Seth Halvorsen — OGILVIE

Seth Halvorsen P Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 243 lbs MLB

2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.25

FIP4.30

K%23.7%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%12.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF6055

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9098.9

Whiff%

p2021.1%

p1015.7%

xwOBA vs

p100.374

FB+0.6 (54%)

SL-4.1 (20%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	0	13	55	13	4	2	0%	1.0	23.6%	7.3%	16.4%	3.6%	2.70	4.02	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	0	13	55	13	4	2	0%	1.0	23.6%	7.3%	16.4%	3.6%	2.70	4.02	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	0	13	55	13	4	2	0%	1.0	23.6%	7.3%	16.4%	3.6%	2.70	4.00	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	53	0	57	242	69	24	5	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.5%	8.5%	1.7%	3.81	3.82	+0.5
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	53	0	57	242	69	24	5	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.5%	8.5%	1.7%	3.81	3.82	+0.5
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	53	0	57	242	69	24	5	0%	1.1	28.5%	9.9%	18.6%	2.1%	3.81	3.08	+1.0
2025	25	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	42	0	40	173	36	20	7	0%	0.9	20.8%	11.6%	9.2%	3.6%	4.99	4.78	-0.1
2025	25	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	42	0	40	173	36	20	7	0%	0.9	20.8%	11.6%	9.2%	3.6%	4.99	4.78	-0.1
2025	25	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	42	0	40	173	36	20	7	0%	0.9	20.8%	11.6%	9.2%	4.0%	4.99	5.09	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			83	0	78	346	69	37	14	0%	0.9	19.9%	10.7%	9.2%	4.0%	4.62	5.09	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	55	0	53	239	57	25	6	0%	1.0	21.2%	10.0%	11.2%	2.5%	3.38	3.93	+0.4
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	55	0	53	239	57	25	6	0%	1.0	21.2%	10.0%	11.2%	2.5%	3.38	3.93	+0.4
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	LAD	26	0	27	112	37	10	1	0%	1.1	33.0%	8.9%	24.1%	0.9%	1.32	1.93	—
2026	26	MLB RAW	LAD	29	0	26	127	20	15	5	0%	0.9	15.7%	11.8%	3.9%	3.9%	5.54	5.43	-0.3
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	LAD	29	0	26	127	20	15	5	0%	0.9	15.7%	11.8%	3.9%	3.9%	5.54	5.43	-0.3
ROS	26	MLB MLE	LAD	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	23.7%	11.6%	12.1%	3.2%	4.25	4.30	+0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	LAD	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	23.7%	11.6%	12.1%	3.2%	4.25	4.30	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	58	260	62	27	7	—	—	23.8%	10.5%	13.3%	2.6%	3.45	3.97	+0.4
FULL	26	MLB A+C	LAD	—	—	31	130	62	27	7	—	—	47.5%	21.0%	26.5%	5.1%	6.50	4.55	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	LAD	50	0	53	223	50	26	7	0%	1.1	22.4%	11.8%	10.6%	3.4%	4.90	4.93	-0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	LAD	49	0	51	216	48	25	7	0%	1.0	22.3%	11.8%	10.6%	3.4%	4.92	4.97	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	LAD	48	0	50	211	47	25	7	0%	1.0	22.4%	11.8%	10.6%	3.4%	4.90	4.93	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	LAD	47	0	49	207	46	24	7	0%	1.0	22.3%	11.8%	10.6%	3.4%	4.92	4.97	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		182	0	182	784	167	88	29	0%	1.0	21.3%	11.3%	10.0%	3.7%	4.77	4.75	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		200	0	200	863	184	97	32	0%	1.0	21.3%	11.3%	10.0%	3.7%	4.77	4.75	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		163	0	163	709	151	78	18	0%	1.0	21.2%	11.0%	10.2%	2.6%	3.87	4.11	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		200	0	200	870	185	96	22	0%	1.0	21.2%	11.0%	10.2%	2.6%	3.87	4.11	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Seth Halvorsen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.65	25.0%	12.1%	3.2%	—	4.95	22.3%	10.6%	104	+0.30	—	—	—
Tyler Bashlor R 2019 · 4.88 FIP	26	SU	4.88	20.7%	11.7%	3.7%	.258	4.10	23.7%	13.0%	38	-0.78	2.55	253	78
Shintaro Fujinami R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	23.2%	12.3%	2.5%	.290	4.55	21.2%	-0.6%	51	+0.46	4.09	130	77
Thyago Vieira R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	26	SU	4.33	21.1%	10.8%	3.0%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	311	75
Hunter Bigge R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	25	SU	4.02	23.1%	14.6%	1.9%	.316	4.74	26.0%	14.8%	101	+0.72	3.44	229	75
Hansel Robles R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SU	4.93	22.1%	11.6%	4.1%	.267	3.60	25.5%	17.6%	145	-1.33	2.67	469	74
Manny Barreda R 2015 · 5.04 FIP	26	SU	5.04	21.2%	14.7%	3.4%	.286	3.69	19.6%	9.5%	186	-1.35	3.30	376	73
Brian Ellington R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	26	SU	4.75	25.5%	14.9%	3.5%	.283	5.61	22.4%	5.3%	29	+0.86	2.75	233	73
Calvin Faucher R 2022 · 4.68 FIP	26	SU	4.68	22.8%	10.6%	4.0%	.330	3.42	24.1%	14.4%	140	-1.26	2.08	443	72
Tyler Kinley R 2017 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	25.0%	10.3%	2.6%	.295	3.82	25.0%	11.7%	140	+0.08	1.58	595	72
Jake Barrett R 2017 · 5.20 FIP	26	SU	5.20	20.1%	11.5%	4.2%	.267	2.90	26.9%	15.2%	69	-2.30	1.48	230	71
José A. Váldez R 2016 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	22.2%	13.1%	2.9%	.205	4.22	19.6%	8.3%	211	-0.28	4.02	328	71
Alex Hoppe R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	23.7%	9.2%	3.5%	.371	3.94	20.7%	8.7%	184	-0.27	3.13	233	71
Brad Goldberg R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	18.1%	10.8%	1.6%	.269	3.87	23.3%	7.2%	89	+0.04	3.14	197	70
Justin Anderson R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	26	SU	4.12	27.6%	14.7%	2.7%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	587	70
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	70
Juan Minaya R 2017 · 3.69 FIP	26	SU	3.69	24.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.291	3.63	25.1%	14.5%	132	-0.06	3.20	446	70
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	69
Arquimedes Caminero R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	28	SU	3.54	23.0%	8.5%	2.4%	.265	4.45	17.9%	6.5%	61	+0.91	3.54	173	69
Austin Adams R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	18.6%	9.5%	1.4%	.331	3.40	21.1%	15.0%	56	-0.11	3.40	162	69
Yacksel Ríos R 2019 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	18.6%	11.5%	3.8%	.326	4.13	22.4%	8.0%	80	-0.94	3.14	511	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	53	23.2%	11.9%	1.29	4.80
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84