Seth Halvorsen
P
Colorado Rockies
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 243 lbs
MLB
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 30 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 97
ERA4.20
FIP4.23
K%24.5%
BB%12.2%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP30
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9098.8
Whiff%
p3723.4%
K%
p1917.7%
xwOBA vs
p100.395
FB+0.6 (54%)
SL-4.1 (20%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 7.3% | 16.4% | 3.6% | 2.70 | 4.02 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 7.3% | 16.4% | 3.6% | 2.70 | 4.00 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 53 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 69 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 1.8% | 3.81 | 3.91 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 53 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 69 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.5% | 9.9% | 18.6% | 2.1% | 3.81 | 3.08 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 42 | 0 | 40 | 173 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.99 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 42 | 0 | 40 | 173 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 4.99 | 5.09 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 36 | 0 | 36 | 166 | 41 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 2.5% | 3.53 | 4.15 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 29 | 0 | 30 | 128 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.20 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.20 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 66 | 294 | 72 | 37 | 8 | — | — | 24.6% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 2.7% | 3.84 | 4.18 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 49 | 208 | 72 | 37 | 8 | — | — | 34.8% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 3.8% | 5.14 | 4.46 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 50 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 52 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 4.77 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 49 | 0 | 51 | 216 | 50 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.80 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | COL | 47 | 0 | 49 | 206 | 47 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.90 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 49 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 4.77 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 48 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.80 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | COL | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 44 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.90 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 242 | 0 | 246 | 1056 | 238 | 127 | 36 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 4.60 | 4.57 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 196 | 0 | 200 | 857 | 193 | 103 | 29 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 4.60 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 144 | 0 | 145 | 636 | 138 | 76 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 3.96 | 4.15 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 198 | 0 | 200 | 875 | 190 | 104 | 22 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 3.96 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Seth Halvorsen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 25.1% | 12.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.87 | 23.0% | 10.7% | 153 | +0.29 | — | — | — |
| Shintaro Fujinami R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.99 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.88 | 22.5% | -2.9% | 51 | +0.89 | 3.99 | 130 | 78 |
| Tyler Bashlor R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.91 | 20.7% | 11.7% | 3.8% | .258 | 3.97 | 23.7% | 13.0% | 38 | -0.94 | 2.59 | 253 | 76 |
| Sam Bachman R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.40 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 3.4% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 243 | 75 |
| Hansel Robles R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.83 | 22.1% | 11.6% | 3.9% | .267 | 3.69 | 25.5% | 17.6% | 145 | -1.14 | 2.74 | 469 | 75 |
| Thyago Vieira R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 21.1% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 311 | 74 |
| Brian Ellington R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.81 | 25.5% | 14.9% | 3.6% | .283 | 5.60 | 22.4% | 5.3% | 29 | +0.79 | 2.75 | 233 | 74 |
| Alex Hoppe R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 2.0% | .327 | 2.96 | 24.1% | 11.8% | 38 | -0.92 | 2.96 | 214 | 74 |
| Tyler Kinley R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.74 | 25.0% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .295 | 3.79 | 25.0% | 11.7% | 140 | +0.05 | 1.58 | 578 | 74 |
| Manny Barreda R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.91 | 21.2% | 14.7% | 3.2% | .286 | 3.68 | 19.6% | 9.5% | 186 | -1.23 | 3.19 | 376 | 73 |
| Jaden Hill R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 22.0% | 11.8% | 1.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.41 | 156 | 72 |
| Calvin Faucher R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 22.8% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .330 | 3.43 | 24.1% | 14.4% | 140 | -1.23 | 2.08 | 420 | 72 |
| Justin Anderson R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.21 | 27.6% | 14.7% | 2.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 587 | 72 |
| Nick Robertson R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.59 | 20.6% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .342 | 4.03 | 22.7% | 11.7% | 83 | -0.56 | 2.77 | 312 | 71 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 22.2% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .205 | 4.20 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 211 | -0.33 | 4.02 | 328 | 71 |
| Juan Minaya R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.67 | 24.4% | 9.6% | 2.6% | .291 | 3.51 | 25.1% | 14.5% | 132 | -0.16 | 3.17 | 446 | 70 |
| Bruce Rondón R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.45 | 24.6% | 13.7% | 1.3% | .364 | 3.31 | 26.0% | 9.8% | 30 | -0.14 | 3.31 | 184 | 70 |
| Brad Goldberg R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 18.1% | 10.8% | 1.7% | .269 | 3.85 | 23.3% | 7.2% | 89 | -0.03 | 3.17 | 197 | 70 |
| Jake Barrett R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.11 | 20.1% | 11.5% | 4.1% | .267 | 2.88 | 26.9% | 15.2% | 69 | -2.23 | 1.48 | 230 | 70 |
| Sean Reynolds R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 23.5% | 13.8% | 1.5% | .367 | 5.19 | 18.7% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.49 | 3.70 | 258 | 70 |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .265 | 4.48 | 17.9% | 6.5% | 61 | +1.02 | 3.46 | 173 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 51 | 23.5% | 12.3% | 1.24 | 4.76 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |