Seranthony Domínguez
P
Chicago White Sox
Age 31
RHP
6'1" / 225 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10798vR 88
ERA3.75
FIP3.83
K%28.9%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%17.1%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p8897.2
Whiff%
p7729.6%
K%
p8228.2%
xwOBA vs
p220.345
SL+0.6 (30%)
SI (18%)
CU (2%)
FB-1.4 (56%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 2 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 50% | 3.8 | 25.0% | 19.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.35 | 4.98 | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 2 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 50% | 3.8 | 25.0% | 19.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.35 | 5.19 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | 10 | 10 | 48 | 193 | 50 | 20 | 2 | 100% | 4.8 | 19.2% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 2.42 | 4.05 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | 10 | 10 | 48 | 193 | 50 | 20 | 2 | 100% | 4.8 | 25.9% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 1.0% | 2.42 | 2.81 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 15 | 68 | 285 | 82 | 34 | 6 | 88% | 4.0 | 22.2% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 3.72 | 4.32 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 15 | 68 | 285 | 82 | 34 | 6 | 88% | 4.0 | 28.8% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 2.1% | 3.72 | 3.34 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 64 | 0 | 75 | 292 | 95 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.0% | 8.7% | 23.4% | 1.7% | 2.65 | 2.41 | +2.1 |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 64 | 0 | 75 | 292 | 95 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.5% | 7.9% | 24.7% | 1.4% | 2.65 | 2.18 | +2.3 |
| 2019 | 24 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 27 | 0 | 25 | 110 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 2.6% | 4.01 | 3.70 | +0.2 |
| 2019 | 24 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 27 | 0 | 25 | 110 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 2.7% | 4.01 | 3.79 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 20 | 3 | 21 | 104 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 15% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 1.9% | 7.59 | 3.95 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 20 | 3 | 21 | 104 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 15% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 7.59 | 5.58 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 0 | 52 | 211 | 62 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.5% | 10.1% | 19.3% | 1.9% | 2.94 | 2.92 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 0 | 52 | 211 | 62 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.4% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 1.9% | 2.94 | 3.04 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 52 | 232 | 53 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 3.63 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 52 | 232 | 53 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.8% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 3.63 | 4.14 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 63 | 0 | 59 | 255 | 68 | 21 | 12 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.7% | 8.2% | 18.4% | 4.4% | 4.45 | 4.29 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 63 | 0 | 59 | 255 | 68 | 21 | 12 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.7% | 8.2% | 18.4% | 4.7% | 4.45 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 67 | 0 | 63 | 261 | 79 | 34 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 30.3% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 1.9% | 3.16 | 3.25 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 67 | 0 | 63 | 261 | 79 | 34 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 30.3% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 1.9% | 3.16 | 3.24 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 36 | 0 | 33 | 142 | 40 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.2% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 3.5% | 4.41 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | CWS | 22 | 0 | 23 | 99 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.9% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 3.1% | 3.75 | 3.83 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | CWS | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.9% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 3.1% | 3.75 | 3.83 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 56 | 241 | 69 | 31 | 8 | — | — | 28.5% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 3.3% | 4.13 | 4.13 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 56 | 236 | 69 | 31 | 8 | — | — | 29.0% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 3.4% | 4.13 | 4.15 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 49 | 0 | 52 | 219 | 62 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.2% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 3.3% | 4.33 | 4.46 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 45 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 55 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 3.6% | 4.58 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 48 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.5% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 3.9% | 4.86 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 58 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.2% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 3.3% | 4.33 | 4.46 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 52 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 3.6% | 4.58 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 44 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.5% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 3.9% | 4.86 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 507 | 0 | 495 | 2095 | 583 | 232 | 63 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.8% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 3.0% | 3.86 | 3.81 | +9.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 205 | 0 | 200 | 846 | 235 | 94 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.8% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 3.0% | 3.86 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 420 | 29 | 502 | 2121 | 554 | 238 | 54 | 7% | 1.2 | 26.1% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 2.5% | 3.57 | 3.71 | +9.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 167 | 12 | 200 | 844 | 221 | 95 | 21 | 7% | 1.2 | 26.1% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 2.5% | 3.57 | 3.71 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Seranthony Domínguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.02 | 29.5% | 11.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.73 | 27.4% | 14.8% | 142 | +0.71 | — | — | — |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 74 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 73 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 72 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 72 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 72 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 72 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 70 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.40 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.69 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.29 | 2.73 | 410 | 69 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 69 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.50 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.27 | 426 | 68 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.09 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.84 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.75 | 3.09 | 148 | 68 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.20 | 25.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | .286 | 3.68 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 152 | +0.48 | 2.82 | 284 | 68 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 68 |
| Joe Kelly R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.45 | 27.4% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .312 | 2.75 | 29.2% | 18.8% | 81 | -0.70 | 2.48 | 556 | 67 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 3.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.08 | 32.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.71 | 26.1% | 14.5% | 108 | +0.63 | 2.00 | 320 | 67 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.74 | 28.5% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .275 | 3.48 | 23.3% | 12.9% | 187 | -0.26 | 3.08 | 349 | 67 |
| David Robertson R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.25 | 28.1% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .297 | 2.38 | 34.6% | 26.8% | 138 | -0.87 | 1.99 | 494 | 67 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.62 | 24.2% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .321 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 4.6% | 23 | +1.12 | 2.86 | 249 | 67 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 3.76 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.32 | 1.74 | 468 | 66 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 50 | 28.0% | 12.3% | 1.31 | 4.40 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |