | 22.4% | 9.5% | 19 | -1.68 | 2.18 | 355 | 75 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 75 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 75 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.63 | 23.3% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 315 | 75 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.45 | 25.6% | 16.8% | 2.5% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 272 | 75 |
| Kevin Lenik R 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.93 | 21.7% | 14.9% | 3.2% | .205 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 107 | 75 |
| Kyle Dowdy R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.10 | 20.3% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .282 | 3.59 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 116 | -1.51 | 2.81 | 606 | 74 |
| Morris Austin R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.05 | 22.3% | 14.8% | 3.6% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 164 | 74 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 74 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 73 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.66 | 23.1% | 15.5% | 2.8% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 197 | 73 |
| Stevie Branche R 2025 · 5.82 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.82 | 19.8% | 20.5% | 3.3% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 162 | 73 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 1.19 | 4.99 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |