Seranthony Domínguez
P
Chicago White Sox
+0.7
WAR
Age 31
RHP
6'1" / 225 lbs
MLB
Svc 7.0 · Ctrl thru 2027
peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA3.95
FIP4.06
xFIP6.46
SIERA5.16
K%27.4%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%16.6%
IP56
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
K†6565
FB Velo
p9097.7
Whiff%
p9033.3%
K%
p9030.3%
xwOBA vs
p810.282
SL+0.6 (31%)
SI (19%)
CU (3%)
FB-1.4 (54%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 2 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 9 | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | 2.35 | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | 10 | 10 | 48 | 193 | 50 | 20 | 2 | 19.2% | 12.2% | 1.6% | 2.42 | 3.90 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | 17 | 15 | 68 | 285 | 82 | 34 | 6 | 22.2% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 3.72 | 4.42 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 23 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 64 | 0 | 75 | 292 | 95 | 23 | 4 | 32.0% | 8.7% | 1.6% | 2.65 | 2.37 | +2.3 |
| 2019 | 24 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 27 | 0 | 25 | 110 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | 4.01 | 3.53 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 20 | 3 | 21 | 104 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 22.3% | 13.3% | 1.8% | 7.59 | 3.91 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 55 | 0 | 52 | 211 | 62 | 23 | 4 | 29.5% | 10.1% | 1.9% | 2.94 | 2.93 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 59 | 0 | 52 | 232 | 53 | 23 | 7 | 21.4% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 3.63 | 4.11 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 63 | 0 | 59 | 255 | 68 | 21 | 12 | 26.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 4.45 | 4.36 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 67 | 0 | 63 | 261 | 79 | 34 | 5 | 30.3% | 13.0% | 1.7% | 3.16 | 3.13 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 7 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | 7.50 | — | — |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | CWS | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 63 | 23 | 6 | 29.6% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 3.90 | 3.93 | +0.6 |
| 2026 Total | 31 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 56 | 242 | 71 | 28 | 8 | 29.1% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 4.29 | 3.51 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 54 | — | 54 | 227 | 65 | 26 | 7 | 28.5% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 4.20 | 4.26 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 60 | 25 | 7 | 27.8% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.31 | 4.39 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 56 | 24 | 7 | 27.1% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 4.44 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 46 | — | 46 | 194 | 51 | 23 | 7 | 26.4% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 4.58 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 25.6% | 12.3% | 3.6% | 4.74 | 4.84 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 391 | 29 | 476 | 2010 | 522 | 224 | 50 | 26.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | 3.56 | 3.67 | +8.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 164 | 12 | 200 | 845 | 219 | 94 | 21 | 26.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | 3.56 | 3.67 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Seranthony Domínguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.93 | 29.6% | 10.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.39 | 27.8% | 16.2% | 154 | +0.46 | — | — | — |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.35 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 210 | 76 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 75 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 75 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 73 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 73 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.38 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.98 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.60 | 3.38 | 212 | 73 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 3.11 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.11 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.81 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.70 | 3.11 | 148 | 73 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.83 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .283 | 4.53 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.30 | 2.93 | 176 | 71 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 71 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.39 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.70 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.31 | 2.80 | 410 | 71 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.09 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .278 | 3.53 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.56 | 2.31 | 403 | 70 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.21 | 25.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | .286 | 3.66 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 152 | +0.45 | 2.80 | 284 | 70 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 70 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.65 | 24.2% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .321 | 4.65 | 17.6% | 4.6% | 23 | +1.00 | 2.88 | 249 | 70 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 69 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.89 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .246 | 3.65 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.24 | 1.69 | 468 | 69 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 68 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 68 |
| Joe Kelly R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.25 | 27.4% | 8.8% | 2.5% | .312 | 2.66 | 29.2% | 18.8% | 81 | -0.59 | 2.39 | 556 | 68 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.62 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 224 | 68 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status FA
MLB Debut 2018
Service 7.762 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2027
First FA Year 2028
OPT
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Ext / FA-deal | $10M | +0.6 | $2M | -$8M |
| 2027 | Ext / FA-deal | $10M | +0.4 | $2M | -$8M |
| Totals | $20M | $4M | -$16M | ||
| Options · projected decision | |||
| 2028 | MUTUAL OPT | $12.0M / $2.0M buyout | DECLINE |
| 2029 | CLUB OPT | $2025.0M / $0.0M buyout | DECLINE |
| 2030 | CLUB OPT | $8.0M / $0.0M buyout | DECLINE |