Hunter Parks — OGILVIE

Hunter Parks P Louisville Bats

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 193 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 126

ERA5.76

FIP5.76

K%16.6%

BB%15.5%

K-BB%1.1%

ROS IP35

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	6	3	11	45	13	4	0	50%	1.9	28.9%	8.9%	20.0%	0.0%	1.59	1.79	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	6	3	11	45	13	4	0	50%	1.9	28.9%	8.9%	20.0%	0.0%	1.59	1.86	—
2022	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	25	14	82	372	94	53	7	56%	3.3	18.7%	16.8%	1.9%	2.8%	4.70	5.17	—
2022	21	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	25	14	82	372	94	53	7	56%	3.3	25.3%	14.2%	11.0%	1.9%	4.70	3.85	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	22	22	80	358	88	60	6	100%	3.6	18.9%	19.3%	-0.3%	2.2%	4.18	5.15	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	22	22	80	358	88	60	6	100%	3.6	18.9%	19.3%	-0.3%	2.2%	4.18	5.15	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	22	22	80	358	88	60	6	100%	3.6	24.6%	16.8%	7.8%	1.7%	4.18	4.13	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	8	8	28	139	27	28	1	100%	3.5	15.7%	22.2%	-6.4%	0.8%	6.83	5.01	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	8	8	28	139	27	28	1	100%	3.5	15.7%	22.2%	-6.4%	0.8%	6.83	5.01	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	8	8	28	139	27	28	1	100%	3.5	19.4%	20.1%	-0.7%	0.7%	6.83	4.65	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	6	56	266	55	38	8	20%	1.9	16.9%	14.1%	2.8%	3.6%	5.30	5.45	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	6	56	266	55	38	8	20%	1.9	16.9%	14.1%	2.8%	3.6%	5.30	5.45	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	6	56	266	55	38	8	20%	1.9	20.7%	14.3%	6.4%	3.0%	5.30	5.03	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	48	0	52	241	77	40	7	0%	1.1	26.3%	15.7%	10.6%	3.2%	5.50	4.62	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	48	0	52	241	77	40	7	0%	1.1	26.3%	15.7%	10.6%	3.2%	5.50	4.62	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	CIN	11	0	15	60	24	9	0	0%	1.4	40.0%	15.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.62	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	CIN	37	0	37	181	53	31	7	0%	1.0	29.3%	17.1%	12.2%	3.9%	7.71	4.92	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CIN	49	0	51	217	39	32	7	0%	1.0	18.2%	14.8%	3.3%	3.1%	5.57	5.54	-0.6
2028	27	MLB MLE	CIN	48	0	50	213	40	31	7	0%	1.1	18.6%	14.5%	4.1%	3.2%	5.48	5.48	-0.5
2027	26	MLB CTX	CIN	24	0	25	106	19	16	3	0%	1.0	18.2%	14.8%	3.3%	3.1%	5.57	5.54	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	CIN	31	0	33	139	26	20	4	0%	1.1	18.6%	14.5%	4.1%	3.2%	5.48	5.48	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	0	58	246	45	36	8	0%	1.1	18.4%	14.6%	3.7%	3.1%	5.52	5.13	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	155	124	28	0%	1.1	18.4%	14.6%	3.7%	3.1%	5.52	5.13	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		139	53	309	1421	281	242	37	38%	2.2	19.7%	17.0%	2.7%	2.6%	4.89	5.00	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	34	200	919	181	156	24	38%	2.2	19.7%	17.0%	2.7%	2.6%	4.89	5.00	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hunter Parks (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.76	16.6%	15.5%	3.1%	—	5.51	18.4%	3.7%	102	-0.25	—	—	—
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	86
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	83
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	82
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	80
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	80
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	80
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	79
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	79
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	79
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	78
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	78
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	78
Kender Villegas R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	13.3%	13.3%	1.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	131	78
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	78
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	78
Dillon McNamara R 2017 · 5.01 FIP	25	SW	5.01	13.3%	11.1%	3.0%	.229	3.00	21.2%	12.3%	69	-2.01	1.73	244	78
Drake Fellows R 2023 · 5.66 FIP	25	SW	5.66	17.1%	20.4%	2.6%	.367	4.91	14.2%	5.1%	266	-0.75	4.32	277	77
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	77
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	77
Miguel Nunez R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	24	SU	5.12	13.2%	13.7%	2.6%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	154	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	46	17.9%	14.9%	1.21	5.59
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78